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CLT UPDATE
Sunday, June 15, 2020

Birth of the Tax Hike Economists' "Vault"


Jump directly to CLT's Commentary on the News


Most Relevant News Excerpts
(Full news reports follow Commentary)

The COVID-19 pandemic is a unique event that is sure to rock the state budget and overall financial picture for years to come, and it might take some creativity and outside-the-box thinking from policymakers for Massachusetts to address both the need for individual and business aid and the state's need for a stable budget.

That's the conclusion of a new report that the Center for State Policy Analysis at Tufts University published Monday morning to assess how Massachusetts, which has to maintain a balanced budget, might be able to assist residents and businesses struggling financially as a result of the pandemic while also addressing a widening state budget deficit.

After talking the situation over with economists and state budget experts, the center suggested a suite of possible policy responses, including setting up a commission to roll back regulations on the hardest-hit industries, creating a surtax on healthy businesses to help at-risk ones, and increasing the state's income tax rate temporarily....

Though it might be less-palatable to lawmakers, especially during an election year, the center also suggests that Massachusetts alter its tax code in order to impose a surtax on companies that are earning greater profits during the COVID-19 pandemic and to increase the state's 5 percent income tax rate.

"Perhaps the most straightforward way to fund economic aid -- or to avoid cuts to vital programs -- is to temporarily increase the state's income tax," the report said. "With this approach you can raise substantial funds in a very precise way, without needing to design a new program or setup a new collection system."

State House News Service
Monday, June 8, 2020
Tufts Center: Pandemic Budgeting Calls for Creativity
Tax Hike, Rent Loans Among Ideas


The second quarter of 2020 is on track to be the worst for the state economy in the recorded history of Massachusetts and gross state product "may decline on the order of 50 percent," economists at MassBenchmarks said Tuesday.

The COVID-19 pandemic and government-mandated businesses closures imposed to try to slow the spread of the coronavirus have blown a hole in the state's economy.  In weeks, Massachusetts went from a sub-3 unemployment rate to a record high of 15.1 percent, and tax collections went from $235 million ahead of benchmarks to now standing $2.253 billion behind expectations.

"State economic performance in the second quarter of 2020 is shaping up to be the worst in the recorded history of the Commonwealth," MassBenchmarks, which is published by the UMass Donahue Institute with the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, wrote in a summary of its May 28 editorial board meeting.  "While board members agreed that the economic damage from COVID-19 is probably greatest in the current quarter, they were similarly unanimous that projecting the path of the economy is highly uncertain and more about future epidemiological conditions than economic fundamentals." ...

As policymakers consider ways to balance the state budget, MassBenchmarks said it is as important as ever to heed the Hippocratic command to "first, do no harm."  The group urged legislators to "avoid counterproductive state and local spending cuts" and to consider temporarily raising some state tax rates.

State House News Service
Tuesday, June 9, 2020
Economists: Mass. In Midst of Worst Economic Quarter on Record


Law enforcement's infamous "blue wall" started showing its cracks this week as momentum picked up on Beacon Hill for a major push at policing reform, and the odds increased that by mid-summer something that wasn't on anyone's radar three months ago will get done before an annual budget....

It's only been five days since Gov. Charlie Baker plunged the state into Phase 2 of his business restart strategy, but the public health data continues to show that the state is making progress in its fight against the spread of COVID-19.

Restaurants owners on Monday wiped the pollen off their outdoor tables as they reopened for dining al fresco, and retailers, hotels, warehouses, driving ranges and host of other businesses also got the green light to reopen, with restrictions.

That and the warm weather had Cape Cod lawmakers and business leaders starting to feel better about the prospects for summer and their livelihoods, but there remains the threat that with reopening there could be a viral resurgence like the ones seen in states like Florida, Texas and Arizona.

State budget officials, who are still playing the waiting game with the virus, are crossing their fingers that commerce can rebound and blunt the worst of the revenue losses that some economists have predicted.  While that plays out, the Senate approved a bill this week to borrow $300 million for municipal road and bridge repairs and create a seven-member MBTA board to oversee the transit agency when temporary Fiscal and Management Control Board's authority expires at the end of the month....

Senate leaders pulled the two pieces from larger transportation tax and spending bills approved by the House before the pandemic struck, and now the two Democrat-led branches must agree on a path forward.

Of course, one way to free up some money for state and local budgets would be to redirect spending away from law enforcement.  The "defund the police" movement has been gathering steam, and has found some receptive ears in Massachusetts.

So what would it look like to actually defund the police?  House Speaker Robert DeLeo admitted he wasn't sure....

[Gov.] Baker said Thursday he doesn't support defunding the police, as a slogan or as a public policy, but he has been working on legislation that would put Massachusetts in the company of the vast majority of states that have a licensing and decertification processes for police officers....

Boston Mayor Marty Walsh, meanwhile, declared racism a public health emergency in the city on Friday, and said he would be reallocating $12 million, or about 20 percent of the Boston Police Department's overtime budget, to invest in trauma teams and counseling, youth programs and minority-owned businesses.

State House News Service
Friday, June 12, 2020
Weekly Roundup - Tear Down That Wall


As the Senate prepares to take up bills that are likely to draw multiple amendments, the branch adopted new temporary rules Tuesday that will allow members to debate remotely from outside the chamber to cut down on risk of exposure to COVID-19....

Except for the presiding officer, Ways and Means chairman, minority leader, and others deemed "necessary" by the president, senators are encouraged to stay outside the chamber unless they wish to speak from the floor.  Only essential staff such as court officers and top aides, along with "other staff as identified by the President," will be permitted inside....

The first session under the new guidelines will be Thursday, to consider a $300 million local road and bridge funding bill that would also institute a new MBTA Board of Directors.  Another is planned for Tuesday when the Senate will take up mail-in and early voting legislation (S 2755), which drew more than 20 amendments in the lower branch.

Tarr told the News Service that the rules will stay in effect until July 31, when formal sessions are scheduled to end, and rules would be revisited if formal sessions are extended past that point.

State House News Service
Tuesday, June 9, 2020
Senate Agrees to Temporary Rules Governing Remote Sessions


The Senate approved legislation Thursday that would allocate $300 million to a municipal road and bridge maintenance program and create a new, larger board of directors to oversee the MBTA, teeing up a potentially crunched negotiation process with the House after several months of inaction.

In the first formal session since senators agreed this week to new rules for remote debate and roll call voting, the Senate approved the bill (S 2746) on an unrecorded voice vote with no debate.

The legislation directs $300 million to the Chapter 90 program that reimburses cities and towns for road and bridge repairs and projects.  The vote means both branches are now on record supporting $100 million more than previous years to the annual authorization that cities and towns look for each year in early spring....

Sen. Joseph Boncore, co-chair of the Legislature's Transportation Committee, said during Thursday's session that the bill is "a first step."

"Prior to this pandemic, our transportation system was in desperate need of investment, modernization and reform," he said.  "Now, the global pandemic and the cause for civil rights have only underscored the need to improve transportation."

All four amendments to the legislation, including one from Boston Sen. Nick Collins that would have given the city a designated seat on the board, were withdrawn without any discussion.  The Senate passed the bill following introductory in-person remarks from Boncore and Minority Leader Bruce Tarr.

The two issues in the Senate bill were tackled by the House in March -- about a week before Gov. Charlie Baker declared the COVID-19 state of emergency -- as part of larger bills creating new taxes and fees to fund transportation and authorizing $18 billion in long-term borrowing to fund transit and infrastructure projects....

The Senate bill would empower the new board to hire the T's general manager, a responsibility that currently rests with the transportation secretary.  The House bill did not include that provision.

Asked about that language during an unrelated Thursday press conference, Baker said he believes the governor should maintain a role in appointing the MBTA's top leader.  He also said one of the key funding mechanisms for the T is dedicated revenue from the state's sales tax, which means many Massachusetts residents effectively pay into a system they do not use....

[Sen. Joseph Boncore, co-chair of the Legislature's Transportation Committee] said the Chapter 90 authorization, which won't be settled until the House and Senate agree to a final vehicle, will be the latest the Legislature has resolved that matter in recent memory....

Both branches have now approved language increasing the annual funding to $300 million after years of holding it at $200 million despite pleas from municipalities for more money.  The state's revenue outlook is dire because of the pandemic, with fiscal year 2020 tax revenues lagging projections $2.25 billion and fiscal year 2021 projections also pointing toward revenues declining by billions of dollars from pre-pandemic estimates.

State House News Service
Thursday, June 11, 2020
Senate, House Now In Agreement on $300 Mil Road Program


Both the House and Senate have now taken initial votes boosting the amount of state funding available for local road and bridge repairs, but House leaders are concerned that their counterparts left untouched a package of tax and fee increases that could help cover the extra $100 million per year.

The Senate approved legislation Thursday directing $300 million to the Chapter 90 maintenance program and creating a new MBTA Board of Directors, but top Senate Democrats opted to pull those two narrow topics out of larger bills the House approved three months ago and have not indicated a plan for addressing the broader transportation revenue or borrowing questions.

With the country in the depths of a recession and the state facing a grim economic outlook and wondering how to balance a budget with revenues falling, House Speaker Robert DeLeo and one of his top deputies on Friday questioned how they could afford to increase transportation spending without a related revenue injection.

"We did a bill in March, obviously, and we increased Chapter 90 at that point in time, but we had a way to pay for it," said Rep. Aaron Michlewitz, chair of the House Ways and Means Committee.  "We had mechanisms to pay for it.  We're in the midst of dealing with potentially $6 to $8 billion dollars in a shortfall of revenue for (fiscal year) 2021, so it's a little perplexing to figure out how we're going to be doing that and raising Chapter 90 without using the revenue sources that have been put out there by the House."

"Times have changed," Michlewitz added, and "the Chapter 90 discussion should have changed as well."

In March, the House approved a range of tax and fee increases, including a 5-cent hike to the state's gasoline tax and a 9-cent increase to the diesel tax, that bill authors estimated could bring in more than half a billion dollars per year....

In April, Senate President Karen Spilka said she is "not certain that now is the time to be talking about taxes." ...

Asked if the state could afford the $300 million allocation without new revenues, Spilka said, "I think we're able to do it."

State House News Service
Friday, June 12, 2020
House: Senate Failed to Fund $300 Mil Road Bill
Speaker DeLeo: "We Took the Tough Vote"


House Speaker Robert DeLeo plans to create an "omnibus" piece of legislation before Aug. 1 that's likely to address policing and other equity issues, he said Wednesday as Gov. Charlie Baker made it clear he does not support defunding police budgets.

Speaking to reporters hours before meeting virtually with the Massachusetts Black and Latino Legislative Caucus Wednesday, DeLeo described the potential legislation that he pledged to develop on Friday when he said the House would take "decisive action" against structural racism. The caucus outlined a 10-point plan last week addressing police brutality and structural racism that DeLeo said is an important starting point for discussions.

"There's no pre-arranged agenda so to speak. But I think a lot of the items probably which are part of the 10-point plan will probably be the subject of discussion," he said. "Can we do a better job in terms of the economy, in terms of making sure that you know, minorities are better represented, have more opportunity for economic advancement?" ...

Later Wednesday, Senate President Karen Spilka announced the creation of a Senate advisory group on racial justice chaired by Sen. Sonia Chang-Diaz, a member of the Black and Latino Legislative Caucus, and Sen. William Brownsberger. The group, which is tasked with reviewing existing legislation and recommending further policies to address systemic racism, met for the first time Wednesday, Spilka said.

"I believe we have reached a history-making moment in our Commonwealth and that it should not pass without taking action on policing and racial justice this session," the Ashland Democrat said in a statement in which she described herself as "the driving force" behind the promised action.

After swearing in two new representatives, Carol Doherty and Dan Sena, Gov. Charlie Baker said Wednesday that he has been working with the House and Senate, but said he does not support defunding the police, the phrase attached to a movement to redirect public funds assigned to police to other areas of government to benefit minority communities.

"I am reasonably optimistic that they'll do something at some point that relates to state and local government, but I don't believe in slogans as a general rule, and I certainly don't support the whole concept that we should get out of the business of providing public safety to our communities," he said. "I don't support defunding the police."

State House News Service
Wednesday, June 10, 2020
DeLeo, Spilka Attach Immediacy to Policing, Justice Bill
Baker: "I Don't Support Defunding the Police"


People with coronavirus but no symptoms infecting others is "very rare", a World Health Organization scientist has said.

Although a proportion of people test positive with no symptoms, it is believed these infections are mostly not passed on.

But people can pass on the disease just before symptoms develop.

The evidence comes from countries that carry out "detailed contact tracing", Dr Maria Van Kerkhove said....

Dr Van Kerkhove, the WHO's head of emerging diseases ... said the weight of evidence suggested people who never develop symptoms do not play a significant role in passing on the virus, the WHO said.

And WHO guidance on wearing masks published at the weekend, says. "The available evidence from contact tracing reported by member states suggests that asymptomatically-infected individuals are much less likely to transmit the virus than those who develop symptoms."

BBC
Tuesday, June 9, 2020
Asymptomatic coronavirus transmission 'very rare'


Dr. Anthony Fauci, the U.S. government’s top infectious-disease expert, says the World Health Organization had to backtrack on its statement about asymptomatic spread of the coronavirus being rare because that simply “was not correct.”

WHO’s technical lead on the pandemic has tried to clear up “misunderstandings” about comments she made that were widely understood to suggest that people without COVID-19 symptoms rarely transmit the virus.  Maria Van Kerkhove insisted Tuesday that she was referring only to a few studies, not a complete picture....

Fauci said on ABC’s “Good Morning America”:  “What happened the other day is that a member of the WHO was saying that transmission from an asymptomatic person to an uninfected person was very rare.”

Associated Press
Wednesday, June 10, 2020
Dr. Anthony Fauci: W.H.O. “was not correct”


Looking to grab a drink at your favorite watering hole? Unless it provides seated food service, you'll have to wait until Phase 4 after administration officials delayed the reopening timeline for bars....

It is unclear when the change was made....

A Housing and Economic Development spokesman said the list of businesses and activities is subject to revision based on the latest public health data and the issuance of sector-specific guidelines. As of Monday afternoon, a downloadable copy of the reopening plan on the state's website still lists bars under Phase 3. An FAQ page on the same website categorizes bars under Phase 4.

State House News Service
Monday, June 8, 2020
Bars Quietly Moved To Last Phase of Reopening


For bars without seated food service in Massachusetts, the path towards reopening includes a difficult challenge: figuring out a risk-free framework for operating during the COVID-19 era.

"The big issue with respect to bars is coming up with a model that we believe can actually be done safely," Gov. Charlie Baker said at a Tuesday press conference. "And as we've seen in a number of other places around the country that have moved forward very aggressively, they've started to see a pretty significant rise in new cases, and we're going to work very hard to make sure that doesn't happen here in Massachusetts."

Bars were originally categorized in Phase 3 of the governor's reopening plan, which could begin later this month, but the administration moved those without food licenses into Phase 4 after officials determined that if they do not provide seated food service, they are more similar to nightclubs. Dance clubs and nightclubs cannot resume operations until Phase 4, which the administration has said will require a vaccine or effective treatment for COVID-19.

It is unclear when this change occurred.

State House News Service
Tuesday, June 9, 2020
Food Factor Critical as Bars Look to Future


Charlie Baker — it’s time you apologized to the state of Maskachusetts.

You have totally blown it with your hysterical overreaction to a crisis that was largely of your own creation.

Just admit it — you panicked when you realized all those nursing-home deaths were going to be on you, and in a pathetic attempt to change the subject, you needlessly shut down the entire state.

And now, like the buck-passing bureaucrat that you are, you have no idea how to climb out of this hole that you’ve dug for yourself and 6.7 million innocent citizens.

Enough with these phased-in phase-ins (for everybody except looters and lieutenant governors). Open it up! You’ve won the bet.

Let Maskachusetts be Massachusetts again.

The Boston Herald
Monday, June 8, 2020
Charlie Baker can’t admit he blew it
By Howie Carr


With the Senate getting fully on board this week, both branches are now set up to hold formal sessions with members participating remotely. Now it's time for Democratic legislative leaders to agree on an agenda they can deliver before the scheduled July 31 end of formal sessions, which is just 49 days away.

Lawmakers appear poised to make a run at agreeing on bills dealing with transportation spending, policing and justice reforms, and COVID-19 bills dealing with voting access and relief to the struggling restaurant industry. The police reform bill is just taking shape and the House is waiting to see if the Senate will join it in raising new revenues for transportation or passing a multi-year transportation bond bill....

Agreeing on a fiscal 2021 budget by July 1 is now out the window and reaching an accord by July 31 is shaping up as a significant challenge as well, unless the House and Senate reach some kind of unconventional agreement.

Tackling other big issues, like climate change for instance, is also a question mark since the demands raised by the virus will continue to warrant responses. Most notably, lawmakers face record numbers of unemployed residents whose immediate futures may be riding on the ability to access extended unemployment benefits if they can't return to their old jobs or find new ones....

The House passed two major bills in March, right before Massachusetts entered a state of emergency, proposing more than half a billion dollars of tax and fee increases to support transportation and authorizing $18 billion in borrowing for transportation projects. Senate leaders, however, still have not outlined a plan for dealing with most of those proposals.

The Senate this week approved legislation allocating $300 million to road and bridge repairs and creating a new MBTA Board of Directors -- two of the most time-sensitive issues included in the larger House packages....

In separating out the roadway funding from the House's tax package, the Senate also endorsed spending $100 million more on the program than previous years without also approving new revenue sources....

The budget will not be done on time this year. House budget chief Aaron Michlewitz told the News Service Friday that leaders are looking at a one-month budget to cover the start of the new cycle in July.

"We're probably looking at a one-twelfth at least for the first month of fiscal '21, and then I think we'll try to proceed and see where we can go from there," the North End Democrat said. "It's still a little too early to determine exactly how that's going to proceed. But everything's on the table, as it needs to be, in this unprecedented time. And certainly a budget process being unique as it is, we'll have to have unique solutions to that process as well."

One question hanging over Beacon Hill is whether to extend formal sessions past July 31 to consider bills, including the budget, later in the year, when lawmakers will also be involved in re-election campaigns....

"We started off at four billion, we went to six billion, now we're talking seven billion," [House Speaker Robert] DeLeo said Friday of the projected fiscal 2021 revenue shortfall.

State House News Service
Friday, June 12, 2020
Advances - Week of June 14, 2020


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

Two more reports calling for tax hikes emerged this week, the first on Monday followed by another on Tuesday.  A concerted push is on to hike the income tax back up to 6 percent, among other tax hike schemes, orchestrated by a cabal of "economists."

Excerpts from the first:

Center for State Policy Analysis at Tufts University
Creative Ways for Massachusetts to Provide Economic Aid

A temporary income tax increase

Perhaps the most straightforward way to fund economic aid — or to avoid cuts to vital programs — is to temporarily increase the state’s income tax.  With this approach you can raise substantial funds in a very precise way, without needing to design a new program or setup a new collection system.  However, because the state has a flat income tax, where everybody pays the same rate, many small business owners and middle-class families would be affected by an increase (whereas, with an excess profits tax or voluntary payments to a Covid recovery fund, there would be a cleaner distinction between those who can afford to pay and those who need support).

One way around this is to pair a temporary income tax increase with some kind of family rebate, where a large portion of the money goes right back to workers and middle-class taxpayers in the form of a stimulus check.  Then, the combined impact of the tax increase and rebate would be more progressive, chiefly affecting residents whose incomes have remained elevated despite the recession.

To maximize the impact for FY 2021, Massachusetts could also combine a multiyear income tax increase with a one-time revenue bond.  In that scenario, the state would get a bigger infusion of dollars in FY 2021, while the cost to taxpayers would be spread over a longer time frame.

As surety that the tax increase would be temporary, it could be proposed as a way to stabilize the budget until 2022, when voters will likely have the choice to introduce a millionaires tax.

READ / DOWNLOAD FULL REPORT

Who wrote and produced this report at Tufts University Center for State Policy Analysis?

●  Thomas Downes, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Tufts University
●  Jay Gonzalez, Partner, Public Finance Practice, Hinckley Allen
●  Michael Widmer, Advisory Council Member, Center for State Policy Analysis
●  Michael Goodman, Professor of Public Policy, Executive Director of the Public Policy Center, UMass Dartmouth

Jay Gonzalez was Secretary of Administration and Finance from 2009-13 under Gov. Deval Patrick.  He was also the Democrat Party's 2018 nominee for governor who ran against Charlie Baker.  He was defeated by a margin of two-to-one.

Michael Widmer was the president of Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation since 1992, retired in 2014 from a base salary of $330,000.  Before joining MTF, Widmer worked for Cabot Corporation (1979-1990) as director of public affairs and vice president for human resources.  In the 1970s, Widmer was a special assistant in Gov. Frank Sargent's administration.  Widmer also worked as director of communications and deputy chief secretary for former Gov. Michael Dukakis during his first term.

You might recall CLT's decades-long crusade to expose what used to be regularly termed "the highly respected" Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation until the media finally changed and adopted our more honest description:  The "business-backed" Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation.  MTF has never had the interests of average taxpayers as part of its mission only those of the highest-rolling corporations.  It opposed CLT's Proposition 2½, it opposed CLT's income tax rollback, it opposed rolling back the sales tax hike.  It opposed every tax cut proposal for ordinary working taxpayers.  That's why CLT created:

So-Called Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation:
The Fat-Cats' Trojan Horse

Michael Goodman, an "economic sociologist" at UMass-Dartmouth, is the director of its new Public Policy Center.  Goodman served for the previous five years as Associate Professor and Chair of the UMass-Dartmouth's former Department of Public Policy.  Goodman is Co-Editor of MassBenchmarks, published by the University of Massachusetts in collaboration with the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.

Not by coincidence, MassBenchmarks "editors" released their own report and recommendations the next day:

"Creative Ways for Massachusetts to Provide Economic Aid;
Creative Approaches to Stabilizing the Budget"
Q2 shaping up to be the worst in the recorded history of the Commonwealth,
declares MassBenchmarks Editorial Board
Policymakers urged to take action to avoid counterproductive state and local spending cuts

. . . As policymakers consider ways to balance the state budget, MassBenchmarks said it is as important as ever to heed the Hippocratic command to "first, do no harm."  The group urged legislators to "avoid counterproductive state and local spending cuts" and to consider temporarily raising some state tax rates.

Note the quiet disclaimer in the MassBenchmarks report:

Disclaimer:  MassBenchmarks is published by the University of Massachusetts Donahue Institute in cooperation with the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.  The views expressed are not necessarily those of the University of Massachusetts or the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.

I expect "the views expressed" are primarily if not solely those of economic sociologist Michael Goodman period.

READ MASSBENCHMARKS REPORT

All three of the recent reports recommending tax hikes have a common denominator the imprimatur of UMass-Dartmouth's Michael Goodman along with a growing list of the usual suspects always seeking to tax average taxpayers more to protect, perpetuate, and justify their own generous sinecures.

Add these two latest calls for hiking taxes "temporarily" to the previous one released on May 26 by the "91 economists" or as I prefer to call them (my apology to the Arabian Nights folk tale "Ali Baba and his 40 Thieves") Jonathan Gruber and his 90 Thieves, and a certain coordination emerges.

This incestuous singleness of purpose among the elite "economists" brings to mind the old "Vault" of Boston lore and its derivative, the Massachusetts Competitive Partnership, aka, the "New Vault."  On February 28, 2010 Boston Globe business reporter Steven Syre wrote ("14 CEOs unite to make business heard"):

. . . While [construction magnate John Fish] said the Partnership is not a reprise of the Vault, there are similarities.  Formally known as the Coordinating Committee, the Vault consisted of 25 business leaders from downtown Boston who operated secretively and wielded great influence over public affairs through its policy positions and behind-the-scenes advocacy.  After John Collins was elected Boston mayor in 1960, the Vault persuaded him to hire urban planner Ed Logue, who ushered in the modern building era in the city’s downtown.

So named because its members met in the basement vault of the Boston Safe Deposit & Trust Co., the Vault diminished in power over the years and disbanded in 1997.

“The Vault wanted to rescue the city from its deteriorating future and, despite its undemocratic nature, it did a lot of good for Boston,’’ said Jeffrey Berry, a political science professor at Tufts University. . . .

The Boston Globe's business writer, Jon Chesto later wrote in January of 2016 of the old and new "Vault" in his report "Powerful business group keeps low profile in Boston":

They meet in secret several times a year, in a nondescript conference room 13 stories above the din of Boylston Street.

The cost of a seat at the table?  $100,000 annually.

But the steep membership fee isn’t what makes this club so exclusive.  To join, you also need to run — or have run — one of the biggest companies in the state.

The Massachusetts Competitive Partnership is the state’s most powerful business group, a who’s who of Greater Boston’s corporate elite, with top executives from Fidelity, Bank of America, Vertex, and the Patriots, among others.

The partnership’s hallmark is its privacy.  Most people have no idea it even exists.  The group usually steers clear of the news.  Its 15 members — all but one of them white males — don’t hold the networking breakfasts or rubber-chicken dinners that are the staples of Boston’s other business associations.

It has regularly been dubbed “the New Vault,” a nod to the now-defunct crew of chief executives who plotted Boston’s future a generation ago, a storied group whose cast of characters were so powerful that they were considered a shadow government at one point.

Like the Vault, the Partnership has used its influence to sway major policy decisions. . . .

Mike Widmer, the retired Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation president, said the partnership, like other business groups, faces a broad challenge:  Can it remain relevant with the shifts underway in the local economy and the shrinking number of local headquarters, as exemplified by Dell’s pending acquisition of EMC?

Some say the region has changed too much for any group to hold the same sway over the economy.  The Boston of today is not the same as the Vault’s Boston.  The challenges are more complicated, and the competition for everything from talent to market share is more global than it has ever been.

In my commentary for the CLT Update of April 12 ("Never let a crisis to go waste") I wrote:

Keller asked rhetorically, "Could a resurgent economy amid public gratitude for state and local government’s handling of the crisis clear the way for a Prop 2½ takedown?"

I expect that question will be broadened in the weeks and months ahead: Could a resurgent economy amid public gratitude for state and local government’s handling of the crisis clear the way for all sorts of tax increases?

I won't be surprised if a complacent, historically-challenged, and relieved public buys a promise that any and all tax hikes will be "only temporary, just to get us back on track after this crisis."

Crises by definition are temporary.  Taxes never are.

We taxpayers and taxpayer advocates know all too well, have learned that bitter lesson the hard way:  Any and all tax hikes inevitably mutate into forever. . . .

After CLT's two separate, onerous, and expensive statewide petition signature drives (1997-98 then again in 1999) and a successful state ballot campaign in 2000; after the Legislature then freezing our rollback of that "temporary" income tax hike in 2002, replacing it with its own "economic triggers" — the income tax was finally returned to its historic rate of 5 percent just this yearTHIRTY YEARS after the promise of a "temporary, only 18-months, trust us, we promise!" tax hike.

Understandably, we won't be buying any more "temporary" tax hike deceptions.

As we predicted, the next "TEMPORARY" income tax hike scam has arrived with a vengeance.

This cabal of self-serving economist shills pushing it while living well off taxpayer-funded institutions are shallow, tiresome, and very predictable.


For once I actually have empathy for the dazed and confused Legislature, hobbled by Gov. Baker's draconian lockdown orders, trying to re-invent state government to function with few legislators physically present at the State House.  It's a work in progress slowly gaining some traction.  The Senate finally found its footing toward operating remotely, following the House's lead a month ago.  Meanwhile important must-pass legislation and responsibilities, such as the next state budget due by the end of this month, among other once-important policy considerations, continue to pile up as the July 31 deadline closes in when formal sessions are scheduled to end and more new legislation is being piled on.  More chaotic are the differing versions of proposed legislation among the House and Senate that need to be reconciled before passing with limited or no debate.


Just as the state and nation began to see a little light at the end of the Wuhan Chinese Pandemic and its three-months-and-counting lockdown, as the economy appears to have bottomed out and begun to reopen ever so cautiously, along came the next crippling crisis:  Protests, riots, and stunning anarchy over a single horrific case of indisputable police brutality.  One has to wonder what's coming next, when and if the populace recovers from this latest societal aberration.

The pandemic has lost much of its gravitas; the 24/7 media cycle's attention has been transferred to the hordes burning down cities while protesting "systematic police brutality."  Like throwing a switch "social distancing" directives were abruptly sidetracked, ignored when thousands protested and rioted cheek-to-jowl in cities across the nation and the world.  You could be harassed for going to church, but it's now open season for mobs burning them down.  Go figure.

On Tuesday we were informed:

People with coronavirus but no symptoms infecting others is "very rare", a World Health Organization scientist has said.

Although a proportion of people test positive with no symptoms, it is believed these infections are mostly not passed on.

The very next day that good news was quickly yanked back:

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the U.S. government’s top infectious-disease expert, says the World Health Organization had to backtrack on its statement about asymptomatic spread of the coronavirus being rare because that simply “was not correct.”

"Not correct," or it shattered the narrative?  Make of that immediate reversal what you will.


The mob demands "defunding" the police, if not outright abolishing all law enforcement.  Cowardly politicians assume the fetal position and run for the path of least resistance, bowing obsequiously to the mob.

I came across a moving alternative perspective from a member of the besieged "thin blue line," Major Travis Yates of the Tulsa, Oklahoma police department.  He wrote in "America, We Are Leaving":

. . . I used to talk cops out of leaving the job. Now I’m encouraging them.

It’s over America. You finally did it.

You aren’t going to have to abolish the police, we won’t be around for it.

And while I know, most Americans still appreciate us, it’s not enough and the risk is too high. Those of you that say thank you or buy the occasional meal, it means everything.

But those of you that were silent while the slow turning of the knives in our backs happened by thugs and cowards, this is on you.

Your belief in hashtags and memes over the truth has and will create an environment in your community that you will never expect.

If you think Minneapolis will turn into Mogadishu and that is far from you, it’s coming.

And when it does, remember what your complicity did.

This is the America that you made.

Let's hope this never comes, that cooler heads prevail among our elected representatives.  If the chaos does arrive on our doorsteps and calling 9-1-1 becomes futile, then we'd all better be prepared to defend ourselves and our families.


The State House News Service reported on Monday:

Bars were originally slated to open in Phase 3 of Gov. Charlie Baker's restart plan but were moved to Phase 4 after administration officials determined that if they do not provide seated food service, they are more akin to nightclubs.  Dance clubs and nightclubs aren't allowed to resume operations until Phase 4, which the administration has said will require a vaccine or effective treatment for COVID-19.

It is unclear when the change was made.

In last week's CLT Update ("Chaos, Confusion, Autocracy and Hypocrisy Reign") in my commentary I wrote:

Baker yesterday decreed that his subjects of Massachusetts may now enter "Phase 2" starting tomorrow — but added a new royal caveat:  His Royal Majesty has abruptly broken his "Phase 2 — Cautious" expectation into two new parts:  "Phase 2A" and "Phase 2B" ("More Cautious" and "Less Cautious" I guess?) further extending his absolute power and autocratic rule.  His second grant of restricted additional freedom to his subjects, apparently "Phase 2B,"  is scheduled to start at "a point determined based on continued improvements in public health metrics."

Why are each of his triggers so amorphous, so vague and indefinable, so secretive and decreed apparently on a whim at a time of his choosing?  Will His Royal Excellency order a Phase 2C next, followed by Phase 2D . . . ?  Will we ever reach Phase 3 ("Vigilant — June 29 at the earliest")?  Why do I even need to ask such a once-absurd question?

This week we have more moving parts and increasing executive-induced confusion, arbitrarily shifting businesses from one Phase to a later Phase without warning by another royal whim.  Howie Carr zeroed in on the absurdities and their genesis in his Monday column, "Charlie Baker can’t admit he blew it":

Charlie Baker — it’s time you apologized to the state of Maskachusetts.

You have totally blown it with your hysterical overreaction to a crisis that was largely of your own creation.

Just admit it — you panicked when you realized all those nursing-home deaths were going to be on you, and in a pathetic attempt to change the subject, you needlessly shut down the entire state.

And now, like the buck-passing bureaucrat that you are, you have no idea how to climb out of this hole that you’ve dug for yourself and 6.7 million innocent citizens.

Enough with these phased-in phase-ins (for everybody except looters and lieutenant governors).  Open it up!  You’ve won the bet.

Let Maskachusetts be Massachusetts again. . . .

Chip Ford
Executive Director


Full News Reports Follow
(excerpted above)

State House News Service
Monday, June 8, 2020
Tufts Center: Pandemic Budgeting Calls for Creativity
Tax Hike, Rent Loans Among Ideas
By Colin A. Young


The COVID-19 pandemic is a unique event that is sure to rock the state budget and overall financial picture for years to come, and it might take some creativity and outside-the-box thinking from policymakers for Massachusetts to address both the need for individual and business aid and the state's need for a stable budget.

That's the conclusion of a new report that the Center for State Policy Analysis at Tufts University published Monday morning to assess how Massachusetts, which has to maintain a balanced budget, might be able to assist residents and businesses struggling financially as a result of the pandemic while also addressing a widening state budget deficit.

After talking the situation over with economists and state budget experts, the center suggested a suite of possible policy responses, including setting up a commission to roll back regulations on the hardest-hit industries, creating a surtax on healthy businesses to help at-risk ones, and increasing the state's income tax rate temporarily.

"There may be no such thing as a free lunch, but there is a range of more and less affordable ways to nourish residents during this crisis. And given the dire condition of the state budget, Massachusetts has to be deliberate -- and creative -- about its approach," the report said.

Through 11 months of the fiscal year, Massachusetts tax collections are running $2.253 billion short of expectations for the year and the plan for addressing the shortfall -- whether it's covered with the help of federal bailouts or by tapping into the state' $3.5 billion rainy day fund -- remains unclear at this point.

And instead of haggling over the differences between the House and Senate budgets, which typically keeps the Legislature busy through June, legislative budget writers are still working to concoct a budget plan for fiscal year 2021, which starts July 1. Many people expect the state will start the next fiscal year with a series of one-month budgets.

"Massachusetts has noted potential fiscal 2021 pandemic-related tax revenue gaps ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion off the January consensus, based on legislative and outside groups' estimates. Budget agreement for fiscal 2021, which begins on July 1, is likely to be delayed into the new fiscal year, although the Commonwealth routinely passes interim budgets to authorize continued spending until budget consensus is finalized," Fitch Ratings wrote last week in a report that gave $1.4 billion in state bonds a AA+ rating and stable outlook. "Fitch expects the Commonwealth will ultimately reach consensus on a plan that matches spending to available revenues while maintaining sufficient flexibility to absorb further weakness."

Evan Horowitz, executive director of cSPA, said lawmakers would have to dive more deeply into the ideas presented in center's report before adopting them, "but they represent some of the many creative options available to lawmakers as they look to address the budget challenges brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic."

To help stimulate the economy, Massachusetts could setup a "bipartisan commission focused on deregulation for genuinely small businesses -- perhaps those with fewer than 50 employees," like restaurants and small retailers who were forced to close and have seen customer foot traffic evaporate. The report suggests giving restaurants more latitude to establish outdoor dining areas and allowing retailers to go fully cashless.

Borrowing from an idea that has gained some traction in California, the center suggests that lawmakers study the idea of offering loans to renters and long-term tax breaks for landlords. The proposal would essentially turn the state into a third-party lender.

"Any renter at risk of missing a payment could get state-backed rent reduction and eviction protection, in exchange for a commitment to repay missed rents (to the state) over 10 years," the report's authors wrote. "Meanwhile, landlords who offer appropriate rent relief would get offsetting tax credits from the state, fully transferable and spread over that same 10-year period."

Though it might be less-palatable to lawmakers, especially during an election year, the center also suggests that Massachusetts alter its tax code in order to impose a surtax on companies that are earning greater profits during the COVID-19 pandemic and to increase the state's 5 percent income tax rate.

"Perhaps the most straightforward way to fund economic aid -- or to avoid cuts to vital programs -- is to temporarily increase the state's income tax," the report said. "With this approach you can raise substantial funds in a very precise way, without needing to design a new program or setup a new collection system."

How the state uses the roughly $2.7 billion in coronavirus relief funds that the federal government has dedicated to the Bay State will also be key to state's budget management efforts over the next several weeks and months.

Lawmakers in North Carolina passed a law that formed a temporary office dedicated to helping the state manage federal COVID-19 relief resources and in neighboring Rhode Island, Gov. Gina Raimondo is setting up a Pandemic Recovery Office modeled after the offices many states established to oversee funding that came about as a result of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009.

"The state has received more than a billion [dollars] in federal aid that must be expended by the end of the calendar year, [and] ensuring we spend these funds transparently and within time constraints is critical to the state's response efforts," a Raimondo administration spokeswoman told WPRI last week.

Massachusetts had its own Recovery and Reinvestment Office in the wake of the global financial crisis, but it is unclear whether the Baker administration plans to stand up another similar office to oversee the economic recovery from the pandemic.

Asked Monday whether the administration was working on establishing such an office, a spokesman from the Executive Office of Administration and Finance noted that the Baker administration has announced plans to distribute $502 million in Coronavirus Relief Fund money to municipalities and recently hired Heath Fahle as special director for federal funds. The spokesman said Fahle's job is specifically focused on COVID-19 relief funding.

The administration did not directly answer whether a pandemic recovery-type office is in the works.

As the Legislature considers all of its options, the Center for State Policy Analysis report also suggests that it should think about intentionally doing something it is often criticized for: kick the can down the road.

"That's usually a metaphor for irresponsible governance, and cavalier can-kicking can be a way of foisting problems onto future politicians and future taxpayers," the center concluded. "But these are unusual times, and there are undoubtedly issues we will be better positioned to address tomorrow."


State House News Service
Tuesday, June 9, 2020
Economists: Mass. In Midst of Worst Economic Quarter on Record
By Colin A. Young


The second quarter of 2020 is on track to be the worst for the state economy in the recorded history of Massachusetts and gross state product "may decline on the order of 50 percent," economists at MassBenchmarks said Tuesday.

The COVID-19 pandemic and government-mandated businesses closures imposed to try to slow the spread of the coronavirus have blown a hole in the state's economy. In weeks, Massachusetts went from a sub-3 unemployment rate to a record high of 15.1 percent, and tax collections went from $235 million ahead of benchmarks to now standing $2.253 billion behind expectations.

"State economic performance in the second quarter of 2020 is shaping up to be the worst in the recorded history of the Commonwealth," MassBenchmarks, which is published by the UMass Donahue Institute with the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, wrote in a summary of its May 28 editorial board meeting. "While board members agreed that the economic damage from COVID-19 is probably greatest in the current quarter, they were similarly unanimous that projecting the path of the economy is highly uncertain and more about future epidemiological conditions than economic fundamentals."

How quickly and to what extent Massachusetts recovers from its worst-ever quarter will depend upon "an effective public health response," and strict adherence to social distancing and the use of face coverings, the board determined.

As policymakers consider ways to balance the state budget, MassBenchmarks said it is as important as ever to heed the Hippocratic command to "first, do no harm." The group urged legislators to "avoid counterproductive state and local spending cuts" and to consider temporarily raising some state tax rates.

"The coming months will be very difficult but, if our households, businesses, and institutions can be protected from the pandemic's spread and sufficiently buffered from its economic aftermath, the Commonwealth will be much better positioned to recover more quickly whenever both economic and public health conditions return to some semblance of normalcy," MassBenchmarks wrote. "While that may begin as soon as later this year, a full recovery from recent economic and fiscal shocks will take much longer."


State House News Service
Friday, June 12, 2020
Weekly Roundup - Tear Down That Wall
Recap and analysis of the week in state government
By Matt Murphy


Law enforcement's infamous "blue wall" started showing its cracks this week as momentum picked up on Beacon Hill for a major push at policing reform, and the odds increased that by mid-summer something that wasn't on anyone's radar three months ago will get done before an annual budget.

Wall Street closed this week in a panic over a spike in COVID-19 cases across the south where residents attempted to return to normal daily routines long before the reopening started in Massachusetts.

But around here, so far so good. It's only been five days since Gov. Charlie Baker plunged the state into Phase 2 of his business restart strategy, but the public health data continues to show that the state is making progress in its fight against the spread of COVID-19.

Restaurants owners on Monday wiped the pollen off their outdoor tables as they reopened for dining al fresco, and retailers, hotels, warehouses, driving ranges and host of other businesses also got the green light to reopen, with restrictions.

That and the warm weather had Cape Cod lawmakers and business leaders starting to feel better about the prospects for summer and their livelihoods, but there remains the threat that with reopening there could be a viral resurgence like the ones seen in states like Florida, Texas and Arizona.

State budget officials, who are still playing the waiting game with the virus, are crossing their fingers that commerce can rebound and blunt the worst of the revenue losses that some economists have predicted. While that plays out, the Senate approved a bill this week to borrow $300 million for municipal road and bridge repairs and create a seven-member MBTA board to oversee the transit agency when temporary Fiscal and Management Control Board's authority expires at the end of the month.

Senate leaders pulled the two pieces from larger transportation tax and spending bills approved by the House before the pandemic struck, and now the two Democrat-led branches must agree on a path forward.

Of course, one way to free up some money for state and local budgets would be to redirect spending away from law enforcement. The "defund the police" movement has been gathering steam, and has found some receptive ears in Massachusetts.

So what would it look like to actually defund the police? House Speaker Robert DeLeo admitted he wasn't sure.

"I've heard the word defunding on a number of occasions. And to be very honest with you, that word defunding means a lot of different things to a lot of different people," the speaker said. "I can tell you that I've been having trouble getting my hands around it in terms of what exactly we are discussing."

What DeLeo is discussing is banning chokeholds and the idea that police should be required to intervene if they observe another member of law enforcement using excessive force. The Democratic House leader met mid-week with members of the Black and Latino Legislative Caucus, and from that dialogue announced the parameters of policing reform legislation that he and the caucus wants to get done by July 31.

A joint statement from DeLeo and Black and Latino Legislative Caucus Chair Rep. Carlos Gonzalez also signaled agreement on the creation of a new independent Office of Police Standards and Professional Conduct that would develop minimum statewide polices and procedures for law enforcement, including the use of force, and provide oversight of police certification and enhanced training.

Some police departments, like Boston and Arlington, aren't waiting around for the Legislature to tell them what they must do. Arlington Police Chief Julie Flaherty, for instance, updated her department's policy to require officers to intervene when they see excessive force being used.

The House also is not pursuing police reform in a vacuum. Senate President Karen Spilka announced the formation of a Senate advisory group, and Senate Majority Leader Cynthia Creem filed a bill that would also do things like ban no-knock warrants.

And then there's the governor. Baker said Thursday he doesn't support defunding the police, as a slogan or as a public policy, but he has been working on legislation that would put Massachusetts in the company of the vast majority of states that have a licensing and decertification processes for police officers.

Baker has reportedly been working for some time now with the Massachusetts Black and Latino Legislative Caucus on a Peace Officer Standards and Training, or POST, system, and he could be ready to roll out the details as soon as next week.

Boston Mayor Marty Walsh, meanwhile, declared racism a public health emergency in the city on Friday, and said he would be reallocating $12 million, or about 20 percent of the Boston Police Department's overtime budget, to invest in trauma teams and counseling, youth programs and minority-owned businesses.

U.S. Sen. Edward Markey and U.S. Rep. Joseph Kennedy III don't control the state or municipal budgets, but they both went on record in favor of reallocating money traditionally spent on policing to other social services, and they both this week took the College Democrats of Massachusetts pledge to reject police union money in the their campaigns.

The moment of agreement came after a particularly icy week between the two men, who debated on Monday night in Providence and continued to snipe back-and-forth throughout the week on social media.

Markey, in the debate on Monday hosted by WPRI 12 for southeastern Massachusetts, accused Kennedy of being a "progressive in name only," and questioned his decision after Harvard Law School to go work for Republican District Attorney Michael O'Keefe, who has been less than a champion for criminal justice reform.

Kennedy replied by bringing up Markey's vote for the controversial 1994 crime bill that included sentencing reforms that have been shown to have disproportionately harmed communities of color. The fight between the two Democrats over who can accurately call themselves a progressive is unlikely to be resolved to either's satisfaction anytime soon.

In the meantime, Kennedy rolled out a new television ad, backed by another $1.2 million, focused on the George Floyd protests and what he sees as the need for new leadership to fight an old problem - institutional racism.

Another old problem is figuring out how to connect western Massachusetts and its workforce to the economic hub of Massachusetts in Boston.

MassDOT updated its estimates for potential ridership on an East-West rail service to between 278,300 and 358,500 passengers annually, a more than four-fold bump from earlier agency projections that were roundly criticized by rail backers.

But even if there is demand for a train from the west, there's still the question of how to cover its $2 billion to $25 billion cost. Springfield Rep. Richard Neal, who chairs the U.S. House Committee on Ways and Means, said this week he intends to lay out a plan in the "coming days" for how the federal government could help finance the project.

Connecting workers to jobs no matter where they live has been an economic development talking point for years. And in crisis, sometimes comes opportunity. One example of that is telehealth, which is probably here to stay, as well as work from home.

Community colleges are also sensing that this could be a moment to shine.

Roxbury Community College President Valerie Roberson said she foresees a future need to train hospitality workers so that they are equipped for the new health and safety precautions facing their industries and prepared for future surges of COVID-19.

"We'll be working with various industries to help adapt to this new world," she said.

STORY OF THE WEEK: Time's up on status-quo policing.


State House News Service
Tuesday, June 9, 2020
Senate Agrees to Temporary Rules Governing Remote Sessions
By Sam Doran


As the Senate prepares to take up bills that are likely to draw multiple amendments, the branch adopted new temporary rules Tuesday that will allow members to debate remotely from outside the chamber to cut down on risk of exposure to COVID-19.

Similar to rules adopted by the House this spring, senators will have the ability to speak by phone "or other electronic means." Minority Leader Bruce Tarr during Tuesday's session raised the possibility of using video conferencing technology.

Senators will still be permitted to enter the chamber to speak, coordinating in advance with a staff member who will keep a list of in-person and virtual speakers. Unlike the House pandemic rules, there is no hard deadline to register to debate.

"It is important also to remember that the price of allowing this type of remote participation is time," Tarr said. The rules (S 2756) call for sessions to adhere to a "pace that provides adequate timing and intervals to allow for the effective spontaneous responses by the members" while dealing with technological delays or lag times.

Except for the presiding officer, Ways and Means chairman, minority leader, and others deemed "necessary" by the president, senators are encouraged to stay outside the chamber unless they wish to speak from the floor. Only essential staff such as court officers and top aides, along with "other staff as identified by the President," will be permitted inside.

The rules require everyone in the chamber and surrounding rooms to socially distance and cover their noses and mouths with a mask.

The first session under the new guidelines will be Thursday, to consider a $300 million local road and bridge funding bill that would also institute a new MBTA Board of Directors. Another is planned for Tuesday when the Senate will take up mail-in and early voting legislation (S 2755), which drew more than 20 amendments in the lower branch.

Tarr told the News Service that the rules will stay in effect until July 31, when formal sessions are scheduled to end, and rules would be revisited if formal sessions are extended past that point.


State House News Service
Thursday, June 11, 2020
Senate, House Now In Agreement on $300 Mil Road Program
Branches Take Differing Approaches to New T Board
By Chris Lisinski


The Senate approved legislation Thursday that would allocate $300 million to a municipal road and bridge maintenance program and create a new, larger board of directors to oversee the MBTA, teeing up a potentially crunched negotiation process with the House after several months of inaction.

In the first formal session since senators agreed this week to new rules for remote debate and roll call voting, the Senate approved the bill (S 2746) on an unrecorded voice vote with no debate.

The legislation directs $300 million to the Chapter 90 program that reimburses cities and towns for road and bridge repairs and projects. The vote means both branches are now on record supporting $100 million more than previous years to the annual authorization that cities and towns look for each year in early spring.

The bill also creates a brand-new MBTA Board of Directors with seven members, up from the current five, including the secretary of transportation and someone chosen by the MBTA Advisory Board group that represents cities and towns within the T's service area.

Sen. Joseph Boncore, co-chair of the Legislature's Transportation Committee, said during Thursday's session that the bill is "a first step."

"Prior to this pandemic, our transportation system was in desperate need of investment, modernization and reform," he said. "Now, the global pandemic and the cause for civil rights have only underscored the need to improve transportation."

All four amendments to the legislation, including one from Boston Sen. Nick Collins that would have given the city a designated seat on the board, were withdrawn without any discussion. The Senate passed the bill following introductory in-person remarks from Boncore and Minority Leader Bruce Tarr.

The two issues in the Senate bill were tackled by the House in March -- about a week before Gov. Charlie Baker declared the COVID-19 state of emergency -- as part of larger bills creating new taxes and fees to fund transportation and authorizing $18 billion in long-term borrowing to fund transit and infrastructure projects.

Both bills sat pending in the Senate for more than three months as attention shifted to pandemic response, and it remains unclear whether or how the Senate plans to address the remainder of their contents.

Legislative leaders have also not outlined plans to settle their policy and procedural differences on road funding and the T board, but they have a narrow window in which to do so if they want to outline the future of MBTA oversight before the existing Fiscal and Management Control Board expires on June 30.

If no successor or extension is in place, control would revert to the Department of Transportation Board of Directors, a step that Transportation Committee Co-chair Sen. Joseph Boncore said this week would have "huge" impacts.

Baker and the Legislature created the FMCB in the wake of the disastrous winter of 2015 that brought repeated shutdowns on the T, empowering it to reform what many critics deemed a bloated, inefficient and indebted agency. He then extended the board another two years in 2018, but it will expire at the end of the month and another extension is not possible without legislation.

In his fiscal 2021 budget proposal, Baker also proposed creating a new seven-member board including the transportation secretary and an MBTA Advisory Board appointee, though his board would oversee both the MBTA and the Department of Transportation.

The Senate bill would empower the new board to hire the T's general manager, a responsibility that currently rests with the transportation secretary. The House bill did not include that provision.

Asked about that language during an unrelated Thursday press conference, Baker said he believes the governor should maintain a role in appointing the MBTA's top leader. He also said one of the key funding mechanisms for the T is dedicated revenue from the state's sales tax, which means many Massachusetts residents effectively pay into a system they do not use.

"The executive branch, the administration, me, the lieutenant governor, the secretary of transportation -- (we) own a big piece of the accountability for what happens there, and that translates into a far more transparent agency that I believe is a lot more accountable to the public," Baker said. "Going forward, the more accountable that the T can be and the operation and leadership of the T can be to the executive branch and, by definition, to the governor and lieutenant governor, the better off we're all going to be."

Boncore said the Chapter 90 authorization, which won't be settled until the House and Senate agree to a final vehicle, will be the latest the Legislature has resolved that matter in recent memory.

Cities and towns look to Beacon Hill every year for passage of the bill as early as possible, often arguing that although it authorizes funding reimbursement for the next fiscal year, they need the certainty early to help secure projects in the current construction season.

This year's season has been unusual, with some construction projects shut down to limit the spread of COVID-19 and traffic at a fraction of typical levels in April and May.

Both branches have now approved language increasing the annual funding to $300 million after years of holding it at $200 million despite pleas from municipalities for more money. The state's revenue outlook is dire because of the pandemic, with fiscal year 2020 tax revenues lagging projections $2.25 billion and fiscal year 2021 projections also pointing toward revenues declining by billions of dollars from pre-pandemic estimates.

Sam Doran and Colin A. Young contributed reporting.


State House News Service
Friday, June 12, 2020
House: Senate Failed to Fund $300 Mil Road Bill
Speaker DeLeo: "We Took the Tough Vote"
By Chris Lisinski, Katie Lannan and Sam Doran


Both the House and Senate have now taken initial votes boosting the amount of state funding available for local road and bridge repairs, but House leaders are concerned that their counterparts left untouched a package of tax and fee increases that could help cover the extra $100 million per year.

The Senate approved legislation Thursday directing $300 million to the Chapter 90 maintenance program and creating a new MBTA Board of Directors, but top Senate Democrats opted to pull those two narrow topics out of larger bills the House approved three months ago and have not indicated a plan for addressing the broader transportation revenue or borrowing questions.

With the country in the depths of a recession and the state facing a grim economic outlook and wondering how to balance a budget with revenues falling, House Speaker Robert DeLeo and one of his top deputies on Friday questioned how they could afford to increase transportation spending without a related revenue injection.

"We did a bill in March, obviously, and we increased Chapter 90 at that point in time, but we had a way to pay for it," said Rep. Aaron Michlewitz, chair of the House Ways and Means Committee. "We had mechanisms to pay for it. We're in the midst of dealing with potentially $6 to $8 billion dollars in a shortfall of revenue for (fiscal year) 2021, so it's a little perplexing to figure out how we're going to be doing that and raising Chapter 90 without using the revenue sources that have been put out there by the House."

"Times have changed," Michlewitz added, and "the Chapter 90 discussion should have changed as well."

In March, the House approved a range of tax and fee increases, including a 5-cent hike to the state's gasoline tax and a 9-cent increase to the diesel tax, that bill authors estimated could bring in more than half a billion dollars per year.

One day later, they passed legislation authorizing $18 billion in longer-term borrowing for transportation projects, including language that would increase annual funding for the Chapter 90 program -- a step municipalities have long implored Beacon Hill to take -- from $200 million to $300 million.

The gas tax increase would be the first in Massachusetts since lawmakers approved a controversial law in 2013 raising the tax 3 cents per gallon. At the time, the new law included language indexing the gas tax to inflation, but voters repealed that section in a referendum the following year.

"I don't think we can take a year off in terms of paying attention to this issue," DeLeo said Friday. "Most importantly, as part of the House bill, we had a mechanism, we took the tough vote, in terms of making sure there was financing to back up exactly what we did."

The House's votes came about one week before Gov. Charlie Baker declared a state of emergency and Beacon Hill's attention shifted almost entirely to pandemic response. In the months since then, Senate officials have not revealed their plans for the proposed revenue or for the remainder of the $18 billion bond bill.

In April, Senate President Karen Spilka said she is "not certain that now is the time to be talking about taxes."

She touted the Senate's new bill during a Friday interview as a key step on two time-sensitive elements, given that cities and towns look for approval of Chapter 90 funding to help plan construction seasons and that the existing Fiscal and Management Control board expires on June 30.

"We recognize that as cities and towns are beginning to start moving forward, Chapter 90, helping them fix their roads and bridges is always an important rite of spring and summer, and we need to get that to our communities," Spilka said.

Asked if the state could afford the $300 million allocation without new revenues, Spilka said, "I think we're able to do it."

"I think particularly with the weather being so beautiful right now, now is the time that cities and towns need the money to do the road work, the bridge work, and hopefully that increase, the $100 million, will help all of our cities and towns," she said.

It is also unclear how the two branches will reconcile their divergent approaches to the future of MBTA governance.

The House's tax bill (H 4508) would have added two seats to the five-member FMCB, one for the city of Boston and the other for a different municipal official from the T's coverage area, while extending the board three to five more years.

The Senate version (S 2746) creates a new, seven-seat MBTA Board of Directors, which would include the transportation secretary as an ex officio member and allow the MBTA Advisory Board group representing cities and towns to appoint a member.

DeLeo flagged those differences on Friday as another concern that will need resolution, doubling down on his support for the House's proposal.

If the branches and Baker do not reach an agreement, oversight of the MBTA will revert to the Department of Transportation Board of Directors when the FMCB dissolves.

Spilka said she hopes the Legislature can reach an agreement on MBTA governance by that June 30 deadline, and added that the Senate included the provision in its Chapter 90 bill "because we realize it needs to get done by the end of the month."

The MBTA has been racked by budget difficulties and service problems in recent years and the transit authority faces an uncertain future due to plummeting ridership during the pandemic and uncertainty about when and how many riders will return to the system.


State House News Service
Wednesday, June 10, 2020
DeLeo, Spilka Attach Immediacy to Policing, Justice Bill
Baker: "I Don't Support Defunding the Police"
Chris Van Buskirk and Michael P. Norton


House Speaker Robert DeLeo plans to create an "omnibus" piece of legislation before Aug. 1 that's likely to address policing and other equity issues, he said Wednesday as Gov. Charlie Baker made it clear he does not support defunding police budgets.

Speaking to reporters hours before meeting virtually with the Massachusetts Black and Latino Legislative Caucus Wednesday, DeLeo described the potential legislation that he pledged to develop on Friday when he said the House would take "decisive action" against structural racism. The caucus outlined a 10-point plan last week addressing police brutality and structural racism that DeLeo said is an important starting point for discussions.

"There's no pre-arranged agenda so to speak. But I think a lot of the items probably which are part of the 10-point plan will probably be the subject of discussion," he said. "Can we do a better job in terms of the economy, in terms of making sure that you know, minorities are better represented, have more opportunity for economic advancement?"

With formal sessions scheduled to end for 2020 on July 31, DeLeo said he hoped to work with the Senate to get a bill to Gov. Baker's desk by that time.

Later Wednesday, Senate President Karen Spilka announced the creation of a Senate advisory group on racial justice chaired by Sen. Sonia Chang-Diaz, a member of the Black and Latino Legislative Caucus, and Sen. William Brownsberger. The group, which is tasked with reviewing existing legislation and recommending further policies to address systemic racism, met for the first time Wednesday, Spilka said.

"I believe we have reached a history-making moment in our Commonwealth and that it should not pass without taking action on policing and racial justice this session," the Ashland Democrat said in a statement in which she described herself as "the driving force" behind the promised action.

After swearing in two new representatives, Carol Doherty and Dan Sena, Gov. Charlie Baker said Wednesday that he has been working with the House and Senate, but said he does not support defunding the police, the phrase attached to a movement to redirect public funds assigned to police to other areas of government to benefit minority communities.

"I am reasonably optimistic that they'll do something at some point that relates to state and local government, but I don't believe in slogans as a general rule, and I certainly don't support the whole concept that we should get out of the business of providing public safety to our communities," he said. "I don't support defunding the police."

After talking with members of the Black and Latino Legislative Caucus last Thursday, Baker said Friday that he expects to provide additional details this week on specific proposals to "dramatically improve transparency in law enforcement."

Baker also filed legislation back in January to reform the State Police by allowing for the superintendent to be hired from outside the department, to make it easier to suspend troopers without pay after they've been charged with misconduct, and to create a cadet program that will improve recruitment of candidates from diverse backgrounds. That bill (S 2469) had a hearing in February, and is currently before the full Senate after the deadline for the Committee on Public Safety to make a recommendation passed without action on May 1, according to the bill history on the Legislature's website.

As for reallocating money budgeted for the State Police, DeLeo said it was "premature" to talk about any type of funding as budget talks are still in early stages. House leaders have three weeks left before the deadline to offer a delayed fiscal 2021 spending plan.

"Although we've been dealing with preparing a budget, I think we still have a lot more serious to talk about. I've heard the word defunding on a number of occasions. And to be very honest with you, that word defunding means a lot of different things to a lot of different people," he said. "I can tell you that I've been having trouble getting my hands around it in terms of what exactly we are discussing."

House leaders this week announced support for a bill that would create a commission to study racial disparities in maternal mortality. The Committee on Health Care Financing advanced the bill Monday, sending it to the House Ways and Means Committee.

The killing of George Floyd, a Black man, while in the custody of a white Minneapolis police officer on May 25, has sparked nationwide protests calling on local, state, and federal officials to address structural racism and police brutality. In Massachusetts, protests remain largely peaceful and often number in the hundreds -- several have drawn thousands to the streets of Boston.

Police reform must be part of the answer to protests over racism and police misconduct, Boston Mayor Martin Walsh said Wednesday, but solutions are also needed in other major public policy priority areas.

"My focus is on creating a conversation that can be sustained and lead to permanent solutions and systemic change," Walsh said. "In the past what we've seen is conversations and when the demonstrations stop, the conversation stops. And that's not what we're going to do here in the city of Boston."

During a press conference outside City Hall, Walsh said solutions must go beyond the police and extend to areas like housing, education, economic opportunity and equity in public health.

"Equity is the message of this movement and equity is our top priority," Walsh said. "We want people with heightened risk of any kind, whether due to long-term inequalities, or recent events, to be able to get tested, stay healthy and keep working and moving forward."

Reporters asked Walsh about the possibility of reallocating funds dedicated to city police.

"I can't get specific right now, because we're in the process right now of reworking the budget," the mayor said, noting he planned to meet later Wednesday with city police and budget officials. He said that during his tenure he has made progress on police training, diversity and de-escalation tactics.

"The police department has to evolve and address these issues," Walsh said. "And I think that, in light of Mr. Floyd's murder, I think it really puts a real urgency to have even a deeper look at our practices and how we handle ourselves, on what reviews look like."

Complaints against police officers since 2013 are down 41 percent, Walsh said, while complaints about excessive use of force in the city are down 50 percent and arrests are down 10 percent over the last seven years.

"That's all good numbers, but that doesn't mean that we're perfect by any stretch of the imagination," he said.

Walsh plans to submit a revised city budget next week, reflecting feedback from the City Council, and said the city is looking at a revenue reduction of $65 million to $80 million associated with COVID-19 impacts.

"We're not laying off in the city. I can say that right now," Walsh said. He later added, "I won't be laying any public safety off. I hope I don't have to."


BBC
Tuesday, June 9, 2020
Asymptomatic coronavirus transmission 'very rare'


People with coronavirus but no symptoms infecting others is "very rare", a World Health Organization scientist has said.

Although a proportion of people test positive with no symptoms, it is believed these infections are mostly not passed on.

But people can pass on the disease just before symptoms develop.

The evidence comes from countries that carry out "detailed contact tracing", Dr Maria Van Kerkhove said.

Dr Van Kerkhove, the WHO's head of emerging diseases, made the distinction between three categories:

People who never develop symptoms (asymptomatic)

People who test positive when they don't yet have symptoms - but go on to develop them (pre-symptomatic)

People with very mild or atypical symptoms who do not realise they have coronavirus

Some reports distinguish between these categories while others do not and she said this, along with the relatively small groups of people studied, make it difficult to draw firm conclusions.

But Dr Van Kerkhove said the weight of evidence suggested people who never develop symptoms do not play a significant role in passing on the virus, the WHO said.

And WHO guidance on wearing masks published at the weekend, says. "The available evidence from contact tracing reported by member states suggests that asymptomatically-infected individuals are much less likely to transmit the virus than those who develop symptoms."

In England, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has been regularly testing a sample of the population.

It has found that, of those who have so far tested positive for Covid-19, only 29% reported "any evidence of symptoms" at the time they were tested, or at the previous or following visits.

People with symptoms 'highest risk'

A key question has been whether asymptomatic people pass on their infections on to others.

Contact-tracing studies from a number of countries suggest that while "true" asymptomatic cases "rarely transmit", infection transmission can occur before or on the day symptoms first appear when they may be very mild, according to Prof Babak Javid, an infectious diseases consultant at the University of Cambridge.

People can have detectable amounts of the virus in their system roughly three days before developing symptoms and appear to be capable to passing it on during this period, especially the day before or on the day symptoms begin.

And since people who haven't yet developed symptoms are unlikely to know that they are contagious, pre-symptomatic transmission has "important implications" for track, trace and isolation measures, Prof Javid said.

This emphasises the importance of lockdown measures in "massively reduc[ing] the numbers of people infected," said Prof Liam Smeeth, an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.

While people without symptoms do seem to be capable of infecting others, current evidence still suggests people with symptoms are the highest risk.

A positive result alone doesn't tell you how much of the virus someone has in their system.

And this - what is known as the viral load - along with whether an infected person is sneezing and coughing and what kind of contact they are having with other people, influences how likely they are to pass the illness on.

Dr Van Kerkhove pointed out since coronavirus "passes through infectious droplets", it is when people are coughing or sneezing that they are most able to transmit the disease.


Associated Press
Wednesday, June 10, 2020
Dr. Anthony Fauci:  W.H.O. “was not correct”


WASHINGTON — Dr. Anthony Fauci, the U.S. government’s top infectious-disease expert, says the World Health Organization had to backtrack on its statement about asymptomatic spread of the coronavirus being rare because that simply “was not correct.”

WHO’s technical lead on the pandemic has tried to clear up “misunderstandings” about comments she made that were widely understood to suggest that people without COVID-19 symptoms rarely transmit the virus. Maria Van Kerkhove insisted Tuesday that she was referring only to a few studies, not a complete picture.

Weighing in on Wednesday, Fauci said the range of ways symptoms manifest is “extraordinary” in that some infected people have no or barely noticeable symptoms while others have more severe symptoms that require them to be hospitalized in intensive care.

Fauci said on ABC’s “Good Morning America”: “What happened the other day is that a member of the WHO was saying that transmission from an asymptomatic person to an uninfected person was very rare.”

He continued: “They walked that back because there’s no evidence to indicate that’s the case.  And, in fact, the evidence that we have, given the percentage of people, which is about 25, 45% of the totality of infected people, likely are without symptoms.  And we know from epidemiological studies that they can transmit to someone who is uninfected, even when they’re without symptoms.  So to make a statement — to say that’s a rare event — was not correct.  And that’s the reason why the WHO walked that back.”


State House News Service
Monday, June 8, 2020
Bars Quietly Moved To Last Phase of Reopening
By Chris Van Buskirk


Looking to grab a drink at your favorite watering hole? Unless it provides seated food service, you'll have to wait until Phase 4 after administration officials delayed the reopening timeline for bars.

Bars were originally slated to open in Phase 3 of Gov. Charlie Baker's restart plan but were moved to Phase 4 after administration officials determined that if they do not provide seated food service, they are more akin to nightclubs. Dance clubs and nightclubs aren't allowed to resume operations until Phase 4, which the administration has said will require a vaccine or effective treatment for COVID-19.

It is unclear when the change was made.

Wineries, beer gardens, breweries, and distilleries can all open as of Monday with some restrictions in place if they provide seated food service. Bars with licenses to serve food can also open in Phase 2 under the state's restaurant reopening guidelines. State guidance prohibits seating customers at a bar, but it does allow restaurants to reconfigure the area to accommodate table seating.

A Housing and Economic Development spokesman said the list of businesses and activities is subject to revision based on the latest public health data and the issuance of sector-specific guidelines. As of Monday afternoon, a downloadable copy of the reopening plan on the state's website still lists bars under Phase 3. An FAQ page on the same website categorizes bars under Phase 4.


State House News Service
Tuesday, June 9, 2020
Food Factor Critical as Bars Look to Future
By Chris Van Buskirk


For bars without seated food service in Massachusetts, the path towards reopening includes a difficult challenge: figuring out a risk-free framework for operating during the COVID-19 era.

"The big issue with respect to bars is coming up with a model that we believe can actually be done safely," Gov. Charlie Baker said at a Tuesday press conference. "And as we've seen in a number of other places around the country that have moved forward very aggressively, they've started to see a pretty significant rise in new cases, and we're going to work very hard to make sure that doesn't happen here in Massachusetts."

Bars were originally categorized in Phase 3 of the governor's reopening plan, which could begin later this month, but the administration moved those without food licenses into Phase 4 after officials determined that if they do not provide seated food service, they are more similar to nightclubs. Dance clubs and nightclubs cannot resume operations until Phase 4, which the administration has said will require a vaccine or effective treatment for COVID-19.

It is unclear when this change occurred.

Stephen Clark, vice president of government affairs at Massachusetts Restaurant Association, said "according to the governor's order, a bar is defined as place that only serves alcohol and does not have a food permit."

"In lieu of guidance from the Commonwealth, we have been advising bar owners who do not have food permits to work with their local officials to acquire a food permit," he said in a statement to the News Service. "More clarity is needed from the commonwealth, but if that is what is going to be the difference between a Phase 2 opening and a Phase 4 opening, I would do what I could to get open in Phase 2."

Since shutdowns and closures started to spread across the nation, non-essential businesses have had to close in an attempt to curb the spread of the highly contagious respiratory virus. The national unemployment spiked to 14.7 percent in April before dropping off to 13.3 percent in May.


The Boston Herald
Monday, June 8, 2020
Charlie Baker can’t admit he blew it
By Howie Carr


Charlie Baker — it’s time you apologized to the state of Maskachusetts.

You have totally blown it with your hysterical overreaction to a crisis that was largely of your own creation.

Just admit it — you panicked when you realized all those nursing-home deaths were going to be on you, and in a pathetic attempt to change the subject, you needlessly shut down the entire state.

And now, like the buck-passing bureaucrat that you are, you have no idea how to climb out of this hole that you’ve dug for yourself and 6.7 million innocent citizens.

Enough with these phased-in phase-ins (for everybody except looters and lieutenant governors). Open it up! You’ve won the bet.

Let Maskachusetts be Massachusetts again.

Whatever happened to the old saying, if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it? State government, which is totally broken, is trying to fix everything in the state that it isn’t, or wasn’t, broken.

Are the restaurant owners now supposed to be grateful that your corrupt administration is going to allow them to operate, someday, at 25% capacity … but only if their patrons are willing to fill out more paperwork than is usually required for an outpatient medical procedure anywhere in Free America?

Enough already with the endless virtue-signaling, Tall Deval. And take your hands out of your pockets while you’re speaking at the podium.

Also, please update those signs on the electronic billboards that say “Help First Responders. Stop Speeding.” Can you change them to something more appropriate for the moment? Like, “Help First Responders. Stop Looting.”

We’re tired of being lectured to by the same bozos who are responsible for the endless scandals at the State Police, the RMV, the DCF, the MBTA and at the New England Compounding Pharmacy, not to mention the state labs where Annie Dookhan and Sonja Farak falsified 38,000 drug tests.

Here’s some of Charlie Parker’s beloved data: Deaths among people under the age of 50: 104. Unemployed since the lockdown began: 1 million plus.

Want some more numbers?

Tall Deval makes $185,000 a year, Pay to Play Polito $165,000. His two cabinet secretaries who were with him at Saturday’s whineapalooza, Marylou Sudders and Mike Kennealy, each make $170,406.

None of them have missed a single paycheck.

Sometimes Charlie Parker almost cops to what a fiasco his entire panic has been. You have to pay close attention during the live feeds, because his amen chorus in the Boston media is always shielding him by editing out his most incoherent babbling.

But sometimes he tiptoes close to the reality, as he did after the riots in Boston:

“Small businesses and retailers on Main Street, more so than anyone else, have suffered a terrible blow as a result of this pandemic and a lot of the decisions that we made — ”

Decisions that you made to change the subject — from the fact that of the 7,097 “confirmed case” deaths in Massachusetts as of Friday, 4,504 had occurred in the nursing homes your administration was charged with regulating.

Zero deaths in restaurants, barber shops, nail salons, child care centers, car washes, golf-driving ranges etc. etc.

But their owners and employees are all treated like, well, like taxpayers.

More and more at these press conferences he sounds like the CEO of a bust-out publicly traded company on the quarterly conference call with investors — his voice cracking as he tries to explain why the stock has been under a buck for six months and is about to be delisted from the NYSE, why there’s no cash left in the revolver loan fund, why they’ve ended the year-to-year comparisons in sales numbers. …

Remember how before Memorial Day weekend Tall Deval was sternly lecturing everybody not to “let a few good days” make you think you could actually enjoy yourself outside?

But after the looting, he had to do the PC thing and congratulate those wonderful undocumented shoppers.

“We’ve all been pleased by the number of people who’ve been wearing face coverings uh who’ve participated in those events and they’ve been outdoors which has also been good and people for the most part have also been moving which is also good.”

They loot, they wear masks — Charlie finds that very commendable. They smash and grab and they keep “moving” — obviously they’re following his very important guidelines and advisories.

On Friday, President Trump journeyed to Maine, where he took the opportunity to call the state’s crackpot governor Janet Mills a “dictator.”

It obviously made her day. She immediately issued a rebuttal of maybe a thousand words, even mentioning twice that there are fewer than 100 dead in her entire state, as if that justifies plunging Vacationland into its own depression.

Is Charlie waiting for his own personal denunciation from the president before he declares victory and ends martial law? Is that what it will take to get him to end the insanity and open up the state?

Will a tweet suffice, or is the governor holding out for a curt dismissal from the Oval Office, or the Rose Garden, or perhaps a trademarked Trumpian sneer before POTUS boards Marine One?

There’s only one problem. I’m not even sure the president knows Charlie’s name.


State House News Service
Friday, June 12, 2020
Advances - Week of June 14, 2020


With the Senate getting fully on board this week, both branches are now set up to hold formal sessions with members participating remotely. Now it's time for Democratic legislative leaders to agree on an agenda they can deliver before the scheduled July 31 end of formal sessions, which is just 49 days away.

Lawmakers appear poised to make a run at agreeing on bills dealing with transportation spending, policing and justice reforms, and COVID-19 bills dealing with voting access and relief to the struggling restaurant industry. The police reform bill is just taking shape and the House is waiting to see if the Senate will join it in raising new revenues for transportation or passing a multi-year transportation bond bill.

A package of House restaurant relief proposals also awaits a Senate response and senators on Tuesday plan to pass legislation that will vastly expand voting opportunities by extending early voting periods and allowing mail-in voting.

Agreeing on a fiscal 2021 budget by July 1 is now out the window and reaching an accord by July 31 is shaping up as a significant challenge as well, unless the House and Senate reach some kind of unconventional agreement.

Tackling other big issues, like climate change for instance, is also a question mark since the demands raised by the virus will continue to warrant responses. Most notably, lawmakers face record numbers of unemployed residents whose immediate futures may be riding on the ability to access extended unemployment benefits if they can't return to their old jobs or find new ones.

Jobs are coming back gradually amidst a phased reopening of businesses. Public health data will dictate whether Gov. Charlie Baker leaps to Phase 3 of reopening later this month, on June 29. The unemployment data, though, can't be ignored and state officials on Friday will update the jobless rate, which stood at 15.1 percent in April.

An interim budget from Baker could be placed on the Legislature's doorstep at any point since House leaders have given themselves until July 1, the first day of the new fiscal year, to unveil what will be an historic budget that will show the depth of change state officials believe will be necessary to keep spending in line with falling revenues.

The branches are also running out of time to come up with alternatives to any of the four proposed initiative petitions that campaigns are advancing to the Nov. 3 ballot. Those campaigns plan to submit final signatures by Wednesday to lock in their spots on the ballot.

-- TRANSPORTATION QUESTIONS INTENSIFY: Lawmakers are still searching for consensus on how to follow through on pledges to address the state's clogged highways, aging infrastructure and unreliable public transit.

The House passed two major bills in March, right before Massachusetts entered a state of emergency, proposing more than half a billion dollars of tax and fee increases to support transportation and authorizing $18 billion in borrowing for transportation projects. Senate leaders, however, still have not outlined a plan for dealing with most of those proposals.

The Senate this week approved legislation allocating $300 million to road and bridge repairs and creating a new MBTA Board of Directors -- two of the most time-sensitive issues included in the larger House packages. There are still gaps between the two branches after that vote: the House voted to extend the existing Fiscal and Management Control Board three to five years beyond its June 30 expiration, but with two new seats added, while the Senate authorized creation of an entirely new MBTA Board of Directors.

In separating out the roadway funding from the House's tax package, the Senate also endorsed spending $100 million more on the program than previous years without also approving new revenue sources.

"We're in the midst of dealing with potentially $6 to $8 billion dollars in a shortfall of revenue for FY21," House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Aaron Michlewitz said Friday. "So it's a little perplexing to figure out how we're going to be doing that and raising Chapter 90 without using the revenue sources that have been put out there by the House."

Senate President Karen Spilka has said she still sees the $18 billion bond bill as a priority, but hinted in April that the current economic climate makes a tax vote less likely. - Chris Lisinski

-- UNCERTAINTY STILL SHROUDS BUDGET: With just over two weeks remaining in fiscal 2020, there are still more questions than answers on the status of next fiscal year's state operating budget and House leaders are continuing to take a wait-and-see approach as they watch the interplay between the COVID-19 pandemic and the Massachusetts economy.

The budget will not be done on time this year. House budget chief Aaron Michlewitz told the News Service Friday that leaders are looking at a one-month budget to cover the start of the new cycle in July.

"We're probably looking at a one-twelfth at least for the first month of fiscal '21, and then I think we'll try to proceed and see where we can go from there," the North End Democrat said. "It's still a little too early to determine exactly how that's going to proceed. But everything's on the table, as it needs to be, in this unprecedented time. And certainly a budget process being unique as it is, we'll have to have unique solutions to that process as well."

One question hanging over Beacon Hill is whether to extend formal sessions past July 31 to consider bills, including the budget, later in the year, when lawmakers will also be involved in re-election campaigns.

While both branches are now set up to hold formal sessions with members participating remotely, House Speaker Robert DeLeo pointed to the pandemic's status as an ultimate decider of gathering larger groups of people in places like the House Chamber. A lot of uncertainty around the economy and state revenues is making it difficult to develop a reliable budget plan, and DeLeo said it's important to focus on "reigniting" the economy.

"We started off at four billion, we went to six billion, now we're talking seven billion," DeLeo said Friday of the projected fiscal 2021 revenue shortfall. "Where is that going to end in terms of our hole in our economy? What about, what are they going to be doing in Washington in terms of, are they going to be doing something relative to providing funds for states and municipalities?"

Echoing his May 21 remarks to the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce, the speaker raised the possibility of tapping into the state's rainy day fund but questioned how to do so without affecting the state's bond rating.

Meantime, city and town governments are waiting to learn their local aid levels for the coming year and DeLeo said he wants to share that "as early as possible," but added that reliable information is not currently at hand. "Until we can really get a grip in terms of what are realistic figures, again, I think it's going to be difficult to do that," the speaker said. - Sam Doran


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