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CLT UPDATE
Sunday, September 11, 2022

Tax Cap Refund Response: An Abrupt Change of Mind, Or...?


Jump directly to CLT's Commentary on the News


Most Relevant News Excerpts
(Full news reports follow Commentary)

The House’s budget chief says the Baker Administration’s assertion the state took billions too much in taxes last year is accurate and that lawmakers will work to make sure taxpayers get their money back while moving forward on a stalled economic development bill.

“It seems like that is the correct figure,” state Rep. Aaron Michlewitz, chairman of the House Ways and Means committee said in a Sunday appearance on WCVB’s On the Record with Ed Harding and Janet Wu.

“We didn’t know what the correct figure was at the end of July when we were trying to make our determinations on how to go forward with the economic development bill, which is one of the reasons why we were a little hesitant on moving that forward, but now that we do have that number the Auditor will certify that and we will move forward,” the Boston Democrat said.

Last week Gov. Charlie Baker’s administration notified the State Auditor that the government had claimed $2.94 billion too much income tax and a law passed in 1986 would be triggered, requiring the excess to be sent back.

Michlewitz said the Department of Revenue’s math is almost certainly correct — the auditor has until September 20 to check — and that the government will now need to figure out how to get the money back to taxpayers, as a credit or a direct rebate.

“The way the law is written it’s supposed to be a tax credit,” he said. “I think the administration is discussing exactly what that term could mean, could it mean a direct check to someone.” ...

Baker thinks Massachusetts can afford the mandatory tax rebates and economic development bill, and said as much last week when he announced a $1.6 billion supplemental budget, noting he state took in so much money last year — his administration said it beat 2021 by 20.5% — that the commonwealth’s rainy day fund now sits at an all time high of $6.9 billion.

“With tax revenues coming in far above budgeted amounts this year, the Commonwealth is well-positioned to deliver relief to taxpayers,” Baker said last week.

The Boston Herald
Sunday, September 4, 2022
House budget chief says Baker’s math right, $3B owed to taxpayers


When it comes to the nearly $3 billion in state tax collections that could be required to be returned to taxpayers, the House budget chief said his branch plans to "follow the letter of the law on this and move forward with it," but also pointed to other ways he'd like to see the billions spent.

As the guest on an episode of WCVB's "On The Record" that aired Sunday, House Ways and Means Chairman Aaron Michlewitz said that the $2.941 billion figure the Department of Revenue reported last week as subject to Chapter 62F, the 1986 voter law that requires excess state tax collections be refunded, "seems like ... the correct figure" and suggested Auditor's Suzanne Bump's confirmation by Sept. 20 could break Beacon Hill's logjam.

"We didn't know what the correct figure was at the end of July when we were trying to make our determinations on how to move forward with the economic development bill, which is one of the reasons why we were a little hesitant on moving that forward," Michlewitz said, referring to a $4 billion investment package that Democrats put on ice and which included a separate $1 billion in tax relief and reforms. "But now that we do have that number, you know, the auditor will certify that and we will move forward with that understanding."

Moving forward could mean working to pass the numerous legislative and executive branch priorities that stalled out when the House and Senate ended formal session Aug. 1 paralyzed by the recent revelation of Chapter 62F's potential impact on the money at their disposal....

"There are funding needs, or spending needs, that we do have up there," Michlewitz said.

The $52.7 billion fiscal year 2023 budget that Michlewitz co-authored represents a spending increase of more than $5 billion or nearly 11 percent compared to the $47.6 billion annual budget passed for the previous year.

And Michlewitz has been among the Beacon Hill Democrats who have put on this November's ballot a proposal to shift Massachusetts away from a flat income tax structure and impose a 4 percent surtax on annual household income above $1 million, an idea that's projected to raise about $1.3 billion each year.

Michlewitz acknowledged that it remains an open question as to how the $3 billion in excess tax collections will be returned to taxpayers under Chapter 62F. The law itself says that excess revenue should be returned as a credit but the Baker administration has been quietly working behind the scenes to change the regulations around Chapter 62F since this spring.

As of Thursday, the 62F regulation that the administration has started to rescind was still in place, an official said, and while Baker has been advocating to deliver on the statutorily required tax relief his administration has not said how it will be handled.

"The way the law is written, it is going to be a, it's supposed to be a tax credit. I think the administration is discussing exactly what that term could mean. Could it mean a direct check to someone? Is it something that someone would have to file, later in April or next April when they're filing their taxes? I think that's something that we we're continuing to analyze," Michlewitz said.

State House News Service
Tuesday, September 6, 2022
Michlewitz Ready To See Tax Relief Advance
After Big Budget, Ways and Means Chief Sees More Spending Needs


Evan Horowitz, executive director of the Center for State Policy Analysis at Tufts University and the host of this week’s podcast, said money wasn’t the problem. Between federal aid and a huge state surplus, Horowitz said, Massachusetts had billions of dollars in extra cash.

“This session has been marked in a way quite different from earlier legislative sessions by the fact that there wasn’t a clear revenue constraint. That wasn’t what was stopping legislators from doing things,” he said.

Marie-Frances Rivera, president of the left-leaning Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center, said the problem was setting priorities.

“There are big things that we need to do and I think that part of the reason why there was such chaos at the end of the session is because people are pretty shortsighted about what’s happening right now and aren’t really looking at the long term and what we’re trying to build,” Rivera said....

Rivera also urges caution on the tax cap, a voter-passed law from 1986 that was triggered this year and requires $2.9 billion in excess tax collections to be returned to taxpayers. Rivera says some of the money would go back to people who could really use it, but a lot of the money would go back to people who don’t really need it.

“There are lots of things we could do with that money,” she said, suggesting the law could be tweaked to steer the money toward addressing some of the state’s long-term problems.

Rivera also isn’t backing away from her support for a constitutional amendment imposing a tax surcharge on income over $1 million. The so-called millionaire tax, which comes before voters in November, is expected to add $1.3 billion to $2 billion a year to state coffers.

“Perhaps we have a surplus on the books right now, in this fiscal year, but we have to look at what’s the 10-year plan, what’s the 20-year plan. Our infrastructure is crumbling, right, so what revenue streams are we putting in place that are fair?” she asks.

Horowitz said he is worried about Beacon Hill’s ability to spend the money wisely. “Given what we saw this session about how legislators use money when they have it, what makes you confident that they will use the millionaire tax revenue in the ways that you are laying out?” he asked.

“To be totally honest, I’m not confident,” Rivera said.

CommonWealth Magazine
Tuesday, September 6, 2022
Big money and unfinished Beacon Hill business


The Department of Revenue collected more than $2.6 billion in taxes last month, an increase of $108 million or 4.3 percent over actual collections in August 2021 as fiscal year 2023 continued its strong start for the state's coffers....

Through two months of fiscal year 2023, DOR has collected just more than $5 billion and Massachusetts is running about $250 million or more than 5 percent ahead of the fiscal year 2022 tax collection pace that led to a multibillion-dollar surplus. Last week, DOR reported to Auditor Suzanne Bump that it believes $2.94 billion from fiscal 2022 tax collections will be required to be returned to taxpayers under the Chapter 62F revenue cap law.

State House News Service
Tuesday, September 6, 2022
August Collections Build On Record Tax Haul


August tax revenues were even higher this year than last — more good news as a nearly $3 billion overage appears to be heading back to taxpayers.

Department of Revenue Commissioner Geoffrey Snyder said the bump came “in most major tax types in comparison to August 2021, including increases in non-withheld income tax, sales and use tax, corporate and business tax and the ‘all other taxes’ category.”

Despite August’s two-day sales tax holiday, Snyder said that “the sales and use tax increase reflects continued strength in retail sales.”

August’s taking was $2.6 billion, $124 million more than was taken in 2021, an increase of 5%. About $1.4 billion of that came from income taxes, $1.3 billion from withholdings, and $825 million in sales tax.

So far this fiscal year DOR has taken $5 billion in taxes, they said, 5% more than this point last year.

The Boston Herald
Tuesday, September 6, 2022
August revenue up over last year’s excessive haul, according to DOR


"Sales and use tax collections for August totaled $825 million, $112 million or 15.7% more than August 2021."

Massachusetts Department of Revenue
Tuesday, September 6, 2022
News Release
August Revenue Collections Total $2.601 Billion
Monthly collections up $108 million or 4.3% vs. August 2021 actual


. . . Before her successor takes office, Auditor Suzanne Bump, serving her final months in office, has a decision on her hands that could resolve more than six weeks of uncertainty, bickering and paralysis on Beacon Hill.

Bump by Sept. 20 must certify how much excess tax revenue Massachusetts collected in fiscal year 2022. The Baker administration expects a pot of $2.94 billion to flow back to taxpayers under a 1986 law referred to as Chapter 62F, an amount it projects would leave lawmakers a surplus of about $2.3 billion.

So far, Bump has given little indication if those numbers are right. She wrote to lawmakers on Aug. 5 to detail the audit steps required before her final determination, and otherwise has stayed quiet on the topic.

None of the state's top financial officials who attended a Comptroller Advisory Board meeting -- including Bump, Comptroller William McNamara, and Administration and Finance Secretary Michael Heffernan -- took the opportunity to make any reference to 62F or tax relief.

It's now closeout budget season on Beacon Hill, too, but even that is mired in the silent stillness that hangs over much legislative activity. McNamara hopes to see the final supplemental budget bill signed into law by the end of September in order to meet his own Oct. 31 deadline to file an annual state financial report.

He might wind up putting in late hours to fulfill that goal, if McNamara's able to finish the Statutory Basis Financial Report in October at all. The spending and tax relief proposal still needs to emerge from the House Ways and Means Committee, clear both branches, receive possible vetoes or amendments from Baker, and secure the governor's signature, which is a lot of steps for the three weeks remaining in September.

State House News Service
Friday, September 9, 2022
Weekly Roundup - The Season Has Changed
By Chris Lisinski


. . . On Beacon Hill, Democrats could be poised to strengthen their hand in the coming elections by delivering in full or in part on a $4 billion economic development bill that was cruising toward final passage in late July before the brakes were applied as lawmakers were blindsided by $3 billion in statutorily required, one-time tax relief stemming from an historic state tax revenue surplus. There's emerging bipartisan consensus that the Chapter 62F tax relief will be delivered, and Auditor Suzanne Bump could certify the final figure in the coming days.

Democratic legislative leaders need to decide how much of the $4 billion bill, which they framed as critical to numerous sectors of the economy, to advance. And keep your eye on the House Ways and Means Committee, where chairman Rep. Aaron Michlewitz is working on a redraft of a $1.6 billion spending bill filed by Gov. Baker to close the books on fiscal 2022.

The suite of decisions on the 62F tax relief, the fiscal 2022 closeout budget, and the economic development bill, which uses surplus revenues and American Rescue Plan Act funds, are all intertwined as policy and politics collide in election season.

State House News Service
Friday, September 9, 2022
Advances - Week of Sept. 11, 2022


The region needed rain, but three hours before the polls closed Tuesday afternoon, Eric P. Lesser said he had no idea whether the wet weather helped or hurt his chances at the polls.

“Everybody has their theories, but the voters have a way of sorting it out,” Lesser said as he stood outside the Castle of Knights hall in Chicopee, where voters were casting ballots in the state primary.

For Lesser, the water from above portended a watershed career moment. A four-term state senator from the 1st Hampden and Hampshire District, the Longmeadow resident entered the race for lieutenant governor, thus becoming the only candidate for statewide office who lived west of Interstate 495.

The night ended with the first defeat for elective office in his career. Salem Mayor Kimberley Driscoll defeated Lesser in a three-way Democratic primary that also included Tami Gouveia, a state representative from the 14th Middlesex District.

Legislators serve two-year terms, so losing left Lesser out of elective office altogether at age 37. That leaves plenty of time to come back, but it also leaves no guarantees.

When a new Senate is inaugurated in January, Lesser will be outside of elective office for the first time since he was in his 20s. He sounded nothing like a defeated candidate whose days were done....

Hours before the polls closed, Lesser was asked if he’d considered what he’d do next if he were to lose. He acted taken aback by the question.

“I haven’t given that a thread of thought. We’re running through the tape (to the finish line),” he said as voters filed past him to the ballot boxes.

He will have to think about it now. Political consultant Paul Robbins says it’s much too early to count Lesser out, but that re-entering the arena from the outside is not easy.

“It’s hard, sometimes, being out. He has to decide, what does he want to do?” Robbins said.

Running for lieutenant governor was the riskiest political challenge undertaken by Lesser, who worked in the White House as a special assistant to David Axelrod, senior advisor to President Barack Obama. Later, Lesser served as director of strategic planning at the Council of Economic Affairs.

In 2016, the last election in which he was opposed, Lesser was the only Massachusetts candidate endorsed by Obama.

The Springfield Republican
Wednesday, September 7, 2022
Eric Lesser’s political gamble comes up short


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary


Last Sunday The Boston Herald reported ("House budget chief says Baker’s math right, $3B owed to taxpayers"):

The House’s budget chief says the Baker Administration’s assertion the state took billions too much in taxes last year is accurate and that lawmakers will work to make sure taxpayers get their money back while moving forward on a stalled economic development bill.

“It seems like that is the correct figure,” state Rep. Aaron Michlewitz, chairman of the House Ways and Means committee said in a Sunday appearance on WCVB’s On the Record with Ed Harding and Janet Wu.

“We didn’t know what the correct figure was at the end of July when we were trying to make our determinations on how to go forward with the economic development bill, which is one of the reasons why we were a little hesitant on moving that forward, but now that we do have that number the Auditor will certify that and we will move forward,” the Boston Democrat said....

Michlewitz said the Department of Revenue’s math is almost certainly correct — the auditor has until September 20 to check — and that the government will now need to figure out how to get the money back to taxpayers, as a credit or a direct rebate.

“The way the law is written it’s supposed to be a tax credit,” he said. “I think the administration is discussing exactly what that term could mean, could it mean a direct check to someone.” ...

That report sounded quite encouraging, straightforward, as though CLT's Tax Cap law has been accepted as law by at least the House leadership.

Then the State House News Service followed up on Tuesday with its report ("Michlewitz Ready To See Tax Relief Advance After Big Budget, Ways and Means Chief Sees More Spending Needs") — and the discussion turned to "spending needs," despite "The $52.7 billion fiscal year 2023 budget that Michlewitz co-authored" which represents "a spending increase of more than $5 billion or nearly 11 percent compared to the $47.6 billion annual budget passed for the previous year.":

When it comes to the nearly $3 billion in state tax collections that could be required to be returned to taxpayers, the House budget chief said his branch plans to "follow the letter of the law on this and move forward with it," but also pointed to other ways he'd like to see the billions spent....

Moving forward could mean working to pass the numerous legislative and executive branch priorities that stalled out when the House and Senate ended formal session Aug. 1 paralyzed by the recent revelation of Chapter 62F's potential impact on the money at their disposal....

"There are funding needs, or spending needs, that we do have up there," Michlewitz said.

The $52.7 billion fiscal year 2023 budget that Michlewitz co-authored represents a spending increase of more than $5 billion or nearly 11 percent compared to the $47.6 billion annual budget passed for the previous year.

And Michlewitz has been among the Beacon Hill Democrats who have put on this November's ballot a proposal to shift Massachusetts away from a flat income tax structure and impose a 4 percent surtax on annual household income above $1 million, an idea that's projected to raise about $1.3 billion each year.

Michlewitz acknowledged that it remains an open question as to how the $3 billion in excess tax collections will be returned to taxpayers under Chapter 62F. The law itself says that excess revenue should be returned as a credit but the Baker administration has been quietly working behind the scenes to change the regulations around Chapter 62F since this spring.

As of Thursday, the 62F regulation that the administration has started to rescind was still in place, an official said, and while Baker has been advocating to deliver on the statutorily required tax relief his administration has not said how it will be handled.

"The way the law is written, it is going to be a, it's supposed to be a tax credit. I think the administration is discussing exactly what that term could mean. Could it mean a direct check to someone? Is it something that someone would have to file, later in April or next April when they're filing their taxes? I think that's something that we we're continuing to analyze," Michlewitz said.

Bear in mind that it was just over a month ago that the State House News Service reported on July 29 ("Mariano Mulling Changes To 1986 Tax Relief Law"):

With Democrats heading into the weekend scrambling for a path forward on tax relief, House Speaker Ron Mariano said Friday that he is open to changing, delaying or spiking a 1986 voter law that appears poised to return nearly $3 billion to taxpayers....

Mariano said Friday that he would consider all courses of action, up to and including altogether scrapping the tax relief trigger law voters enacted in 1986.

"Sure, it's an option," Mariano told reporters when asked if lawmakers would consider undoing the trigger enshrined in Chapter 62F. "Everything's on the table. We could undo the law, we could change it, we could postpone."

To which I immediately responded (CLT News Release, July 29, "The Timing Couldn’t Be Better"):

Reportedly legislative leaders are contemplating hoisting the middle-finger Beacon Hill salute to voters and taxpayers once again.

According to the State House News Service: "’Sure, it's an option,’ Mariano told reporters when asked if lawmakers would consider undoing the 1986 voter law. ‘Everything's on the table. We could undo the law, we could change it, we could postpone.’"

They could also leave it alone as mandated by 54% of voters, their constituents. That would be the correct option “on the table” in a truly representative government – the only honorable course.

“That Speaker Mariano would even consider such an affront to democracy, to election results, and to voters themselves – that he even dares speak it aloud – demonstrates the degree of sheer political arrogance that permeates ‘The Great and General Court’ of the Commonwealth,” said Chip Ford, Executive Director of Citizens for Limited Taxation which co-sponsored the successful 1986 ballot question along with the Mass. High Tech Council....

There are but two days remaining in the Legislature’s formal session before “full-time” legislators will leave for the remainder of the year so they can hit the campaign trail to seek reelection or election to higher office at taxpayers’ expense.  The timing couldn’t be worse for legislators.

If their final vote before bailing out is to repeal the voters’ long-established tax-cap as soon as it is triggered, to deny taxpayers the voter-mandated rebate of billions of their dollars in excessive over-taxation, it may prove for many legislators to be snatching defeat from the jaws of victory – which would be the just consequence.  Let legislators explain such a cavalier betrayal to voters in their districts while asking for their votes.  The timing couldn’t be better for taxpayers and voters.

Methinks their decision has been made.  We just don't really know what it is yet.  If it's the wrong one, our lawsuit is ready to launch immediately.  We hope the mandated refund of "excess revenue" goes as smoothly as it should, that the rebate checks are in the mail to all taxpayers owed come November, December at the latest.  I'm confident if this needs to go to the Supreme Judicial Court we will prevail, but every day it languishes the value of the refund will be further eroded due to Bidenflation.

One of the legal arguments our attorneys will make if necessary was noted by Dan Winslow (a former judge, Romney administration official and state representative who now leads the New England Legal Foundation) in the State House News Service report of August 22 ("Legal Teams Ready To Defend Tax Relief Law"):

Winslow said his organization is particularly interested in exploring the idea that the relief afforded by Chapter 62F "could already be a vested property right in the hands of the taxpayers to which they're entitled" regardless of any attempts to amend the law.

"There's a significant question that this actually may already be a done deal as a matter of law," he said. Winslow added later, "Basically, what remains at this point is what we call a ministerial act. It's simply almost an automatic kind of a certification because the close of the fiscal year was June 30 and so the condition that this statute applies to already existed as a matter of fact."

That should get taxpayers through this year.  What the Legislature does to/with our law next year, with another revenue bonanza mounting, will be up for grabs.  Remember, CLT's Tax Cap is a law and all laws are subject to amending or outright repeal going forward.


A lack of revenue today does not honestly even factor in a legislator's alleged concern or shouldn't.  Meanwhile the revenue gravy train continues to chug along.  On Tuesday The Boston Herald reported ("August revenue up over last year’s excessive haul, according to DOR"):

August tax revenues were even higher this year than last — more good news as a nearly $3 billion overage appears to be heading back to taxpayers.

Department of Revenue Commissioner Geoffrey Snyder said the bump came “in most major tax types in comparison to August 2021, including increases in non-withheld income tax, sales and use tax, corporate and business tax and the ‘all other taxes’ category.”

Despite August’s two-day sales tax holiday, Snyder said that “the sales and use tax increase reflects continued strength in retail sales.”

August’s taking was $2.6 billion, $124 million more than was taken in 2021, an increase of 5%. About $1.4 billion of that came from income taxes, $1.3 billion from withholdings, and $825 million in sales tax.

So far this fiscal year DOR has taken $5 billion in taxes, they said, 5% more than this point last year.

In its news release on Tuesday ("August Revenue Collections Total $2.601 Billion Monthly collections up $108 million or 4.3% vs. August 2021 actual the Department of Revenue noted:

"Sales and use tax collections for August totaled $825 million, $112 million or 15.7% more than August 2021."

I suspect most if not all of that too is a consequence of Bidenflation rather than consumers binge-spending.  Remember, the 6.25% sales tax is added to the retail price of a product or service when you purchase it.  As the cost of products and services increase so too does the total sales tax collected by the state.


There was a note of unabashedly great news this week to come out of the primary elections, at least for me personally:  The most dogged nemesis of Proposition 2½ for many years was defeated in his campaign for Lieutenant Governor, for which he had to surrender his state Senate seat to pursue.  That's not to say the stealth attacks on Prop 2½ will end, but the lead attack dog has been muzzled and restrained at least for the next two years.  His jumping in and losing was the best possible outcome for taxpayers!

The Springfield Republican reported on Wednesday ("Eric Lesser’s political gamble comes up short"):

The region needed rain, but three hours before the polls closed Tuesday afternoon, Eric P. Lesser said he had no idea whether the wet weather helped or hurt his chances at the polls.

“Everybody has their theories, but the voters have a way of sorting it out,” Lesser said as he stood outside the Castle of Knights hall in Chicopee, where voters were casting ballots in the state primary.

For Lesser, the water from above portended a watershed career moment. A four-term state senator from the 1st Hampden and Hampshire District, the Longmeadow resident entered the race for lieutenant governor, thus becoming the only candidate for statewide office who lived west of Interstate 495.

The night ended with the first defeat for elective office in his career. Salem Mayor Kimberley Driscoll defeated Lesser in a three-way Democratic primary that also included Tami Gouveia, a state representative from the 14th Middlesex District.

Legislators serve two-year terms, so losing left Lesser out of elective office altogether at age 37. That leaves plenty of time to come back, but it also leaves no guarantees.

When a new Senate is inaugurated in January, Lesser will be outside of elective office for the first time since he was in his 20s. He sounded nothing like a defeated candidate whose days were done....

Hours before the polls closed, Lesser was asked if he’d considered what he’d do next if he were to lose. He acted taken aback by the question.

“I haven’t given that a thread of thought. We’re running through the tape (to the finish line),” he said as voters filed past him to the ballot boxes.

He will have to think about it now. Political consultant Paul Robbins says it’s much too early to count Lesser out, but that re-entering the arena from the outside is not easy.

“It’s hard, sometimes, being out. He has to decide, what does he want to do?” Robbins said.

Running for lieutenant governor was the riskiest political challenge undertaken by Lesser, who worked in the White House as a special assistant to David Axelrod, senior advisor to President Barack Obama. Later, Lesser served as director of strategic planning at the Council of Economic Affairs.

In 2016, the last election in which he was opposed, Lesser was the only Massachusetts candidate endorsed by Obama.

Chip Ford
Executive Director


Full News Reports
(excerpted above)

The Boston Herald
Sunday, September 4, 2022
House budget chief says Baker’s math right, $3B owed to taxpayers
By Matthew Medsger


The House’s budget chief says the Baker Administration’s assertion the state took billions too much in taxes last year is accurate and that lawmakers will work to make sure taxpayers get their money back while moving forward on a stalled economic development bill.

“It seems like that is the correct figure,” state Rep. Aaron Michlewitz, chairman of the House Ways and Means committee said in a Sunday appearance on WCVB’s On the Record with Ed Harding and Janet Wu.

“We didn’t know what the correct figure was at the end of July when we were trying to make our determinations on how to go forward with the economic development bill, which is one of the reasons why we were a little hesitant on moving that forward, but now that we do have that number the Auditor will certify that and we will move forward,” the Boston Democrat said.

Last week Gov. Charlie Baker’s administration notified the State Auditor that the government had claimed $2.94 billion too much income tax and a law passed in 1986 would be triggered, requiring the excess to be sent back.

Michlewitz said the Department of Revenue’s math is almost certainly correct — the auditor has until September 20 to check — and that the government will now need to figure out how to get the money back to taxpayers, as a credit or a direct rebate.

“The way the law is written it’s supposed to be a tax credit,” he said. “I think the administration is discussing exactly what that term could mean, could it mean a direct check to someone.”

Lawmakers seemed surprised when the Baker Administration announced in July they expected nearly $3 billion in excess revenue. Michlewitz said it wasn’t the law that surprised them, but the amount. The last and only time the law went into effect it was triggered by an overage of just $27 million.

“I don’t know if we saw to that degree, of the multi-billion dollars, that was going to happen,” he said.

The Boston representative also sits on the joint legislative committee trying to iron out the differences between a pair of $4 billion economic development bills which cleared both chamber’s unanimously but were suddenly stymied by the news the 1986 law, Chapter 62F, would be triggered.

Baker thinks Massachusetts can afford the mandatory tax rebates and economic development bill, and said as much last week when he announced a $1.6 billion supplemental budget, noting he state took in so much money last year — his administration said it beat 2021 by 20.5% — that the commonwealth’s rainy day fund now sits at an all time high of $6.9 billion.

“With tax revenues coming in far above budgeted amounts this year, the Commonwealth is well-positioned to deliver relief to taxpayers,” Baker said last week.


State House News Service
Tuesday, September 6, 2022
Michlewitz Ready To See Tax Relief Advance
After Big Budget, Ways and Means Chief Sees More Spending Needs
By Colin A. Young


When it comes to the nearly $3 billion in state tax collections that could be required to be returned to taxpayers, the House budget chief said his branch plans to "follow the letter of the law on this and move forward with it," but also pointed to other ways he'd like to see the billions spent.

As the guest on an episode of WCVB's "On The Record" that aired Sunday, House Ways and Means Chairman Aaron Michlewitz said that the $2.941 billion figure the Department of Revenue reported last week as subject to Chapter 62F, the 1986 voter law that requires excess state tax collections be refunded, "seems like ... the correct figure" and suggested Auditor's Suzanne Bump's confirmation by Sept. 20 could break Beacon Hill's logjam.

"We didn't know what the correct figure was at the end of July when we were trying to make our determinations on how to move forward with the economic development bill, which is one of the reasons why we were a little hesitant on moving that forward," Michlewitz said, referring to a $4 billion investment package that Democrats put on ice and which included a separate $1 billion in tax relief and reforms. "But now that we do have that number, you know, the auditor will certify that and we will move forward with that understanding."

Moving forward could mean working to pass the numerous legislative and executive branch priorities that stalled out when the House and Senate ended formal session Aug. 1 paralyzed by the recent revelation of Chapter 62F's potential impact on the money at their disposal. Baker said in late July, when the Legislature was down to crunch time for its economic development bill, that Chapter 62F would lead to "probably north of $2.5 billion" in returns.

Beyond the economic development bill topics -- hospital funding, money to support the state's new climate law, millions in local project funding, and more -- Michlewitz told "On The Record" that he sees plenty of other areas where the Chapter 62F money could be spent. He expects the Federal Transit Administration's safety investigation of the MBTA to require the state to spend somewhere "in the billions of dollars range" and also pointed to the Special Legislative Early Education and Care Economic Review Commission's estimate that $1.5 billion is needed to stabilize the early education and care system and help it meet the needs of families.

"There are funding needs, or spending needs, that we do have up there," Michlewitz said.

The $52.7 billion fiscal year 2023 budget that Michlewitz co-authored represents a spending increase of more than $5 billion or nearly 11 percent compared to the $47.6 billion annual budget passed for the previous year.

And Michlewitz has been among the Beacon Hill Democrats who have put on this November's ballot a proposal to shift Massachusetts away from a flat income tax structure and impose a 4 percent surtax on annual household income above $1 million, an idea that's projected to raise about $1.3 billion each year.

Michlewitz acknowledged that it remains an open question as to how the $3 billion in excess tax collections will be returned to taxpayers under Chapter 62F. The law itself says that excess revenue should be returned as a credit but the Baker administration has been quietly working behind the scenes to change the regulations around Chapter 62F since this spring.

As of Thursday, the 62F regulation that the administration has started to rescind was still in place, an official said, and while Baker has been advocating to deliver on the statutorily required tax relief his administration has not said how it will be handled.

"The way the law is written, it is going to be a, it's supposed to be a tax credit. I think the administration is discussing exactly what that term could mean. Could it mean a direct check to someone? Is it something that someone would have to file, later in April or next April when they're filing their taxes? I think that's something that we we're continuing to analyze," Michlewitz said.

WCVB's Janet Wu asked Michlewitz about House Speaker Ronald Mariano's suggestions that the Baker administration somehow blindsided the Legislature with the late July revelation that some of the state's massive surplus would have to be refunded to taxpayers. She asked the Ways and Means Committee chairman, whose office gets the same annual 62F report from the state auditor that the governor's administration gets, if he had "the responsibility of knowing that and informing the speaker" of the potential impact of the law.

"It's not that we didn't know necessarily about the law, because, I mean, the law has been out there. I've heard about this discussion of whether -- it hadn't been triggered in 35 years. So for it to get triggered for the first time in 35 years was a little bit of a surprise to some degree," he said. "I think it's more about the amounts that we were a little more concerned about. The last time this was triggered, it was [$29] million in 1987 ... I don't know if we saw it to that degree of the multi-billion dollars that was going to happen, and I think that really kind of changed our outlook on exactly how to move forward with a lot of spending; because we do have a lot of things we have to worry about going forward."


CommonWealth Magazine
Tuesday, September 6, 2022
Big money and unfinished Beacon Hill business
By Bruce Mohl


The Legislature passed a slew of bills at the end of the session, but there was still a lot of unfinished business, according to two Massachusetts policy analysts who compared notes on The Codcast.

Evan Horowitz, executive director of the Center for State Policy Analysis at Tufts University and the host of this week’s podcast, said money wasn’t the problem. Between federal aid and a huge state surplus, Horowitz said, Massachusetts had billions of dollars in extra cash.

“This session has been marked in a way quite different from earlier legislative sessions by the fact that there wasn’t a clear revenue constraint. That wasn’t what was stopping legislators from doing things,” he said.

Marie-Frances Rivera, president of the left-leaning Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center, said the problem was setting priorities.

“There are big things that we need to do and I think that part of the reason why there was such chaos at the end of the session is because people are pretty shortsighted about what’s happening right now and aren’t really looking at the long term and what we’re trying to build,” Rivera said.

She said lawmakers need to get focused and address the state’s challenges in a more straightforward way. She suggested the Legislature designate specific months of the year to address key problems – for example, February for early child care and education and March for the MBTA.

“We need to pace ourselves and commit to meeting deadlines,” she said. “We’re not really having the constructive conversations that we need to have to really solve these issues.”

Rivera also urges caution on the tax cap, a voter-passed law from 1986 that was triggered this year and requires $2.9 billion in excess tax collections to be returned to taxpayers. Rivera says some of the money would go back to people who could really use it, but a lot of the money would go back to people who don’t really need it.

“There are lots of things we could do with that money,” she said, suggesting the law could be tweaked to steer the money toward addressing some of the state’s long-term problems.

Rivera also isn’t backing away from her support for a constitutional amendment imposing a tax surcharge on income over $1 million. The so-called millionaire tax, which comes before voters in November, is expected to add $1.3 billion to $2 billion a year to state coffers.

“Perhaps we have a surplus on the books right now, in this fiscal year, but we have to look at what’s the 10-year plan, what’s the 20-year plan. Our infrastructure is crumbling, right, so what revenue streams are we putting in place that are fair?” she asks.

“My mind doesn’t change because we’ve had COVID and all this federal funding came through and our economy is a little funky right now,” she said.

Horowitz said he is worried about Beacon Hill’s ability to spend the money wisely. “Given what we saw this session about how legislators use money when they have it, what makes you confident that they will use the millionaire tax revenue in the ways that you are laying out?” he asked.

“To be totally honest, I’m not confident,” Rivera said.


State House News Service
Tuesday, September 6, 2022
August Collections Build On Record Tax Haul
By Colin A. Young


The Department of Revenue collected more than $2.6 billion in taxes last month, an increase of $108 million or 4.3 percent over actual collections in August 2021 as fiscal year 2023 continued its strong start for the state's coffers.

"August collections increased in most major tax types in comparison to August 2021, including increases in non-withheld income tax, sales and use tax, corporate and business tax and the 'all other taxes' category. Withholding decreased relative to August 2021 collections. However, FY2023 year-to-date withholding collections are more than collections in the same period of FY2022," Revenue Commissioner Geoffrey Snyder said. "The sales and use tax increase reflects continued strength in retail sales."

Through two months of fiscal year 2023, DOR has collected just more than $5 billion and Massachusetts is running about $250 million or more than 5 percent ahead of the fiscal year 2022 tax collection pace that led to a multibillion-dollar surplus. Last week, DOR reported to Auditor Suzanne Bump that it believes $2.94 billion from fiscal 2022 tax collections will be required to be returned to taxpayers under the Chapter 62F revenue cap law.

August is generally one of the least significant months for state tax receipts (average of 6.7 percent of annual revenue) and DOR cautioned against drawing conclusions based on the monthly results. But so far, the continued strong pace of tax collections makes fiscal year 2023 appear likely to generate more than the $39.576 billion revenue expectation that the administration and lawmakers agreed to bake into the annual budget.


The Boston Herald
Tuesday, September 6, 2022
August revenue up over last year’s excessive haul, according to DOR
By Matthew Medsger


August tax revenues were even higher this year than last — more good news as a nearly $3 billion overage appears to be heading back to taxpayers.

Department of Revenue Commissioner Geoffrey Snyder said the bump came “in most major tax types in comparison to August 2021, including increases in non-withheld income tax, sales and use tax, corporate and business tax and the ‘all other taxes’ category.”

Despite August’s two-day sales tax holiday, Snyder said that “the sales and use tax increase reflects continued strength in retail sales.”

August’s taking was $2.6 billion, $124 million more than was taken in 2021, an increase of 5%. About $1.4 billion of that came from income taxes, $1.3 billion from withholdings, and $825 million in sales tax.

So far this fiscal year DOR has taken $5 billion in taxes, they said, 5% more than this point last year.

August is generally not a significant tax month, since individuals and businesses don’t tend to make estimated payments at this point in the year, according to the department.

“Historically, roughly 6.7% of annual revenue, on average, has been received during August,” the department said.

August shouldn’t be used to predict an overage in the following months, as revenues will soon be adjusted to reflect the state’s roughly $53 billion budget, which was passed in early August, DOR added.

“Given the brief period covered in the report, August results should not be used as a predictor for the rest of the fiscal year. With the recent enactment of the Fiscal Year 2023 budget, monthly revenue benchmarks are currently under development and will be incorporated into future revenue reports,” the department said in the release.


Massachusetts Department of Revenue
Tuesday, September 6, 2022
News Release
August Revenue Collections Total $2.601 Billion
Monthly collections up $108 million or 4.3% vs. August 2021 actual


Boston, MA — Massachusetts Department of Revenue (DOR) Commissioner Geoffrey Snyder today announced that preliminary revenue collections for August totaled $2.601 billion, $108 million or 4.3% more than the actual collections in August 2021. August 2022 revenue collections were impacted by the elective pass-through entity (PTE) excise. After adjusting for PTE excise [1], August 2022 collections are $124 million or 5.0% above actual collections in August 2021.

FY2023 year-to-date collections totaled approximately $5.007 billion, which is $249 million or 5.2% more than collections in the same period of FY2022. After adjusting for PTE excise [1], FY2023 year-to-date collections are $255 million or 5.4% more than collections in the same period of FY2021.

“August collections increased in most major tax types in comparison to August 2021, including increases in non-withheld income tax, sales and use tax, corporate and business tax and the ‘all other taxes’ category. Withholding decreased relative to August 2021 collections. However, FY2023 year-to-date withholding collections are more than collections in the same period of FY2022”, said Commissioner Snyder. “The sales and use tax increase reflects continued strength in retail sales.

August is one of the smaller months for revenue collections, because neither individual nor business taxpayers make significant estimated payments during the month. Historically, roughly 6.7% of annual revenue, on average, has been received during August.

Given the brief period covered in the report, August results should not be used as a predictor for the rest of the fiscal year. With the recent enactment of the Fiscal Year 2023 budget, monthly revenue benchmarks are currently under development and will be incorporated into future revenue reports.

Details:

• Income tax collections totaled $1.400 billion, $30 million or 2.1% less than August 2021.
• Withholding tax collections for August totaled $1.315 billion, $33 million or 2.5% less than August 2021.
• Income tax estimated payments for August totaled $55 million, $10 million or 21.7% more than August 2021.
• Income tax returns and bills for August totaled $86 million, $21 million or 31.8% more than August 2021.
• Income tax cash refunds for August totaled $55 million in outflows, $28 million or 99.3% more (unfavorable) than August 2021.
• Sales and use tax collections for August totaled $825 million, $112 million or 15.7% more than August 2021.
• Corporate and business tax collections for August totaled $84 million, $10 million or 13.0% more than August 2021.

• “All other” tax collections for August totaled $292 million, $17 million or 6.3% more than August 2021.

[1] PTE credits claimed by entity members exceeded excise payments received from pass-through-entities’ in August 2022 and FY2023 year-to-date.


The Springfield Republican
Wednesday, September 7, 2022
Eric Lesser’s political gamble comes up short
By Ron Chimelis


The region needed rain, but three hours before the polls closed Tuesday afternoon, Eric P. Lesser said he had no idea whether the wet weather helped or hurt his chances at the polls.

“Everybody has their theories, but the voters have a way of sorting it out,” Lesser said as he stood outside the Castle of Knights hall in Chicopee, where voters were casting ballots in the state primary.

For Lesser, the water from above portended a watershed career moment. A four-term state senator from the 1st Hampden and Hampshire District, the Longmeadow resident entered the race for lieutenant governor, thus becoming the only candidate for statewide office who lived west of Interstate 495.

The night ended with the first defeat for elective office in his career. Salem Mayor Kimberley Driscoll defeated Lesser in a three-way Democratic primary that also included Tami Gouveia, a state representative from the 14th Middlesex District.

Legislators serve two-year terms, so losing left Lesser out of elective office altogether at age 37. That leaves plenty of time to come back, but it also leaves no guarantees.

When a new Senate is inaugurated in January, Lesser will be outside of elective office for the first time since he was in his 20s. He sounded nothing like a defeated candidate whose days were done.

“I’m just going to end this campaign with this: all of our time in the state Senate has been about a vision, a vision to connect our commonwealth. To get (west-east rail) done. And to make sure the promise of Massachusetts is there for all our families,” Lesser said in conceding the race. “Visions outlive election cycles. We are going to keep at it.”

Hours before the polls closed, Lesser was asked if he’d considered what he’d do next if he were to lose. He acted taken aback by the question.

“I haven’t given that a thread of thought. We’re running through the tape (to the finish line),” he said as voters filed past him to the ballot boxes.

He will have to think about it now. Political consultant Paul Robbins says it’s much too early to count Lesser out, but that re-entering the arena from the outside is not easy.

“It’s hard, sometimes, being out. He has to decide, what does he want to do?” Robbins said.

Running for lieutenant governor was the riskiest political challenge undertaken by Lesser, who worked in the White House as a special assistant to David Axelrod, senior advisor to President Barack Obama. Later, Lesser served as director of strategic planning at the Council of Economic Affairs.

In 2016, the last election in which he was opposed, Lesser was the only Massachusetts candidate endorsed by Obama. The White House connection has provided Lesser a not-typical cachet that opponents couldn’t duplicate, but whether it translated into votes in this election was difficult to measure.

Had he sought reelection to the Senate, he’d have been the odds-on favorite. Instead, he made a bid for statewide office, hoping to overcome the challenge facing any Western Massachusetts candidate in a state where the population tilts heavily east.

“Most observers thought he’d wait until (U.S. Rep.) Richard Neal stepped down, and Eric might have been the odds-on favorite for that seat,” longtime political consultant Anthony Cignoli said.

Cignoli thinks this outcome changes the landscape. More candidates may seek the office when Neal retires, he said, and Lesser will not necessarily be the clear favorite.

“Running for lieutenant governor was a calculated risk, and it will have impact,” said Cignoli, who thought Lesser was facing serious obstacles in this race.

“Being from Western Massachusetts is an immediate handicap. Kim Driscoll was very well known by the Greater Boston media,” Cignoli said.

“Also, being a woman ... in early voting, an overwhelming number of women voted. We expected that, but the numbers were greater than expected,” Cignoli said.

Lesser’s final day of campaigning was a whirlwind that took him to Chicopee, Springfield, Longmeadow, Holyoke, Westfield, South Hadley, Easthampton and Northampton. That didn’t include what he had optimistically called his “victory party” at Center Square Grille in East Longmeadow after the polls closed.

Prodded to share his feelings on a day the voters decided whether they wanted his service or not, Lesser stayed on message.

“For me, it’s about the issues and moving ideas forward,” he said. The senator ran down his priority list: west-east rail; new job training; closing the waiting list for vocational training; and aggressively taking on the opioid crisis, among others.

In the weekend before the vote, he even went into the lion’s den. Lesser’s itinerary included a stop in Salem — Driscoll’s home city — as well as Lawrence.

He said he was greeted with enthusiasm at each stop. Lesser said housing, which he also lists among priorities, and overdevelopment were of particular concern in those Eastern Massachusetts cities.

It’s his Western Massachusetts pedigree, though, that made Lesser’s candidacy unusual. Canvassing the east, where the vast majority of voters live, while maintaining contact in his home region constituted both an opportunity and a challenge.

“Bringing some regional balance to the highest levels of state government (is important),” Lesser said. “We’re always the underdog,” he said of Western Massachusetts.

“But our ideas are popular, and our vision is compelling,” Lesser added.

Regardless of the challenge he faced in a statewide contest, Lesser was hardly invisible. His fundraising dwarfed Driscoll’s by a 4-to-1 margin in July. Matched against Gouveia, it was nearly 20-to-1.

Despite those deep coffers, Robbins isn’t sure Lesser ever really had a good chance.

“You can evaporate $1 million really fast in a statewide race if you don’t have name recognition. Voters need to know the (candidate’s) name, and they have to connect it to something,” Robbins said.

“Let’s say Eric had name recognition of 25 to 30%, and Driscoll was at 45%. That’s a really steep hill to climb. He raised a lot of money and made some early noise about doing that, which was good because it established him as legitimate,” Robbins said.

“But he didn’t fare well at the state convention, which was probably a harbinger because those are the activists. To me, it was a ‘tell’ that he was losing when he put out an attack ad on Driscoll’s PAC (political action committee) activities and she stayed positive, and didn’t mention him.”

Cignoli said Lesser’s fundraising also went up against Driscoll’s PAC support.

“He was pretty badly outspent by the PAC support for Driscoll. And it’s one thing to spend money and another to spend it well - he ads said, ‘mayors get stuff done,’ and that resonated, because lieutenant governors recently have treated the job as super-mayor types,” Cignoli said.

Lesser’s campaign attracted a wide range of endorsements from labor unions, media (including The Republican), and political figures headlined by Neal, the chair of the House Ways and Means Committee.

They didn’t all come from the western end of the state, either. Senate President Karen Spilka endorsed Lesser, as did several high-ranking legislators from Eastern and Central Massachusetts.

On the other hand, support from his home territory was not unanimous. Springfield City Council President Jesse Lederman, fellow councilors Melvin Edwards and Sean Curran (a former state representative), and School Committee member LaTonia Monroe Naylor endorsed Driscoll - a rare departure from the practice of backing the hometown candidate or if not that, at least staying neutral.

“She had surprising strength in the 413 area code,” Cignoli said.

If there is a blessing in defeat, it’s that Lesser will have more time with his family. The 180-mile round trips to Boston can take a toll, he said.

“I have a wonderful family and an incredible wife,” he said in the drizzle Tuesday afternoon. As the dispiriting numbers came in, Lesser again saluted his wife’s support.

“Politics is not easy on your family. I was away a lot and when I was around, frankly I was distracted,” he said. “Alison was our rock and kept everything going. (And) my children keep me going and they kept me fighting through a hard campaign.”


NOTE: In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107, this material is distributed without profit or payment to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving this information for non-profit research and educational purposes only. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml


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