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CLT UPDATE
Sunday, April 12, 2020

"Never let a crisis go to waste"

Jump directly to CLT's Commentary on the News


http://cltg.org/cltg/clt2020/images/Easter_2020.jpg

A fiscal emergency is boiling in Massachusetts as the coronavirus pandemic rocks economies across the globe and state watchdogs say the “canary in the coal mine” is a new report predicting the state’s unemployment rate could hit a jaw-dropping 25% by June.

“Everyone is rightfully focused on the safety, life and health of the people in this country because of the COVID-19 virus, but there is a twin emergency that is almost as threatening which is that the state governments are going to get murdered,” said Greg Sullivan of the Pioneer Institute and co-author of the new report....

Business activity has ground to a halt as the pandemic has tightened its grip and watchdogs warned the state — and the country’s — jobless situation will only get worse. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis economist Miguel Faria-e-Castro predicts national unemployment will hit 52.8 million in June. Under that scenario, about 975,000 Massachusetts residents, or 25%, would be unemployed — up from 106,526 in February.

“More than a quarter of the workforce being unemployed would trigger a severe state budget crisis,” the authors conclude, saying it is “critically important” for state government leaders to come up with a plan....

Sullivan said the state has three options to deal with the shortfall: lean on the federal government in increase grants and help governments make up the losses, cut spending and reduce payroll or raise taxes.

In response to reporters’ questions as to whether he would consider raising taxes, Gov. Charlie Baker on Wednesday said, “In the middle of an economic downturn … I don’t think so.”

The Boston Herald
Thursday, April 9, 2020
Economic watchdogs worry of worsening unemployment crisis


At that rate, the $1.4 billion reserve fund will be depleted by more than $500 million per month, and would be gone within three months. If jobless claims continue to come in, per the projections of some economists, the monthly UI benefit payout could increase to more than $800 million, which would deplete it in two months or less.

An even more daunting consideration is that the economy could take a year or more to fully recover. Should this happen, as the aforementioned economists have warned, the Massachusetts unemployment fund could become a major financial drain on state finances requiring billions in loans to replenish....

But even if the COVID-19 crisis is quickly resolved and the economy rebounds quickly, the unprecedented recent surge of unemployment claims is virtually certain to substantially deplete the Commonwealth’s unemployment reserve fund and require state leaders to face some tough choices.

Pioneer Institute
Wednesday, April 8, 2020
COVID-19 unemployment surge is on pace to wipe out
the MA Unemployment Reserve Fund within three months


Massachusetts and five other states can pay out fewer than 10 weeks of the unemployment compensation claims that have come in since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic — including those they’ve already begun to pay out, according to the Tax Foundation.

Massachusetts, Texas and Ohio each have enough in their unemployment compensation trust funds to pay out only six weeks of benefits, New York has enough to cover five and California has enough to cover four — the least in the nation, said Jared Walczak, director of state tax policy for the Washington, D.C.- based, nonpartisan not-for-profit organization....

Massachusetts residents who qualify still will receive up to 30 weeks of unemployment benefits from the state and another 13 weeks from the federal government, he said, but because the state hasn’t saved sufficiently over time, it will be forced to borrow from the federal trust fund far earlier than most states and far more extensively.

“It will have to pay back those loans with interest, and while it’s in arrears, Massachusetts businesses will face higher federal unemployment insurance taxes,” Walczak said. “Massachusetts’ failure to adequately fund unemployment insurance in advance will mean the burden of repayment to the federal government will fall on taxpayers and result in higher tax burdens and reduced ability to fund other priorities for years into the future.”

Gov. Charlie Baker did not respond to requests for comment.

The Boston Herald
Friday, April 10, 2020
Report: State’s unemployment compensation trust fund
could run out in mere weeks


Experts say the state will be forced to borrow from the federal government to replenish the unemployment fund to keep benefits flowing to jobless workers....

Massachusetts is one of the most generous states when it comes to unemployment benefits. But its trust fund hasn't been fully solvent since 2000, according to the U.S. Labor Department's unemployment insurance division.

As of Jan. 31, Massachusetts had about $1.74 billion in its fund, according to the latest data....

Business leaders worry that employers will be saddled with higher unemployment insurance rates down the road to help the state repay federal loans during the COVID-19 crisis.

"It's a major concern," said Jon Hurst, president of the Retailers Association of Massachusetts. "The business community is really suffering right now."

The Salem News
Friday, April 10, 2020
Report says state's unemployment fund could soon be tapped out


The coronavirus crisis and related job losses, business closures and changes to daily life have thrown the state revenue picture into uncertainty, and created new questions about how lawmakers can debate and pass a more than $44 billion spending bill in a time of social distancing....

"That is one thing we absolutely need to take care of — a budget, whether in pieces or in whole," [Senate President Karen Spilka] told the News Service. "I think that, as I've said before, these are unprecedented times and they require unprecedented solutions to problems, and clearly forming a budget the old way doesn't work or won't work, and we need to look at new ways to do it."

The virtual budget hearing scheduled for Tuesday was originally supposed to be held this week, but postponed after technical difficulties sunk plans to live-stream it on the Legislature's website....

Spilka said the Senate counsel's office has been looking into the constitutionality of holding formal sessions with senators participating remotely, and that she plans to talk to senators about the idea of meeting past July 31, the last day of formal sessions under current joint legislative rules.

"I believe that we'll do what we need to do this year," she said.

Before the Beacon Hill agenda shifted entirely to pandemic response, transportation funding and policy was a major talking point — in early March, the House passed an $18 billion transportation bond bill and a revenue package that raised taxes or fees on gasoline, corporations, ride-hailing services and vehicle purchases by rental car companies.

Spilka said she's been talking to Transportation Committee Co-Chairman Sen. Joseph Boncore, who is continuing to work on some transportation issues. She said the state's transportation challenges "can't be kicked down the road anymore."

"I don't know how that will play out, if it will be a bond bill, a bond bill with a second bill," she said. "We'll have to see what works best for the Senate and the people of Massachusetts when we come out of this. I think we still need to be working on some of it, but I have to say, our major focus and our primary focus is still protecting the health of our residents and containing this public health crisis."

As far as paying for the state's coronavirus response, Spilka said new or higher taxes to support those efforts are "not on my radar right now," and said federal stimulus money should "hopefully" start going out more consistently.

"People who have been let go from their jobs or are not working as much are hurting, and they still have bills to pay," she said.

Gov. Baker said Wednesday that he did not think raising taxes would be the right way to keep up with spending demands related to COVID-19.

"So in the middle of an economic downturn where 25 percent, where there was a report that was issued today that said as many as 25 percent of our working population could be out of work, we should raise taxes?," he said. "I don't think so."

State House News Service
Wednesday, April 8, 2020
Spilka: State Exploring “New Ways” to Pass Budget


In a vestige of the normal legislative process, the House and Senate on Thursday agreed to send a bill to conference committee, the place where bills go when lawmakers can't settle their differences informally. In a sign of the times, the emergency bill dealt with protecting people from evictions and foreclosures during the COVID-19 crisis. And the few lawmakers in the building to act on it were wearing masks....

Budgetary divinations slated for this week were pushed back, scuttled by a livestream failure. Lawmakers, economic experts and the administration will try to assess the fiscal picture again next week, technology permitting.

The tea leaves, when they can read them, will likely present a bleak picture — the Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center's testimony contemplates a scenario where fiscal 2021 tax collections land $5 billion short of the estimates agreed to in January.

"These are unprecedented times and they require unprecedented solutions to problems, and clearly forming a budget the old way doesn't work or won't work, and we need to look at new ways to do it," Senate President Karen Spilka said.

State House News Service
Friday, April 10, 2020
Weekly Roundup - Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Ventilators


— The State Budget: Under normal circumstances, the House would be releasing its fiscal 2021 budget next week for consideration later this month. Instead, lawmakers are basically starting the budget process over from scratch with an uncertain timetable for actually passing a budget and without any announced plans for tackling the more than $44 billion spending plan while social distancing.

On Tuesday, economic experts are expected to outline down-shifting revenues with numbers leaping into the billions, rather than millions, to reflect the shutdowns of large swaths of the economy and revenues that are not likely to materialize until next fiscal year because the annual tax-filing deadline was moved from April 15 to July 15.

Borrowing, which could be assisted by new federal programs, is shaping up as a major piece of the state's short-term fiscal strategy, with a $3.5 billion stabilization reserve also available. Lawmakers may also need to intervene on the unemployment front, since benefit payments may exhaust the fund in the next few months and force the state to borrow from the federal government and revisit the rates paid by employers if new federal aid is not sufficient to keep up with soaring claims. Revenues, budgeting and fiscal policy are the focuses next week of a virtual economic hearing on Tuesday and a Senate revenue working group meeting on Thursday. - Michael P. Norton

— The Massachusetts Jobs Picture: For three weeks running, national and state data shows skyrocketing unemployment reflected by initial claims for jobless benefits. On Friday, the flip side of those claims will become at least partially apparent as state officials are scheduled to release an updated unemployment rate and jobs data for March.

Over the past three weeks, close to 16.8 million Americans and 469,000 Massachusetts residents have submitted applications seeking jobless benefits. The Pioneer Institute, extrapolating based on claims made by a Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis economist, this week estimated that unemployment in Massachusetts could hit 25 percent by June.

The big questions revolve around how long high unemployment will last, how quickly or slowly jobs will come back online, and how much permanent change will occur as a result of this pandemic. Economists who work with Associated Industries of Massachusetts said that if the economy starts to reopen by June, it could be three months, or into September, before a true rebound will be observed.

State House News Service
Friday, April 10, 2020
Advances - Week of April 12, 2020


While candidates from both parties remain in limbo as a result of Beacon Hill’s apparent unwillingness to address signature-collection thresholds amid the COVID-19 pandemic, Massachusetts Republican Party Chairman Jim Lyons has been busy trying to find simpler solutions that don’t require legislative approval....

Lyons then identified several past situations that prompted swift action from DeLeo:

"When Speaker Deleo wanted to change the rules to extend his ability to be speaker, and broke his promise to the public to lengthen his term, he did so in a single day. When Speaker DeLeo wanted legislative pay raises, he ordered a vote without a public hearing, and got what he wanted just two days after he filed his bill. When the U.S. Supreme Court ruled 9-0 against a law passed by the Massachusetts Legislature that violated First Amendment protections to pro-life activists on public property, it only took DeLeo three days to announce Democrat leadership was working on crafting a new version of the unconstitutional law.” ...

“Incumbents like DeLeo already have established lists of voters who have signed nomination papers for them in the past, not to mention existing campaign accounts that can easily pay for mailings and whatnot,” Lyons said. “Challengers don’t have that luxury, and in a Legislature dominated by one party, it’s pretty easy to see why the Democrats are refusing to address this potentially dangerous situation.”

MassGOP
Thursday, April 9,  2020
As Beacon Hill's Democratic leadership fiddles,
MassGOP acts, works with Secretary of State Galvin to get results


Facing a court challenge and under pressure from candidates who have raised public health concerns, Senate Democrats announced Friday night that a bill lowering signature collection requirements for some candidates during the COVID-19 crisis will be taken up on Monday.

Senate President Karen Spilka announced that the Senate Rules Committee has released a bill (S 2632) that would cut in half the required signatures for candidates for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, Governor's Council and most county offices. The bill leaves in place the signature thresholds for state legislative seats....

During the pandemic, most senators and representatives have stopped attending legislative sessions, but bills may still advance as long as all of the few lawmakers present in each branch agree to move them forward. With so few lawmakers participating in sessions, public debates on Beacon Hill have ceased.

Legislative candidates have until April 28 to turn in their signatures to local clerks for certification. Federal candidates have until May 5....

Spilka, who this week had yet to collect the 300 signatures she needs to qualify for the ballot, said that she leaves a stack of forms on her porch for people to come sign, and has asked some of her supporters to do the same.

"With this legislation, we hope to find a way to ensure that those who decide to run for public office can demonstrate the necessary support they have in their communities without endangering their health or the health of others," Spilka said in a statement late Friday.

State House News Service
Friday, April 10, 2020
Senate Bill Halves Signature Thresholds for Major Offices
Candidates Cite Health Dangers in Pressing for Change


The suspended superintendent of the Holyoke Soldiers' Home, where more than two dozen veterans have died amid a coronavirus outbreak, pushed back Thursday on Gov. Charlie Baker's suggestion that the home did not properly inform his administration about the issues there.

Bennett Walsh was placed on paid administrative leave and the facility put in the hands of an outside administrator and a clinical command team last Monday after the deaths of 11 residents became public. The governor and Holyoke Mayor Alex Morse previously suggested that Walsh and the Holyoke home did not inform the state of problems there until it was too late, and on Wednesday the governor said there was a "lack of follow-through on standard protocols with respect to reporting" at the Holyoke Soldiers' Home.

In a two-page statement released through an attorney Thursday, Walsh detailed the instances in which he said he informed the state of veterans showing symptoms of COVID-19 and was denied assistance by the administration.

"There have been widespread reports in the media that state officials were kept in the dark about what was happening at the Soldiers' Home during the Covid-19 crisis. These reports are false," Walsh said in his statement. "We provided updates on a daily basis, sometimes multiple times a day. These updates were by phone, text, email, conference calls and official report forms. These updates were made at various times to the staffs of the Secretary of Veteran Services (DVS), the Executive office of Health and Human Services (EOHH) and the Department of Public Health (DPH)."

The Baker administration said Thursday it was aware of Walsh's statement but did not offer a response or make any official available to discuss it.

State House News Service
Thursday, April 9, 2020
Suspended Super Says He Flagged Holyoke Home Problems
Bennett Walsh: "No One Was Kept In The Dark"


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

This week the State House News Service reported;

The coronavirus crisis and related job losses, business closures and changes to daily life have thrown the state revenue picture into uncertainty, and created new questions about how lawmakers can debate and pass a more than $44 billion spending bill in a time of social distancing....

"That is one thing we absolutely need to take care of — a budget, whether in pieces or in whole," [Senate President Karen Spilka] told the News Service. "I think that, as I've said before, these are unprecedented times and they require unprecedented solutions to problems, and clearly forming a budget the old way doesn't work or won't work, and we need to look at new ways to do it." ...

Before the Beacon Hill agenda shifted entirely to pandemic response, transportation funding and policy was a major talking point — in early March, the House passed an $18 billion transportation bond bill and a revenue package that raised taxes or fees on gasoline, corporations, ride-hailing services and vehicle purchases by rental car companies.

Spilka said she's been talking to Transportation Committee Co-Chairman Sen. Joseph Boncore, who is continuing to work on some transportation issues. She said the state's transportation challenges "can't be kicked down the road anymore."

As far as paying for the state's coronavirus response, Spilka said new or higher taxes to support those efforts are "not on my radar right now." ...

Gov. Baker said Wednesday that he did not think raising taxes would be the right way to keep up with spending demands related to COVID-19.

Takeaways from other news reports this week:

  Budgetary divinations slated for this week were pushed back, scuttled by a livestream failure. Lawmakers, economic experts and the administration will try to assess the fiscal picture again next week, technology permitting.

The tea leaves, when they can read them, will likely present a bleak picture — the Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center's testimony contemplates a scenario where fiscal 2021 tax collections land $5 billion short of the estimates agreed to in January.

"These are unprecedented times and they require unprecedented solutions to problems, and clearly forming a budget the old way doesn't work or won't work, and we need to look at new ways to do it," Senate President Karen Spilka said....

  Borrowing, which could be assisted by new federal programs, is shaping up as a major piece of the state's short-term fiscal strategy, with a $3.5 billion stabilization reserve also available. Lawmakers may also need to intervene on the unemployment front, since benefit payments may exhaust the fund in the next few months and force the state to borrow from the federal government and revisit the rates paid by employers if new federal aid is not sufficient to keep up with soaring claims.

  The big questions revolve around how long high unemployment will last, how quickly or slowly jobs will come back online, and how much permanent change will occur as a result of this pandemic. Economists who work with Associated Industries of Massachusetts said that if the economy starts to reopen by June, it could be three months, or into September, before a true rebound will be observed.

In his commentary on Tuesday ("The Endless Game of Whack-a-Tax") TV and radio pundit Jon Keller noted:

. . . The imminent depletion of the rainy-day fund and the drain on local finances caused by the pandemic sets the stage for dramatic revenue shortfalls. Could a resurgent economy amid public gratitude for state and local government’s handling of the crisis clear the way for a Prop 2½ takedown?

California could once again be the canary in the coal mine.  In a nod to the famous Rahm Emanuel quote about never letting a good crisis “go to waste,” [Chip] Ford notes the chronic pressure on Beacon Hill to ease Prop. 2½ limitations, most recently seen in language in the huge education funding bill that calls for a study of “mitigating” the tax cap’s impact.

It’s the kind of maneuver [Barbara] Anderson battled for decades, an endless game of whack-a-tax. And in an ominous sign for CLT, Ford says they asked Gov. Baker to veto that language in the ed bill, but he refused.  Says Ford: “I’ve given up counting on him for anything.”

Keller asked rhetorically, "Could a resurgent economy amid public gratitude for state and local government’s handling of the crisis clear the way for a Prop 2½ takedown?"

I expect that question will be broadened in the weeks and months ahead: Could a resurgent economy amid public gratitude for state and local government’s handling of the crisis clear the way for all sorts of tax increases?

I won't be surprised if a complacent, historically-challenged, and relieved public buys a promise that any and all tax hikes will be "only temporary, just to get us back on track after this crisis."

Crises by definition are temporary.  Taxes never are.

We taxpayers and taxpayer advocates know all too well, have learned that bitter lesson the hard way:  Any and all tax hikes inevitably mutate into forever.

Back in July of 1989 The Boston Herald reported:

July 4, 1989:  "The Democratic House leadership yesterday agreed to plug last year's budget deficit with a temporary, 18-month hike in the state's income tax, sources told the Herald.

"The precise outline of the tax package was not decided yesterday, but sources said a proposal to fund loans slated to cover a $619 million deficit will include temporarily increasing the income tax from 5 percent to 5.75 percent."

July 27, 1989:  "In the privacy of his State House office, Gov. Michael Dukakis last night signed into law a temporary 15 percent hike in the state income tax designed to sop up the red ink in last year's budget.

"Dukakis put his signature on the controversial 18-month tax hike, vetoed $53.6 million from a final spending bill for the prior fiscal year and quickly departed, offering no public comment on his actions."

After CLT's two separate, onerous, and expensive statewide petition signature drives (1997-98 then again in 1999) and a successful state ballot campaign in 2000; after the Legislature then freezing our rollback of that "temporary" income tax hike in 2002, replacing it with its own "economic triggers" the income tax was finally returned to its historic rate of 5 percent just this year THIRTY YEARS after the promise of a "temporary, only 18-months, trust us, we promise!" tax hike.

Understandably, we won't be buying any more "temporary" tax hike deceptions.

On a side note, despite this indisputable fiscal crisis for everyone the Legislature intends to plow ahead with its transportation infrastructure revenue scheme:

[Senate President Karen] Spilka said she's been talking to Transportation Committee Co-Chairman Sen. Joseph Boncore, who is continuing to work on some transportation issues.  She said the state's transportation challenges "can't be kicked down the road anymore."

Senate President Spilka is also considering a new way to pass a state budget.  She told the the State House News Service:

"I think that, as I've said before, these are unprecedented times and they require unprecedented solutions to problems, and clearly forming a budget the old way doesn't work or won't work, and we need to look at new ways to do it."

"Never let a crisis go to waste"


Meanwhile, even amidst this health and economic crisis inflicted on us by the Wuhan Chinese pandemic, politics-as-usual among the Beacon Hill Democrat leadership never skips a beat.  Even while rank-and-file members of "The Best Legislature Money Can Buy" are and have been for all intent AWOL, Democrat legislative leaders plot and scheme perpetually.

Despite their overwhelmingly one-sided advantage of 126 Democrats vs. 31 Republicans in the House (with 3 vacancies), 34 Democrats vs. 4 Republicans in the Senate (with 2 vacancies), that's still not enough power for the Democrats, still not absolute one-party control. "All opposition must be crushed" and, as Obama's White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel infamously asserted in 2008 (and recently reprised for the pandemic):  "Never let a crisis go to waste."

After a long-brewing controversy first over scheduling the special elections, then over extending candidate signature requirement deadlines, the State House News Service reported on Friday that the Senate reached and announced its solution:

Facing a court challenge and under pressure from candidates who have raised public health concerns, Senate Democrats announced Friday night that a bill lowering signature collection requirements for some candidates during the COVID-19 crisis will be taken up on Monday.

Senate President Karen Spilka announced that the Senate Rules Committee has released a bill (S 2632) that would cut in half the required signatures for candidates for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, Governor's Council and most county offices.  The bill leaves in place the signature thresholds for state legislative seats.

In typical Beacon Hill Democrat fashion, extending the signature deadlines for qualifying as a candidate excludes those of state legislators —  creating a larger hurdle for non-incumbent challengers without a political machine and vast funds behind them.  Incumbents have been raising money since the day they were first elected and have long lists of donors and supporters, so they have a built-in advantage.  It comes as no surprise to us seasoned observers that the Legislature takes care of itself above and ahead of all else.

The House (to wit: Lord and Speaker Robert DeLeo) is silent on the matter.  In a news release issued on Thursday by the Massachusetts Republican Party, Chairman Jim Lyons noted:

“. . . It’s a simple move that helps those candidates without insider connections and the financial advantages that come with being a longtime incumbent like a Speaker (Robert) DeLeo,” Lyons said.  “I’m grateful that Secretary Galvin agreed to work with us on this.

“At the same time however I'm confused as to why Democratic leadership still refuses to act," Lyons added. 

Lyons then identified several past situations that prompted swift action from DeLeo: 

"When Speaker Deleo wanted to change the rules to extend his ability to be speaker, and broke his promise to the public to lengthen his term, he did so in a single day.  When Speaker DeLeo wanted legislative pay raises, he ordered a vote without a public hearing, and got what he wanted just two days after he filed his bill.  When the U.S. Supreme Court ruled 9-0 against a law passed by the Massachusetts Legislature that violated First Amendment protections to pro-life activists on public property, it only took DeLeo three days to announce Democrat leadership was working on crafting a new version of the unconstitutional law.”

"Never let a crisis go to waste"

Happy Easter in this very strange time.  Stay safe and be well.  This too shall pass — there appears finally to be some dim light at the end of this tunnel.

Chip Ford
Executive Director


 
The Boston Herald
Thursday, April 9, 2020
Economic watchdogs worry of worsening unemployment crisis
By Erin Tiernan

A fiscal emergency is boiling in Massachusetts as the coronavirus pandemic rocks economies across the globe and state watchdogs say the “canary in the coal mine” is a new report predicting the state’s unemployment rate could hit a jaw-dropping 25% by June.

“Everyone is rightfully focused on the safety, life and health of the people in this country because of the COVID-19 virus, but there is a twin emergency that is almost as threatening which is that the state governments are going to get murdered,” said Greg Sullivan of the Pioneer Institute and co-author of the new report.

Nearly 330,000 people filed for unemployment in the last two weeks of March as the pandemic took hold in Massachusetts and across the US. Nationwide, almost 10 million people filed jobless claims during that same period. Massachusetts was the sixth-hardest hit state, federal statistics show.

Business activity has ground to a halt as the pandemic has tightened its grip and watchdogs warned the state — and the country’s — jobless situation will only get worse. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis economist Miguel Faria-e-Castro predicts national unemployment will hit 52.8 million in June. Under that scenario, about 975,000 Massachusetts residents, or 25%, would be unemployed — up from 106,526 in February.

“More than a quarter of the workforce being unemployed would trigger a severe state budget crisis,” the authors conclude, saying it is “critically important” for state government leaders to come up with a plan.

It’s a recipe for collapsing revenues that Paul Craney of the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance said could usher in “a depression like we have never seen” and called on state leaders to start talking about how they’ll cope with anticipated tax revenue shortfalls well into the billions.

“There is a danger by not talking about the economy. This is canary in the coal mine,” he said.

State leaders have failed so far to outline a plan for how to deal with the shortfall. An initial round-table to kick off that conversation on Tuesday was stymied by technical difficulties when leaders couldn’t get a live stream to work. It was rescheduled for Tuesday.

Federal coronavirus stimulus aid so far leaves out states that are simultaneously dealing with a health care crisis and unparalleled need for social services.

Sullivan said the state has three options to deal with the shortfall: lean on the federal government in increase grants and help governments make up the losses, cut spending and reduce payroll or raise taxes.

In response to reporters’ questions as to whether he would consider raising taxes, Gov. Charlie Baker on Wednesday said, “In the middle of an economic downturn … I don’t think so.”


Pioneer Institute
Wednesday, April 8, 2020
COVID-19 unemployment surge is on pace to wipe out
the MA Unemployment Reserve Fund within three months
by Greg Sullivan
[Full Report]  |  [Excerpts follow]


. . . Below is a back-of-the-envelope projection of how long it will take the Massachusetts Unemployment Reserve Fund to run out. The short answer is that if no further initial unemployment claims are submitted over the coming weeks and months, the reserve will be depleted within three months. If jobless claims continue to mount, the period would be proportionately shorter.

The longer answer is that the balance of the reserve fund on March 31 was $1.4 billion. During the preceding 12 months, the fund took in an average of $146.9 million per month in net UI employer contributions and paid out an average of $107.8 million per month in benefits to an average of 58,780 individuals. Given that 329,514 additional individuals applied for unemployment in the last two weeks of March, the total number of people collecting unemployment in the short term will conservatively be more than 375,000. If the average monthly benefit of the new recipients is approximately the same as those who were collecting over the preceding 12-months, the unemployment fund will see its total monthly UI benefit pay-out grow from $107.8 million to more than $675 million. At the same time, employers will no longer be making contributions to the unemployment fund for the 329,514 newly jobless workers, who comprise nearly 10 percent of the total Massachusetts workforce of 3.7 million.

At that rate, the $1.4 billion reserve fund will be depleted by more than $500 million per month, and would be gone within three months. If jobless claims continue to come in, per the projections of some economists, the monthly UI benefit payout could increase to more than $800 million, which would deplete it in two months or less.

An even more daunting consideration is that the economy could take a year or more to fully recover. Should this happen, as the aforementioned economists have warned, the Massachusetts unemployment fund could become a major financial drain on state finances requiring billions in loans to replenish. . . .

But even if the COVID-19 crisis is quickly resolved and the economy rebounds quickly, the unprecedented recent surge of unemployment claims is virtually certain to substantially deplete the Commonwealth’s unemployment reserve fund and require state leaders to face some tough choices.


The Boston Herald
Friday, April 10, 2020
Report: State’s unemployment compensation trust fund could run out in mere weeks
By Marie Szaniszlo


Massachusetts and five other states can pay out fewer than 10 weeks of the unemployment compensation claims that have come in since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic — including those they’ve already begun to pay out, according to the Tax Foundation.

Massachusetts, Texas and Ohio each have enough in their unemployment compensation trust funds to pay out only six weeks of benefits, New York has enough to cover five and California has enough to cover four — the least in the nation, said Jared Walczak, director of state tax policy for the Washington, D.C.- based, nonpartisan not-for-profit organization.

States with the healthiest trust funds include Wyoming, which is in a position to pay 321 weeks of unemployment compensation claims, followed by Florida at 90 weeks, South Dakota at 86 weeks, Utah at 73 weeks and Oregon at 65 weeks, Walczak said.

Massachusetts residents who qualify still will receive up to 30 weeks of unemployment benefits from the state and another 13 weeks from the federal government, he said, but because the state hasn’t saved sufficiently over time, it will be forced to borrow from the federal trust fund far earlier than most states and far more extensively.

“It will have to pay back those loans with interest, and while it’s in arrears, Massachusetts businesses will face higher federal unemployment insurance taxes,” Walczak said. “Massachusetts’ failure to adequately fund unemployment insurance in advance will mean the burden of repayment to the federal government will fall on taxpayers and result in higher tax burdens and reduced ability to fund other priorities for years into the future.”

Gov. Charlie Baker did not respond to requests for comment.

The Tax Foundation study arrived one day after the Boston-based Pioneer Institute published a report warning state leaders that Massachusetts’ unemployment rate could hit as high as 25% by June if no action is taken.

Paul D. Craney, a spokesman for the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, called the reports “the canary in the coal mine” for state leaders.

“If the governor, Senate president and (House) speaker do not begin to reign in state spending to a realistic level and allow for businesses to reopen in some capacity, the safety net for our state’s unemployed will soon run out and put us into further debt on top of our already nation-leading debt per capita,” Craney said. “The simplest solution is to find a balance to open the economy and keep people healthy.”

About 16.7 million people in the U.S. — 10.2% of the entire civilian labor force — filed for unemployment between March 14 and April 4, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data.


The Salem News
Friday, April 10, 2020
Report says state's unemployment fund could soon be tapped out
By Christian M. Wade, Statehouse reporter


Amid a crush of coronavirus related jobless claims, the state's unemployment fund could be tapped out in a few weeks, according to a new report.

The nonpartisan Tax Foundation reports that Massachusetts only has about six weeks of unemployment benefits funding available before they run out.

Massachusetts is expected to tap out of unemployment funds before other New England states, the report noted. New Hampshire, which has also seen a surge of new jobless claims, has only 10 weeks of benefits available in its trust fund. Maine has at least 24 weeks of funding, while Vermont has 45 weeks remaining.

Nearly 470,000 Massachusetts workers joined the unemployment ranks in recent weeks as the COVID-19 outbreak has shut down wide swaths of the economy.

Experts say the state will be forced to borrow from the federal government to replenish the unemployment fund to keep benefits flowing to jobless workers.

"Nobody is going to be left high and dry, because the state will borrow the money to keep it going," said Greg Sullivan, research director at the Pioneer Institute, a Boston think tank. "But the bad news for the state is that it is ultimately going to be burdened with a gigantic bill that it will have to repay."

He said the federal government should make grants to help states weather the fallout, instead of the zero-interest loans that only delay repayment.

Gov. Charlie Baker has said his administration is keeping an eye on the numbers to ensure there is enough money in the fund.

Massachusetts is one of the most generous states when it comes to unemployment benefits. But its trust fund hasn't been fully solvent since 2000, according to the U.S. Labor Department's unemployment insurance division.

As of Jan. 31, Massachusetts had about $1.74 billion in its fund, according to the latest data.

The state isn't alone when it comes to concerns about running out of money, according to the Tax Foundation.

"Six states, which collectively account for over one-third of the U.S. population, are currently in a position to pay out fewer than 10 weeks of the unemployment compensation claims that have already come in since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic — including those they’ve already begun to pay out," it stated.

California, which has also been hard hit by the virus, only has about four weeks of benefits before its funds are tapped out, the report noted. Other states with funding for fewer than 10 weeks of benefits are New York, Texas, Ohio and Kentucky.

During the last recession, unemployment insurance funds were hammered by a number of large claims. Payments to the unemployed went from $30.5 billion in 2006 to $75.8 billion in 2009, according to labor statistics, forcing many states to borrow from the federal government or the bond market.

Business leaders worry that employers will be saddled with higher unemployment insurance rates down the road to help the state repay federal loans during the COVID-19 crisis.

"It's a major concern," said Jon Hurst, president of the Retailers Association of Massachusetts. "The business community is really suffering right now."

Christian M. Wade covers the Massachusetts Statehouse for North of Boston Media Group’s newspapers and websites.


State House News Service
Wednesday, April 8, 2020
Spilka: State Exploring “New Ways” to Pass Budget
Clear Signal Needed on MCAS, Senate President Says
By Katie Lannan


Bills aimed at providing protections for renters and homeowners are among the Senate's short-term COVID-19 response plans, and beyond that, Senate President Karen Spilka is looking at ways to keep the body running with most senators working remotely amid the ongoing public health crisis.

"We're just about to enter the surge. I think all of us need to keep our eye on the ball, or the surge, right now," Spilka said Wednesday after virtually caucusing with Senate Democrats for upwards of three hours. "We just can't take our eyes off of it."

Gov. Charlie Baker has projected the number of COVID-19 cases in Massachusetts could reach its peak somewhere between Friday and April 20. A total of 16,790 people had tested positive for the coronavirus as of Wednesday afternoon, and 4 o'clock has become synonymous with grim daily updates of infection and virus death totals.

Nearly a month after Baker declared a state of emergency, Spilka said the Legislature's focus has remained on limiting spread of the virus and providing a safety net for residents whose lives have been disrupted.

The Senate plans to take up a housing security bill and municipal relief legislation during its Thursday session, Spilka said.

The House last week passed a bill (H 4616) aimed at addressing challenges the pandemic has created for municipalities and school districts, and that bill is now before the Senate Ways and Means Committee. Among other measures, it would give state education officials authority to change or waive requirements around the annual MCAS tests.

"I think it's important for students, parents, teachers, everybody to figure out what we're doing and to know what the state for sure is doing," Spilka said of the MCAS exams.

The bill would also push back the April 1 deadline, set under a new education finance reform law, for districts to file plans detailing efforts they'll make to close persistent achievement gaps. That law called for $1.5 billion in new K-12 school funding over seven years, with the first installment to be delivered in next year's budget.

The coronavirus crisis and related job losses, business closures and changes to daily life have thrown the state revenue picture into uncertainty, and created new questions about how lawmakers can debate and pass a more than $44 billion spending bill in a time of social distancing.

Spilka said she's "certainly hoping" the state will be able to fulfill its commitment under the school funding reform law. A gathering of economic experts and budget writers, now slated for next week, should help provide "a better feeling of where the state is at," she said.

"That is one thing we absolutely need to take care of — a budget, whether in pieces or in whole," Spilka told the News Service. "I think that, as I've said before, these are unprecedented times and they require unprecedented solutions to problems, and clearly forming a budget the old way doesn't work or won't work, and we need to look at new ways to do it."

The virtual budget hearing scheduled for Tuesday was originally supposed to be held this week, but postponed after technical difficulties sunk plans to live-stream it on the Legislature's website.

Remote work "has really highlighted the State House's shortcomings with technology," said Spilka, who has been making conference calls from her Ashland home.

"I think that's one thing when we get back, that we need to improve it to increase access not only for senators, staff, administration, but for transparency and letting people participate more," she said.

Spilka said the Senate counsel's office has been looking into the constitutionality of holding formal sessions with senators participating remotely, and that she plans to talk to senators about the idea of meeting past July 31, the last day of formal sessions under current joint legislative rules.

"I believe that we'll do what we need to do this year," she said.

Before the Beacon Hill agenda shifted entirely to pandemic response, transportation funding and policy was a major talking point — in early March, the House passed an $18 billion transportation bond bill and a revenue package that raised taxes or fees on gasoline, corporations, ride-hailing services and vehicle purchases by rental car companies.

Spilka said she's been talking to Transportation Committee Co-Chairman Sen. Joseph Boncore, who is continuing to work on some transportation issues. She said the state's transportation challenges "can't be kicked down the road anymore."

"I don't know how that will play out, if it will be a bond bill, a bond bill with a second bill," she said. "We'll have to see what works best for the Senate and the people of Massachusetts when we come out of this. I think we still need to be working on some of it, but I have to say, our major focus and our primary focus is still protecting the health of our residents and containing this public health crisis."

As far as paying for the state's coronavirus response, Spilka said new or higher taxes to support those efforts are "not on my radar right now," and said federal stimulus money should "hopefully" start going out more consistently.

"People who have been let go from their jobs or are not working as much are hurting, and they still have bills to pay," she said.

Gov. Baker said Wednesday that he did not think raising taxes would be the right way to keep up with spending demands related to COVID-19.

"So in the middle of an economic downturn where 25 percent, where there was a report that was issued today that said as many as 25 percent of our working population could be out of work, we should raise taxes?," he said. "I don't think so."

Chris Van Buskirk contributed reporting


State House News Service
Friday, April 10, 2020
Weekly Roundup - Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Ventilators
Recap and analysis of the week in state government
By Katie Lannan


It was a month ago, with 92 COVID-19 cases in Massachusetts, that Gov. Charlie Baker declared a state of emergency.

"There's no question that the efforts to mitigate the spread of this virus will be disruptive," he said to a full room of reporters.

The caseload is now more than 200 times what it was, deaths are tallied in the hundreds, new developments happen at a whirlwind pace, and there is absolutely no question that the mitigation efforts are disruptive.

As applications for public assistance programs and unemployment benefits continued to flood in, the Pioneer Institute projected the state's jobless rate could rocket up to 25 percent by June. While the state imposed capacity limits on grocery stores, the city of Boston was planning for how to increase its morgue capacity.

As Public Safety and Security Secretary Thomas Turco worked from home and tended to his COVID-19 symptoms, Prisoners' Legal Services reported that the infection rate for people in prison was 2.5 times higher than for the general population.

While lawmakers passed a bill that would waive MCAS requirements this year, some districts canceled April vacations and Gov. Baker was talking to education officials about how to handle the rest of the school year.

In a vestige of the normal legislative process, the House and Senate on Thursday agreed to send a bill to conference committee, the place where bills go when lawmakers can't settle their differences informally. In a sign of the times, the emergency bill dealt with protecting people from evictions and foreclosures during the COVID-19 crisis. And the few lawmakers in the building to act on it were wearing masks.

Masks, bandanas and other face coverings became regular sights around Massachusetts this week, in keeping with a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommendation and a new state advisory issued Friday.

Boston is now home to the state's second COVID-19 field hospital, a Partners HealthCare-led operation dubbed Boston Hope and hosted at the Boston Convention and Exhibition Center. There's 1,000 beds there, and, Baker said, room to build more. Based on his assessment on Friday, it would not be a shock if more are needed.

Mayor Marty Walsh launched a COVID-19 Health Inequities Task Force after releasing details on how the respiratory disease has hit communities of color and immigrant populations. Of the 1,567 Boston COVID-19 cases where race and ethnicity information was available, 40 percent were Black or African American, a demographic that makes up closer to a quarter of the city's population.

The potential for racial disparities is emerging as a major issue to watch as the coronavirus continues its spread in Massachusetts, along with its impacts on nursing homes and other long-term care facilities.

U.S. Attorney Andrew Lelling and Attorney General Maura Healey each launched investigations into the circumstances surrounding the deaths of at least 25 veterans at the Holyoke Soldiers Home, where suspended superintendent Bennett Walsh has started pushing back against assertions he kept state officials in the dark.

In Wilmington, local officials have asked the state for help after 77 of 91 residents at a nursing home — one targeted to become a dedicated COVID-19 care facility — contracted the coronavirus. Seven residents there, who had been receiving end-of-life care, died after testing positive.

The state began publishing ethnic and racial breakdowns of COVID-19 cases and deaths this week, but the information is missing or unknown for a majority of patients.

"It's not acceptable to me that 56 percent comes in unknown," Health and Human Services Secretary Marylou Sudders said Thursday, pledging to work with labs and hospitals to improve the data and get a better sense of where the burden is falling.

Addressing a grim reality of the pandemic, new guidance developed by medical experts and ethicists proposes a system doctors can use to determine who to treat first in the event that the number of COVID-19 patients overwhelms the health care system's resources.

Congressman Joe Kennedy III and state Rep. Jon Santiago, a doctor, said the guidelines would end up prioritizing white patients over patients of color, based on disparaties in health conditions created by longstanding societal inequities, and the Massachusetts Black and Latino Legislative Caucus asked for the protocols to be revised or paused.

Friday marks the start of the 10-day window when Baker has said he expects the number of coronavirus patients and related hospitalizations to surge in Massachusetts. The latest modeling, he said Friday afternoon, suggests the peak might be closer to April 20, and envisions a high point of around 2,500 new confirmed cases a day.

"We are about to have a very difficult couple of weeks here in Massachusetts, and it could be three weeks and it could be four," the governor said.

Models, of course, are subject to change. They're not guarantees, and they look different depending on how they're built and the information they're based around.

A widely-cited model from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation now projects Massachustts will hit its peak health care resource use on April 26, and that the number of deaths per day will peak on the 27th, at 201.

By August 4, under the institute's model, there would be 6,739 total COVID-19 deaths in Massachusetts — a significant and sobering upward revision from the total 2,357 the same group projected on April 1.

The IHME model now says Massachusetts will need 1,637 invasive ventilators.

State officials have distributed 109 ventilators so far, Sudders said Friday, and have received more from the national stockpile. The federal government said there'll be another shipment of 200 to Massachusetts next week, but Sudders noted she's not counting those until they're in hand.

"Obviously, we continue to be focused on the pursuit of ventilators through other means and other channels as well," Baker said Thursday.

Baker said the state will do everything it can to make sure doctors and hospitals have what they need for the surge, "but I don't have a crystal ball with respect to how long it's going to last or how high it's going to go."

Budgetary divinations slated for this week were pushed back, scuttled by a livestream failure. Lawmakers, economic experts and the administration will try to assess the fiscal picture again next week, technology permitting.

The tea leaves, when they can read them, will likely present a bleak picture — the Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center's testimony contemplates a scenario where fiscal 2021 tax collections land $5 billion short of the estimates agreed to in January.

"These are unprecedented times and they require unprecedented solutions to problems, and clearly forming a budget the old way doesn't work or won't work, and we need to look at new ways to do it," Senate President Karen Spilka said.

Candidates and officeholders have also been looking for new, social distancing-friendly ways to gather the signatures they need to secure a spot on September primary ballots, including drive-through signing stations and nomination forms sent by mail or left outside homes.

Baker said he'd be open to reducing the signature threshold, and a group of three candidates — Senate hopeful Kevin O'Connor, Congressman Stephen Lynch's challenger Dr. Robbie Goldstein, and Hingham state representative candidate Melissa Bower Smith — asked the state's high court for relief.

Two longtime reps won't have to worry about collecting signatures. Dean of the House Angelo Scaccia and Rep. Harold Naughton, a House member since 1995, announced this week they aren't seeking re-election, and their would-be successors now face the prospect of pressure-filled signature-gathering during a pandemic surge.

The once-unwieldy Democratic presidential field winnowed down to just one — former Vice President Joe Biden — after Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders ended his campaign, a story that would have reverberated more in a news cycle that wasn't so singularly pandemic-focused.

STORY OF THE WEEK: Everyone's got their eye on the surge, but no one knows quite what it will look like.


State House News Service
Friday, April 10, 2020
Advances - Week of April 12, 2020


After days of preparation, the COVID-19 surge period arrived Friday and despite massive efforts there remains a lack of life-saving equipment and capacity in the health care to adequately treat all those projected to become infected. Gov. Charlie Baker said Friday that capacity is manageable right now, and government officials at every level are trying to prevent the health care system from being overwhelmed and to mitigate deaths from the pandemic. Projections still show that thousands of people in Massachusetts alone are likely to die from the respiratory disease before the crisis, hopefully, comes to an end.

"We are about to enter what will probably be the most difficult period we are going to face in dealing with this particular virus at this particular time," Baker said Friday afternoon. "I don't want people to get ahead of themselves on this one. We are about to have a very difficult couple of weeks here in Massachusetts, and it could be three weeks and it could be four."

Just 200 of 1,700 ventilators sought from the federal stockpile have been assured, although 200 more are supposed to arrive next week and efforts are continuing to bring more of those life-saving devices to Massachusetts in time to meet the demand.

There's a number of important events and issues confronting lawmakers, who face major decisions about near-term crises and major long-term challenges, but the foremost concern of everyone in Massachusetts over the next 10 days is dealing with the projected surge in infected patients and ensuring that all efforts are undertaken to limit the spread of what President Trump has described as the "invisible enemy" — COVID-19.

Other storylines to follow in the week ahead:

— The State Budget: Under normal circumstances, the House would be releasing its fiscal 2021 budget next week for consideration later this month. Instead, lawmakers are basically starting the budget process over from scratch with an uncertain timetable for actually passing a budget and without any announced plans for tackling the more than $44 billion spending plan while social distancing.

On Tuesday, economic experts are expected to outline down-shifting revenues with numbers leaping into the billions, rather than millions, to reflect the shutdowns of large swaths of the economy and revenues that are not likely to materialize until next fiscal year because the annual tax-filing deadline was moved from April 15 to July 15.

Borrowing, which could be assisted by new federal programs, is shaping up as a major piece of the state's short-term fiscal strategy, with a $3.5 billion stabilization reserve also available. Lawmakers may also need to intervene on the unemployment front, since benefit payments may exhaust the fund in the next few months and force the state to borrow from the federal government and revisit the rates paid by employers if new federal aid is not sufficient to keep up with soaring claims. Revenues, budgeting and fiscal policy are the focuses next week of a virtual economic hearing on Tuesday and a Senate revenue working group meeting on Thursday. - Michael P. Norton

— The Massachusetts Jobs Picture: For three weeks running, national and state data shows skyrocketing unemployment reflected by initial claims for jobless benefits. On Friday, the flip side of those claims will become at least partially apparent as state officials are scheduled to release an updated unemployment rate and jobs data for March.

Over the past three weeks, close to 16.8 million Americans and 469,000 Massachusetts residents have submitted applications seeking jobless benefits. The Pioneer Institute, extrapolating based on claims made by a Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis economist, this week estimated that unemployment in Massachusetts could hit 25 percent by June.

The big questions revolve around how long high unemployment will last, how quickly or slowly jobs will come back online, and how much permanent change will occur as a result of this pandemic. Economists who work with Associated Industries of Massachusetts said that if the economy starts to reopen by June, it could be three months, or into September, before a true rebound will be observed. - Michael P. Norton

— The State and Technology: A high-profile livestream failure this week exposed some of the weaknesses within state government in terms of its ability to flip the switch to the type of technology-enabled live events that are now required.

On Monday, a House-Senate committee is aiming to pull off the Legislature's first Zoom hearing on actual legislation, a bill filed by Rep. Marjorie Decker to boost public assistance benefits for families struggling to get by during the state of emergency.

Budget officials on Tuesday plan a do-over of the virtual economic hearing that was postponed this week. And legislative leaders continue to explore what would be one of the biggest undertakings - resuming formal sessions by allowing lawmakers to participate in those sessions remotely.

Bond bills, which had been shaping up as a major priority this session, require recorded votes to pass and such votes may only be taken during formal sessions. Rep. Kate Hogan has been looking into options.

"We are being mindful of our House Rules, as well as ensuring that we have access to the technological capabilities necessary to carry out sessions and hearings, while keeping our members safe," she told the News Service. "Formal sessions and hearings are the foundation of what we do as legislators and it is critical that we get this right."

Coming up with a workable situation soon appears essential since lawmakers have been filing bill after bill to address impacts of the public health emergency. - Michael Norton and Chris Van Buskirk

— Housing Security Bill: Slow-moving efforts to guarantee a statewide pause on almost all eviction and foreclosure proceedings during the state of emergency and beyond will now continue through a six-member legislative panel. House and Senate leaders agree with the policy in broad strokes, but they have not been able to find consensus on final language almost a month after the legislation first surfaced. The versions the two branches approved Thursday contain differences that lawmakers and advocates say could have a significant impact.

The biggest difference is in scope of coverage: the House bill (H 4615) explicitly imposes a moratorium on non-emergency judgments and default judgments, while the Senate version (S 2631) only covers default judgments. Backers of the House's approach argue that leaving some judgments excluded creates a risk that middle steps of the eviction process will continue while the moratorium is in place, putting pressure on tenants to forego rights or to seek new housing despite the public health risks.

Meanwhile, the Greater Boston Real Estate Board flagged concerns that both versions ban landlords from sending notices to quit, which GBREB CEO Greg Vasil said in a letter blocks landlords from starting the process and getting attention of tenants with whom they have disputes.

Reps. Aaron Michlewitz, Kevin Honan and Peter Durant and Sens. Brendan Crighton, Michael Rodrigues and Bruce Tarr will negotiate a final bill, almost certainly in private. They have not outlined a concrete timeline for the process. Gov. Baker has repeatedly noted that many proceedings cannot continue under a standing order from the Trial Court postponing most hearings. - Chris Lisinski

— Ballot Access: As the government reminds people daily to stay six feet away from each other or just stay home altogether to help slow the spread of COVID-19, state officials have left in play signature collection requirements for candidates to qualify for this year's ballot.

Candidates say the situation is a dangerous one since getting people to sign often involves direct personal interactions. With deadlines for signature filings coming up this month and in May, and legislators so far unwilling to move on the issue, candidates this week announced they're going to court to find relief.

The Supreme Judicial Court has scheduled arguments for Thursday. Lawmakers could lower signature requirements or adjust filing deadlines, but doing so during informal sessions will require the agreement of everyone present. Gov. Baker is open to the idea of making changes. - Michael P. Norton


MassGOP
Thursday, April 9,
  2020
As Beacon Hill's Democratic leadership fiddles,
MassGOP acts, works with Secretary of State Galvin to get results

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 

CONTACT:
Evan Lips, communications director
617-523-5005 ext. 245
 

WOBURN -- While candidates from both parties remain in limbo as a result of Beacon Hill’s apparent unwillingness to address signature-collection thresholds amid the COVID-19 pandemic, Massachusetts Republican Party Chairman Jim Lyons has been busy trying to find simpler solutions that don’t require legislative approval. 

On Thursday, Lyons announced that after reaching out to Secretary of State William Galvin, the office has agreed to allow individuals to print from home printer-friendly 8.5-inch by 11-inch copies of nomination forms. 

To satisfy state law, individuals must print the forms double-sided, however. 

State law stipulates that forms cannot "be larger than eight and one-half inches by fourteen inches," but allows for all smaller sizes. 

The law specifies that individuals cannot "be prohibited from making exact copies of such blanks provided by the secretary of state for the purpose of collecting signatures for such nominations, nor shall any such copies be rejected for certification or submittal to the secretary of state." 

“It’s a simple move that helps those candidates without insider connections and the financial advantages that come with being a longtime incumbent like a Speaker (Robert) DeLeo,” Lyons said. “I’m grateful that Secretary Galvin agreed to work with us on this. 

“At the same time however I'm confused as to why Democratic leadership still refuses to act," Lyons added. 

Lyons then identified several past situations that prompted swift action from DeLeo: 

"When Speaker Deleo wanted to change the rules to extend his ability to be speaker, and broke his promise to the public to lengthen his term, he did so in a single day. When Speaker DeLeo wanted legislative pay raises, he ordered a vote without a public hearing, and got what he wanted just two days after he filed his bill. When the U.S. Supreme Court ruled 9-0 against a law passed by the Massachusetts Legislature that violated First Amendment protections to pro-life activists on public property, it only took DeLeo three days to announce Democrat leadership was working on crafting a new version of the unconstitutional law.”

Legislation that would reduce the state’s signature threshold by two-thirds, filed March 25, still languishes in the House. The April 28 deadline for state candidates and the May 5 deadline for federal candidates still remain in effect. 

“Incumbents like DeLeo already have established lists of voters who have signed nomination papers for them in the past, not to mention existing campaign accounts that can easily pay for mailings and whatnot,” Lyons said. “Challengers don’t have that luxury, and in a Legislature dominated by one party, it’s pretty easy to see why the Democrats are refusing to address this potentially dangerous situation.”


State House News Service
Friday, April 10, 2020
Senate Bill Halves Signature Thresholds for Major Offices
Candidates Cite Health Dangers in Pressing for Change
By Michael P. Norton


Facing a court challenge and under pressure from candidates who have raised public health concerns, Senate Democrats announced Friday night that a bill lowering signature collection requirements for some candidates during the COVID-19 crisis will be taken up on Monday.

Senate President Karen Spilka announced that the Senate Rules Committee has released a bill (S 2632) that would cut in half the required signatures for candidates for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, Governor's Council and most county offices. The bill leaves in place the signature thresholds for state legislative seats.

"We must prioritize the protection of public health during this pandemic," Sen. Joan Lovely (D-Salem), chair of the Senate Committee on Rules, said in a statement. "This bill appropriately halves the requirements for candidates who need one thousand or more signatures to get on the ballot, thereby protecting both civic-minded citizens and potential officeholders."

With social distancing encouraged to slow the spread of the dangerous virus, candidates have had difficulty collecting voter signatures at public places and some have resorted to the cumbersome process of mailing signature forms to voters with pre-paid return envelopes.

The bill cuts the signature requirements for U.S. Senate candidates from 10,000 to 5,000, for U.S. House candidates from 2,000 to 1,000, and for Governor's Council and most county office candidates from 1,000 to 500. State Senate candidates would still need to collect 300 signatures, and House candidates 150.

If the bill is approved in the Senate on Monday, it's unclear how the legislation will be received in the House. A spokeswoman for Gov. Charlie Baker told the News Service on Thursday that he's open to adjusting signature requirements.

During the pandemic, most senators and representatives have stopped attending legislative sessions, but bills may still advance as long as all of the few lawmakers present in each branch agree to move them forward. With so few lawmakers participating in sessions, public debates on Beacon Hill have ceased.

Legislative candidates have until April 28 to turn in their signatures to local clerks for certification. Federal candidates have until May 5.

The Boston Globe reported this week that U.S. Sen. Edward Markey was 3,000 signatures short of 10,000 while U.S. Rep. Joseph Kennedy, his primary opponent, had already met his mark.

Republican U.S. Senate candidate Kevin O'Connor has been urging lawmakers to alter the signature requirements and fears that signature-gathering may be the reason his 86-year-old father contracted COVID-19 last month after his mother, who lives in the same house, helped her son collect signatures. In the current environment, O'Connor says, the collection process has become "a barrier of access, not the hurdle it is intended to be."

O'Connor, U.S. House candidate Robbie Goldstein and Hingham state representative candidate Melissa Bower Smith filed an emergency petition with the Supreme Judicial Court on Thursday seeking relief. The SJC is expected to hear oral arguments in the case by telephone on Thursday at 2 p.m., according to one of the campaigns, and the court has asked lawyers for the plaintiffs to prepare a brief for next week on what an electronic signature process might look like.

Spilka, who this week had yet to collect the 300 signatures she needs to qualify for the ballot, said that she leaves a stack of forms on her porch for people to come sign, and has asked some of her supporters to do the same.

"With this legislation, we hope to find a way to ensure that those who decide to run for public office can demonstrate the necessary support they have in their communities without endangering their health or the health of others," Spilka said in a statement late Friday.


State House News Service
Thursday, April 9, 2020
Suspended Super Says He Flagged Holyoke Home Problems
Bennett Walsh: "No One Was Kept In The Dark"
By Colin A. Young


The suspended superintendent of the Holyoke Soldiers' Home, where more than two dozen veterans have died amid a coronavirus outbreak, pushed back Thursday on Gov. Charlie Baker's suggestion that the home did not properly inform his administration about the issues there.

Bennett Walsh was placed on paid administrative leave and the facility put in the hands of an outside administrator and a clinical command team last Monday after the deaths of 11 residents became public. The governor and Holyoke Mayor Alex Morse previously suggested that Walsh and the Holyoke home did not inform the state of problems there until it was too late, and on Wednesday the governor said there was a "lack of follow-through on standard protocols with respect to reporting" at the Holyoke Soldiers' Home.

In a two-page statement released through an attorney Thursday, Walsh detailed the instances in which he said he informed the state of veterans showing symptoms of COVID-19 and was denied assistance by the administration.

"There have been widespread reports in the media that state officials were kept in the dark about what was happening at the Soldiers' Home during the Covid-19 crisis. These reports are false," Walsh said in his statement. "We provided updates on a daily basis, sometimes multiple times a day. These updates were by phone, text, email, conference calls and official report forms. These updates were made at various times to the staffs of the Secretary of Veteran Services (DVS), the Executive office of Health and Human Services (EOHH) and the Department of Public Health (DPH)."

The Baker administration said Thursday it was aware of Walsh's statement but did not offer a response or make any official available to discuss it.

Baker has tapped Mark Pearlstein, a former first assistant U.S. attorney, to conduct an investigation of the Holyoke Soldiers' Home "and the events that led to the recent tragic deaths from COVID-19 within that facility," and Walsh said he has spoken twice with investigators.

Attorney General Maura Healey on Wednesday launched her own probe of the situation.

The governor on Wednesday said he welcomed Healey's investigation and defended his administration's steps to get a handle on the situation in Holyoke.

"Since we were notified two Sundays ago at about nine o'clock at night about the situation there, we moved quickly to install a new management team and a command center at the site the following morning, and since then have tested all residents, all employees, and have established, with the help of Holyoke Medical Center, a COVID facility for many of the residents who tested positive at Holyoke Soldiers' Home and continue to pursue reforms with respect to care, isolation and infectious disease control," he said.

In his statement, Walsh said that he had been in touch with Baker's administration about COVID-19 symptoms and veteran deaths several days before the Sunday night that Baker said was the first he learned of the problems in Holyoke.

The first contact between the Holyoke Soldiers' Home and the administration mentioned by date in Walsh's statement came on Wednesday, March 27, when a plan to put veterans with known or suspected COVID-19 in the same unit because of a staff shortage was reviewed with DPH, Walsh said.

The first veteran to show COVID-19 symptoms lived in the "North 1" section of the home and the first veteran who died after testing positive lived in "North 2," Walsh said.

"These veterans were on different floors and physically separated from each other. It was clear that the virus was not confined to one area but was infecting veterans throughout the facility and our medical resources were stretched to the limit," the suspended superintendent said.

At noontime Friday, March 27, Walsh said he requested that National Guard medical personnel be sent to the Soldiers' Home to help his staff.

"That request was denied," Walsh wrote in his statement.

As of that Friday afternoon, Walsh said he had "notified state officials that: 28 veterans had exhibited symptoms of the corona virus and samples had been collected and sent for testing; these 28 veterans were living in different locations; test results for 13 had been received; 10 veterans were positive and 3 were negative; test results for 15 veterans were pending; 2 veterans had died; 1 with a positive test result and 1 with test results pending."

Later that same day, when test results for the second veteran who had died came back positive for COVID-19, Walsh said he updated the numbers he had given state officials to reflect the second veteran death from COVID-19.

"We also notified state officials that we were in a crisis mode regarding staff shortages. 25 % of the workforce was not reporting to work," Walsh said in his statement. "These work shortages, and the knowledge that our veterans were extremely vulnerable to the virus, were taking a toll on the staff who had reported for duty. I requested trained grief support counselors to assist our staff who were dealing with the hardest hit units."

Six more veterans died between Friday and Sunday morning, Walsh said. The fact that four of the deceased veterans had tested positive for COVID-19 and that the results for four more were still pending "was reported to state officials on Sunday afternoon at about 4:30 pm," Walsh said.

"It is very disappointing to me that during this time of unspeakable horror the staffs at EOHH, DVS and DPH have remained silent and have let the lie that they didn't know what was going on persist," Walsh wrote. "State officials knew that Holyoke needed as much help as possible. No one was kept in the dark."

In addition to at least 25 deaths at the home in Holyoke -- the Baker administration has not responded to requests for updated numbers each of the last two days -- at least five veterans have died at the state-run Chelsea Soldiers' Home, Health and Human Services Secretary Marylou Sudders said Tuesday. She and Baker have said that they do not expect the situation in Chelsea to deteriorate as it appears to have in Holyoke.

"I don't think that we're looking at the possibility of another Holyoke in Chelsea, no, I don't," the governor said last week, adding that the Chelsea facility "followed all the rules and protocols that they are supposed to follow."

Among the veterans who live at the Holyoke Soldiers' Home is an uncle of U.S. Rep. Richard Neal. Neal said on WGBH Radio on Thursday that he has talked "extensively" with Baker and Sudders about the situation at the home.

The congressman told co-hosts Jim Braude and Margery Eagan on Thursday that his uncle, who served in the Korean War and with whom Neal lived for a time, has contracted the virus.

"He's OK. He does have the virus, but he's OK at the moment," Neal said. "He's 90 years old and tough as nails."

 

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