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CLT UPDATE
Wednesday, August 9, 2017

Foolish hope springs eternal


“I’d gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today.” — J. Wellington Wimpy

Let’s face it, Democratic lawmakers on Beacon Hill took the Wimpy approach to Gov. Charlie Baker’s recent proposal to rein in the cost of providing health insurance to the poor in Massachusetts. They grabbed the hamburger — the $200 million in revenue from a series of new fees on employers Baker had proposed — while putting off payment until, well, who knows when.

“Payment,” in this case, is in the form of overdue reforms to the Medicaid system, which is known here as MassHealth and represents 40 percent of the state budget. Baker feels strongly enough about the need for reforms to rein in those costs that he could have backed recalcitrant lawmakers into a corner. A veto of the fees would have scored him points with employer groups....

We sure hope Baker has secured an ironclad guarantee from House Speaker Robert DeLeo and Senate President Stan Rosenberg that they’ll take up the reform package in a serious and meaningful way — soon. Not to do so would be a dereliction of duty for the Democratic leaders who acknowledge the need to rein in costs — but have refused to guide their members in the direction of real reform....

These changes should have happened long ago. But now that lawmakers have fattened up the budget by imposing new fees, they need to eat their spinach.

A Boston Herald editorial
Thursday, August 3, 2017
Baker’s only option


Gov. Charlie Baker is mounting a late bid to return the popular sales tax holiday this year, formally asking lawmakers who have already begun their summer break to approve a proposal to hold the tax-free weekend in just 17 days.

The governor's plan received an underwhelming reaction from legislative leaders, with one calling the idea a "colossal mistake."

Baker announced Wednesday that he would file legislation declaring a sales tax holiday for Saturday, Aug. 19 and Sunday, Aug. 20....

The tax holiday's fate is uncertain since the House and Senate are on summer recess and if a holiday bill -- similar bills are pending before two committees -- were to make it to the floor, a single lawmaker could block its progress with a mere objection. The House and Senate plan to meet at least twice a week through August before resuming formal sessions sometime after Labor Day....

Rep. Jay Kaufman, the House chair of the Revenue Committee, said the sales tax holiday bills "will continue to sit" before the panel without a vote planned on whether to endorse them. He said he hopes the Legislature does not act on Baker's bill.

"Sales tax holidays under any circumstances are a mistake, and under these circumstances are a colossal mistake," the Lexington Democrat told the News Service. He described sales tax holidays as "sometimes politically attractive" but "not good public policy."

"Built into this proposal is the lie that we can provide public services without paying for them," Kaufman said.

State House News Service
Wednesday, August 2, 2017
With lawmakers on holiday, Baker bids to revive sales tax suspension


Consumers will get no break on the sales tax from the state of Massachusetts this summer, as lawmakers opt for the second year in a row to forego a tax holiday weekend.

Revenue Committee Chairman Jay Kaufman confirmed that August will pass without what has been in recent years a semiannual tradition of suspending the sales tax for one weekend.

"I would say that's certain. I don't see how there could be one since there's no possibility of us having a hearing and a session to vote for one, so there will be no sales tax holiday this year," Kaufman, a Lexington Democrat, told the News Service Monday....

Rep. Shaunna O'Connell, a Taunton Republican, suggested there is a double-standard.

Lawmakers this session quickly passed a hefty pay package for themselves, even though state finances were questionable at the beginning of the year, too.

"They can afford to give these huge pay raises, but they can't afford to give the taxpayers just a small little break once a year that they really look forward to and that really stimulates the economy, gets people out shopping," O'Connell told Boston Herald Radio. She said, "I hope people aren't going to forget about this when it comes election time."

State House News Service
Tuesday, August 8, 2017
Chairman "certain" there won't be a sales tax holiday


After a bumpy fiscal year 2017, fiscal 2018 got off to a smooth start for the Department of Revenue, which reported collecting $1.798 billion in taxes in July, just slightly more than expected.

July revenues were $6 million, or 0.3 percent, above the monthly benchmark and were "in line with expectations and the trends and patterns of the past several months that were used to develop the FY18 benchmark," DOR said....

Income tax collections in July were $1.004 billion, $56 million more than July 2016 but still $10 million or 0.9 percent below the July 2017 monthly benchmark. Withholding was $993 million for the month, and sales and use tax collections were $541 million, both meeting the monthly benchmark.

State House News Service
Thursday, August 3, 2017
Tax collections on track after one small month


With an eye on the 2018 and 2020 ballots, 17 groups filed more than two dozen initiative petitions for proposed laws and constitutional amendments in time to be considered for certification by Attorney General Maura Healey....

Lawmakers largely departed the State House late last week for summer recess, and August marks a time for citizens to try their hands at crafting policy....

Medford High School junior Lauren Brown, 16, filed her petition Wednesday to increase the minimum wage to $15 an hour after studying the issue in class.

"I was in this elective at my school called 'Facing History' and each person chose a social issue to research and take action on so I did minimum wage," Brown said. "People can't live on what they're making, yet they're working harder, in my opinion than some people who make really high salaries. Some of them are working multiple jobs or are single parents and they deserve more than they're making." ...

It is not unusual for groups to file several versions of the same initiative petition and decide later which they will gather signatures for.

Different from proposed laws, amendments to the state constitution must pass two constitutional conventions with approval from 25 percent of the Legislature each time before they can land on the ballot.

Brown plans to join Raise Up Massachusetts, a coalition that plans to gather signatures in the fall for its own petition to raise the minimum wage to $15 an hour in Massachusetts by 2022, as well as a proposal for an income surtax on high earners and a measure for guaranteed paid family and medical leave.

Other petitions filed with the attorney general's Boston office shortly before the 5 p.m. deadline included several proposals regarding money in politics filed by Nick Bokron of Pass Mass Amendment, a proposal to lower out-of-pocket costs for holistic health care filed by Carl Tripp and proposals focused on the solar net metering cap and clean energy filed by members of the Cambridge Climate Initiative.

Andover Rep. Jim Lyons filed a petition for a constitutional amendment earlier this summer that would place the decision to fund abortions with public money in the hands of the Legislature.

State House News Service
Wednesday, August 2, 2017
Quest for ballot spot begins with filing of initiative petitions


The menu of more than two dozen proposed questions for the 2018 Massachusetts ballot offers something for pretty much every ideological and political taste, including those who want to raise taxes, cut taxes or perhaps do both at the same time.

The tax paradox could emerge as an intriguing aspect to next year's election.

One initiative dubbed the "millionaire tax" — its sponsors call it the Fair Share Amendment — would impose a surtax of 4 percent on any portion of an individual's annual income that exceeds $1 million. It's estimated to raise $1.9 billion in annual revenue for the state.

The Retailers Association of Massachusetts filed several versions of a proposed ballot question that would reduce the state's 6.25 percent sales tax to either 5 percent or 4.5 percent. Some versions would also require the state hold a sales tax holiday each summer.

Since each 1 percent of the sales tax translates to roughly $1 billion for the state, the projected revenue loss would be $1.25 billion to $1.75 billion, nearly enough to cancel out higher taxes on the wealthy.

Associated Press
Saturday, August 5, 2017
Offsetting votes? Ballot proposals both raise, lower taxes


Massachusetts has made some expensive promises over the years. Chief among them, a commitment to provide retirement pensions for teachers, State Police, and other public workers.

As of now, we don’t have enough money to cover all these pension promises. Every dollar we owe is backed by roughly 60 cents of assets. That’s not terrible — some states are in far worse shape — but it’s not sustainable either....

Here’s one problem: There’s no free lunch when it comes to pensions. For the state to meet its long-term obligations, lawmakers have to set aside more money. Every year, in every budget, until we’ve made up the funding gap.

Officially at least, they’ve committed to doing so. But their whole approach is back-loaded, so that the really big contributions are put off for another day. This fiscal year, the state set aside $2.4 billion for pension contributions, which is already 6 percent of total state spending. In 2027, they’re expected to allocate $5.2 billion; by 2036, it’s $11.2 billion.

Even adjusting for inflation — and the fact that Massachusetts will probably be a lot richer in 2036 than it is today — that’s still a massive increase. And it means that when today’s college students become our future representatives, pension contributions could be siphoning tax dollars away from things like schools or health care....

Note, too, that all this is just for state-run pensions. Lots of cities and towns run their own plans for municipal workers, some of them in worse shape than others. Also, there is the MBTA, which has roughly $1 billion in uncovered pension obligations and doesn’t participate in the state system.

The Boston Globe
Wednesday, August 9, 2017
Will Massachusetts break its pension promises?


The state’s top watchdog is asking the council that decides his salary to again consider hiking his earnings, setting up the potential for a major raise thanks to the controversial pay hike legislation lawmakers rammed through earlier this year.

Inspector General Glenn Cunha has requested the Inspector General Council take up its annual review of his $158,727 salary at its next meeting — scheduled for tomorrow — when he’s expected to make a presentation to the eight-member panel.

Under statute, the council is required each year to set Cunha’s salary — a decision, his office said, that has historically been made at the start of the fiscal year. But the council didn’t do so last year, and instead, after months of delays, gave him a retroactive 3 percent raise at its last meeting three months ago in May.

It’s unclear how the council will act tomorrow, but Cunha could be poised for a major raise, plus more to come, as outlined by the bill lawmakers passed in February hiking their own salaries and stipends....

Under state statute, the IG’s salary — while voted on by the council — is allowed to go as high as 90 percent of the chief justice’s. That means Cunha’s salary could legally be raised as high as $174,365 right now. By next July, the cap on his salary will hit $185,615.

The Boston Herald
Wednesday, August 9, 2017
IG may get another salary bump thanks to Legislature’s pay hike


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

The Boston Herald's editorial compares Gov. Baker's "hope" for a deal with the Legislature on his MassHealth/Medicaid reforms to the Popeye the Sailor comic strip character, Wimpy.  In our last Update ("Hope is not a strategy, Gov.") I compared his misplaced hope to Peanuts' Lucy and her infamous football.  With the extra $56 million in income tax revenue month-to-month over last July's not to mention the Legislature's obscene $18 million pay grab in January he must have hoped the Legislature would show some appreciation to taxpayers, deign to provide them with one weekend's relief from the sales tax.

My hope is that this awakens Gov. Charlie Baker to the value of his misplaced hope.  If he runs for reelection as expected, we hope he learns a lesson:  "Hope is not a strategy!"

On August 3 the Department of Revenue's release ("July Revenue Collections Total $1.798 Billion") reported:  "Income tax collections for July were $1.004 billion, $56 million or 5.9% more than a year ago, which left them $10 million or 0.9% below the monthly benchmark."

Translation:

●  The state collected $1.798 billion in total taxes during the month of July.  $1.004 billion if that was in income taxes alone.

●  That $1.004 billion in income taxes was $56 million more than the state collected last July, 2016.  Nonetheless, it was $10 million less than "anticipated" for the month of July.

●  In Beacon Hill OPM-speak, $56 million more in income tax revenue than the previous year's take is interpreted as a $10 million shortfall.

●  The bureaucratic bean-counters expected $66 million more to come in last month than what was raked in last July, 2016.  "The Best Legislature Money Can Buy" spent more than came in based on that elusive expectation, their ethereal "benchmark."

A $56 million increase in revenue in just the month of July over last July is still not enough for a sales tax holiday weekend that would "forgo" the state of some $20 million in revenue spread over the year's $40 billion budget spending spree.  And remember the Legislature was able to easily find $18 million for their obscene pay grab as their first priority this year, slammed through in two weeks of January.

It would appear our next best hope for tax relief will be offered by the Retailers Association of Massachusetts in the form of one-of-four sales tax ballot questions. NAM has filed four for approval by the Attorney General; its membership will decide which one to pursue after the AG clears them for constitutionality.

Whichever version is pursued, if the sales tax cut and the proposed Graduated Income Tax constitutional amendment (aka, "The Fair Share Amendment" and "The Millionaire's Tax") are both adopted by the voters in November the anticipated revenue grab from the Grad Tax will be pretty much neutralized.

Meanwhile the government employee pension crisis continues to loom large.  The Boston Globe reported:

"This fiscal year, the state set aside $2.4 billion for pension contributions, which is already 6 percent of total state spending. In 2027, they’re expected to allocate $5.2 billion; by 2036, it’s $11.2 billion."

Eventually taxpayers will be working our fingers to the bone just to support a vast multitude of comfortably retired former government employees and nothing else.  For two decades CLT has been warning this day is inevitable unless changes are made soon (The Ticking Time Bomb Public Employee Benefits).  Nobody was listening, but as the detonation nears more are beginning to hear the ticking.

Some of the hacks aren't waiting for their healthy pensions.  The kleptocracy is grabbing all our money they can while its available.  With the obscene pay grab locked down by the Legislature, the fallout continues as more hacks discover they're also entitled to an obscene pay raise for themselves.  Such is the case of the state's of all positions Inspector General.  The other Beacon Hill hacks all pocketed their huge pay boosts; now the IG wants his cut of the spoils as well.

And remember:  The higher a hack's salary, the fatter the hack's pension.

Chip Ford
Executive Director


 
The Boston Herald
Thursday, August 3, 2017

A Boston Herald editorial
Baker’s only option


“I’d gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today.” — J. Wellington Wimpy

Let’s face it, Democratic lawmakers on Beacon Hill took the Wimpy approach to Gov. Charlie Baker’s recent proposal to rein in the cost of providing health insurance to the poor in Massachusetts. They grabbed the hamburger — the $200 million in revenue from a series of new fees on employers Baker had proposed — while putting off payment until, well, who knows when.

“Payment,” in this case, is in the form of overdue reforms to the Medicaid system, which is known here as MassHealth and represents 40 percent of the state budget. Baker feels strongly enough about the need for reforms to rein in those costs that he could have backed recalcitrant lawmakers into a corner. A veto of the fees would have scored him points with employer groups.

But it would also risk blowing a $200 million hole in the state budget. And frankly Baker’s decision to accept the fee hikes is an important acknowledgement that businesses share some of the responsibility for fixing this mess — particularly those that benefit from a system that has shifted more of the cost of covering low-income workers to the taxpayers.

We sure hope Baker has secured an ironclad guarantee from House Speaker Robert DeLeo and Senate President Stan Rosenberg that they’ll take up the reform package in a serious and meaningful way — soon. Not to do so would be a dereliction of duty for the Democratic leaders who acknowledge the need to rein in costs — but have refused to guide their members in the direction of real reform.

And please, spare us the excuses that lawmakers simply didn’t have time to consider the reforms Baker had proposed as part of the state budget. It doesn’t require a year-long study to understand that moving a large group of individuals — able-bodied adults, many working full-time — from a fully-subsidized public health plan into a commercial plan that provides them with the same coverage (with slightly higher out-of-pocket costs) would deliver big savings while protecting access to care.

These changes should have happened long ago. But now that lawmakers have fattened up the budget by imposing new fees, they need to eat their spinach.
 

State House News Service
Wednesday, August 2, 2017

With lawmakers on holiday, Baker bids to revive sales tax suspension
By Katie Lannan


Gov. Charlie Baker is mounting a late bid to return the popular sales tax holiday this year, formally asking lawmakers who have already begun their summer break to approve a proposal to hold the tax-free weekend in just 17 days.

The governor's plan received an underwhelming reaction from legislative leaders, with one calling the idea a "colossal mistake."

Baker announced Wednesday that he would file legislation declaring a sales tax holiday for Saturday, Aug. 19 and Sunday, Aug. 20.

"The sales tax holiday gives consumers a much needed break and supports business across the Commonwealth for our hardworking retailers," Baker said in a statement. "We look forward to working with the Legislature to make this important weekend possible, so the Commonwealth can shop local and make purchases tax free."

"We've heard from a lot of folks who said to us that this is really important to them," Baker added in a WBZ NewsRadio interview. "It's important to downtowns, it's important to main streets, and we just think it's the right thing to do."

Baker announced he's filing the bill came on the same day that he plans to sign an employer-based health care assessment, a proposal businesses have likened to a new tax. The governor ran in 2014 on a campaign built in part on opposition to new fees and higher taxes.

The tax holiday's fate is uncertain since the House and Senate are on summer recess and if a holiday bill -- similar bills are pending before two committees -- were to make it to the floor, a single lawmaker could block its progress with a mere objection. The House and Senate plan to meet at least twice a week through August before resuming formal sessions sometime after Labor Day.

The state collected $25.625 billion in taxes during fiscal 2017, which ended June 30, an increase of $355 million or 1.4 percent over fiscal 2016.

Citing the state's tight revenue picture, legislative leaders did not express outright opposition but appeared wary of Baker's tax holiday proposal.

"It makes little sense for the Governor to file this legislation now when the there are several similar bills already in committee. Each year our hope is to hold a sales tax holiday to give our hardworking citizens and local businesses a boost, which is why the House votes consistently in favor of the sales tax holiday whenever revenues allow," House Speaker Robert DeLeo said. "This year, the Commonwealth experienced unpredicted revenue shortfalls and accordingly, the Legislature had to make significant budget cuts to programs and services."

Senate President Stan Rosenberg said he would await the recommendations of the committee that would be charged with reviewing the bill. "The Commonwealth's fiscal situation has not really changed," he said.

The break from the state's 6.25 percent sales tax has been signed into law in 11 of the past 13 years cheered by retailers and lawmakers who say it boosts sales during an otherwise slow period. Lawmakers eschewed the idea last year, pointing to sluggish revenue growth, and some view the holiday as a gimmick.

Revenue growth has been slow again this year, a factor Baker said he took into consideration when deciding to file the bill. He described the holiday as "certainly one of the more popular things we do here in the commonwealth."

Baker is asking lawmakers to agree to the brief tax holiday after he revised tax revenue projections downward for this year by $749 million and vetoed $320 million in spending from the fiscal 2018 budget they passed last month.

Massachusetts finished the last fiscal year, which ended in June, with tax collections that ran $431 million below budget expectations.

The last sales tax holiday, in 2015, passed the House 136-20 and the Senate 27-11. The Department of Revenue estimated $25.5 million in foregone revenue from the holiday that year.

Bills establishing sales tax holidays are pending before the Revenue Committee and the Economic Development and Emerging Technologies Committee.

Rep. Jay Kaufman, the House chair of the Revenue Committee, said the sales tax holiday bills "will continue to sit" before the panel without a vote planned on whether to endorse them. He said he hopes the Legislature does not act on Baker's bill.

"Sales tax holidays under any circumstances are a mistake, and under these circumstances are a colossal mistake," the Lexington Democrat told the News Service. He described sales tax holidays as "sometimes politically attractive" but "not good public policy."

"Built into this proposal is the lie that we can provide public services without paying for them," Kaufman said.

Baker's bill comes as retail industry officials are planning to file a series of ballot initiatives lowering the sales tax, including two that would decrease the sales tax and establish an annual sales tax holiday in August.

Asked on the radio about the possibility of a permanent sales tax holiday, Baker said, "Having predictability on this is certainly not a bad idea."

Bill Rennie of the Massachusetts Association of Retailers told the Economic Development Committee in July that having a sales tax holiday is important to his group's members amid a changing retail landscape.

"Our members compete every day with New Hampshire and with online sellers, sellers like Ebay and Overstock who do not charge sales tax," he said at a July 18 hearing. "We've been fighting for decades now to try to get a level playing field with regards to sales tax collection. Until we reach that point, somewhere in the future hopefully, the sales tax holiday at least has provided a two-day equalizer."


State House News Service
Tuesday, August 8, 2017

Chairman "certain" there won't be a sales tax holiday
By Andy Metzger


Consumers will get no break on the sales tax from the state of Massachusetts this summer, as lawmakers opt for the second year in a row to forego a tax holiday weekend.

Revenue Committee Chairman Jay Kaufman confirmed that August will pass without what has been in recent years a semiannual tradition of suspending the sales tax for one weekend.

"I would say that's certain. I don't see how there could be one since there's no possibility of us having a hearing and a session to vote for one, so there will be no sales tax holiday this year," Kaufman, a Lexington Democrat, told the News Service Monday.

House Speaker Robert DeLeo and Senate President Stan Rosenberg had strongly indicated the sales tax holiday was not on their agenda after Gov. Charlie Baker tried to revive the issue last week by filing his own sales tax holiday legislation.

After lawmakers adjourned their final formal sessions of the summer in late July without taking up a sales tax holiday bill, Baker last Wednesday filed a bill to suspend the 6.25 percent tax on purchases under $2,500 the weekend of Aug. 19-20.

"We've heard from a lot of folks who said to us that this is really important to them," Baker said in a WBZ NewsRadio interview last week. "It's important to downtowns, it's important to main streets, and we just think it's the right thing to do."

Lawmakers left Beacon Hill with sales tax holiday bills idling in committees and Baker, by filing his bill after lawmaker recessed, was apparently counting on legislators being able to pass his controversial bill in informal sessions, which is unlikely since some lawmakers strongly oppose the idea.

Baker filed his bill on the same day that he signed new temporary assessments on employers that critics have labeled a new tax. The assessments are part of a new state budget that will also not deliver a Jan. 1 income tax reduction that lawmakers just a few months ago believed was inevitable.

DeLeo said it made "little sense" for the governor to file a new sales tax holiday bill when other similar bills were already pending before committee, and Rosenberg said he would wait for the recommendations from the committee.

The House and Senate referred the governor's bill (H 3871) to the Revenue Committee, which may not hold a public hearing on it until September.

"Sales tax holidays under any circumstances are a mistake, and under these circumstances are a colossal mistake," Kaufman said last week.

On Monday Kaufman said there are no immediate plans to hold a hearing on the bill.

Kaufman said, "Since it's a proposal for a sales tax holiday, what, 10 days from now, it was sort of not timely filed."

Baker is on a staycation this week in Massachusetts.

Rep. Shaunna O'Connell, a Taunton Republican, suggested there is a double-standard.

Lawmakers this session quickly passed a hefty pay package for themselves, even though state finances were questionable at the beginning of the year, too.

"They can afford to give these huge pay raises, but they can't afford to give the taxpayers just a small little break once a year that they really look forward to and that really stimulates the economy, gets people out shopping," O'Connell told Boston Herald Radio. She said, "I hope people aren't going to forget about this when it comes election time."

Chris Dempsey, director of Transportation for Massachusetts, debated the sales tax holiday on Greater Boston Monday with Jon Hurst, president of the Retailers Association of Massachusetts.

Rather than providing a major stimulus, Dempsey said the holiday only "shifts purchases around" and doesn't create "a lot of new spending."

Hurst said the holiday is a "life preserver" for business that have a "six and a quarter percent anchor around their neck."

Retailers this month filed potential 2018 ballot questions with the goal of both reducing the sales tax and making the sales tax holidy weekend permanent.

Michael P. Norton contributed reporting


State House News Service
Thursday, August 3, 2017

Tax collections on track after one small month
By Colin A. Young


After a bumpy fiscal year 2017, fiscal 2018 got off to a smooth start for the Department of Revenue, which reported collecting $1.798 billion in taxes in July, just slightly more than expected.

July revenues were $6 million, or 0.3 percent, above the monthly benchmark and were "in line with expectations and the trends and patterns of the past several months that were used to develop the FY18 benchmark," DOR said.

Before breaking for recess, legislators said they planned to monitor tax collections before deciding in the fall on whether to override any of Gov. Charlie Baker's $320 million in budget vetoes.

"July revenues came in as expected," Revenue Commissioner Michael Heffernan said in a statement. "We see continued growth in withholding, in regular sales tax, and in meals tax. The more volatile categories, including income returns and bills, refunds, and corporate/ business taxes, showed mixed results."

The first month of the new fiscal year, July is one of the least significant months for state revenue, DOR said.

Income tax collections in July were $1.004 billion, $56 million more than July 2016 but still $10 million or 0.9 percent below the July 2017 monthly benchmark. Withholding was $993 million for the month, and sales and use tax collections were $541 million, both meeting the monthly benchmark.

Corporate and business tax collections were $78 million, $6 million or 8 percent above the monthly benchmark, and other taxes -- including motor fuels, cigarette, estate, and other categories -- were $175 million, 6.1 percent above the monthly benchmark.

The fiscal 2018 budget is predicated on state revenue growth of 2.9 percent over fiscal 2017, which featured growth of just 1.4 percent over the previous year. To meet the fiscal 2018 revenue projection, DOR must collect an additional $24.806 billion by the end of June.


State House News Service
Wednesday, August 2, 2017

Quest for ballot spot begins with filing of initiative petitions
By Stephanie Murray

With an eye on the 2018 and 2020 ballots, 17 groups filed more than two dozen initiative petitions for proposed laws and constitutional amendments in time to be considered for certification by Attorney General Maura Healey.

Wednesday's 5 p.m. petition deadline is the first step in the process to get a question on the statewide ballot. Petitioners filed 26 proposed laws that could show up on the 2018 ballot and two constitutional amendments that would appear on the 2020 ballot if successful, the attorney general's office said.

Lawmakers largely departed the State House late last week for summer recess, and August marks a time for citizens to try their hands at crafting policy.

Medford High School junior Lauren Brown, 16, filed her petition Wednesday to increase the minimum wage to $15 an hour after studying the issue in class.

"I was in this elective at my school called 'Facing History' and each person chose a social issue to research and take action on so I did minimum wage," Brown said. "People can't live on what they're making, yet they're working harder, in my opinion than some people who make really high salaries. Some of them are working multiple jobs or are single parents and they deserve more than they're making."

Brown's mother Patricia, who came with her to submit the petition to the attorney general's office, said the process pushed her daughter out of her comfort zone.

"She learned a lot from it. Just to see how the process goes," Patricia Brown said. "We did it one way and came in June - didn't have all the information we thought we needed so we had to go back, and she stepped out of her zone to ask more people than she did originally. That was good to see."

Petitioners had to submit 10 signatures from registered voters to the attorney general's office by the Wednesday deadline. The attorney general will now decide whether each petition meets certain constitutional requirements. If the attorney general certifies a petition, it may be filed with the Secretary of State. Those decisions are expected Sept. 6, according to the attorney general's office.

Later in the fall, petitioners will be tasked with gathering the necessary 64,750 signatures from registered voters by Dec. 6. At that point, the proposal is sent to the Legislature. If lawmakers don't enact the proposal by the first Wednesday in May, petitioners are given the go-ahead to collect 10,792 more signatures by early June, the last step to get the question on the ballot.

It is not unusual for groups to file several versions of the same initiative petition and decide later which they will gather signatures for.

Different from proposed laws, amendments to the state constitution must pass two constitutional conventions with approval from 25 percent of the Legislature each time before they can land on the ballot.

Brown plans to join Raise Up Massachusetts, a coalition that plans to gather signatures in the fall for its own petition to raise the minimum wage to $15 an hour in Massachusetts by 2022, as well as a proposal for an income surtax on high earners and a measure for guaranteed paid family and medical leave.

Other petitions filed with the attorney general's Boston office shortly before the 5 p.m. deadline included several proposals regarding money in politics filed by Nick Bokron of Pass Mass Amendment, a proposal to lower out-of-pocket costs for holistic health care filed by Carl Tripp and proposals focused on the solar net metering cap and clean energy filed by members of the Cambridge Climate Initiative.

Andover Rep. Jim Lyons filed a petition for a constitutional amendment earlier this summer that would place the decision to fund abortions with public money in the hands of the Legislature.


Associated Press
Saturday, August 5, 2017

Offsetting votes? Ballot proposals both raise, lower taxes
By Bob Salsberg


The menu of more than two dozen proposed questions for the 2018 Massachusetts ballot offers something for pretty much every ideological and political taste, including those who want to raise taxes, cut taxes or perhaps do both at the same time.

The tax paradox could emerge as an intriguing aspect to next year's election.

One initiative dubbed the "millionaire tax" — its sponsors call it the Fair Share Amendment — would impose a surtax of 4 percent on any portion of an individual's annual income that exceeds $1 million. It's estimated to raise $1.9 billion in annual revenue for the state.

The Retailers Association of Massachusetts filed several versions of a proposed ballot question that would reduce the state's 6.25 percent sales tax to either 5 percent or 4.5 percent. Some versions would also require the state hold a sales tax holiday each summer.

Since each 1 percent of the sales tax translates to roughly $1 billion for the state, the projected revenue loss would be $1.25 billion to $1.75 billion, nearly enough to cancel out higher taxes on the wealthy.

So could voters giveth and taketh away when it comes to taxes? Some very early polling suggests support for both measures, and not surprisingly. Consumers would welcome saving some cash at the mall and many struggling to make ends meet would feel little guilt over asking the rich to pay a bit more in taxes.

There is no certainty that any of the ballot initiatives will actually reach voters. The petitions could be withdrawn, ruled unconstitutional or fail to collect the requisite 64,750 signatures among other potential roadblocks. Historically, only a handful of questions make it to the finish line.

The millionaire tax amendment has already qualified for the ballot on the strength of successive votes by two Legislatures, though some of its provisions could face legal challenges.

Still, should both make the ballot and pass, the ramifications would go well beyond a simple tax trade-off.

By law, fixed portions of sales tax revenue are dedicated to the MBTA and the Massachusetts School Building Authority. They would continue to receive the same share even if the tax rate was reduced, leaving an even smaller portion of revenue for the state's general fund.

Under the millionaire tax proposal, all newly-generated revenue would be dedicated for education and transportation purposes. However if the state loses nearly as much overall revenue from sales, the implications for other budget priorities such as health care could be serious, analysts worry.

Eileen McAnneny, president of the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation, said the dilemma points to the hazards of letting voters decide complex tax issues.

"More often than not a ballot question is written by its proponents," she said. "It's very one-sided and it's not a good way to make policy."

Raise up Massachusetts, a coalition of labor and community groups backing the millionaire tax, was focusing on its own campaign and for the moment not worrying about a potential sales tax question, spokesman Steve Crawford said recently. He added that he had faith in voters' ability to sort out conflicting arguments.

Jon Hurst, president of the retailers association, said he was sensitive to the impact a tax cut could have on the state's already tenuous fiscal situation. He noted his group took no formal position on an unsuccessful 2010 ballot question that would have reduced the tax to 3 percent.

But in a blog posting this week, Hurst declared retailers were running out of patience.

"Over the past several years, our members have become increasingly frustrated with the lack of urgency in addressing the very real challenges they face over unfair competition from online sellers and tax-free New Hampshire stores," he wrote.


The Boston Globe
Wednesday, August 9, 2017

Will Massachusetts break its pension promises?
By Evan Horowitz


Massachusetts has made some expensive promises over the years. Chief among them, a commitment to provide retirement pensions for teachers, State Police, and other public workers.

As of now, we don’t have enough money to cover all these pension promises. Every dollar we owe is backed by roughly 60 cents of assets. That’s not terrible — some states are in far worse shape — but it’s not sustainable either.

To ensure that we fill our pension coffers by 2040, the state has embraced an actuarially sound plan, built on a mix of investment strategies, increased contributions, and regular adjustments.

Which is good, except for one thing. It’s not clear how long we’ll be able to follow that plan.

Here’s one problem: There’s no free lunch when it comes to pensions. For the state to meet its long-term obligations, lawmakers have to set aside more money. Every year, in every budget, until we’ve made up the funding gap.

Officially at least, they’ve committed to doing so. But their whole approach is back-loaded, so that the really big contributions are put off for another day. This fiscal year, the state set aside $2.4 billion for pension contributions, which is already 6 percent of total state spending. In 2027, they’re expected to allocate $5.2 billion; by 2036, it’s $11.2 billion.

Even adjusting for inflation — and the fact that Massachusetts will probably be a lot richer in 2036 than it is today — that’s still a massive increase. And it means that when today’s college students become our future representatives, pension contributions could be siphoning tax dollars away from things like schools or health care.

And that’s if the money we put aside continues to earn decent investment returns. Otherwise, even these fast-growing and budget-squeezing state contributions won’t be enough.

The magic number holding everything together in our current pension funding plan is 7.5 percent. That’s the annual rate of return we’re expecting to get on our savings.

It’s not an unreasonable assumption; in fact, state pension investments have done better than that on average since the mid-1980s. But there’s no guarantee we can hit 7.5 percent on a consistent basis. And if investments fall short, we’d need even bigger contributions from taxpayers.

Note, too, that all this is just for state-run pensions. Lots of cities and towns run their own plans for municipal workers, some of them in worse shape than others. Also, there is the MBTA, which has roughly $1 billion in uncovered pension obligations and doesn’t participate in the state system.

But despite all these issues, there is one big reason not to get too worked up about the exact size of our unfunded pension liabilities. A lot of this is really just guesswork.

Which is not a critique of the folks who oversee the Commonwealth’s pension systems. No doubt they do their scrupulous best using the most reliable information available.

But there’s much about the 2030s (and beyond) that we just can’t know. Like, how long people will live, how the stock market will perform, or how deep the next recession will be. Sure, we can look to the past for guidance, but that only gets you so far.

What if we’re at the cusp of a breakthrough cancer treatment. That would be great for humanity but terrible for pension plans, because it could keep retirees alive a lot longer.

Or consider something more humdrum: inflation. Right now, there’s a battle in economics over whether the Federal Reserve should maintain its 2 percent inflation target or aim for something closer to 4 percent.

If the 4 percenters win the day, it would dramatically reduce the cost of state pension obligations — albeit by leaving recipients with less-valuable checks (since state pensions aren’t fully adjusted for inflation.)

Of course, just because forecasting is hard doesn’t mean we should ignore our state’s pension funding shortfall. Under nearly any scenario, additional money will be needed if Massachusetts is to fulfill its promises.

But given the uncertainty, perhaps it makes sense to focus less on the accounting details and more on the institutions and processes designed to keep us on track — like PERAC, which monitors the health of public pension systems around the state, and the state law requiring our government to reassess needs every three years.

For now, these sorts of arrangements seem to be working. Finance experts are developing detailed assessments, and lawmakers are heeding their conclusions. But the real test will come in the years ahead, when required contributions rise and cloudier economic times make it tempting to divert that money for more urgent needs.


The Boston Herald
Wednesday, August 9, 2017

IG may get another salary bump thanks to Legislature’s pay hike
By Matt Stout


The state’s top watchdog is asking the council that decides his salary to again consider hiking his earnings, setting up the potential for a major raise thanks to the controversial pay hike legislation lawmakers rammed through earlier this year.

Inspector General Glenn Cunha has requested the Inspector General Council take up its annual review of his $158,727 salary at its next meeting — scheduled for tomorrow — when he’s expected to make a presentation to the eight-member panel.

Under statute, the council is required each year to set Cunha’s salary — a decision, his office said, that has historically been made at the start of the fiscal year. But the council didn’t do so last year, and instead, after months of delays, gave him a retroactive 3 percent raise at its last meeting three months ago in May.

It’s unclear how the council will act tomorrow, but Cunha could be poised for a major raise, plus more to come, as outlined by the bill lawmakers passed in February hiking their own salaries and stipends.

Here’s why: The bill also raised the pay of the state’s judges in installments, including that of the Supreme Judicial Court’s chief justice. Justice Ralph Gants currently earns $193,739; his salary will rise to $199,989 in January, and then to $206,239 next July.

Under state statute, the IG’s salary — while voted on by the council — is allowed to go as high as 90 percent of the chief justice’s. That means Cunha’s salary could legally be raised as high as $174,365 right now. By next July, the cap on his salary will hit $185,615.

Council members are not required to pay to the cap, but the judicial pay hikes gives them a wide berth to act.

A spokesman for state auditor Suzanne M. Bump said yesterday it was Cunha who requested the council add a review of his salary to tomorrow’s agenda, and referred all other questions to him.

Cunha’s office said that his request was made in “keeping with the council’s statutory obligation and its usual procedures.” He did not directly address if he’d propose a specific raise.

“That is a decision for the Council,” he said in a statement, “and out of respect for them, it should first be addressed with the Council at the open meeting on Thursday.”

 

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