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CLT UPDATE
Saturday, October 8, 2022

Takers Move to Scuttle Tax Cap Refund


Jump directly to CLT's Commentary on the News


Most Relevant News Excerpts
(Full news reports follow Commentary)

The collectors at the Department of Revenue took in $4.187 billion in tax revenue last month, putting the state's coffers more than 5 percent ahead of the pace that led to a massive surplus in the last budget year, with one quarter of fiscal 2023 now in the books.

September receipts came in $194 million or 4.9 percent higher than actual collections from September 2021, and $224 million or 5.7 percent above DOR's September benchmark of $3.963 billion. Through the first quarter, fiscal 2023 collections have totaled about $9.194 billion -- $443 million or 5.1 percent ahead of fiscal 2022 collections over the same period of time and $224 million or 2.5 percent higher than DOR's year-to-date benchmark.

State House News Service
Wednesday, October 5, 2022
Quarterly Tax Take Surpasses Record FY 2022 Pace


The state’s tax windfall streak seems to have continued right into this fall.

“Massachusetts Department of Revenue (DOR) Commissioner Geoffrey Snyder today announced that preliminary revenue collections for September totaled $4.187 billion, $194 million or 4.9% more than the actual collections in September 2021, and $224 million or 5.7% more than benchmark,” revenue said in a Wednesday release.

So far this year the state has taken $9.2 billion in taxes, about $450 million more than at this point last year and $224 million more than originally forecast....

High tax takings last year led to the state auditor determining just last month that Massachusetts had taken too much in taxes and would need to send about $3 billion of it back to taxpayers.

It is unclear if the law that caused the tax rebate, Chapter 62F of the General Laws, is on track to be triggered again after 2022.

The state is forecast to pull in just shy of $40 billion over the course of the year, more than a billion less than was brought in last year.

If September theoretically represents 10% of the year, the state may be looking at another windfall year, with perhaps billions more than was forecast taken by the end of the fiscal year.

The Boston Herald
Wednesday, October 5, 2022
Massachusetts again takes more in taxes than expected


Gov. Charlie Baker continued his push for tax relief Monday, when he took to the airwaves to declare, again, that the state has enough money to pass a stalled economic development bill and send billions back to taxpayers.

“We filed in January a whole series of tax relief measures for low income residents, for people who pay taxes in Massachusetts who are low income, who don’t pay federal income taxes because their income is so low, for renters, for senior homeowners, for people who have expenses related to dependent care,” he said during an appearance on GBH with hosts Margery Eagan and Jim Braude.

Baker submitted an about $700 million tax cut proposal along with his budget at the start of the year.

The proposal was dead on arrival in the Legislature, seemingly, until April’s tax report revealed the state had taken billions more than was expected.

Coupled then with rising fuel prices, the news sent Lawmakers running to declare they, too, would pursue tax relief....

Then it turned out a law from 1986, Chapter 62F of the General Laws, would require nearly $3 billion in taxes be returned to taxpayers.

Baker says the need for relief hasn’t gone away despite any legislative hesitancy.

“We put a whole tax package in front of the Legislature, the vast majority of which was focused on the people we felt were hurting most, because of inflation and rising housing prices and gas costs and all the rest,” Baker said. “That package is currently sitting in a conference committee.”

Legislative leaders say they are concerned the plan isn’t affordable considering the 1986 law.

Baker has said that’s simply not the case and provided the math to back up his assertion....

Last week, while making a campaign stop in Boston, Attorney General Maura Healey, the front runner in the race for the job Baker will leave in January, was asked if a Healey administration would carry through with the tax cuts if they didn’t pass under Baker.

“Yes,” she replied without hesitation.

The Boston Herald
Monday, September 26, 2022
Charlie Baker continues tax cut push, says proposal would help those who need it


(1 of 3) "An Act to Put More Money in More People's Pockets by capping Chapter 62F tax credits for those with incomes greater than $1 million and evenly redistributing the excess amount to all other taxpayers via refund checks authorized by the General Court."

(2 of 3) While it's fairly doubtful the regressive, Regan-era [sic] Ch. 62F would be enacted in today's world of unprecedented wealth and income inequality, given that the law is now on the books and few leaders are willing to critique it, the idea is harm mitigation.

(3 of 3) The draft concept is to adjust the hugely regressive Ch. 62F formula such that 99.4% of taxpayers will get a larger refund this can be accomplished by capping refunds at $6,500 (i.e. the approximate credit for a million dollars in taxable income) and redistributing the excess.

State Rep. Mike Connolly (D-Cambridge)
https://twitter.com/MikeConnollyMA
"Activist, attorney, renter, proud progressive Democrat and DSA member.
State Representative for 26th Middlesex District in #Somerville & #CambMa."
Wednesday, October 5, 2022


The Baker-Polito Administration recently announced its plan to begin providing refunds to taxpayers starting this November, due to Chapter 62F – the 1986 “tax cap law” which sets an artificial limit on how much tax revenue the state collects. A new report, Fundamentally Flawed: 62F Formula Overstates “Excess” by $1.4 Billion, from the Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center (MassBudget) finds, based on data provided by the Executive Office of Administration and Finance (ANF), that the Fiscal Year (FY) 2022 net "excess tax collections" recently certified by the State Auditor are overstated by $1.4 billion due to the poor design of the law.

"This issue underscores how poorly designed the 62F tax cap is - and how problematic it is that the Governor is racing to refund $1.4 billion the Commonwealth doesn't actually have,’ said Kurt Wise, Senior Policy Analyst at MassBudget and author of the report. "Despite all the talk of "excess" revenue, communities around the state need investments that will improve people's quality of life today and build toward a more prosperous and equitable Commonwealth tomorrow. Racing to give away an imaginary "excess" of $1.4 billion dollars - overwhelming to the state's richest households - is shortsighted and irresponsible." ...

Unless policymakers act to clarify and correct the workings of Chapter 62F, this flawed statute on average will shortchange communities across the state when they are most in need.

Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center (MassBudget)
Wednesday October 5, 2022
Fundamentally Flawed: 62F Formula Overstates
FY 2022 Collections by $1.4 Billion


As the election nears, Democrats who control the House and Senate remain unable to agree on how to revive stalled economic development and tax relief plans they highlighted as essential over the summer, pointing to rampant inflation and rising interest rates as factors complicating their decisions.

Budget chiefs for both branches and House Speaker Ron Mariano shed little light Wednesday on the outlook for the bills they first approved months ago, and muddied the waters further by suggesting they have not made decisions on whether to stand by a planned tax rebate program that the top Senate negotiator said last week would "probably not" survive in the final accord.

It's been 69 days since Gov. Charlie Baker publicly announced he expected state government would need to return $2.965 billion to taxpayers under a decades-old law tying allowable state tax revenues to the growth in wages, 20 days since Auditor Suzanne Bump certified the amount due back as $2.94 billion, and 19 days since the Baker administration outlined its plans to ship out checks and direct deposits starting in November with individual refunds.

Mariano said Wednesday that lawmakers still need more time to work through the impact of the law known as Chapter 62F.

"What do you mean it's been settled?" Mariano said of 62F. "It's been settled in the mind of the governor. It hasn't been settled in our minds. What that was was an increase in spending that we hadn't accounted for, so it forced us to go back and reevaluate some of the decisions we had made prior to finding out about 62F and then looking forward, how we're going to deal with an additional $3 billion in expense."

Although state tax revenues smashed expectations, soaring more than 20 percent in one year, and produced a surplus north of $5 billion, the speaker cautioned about potential storm clouds on the horizon.

"The inflation rate is going up, interest rates are going up. All signs are trying to slow the economy down, so that was an additional $3 billion -- people seem to forget that -- we hadn't planned on and was dumped in the lap of these guys as they were putting a budget together," the Quincy Democrat said....

The economic development bills, which the House and Senate both approved in July before Baker went public with his expectations about the mandatory 62F relief, featured about $500 million in permanent tax breaks for renters, seniors, parents and caretakers, plus changes to the estate tax.

It also would have spent $500 million on one-time rebates for middle-income earners, providing $250 checks to qualifying single taxpayers and $500 checks to qualifying married filers.

With taxpayers across the income spectrum now in line for payments of varying size under Chapter 62F, Democrats have not made clear if they plan to also recommend sticking with the rebates they previously approved as a way to help Bay Staters manage the pressures of inflation and high gas prices.

[Senate Ways and Means Committee Chair Michael] Rodrigues told WBSM's South Coast Tonight last week those checks would "probably not" feature in the revived economic development bill "because $3 billion worth of checks are going out" thanks to 62F.

Michlewitz, who spoke to reporters standing next to Rodrigues and Mariano, on Wednesday gave a less definitive answer about the fate of those middle-income rebates.

"We're still working on that. It goes back to the fact that you take the $3 billion out of the discussion point, it changes the equation, the math that we were dealing with. We have to account for that," he said. "We're trying to figure out right now working together on exactly what we can and can't afford. With regard to 62F, that money is going back to the taxpayers at some point, so people will be getting checks. Will we have additional money in an economic development bill? I think we have to decide whether or not, what we can and can't afford before we make that determination."

State House News Service
Wednesday, October 5, 2022
Dems Struggling To Salvage Jobs, Tax Relief Plans
Refunds Under 1986 Law Forcing Long Reevaluation Of Plans


What do a regulatory panel of legal gambling experts and Democrats in charge of wielding supermajority margins in the House and Senate have in common?

Up until Friday afternoon, one answer was clear: paralyzing indecisiveness.

The Massachusetts Gaming Commission did ultimately differentiate itself from legislative leaders, who still can't find agreement, or at least an accord that will net the required unanimous vote, on how much to spend to help businesses and job-seekers compete and aid taxpayers struggling with high inflation....

House and Senate Democrats, meanwhile, are testing the limits of the adage that no news is good news when it comes to the more than $4 billion economic development and tax relief bill they froze on Aug. 1.

They rolled out effectively the same platitudes about "constant communication" (Senate budget chief Michael Rodrigues) and choices about "what we can and can't afford" (House budget chief chief Aaron Michlewitz) in their latest comments that closely resembled what the public has already heard for weeks if not months.

After hyping the critical nature of their planned investments in June and July, the budget chiefs are now showing no urgency about the bill. They declined to shed light on a timeline while appearing together at an unrelated event Wednesday, with Rodrigues saying only he expected an economic development bill to pop in the "near future" and then doubling down on that exact word choice when asked to provide more details. For those unfamiliar, phrases like "near future" are tossed about frequently on Beacon Hill and mean little to anyone.

Swimming in a sea of surplus tax revenues for the second straight fiscal year, Democrats still seem thrown off by the required return of nearly $3 billion to the taxpayers who paid it under a 1986 law that legislative leaders failed to realize was in play until it was basically too late to change it, or adjust.

They, and other voices on the left, might find that obligation especially frustrating. The yearslong effort that legislative leaders support to raise the tax rate on Bay Staters who earn more than $1 million could haul in about $1.3 billion annually; now, state government must return more than twice that amount to taxpayers.

And because the checks will flow out in proportion to taxes paid in, higher earners are in line for more substantial windfalls. In 2019, people who earned more than $1 million - the same population targeted with the surtax plan - paid about 23 percent of the state's entire income tax haul, according to Department of Revenue data. They are likely in line to receive a similarly large share of the total outlay coming up under Chapter 62F.

"Unless policymakers act to clarify and correct the workings of 62F, this fundamentally flawed statute is poised to make after-tax income inequality in Massachusetts worse than it now is, while also reducing the resources available to support important priorities throughout the Commonwealth," the left-leaning Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center wrote in a report this week.

Both branches gaveled out Thursday for a four-day holiday without any action on the stalled bill nor movement on Gov. Charlie Baker's closeout budget bill for fiscal year 2022, which Comptroller William McNamara wanted to be complete by the end of September in order to meet his own Oct. 31 reporting deadline.

While lawmakers grapple with their spending choices, the dollars continue to flow, perhaps planting seeds of worry in some minds that the tax cap could come into effect again next year. The Department of Revenue reported that tax collections through the first quarter are $224 million or 2.5 percent higher than the projected year-to-date benchmark and $443 million or 5.1 percent ahead of the same surplus span in 2021.

State House News Service
Friday, October 7, 2022
Weekly Roundup


On Beacon Hill, Democrats who run the House and Senate seem to be having trouble threading the needle on a rich package of tax breaks and spending measures as well as legislation needed to close out the books on fiscal 2022. On the other hand, the perils of trying to pass major legislation during informal sessions right before an election may be causing them to hold their $4 billion economic development bill in their back pockets and wait to act on it after the election or perhaps early in 2023, when there will be a new governor.

Gov. Charlie Baker's team at the Department of Revenue is not waiting on another important matter. They are readying tax refunds totaling nearly $3 billion to be delivered starting next month and representing shares of money due back to taxpayers under a 1986 law intended to force state government to share massive surpluses with the workers who helped create them. Those refund numbers will be larger for many wealthier taxpayers, running counter to the goal of a surtax on household income above $1 million per year that will be decided by voters on Nov. 8 in the form of Question 1.

State House News Service
Friday, October 7, 2022
Advances - Week of Oct. 9, 2022


Wednesday, Oct. 12, 2022

INCOME SURTAX DEBATE: Max Page, president of the Massachusetts Teachers Association, and Dan Cence, spokesman for the Coalition to Stop the Tax Hike Amendment, debate the merits of the proposal on this year's ballot to add a 4 percent surtax on household income above $1 million. Page and the MTA support Question 1 on the November ballot, which is estimated to raise about $1.3 billion a year that lawmakers are supposed to use for education and transportation investments. Cence represents a group of mostly business organizations that oppose the question on the belief that it will make Massachusetts a less competitive place for business activity and give politicians more money to spend as they see fit. Supporters see the measure as a way to make wealthier residents pay their "fare share" while generating money for education and transportation. The debate is hosted by the Frederick E. Berry Institute of Politics at Salem State University. (Wednesday, 12:15 p.m., Ellison Campus Center, North Campus, 1 Meier Dr., Salem | More Info)

State House News Service
Friday, October 7, 2022
Advances - Week of Oct. 9, 2022


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary


The revenue bonanza continues to pour into the state treasury at record-breaking levels.  The State House News Service reported on Wednesday ("Quarterly Tax Take Surpasses Record FY 2022 Pace"):

The collectors at the Department of Revenue took in $4.187 billion in tax revenue last month, putting the state's coffers more than 5 percent ahead of the pace that led to a massive surplus in the last budget year, with one quarter of fiscal 2023 now in the books.

September receipts came in $194 million or 4.9 percent higher than actual collections from September 2021, and $224 million or 5.7 percent above DOR's September benchmark of $3.963 billion. Through the first quarter, fiscal 2023 collections have totaled about $9.194 billion -- $443 million or 5.1 percent ahead of fiscal 2022 collections over the same period of time and $224 million or 2.5 percent higher than DOR's year-to-date benchmark.

The Boston Herald noted ("Massachusetts again takes more in taxes than expected"):

The state’s tax windfall streak seems to have continued right into this fall....

So far this year the state has taken $9.2 billion in taxes, about $450 million more than at this point last year and $224 million more than originally forecast....

High tax takings last year led to the state auditor determining just last month that Massachusetts had taken too much in taxes and would need to send about $3 billion of it back to taxpayers.

It is unclear if the law that caused the tax rebate, Chapter 62F of the General Laws, is on track to be triggered again after 2022....

If September theoretically represents 10% of the year, the state may be looking at another windfall year, with perhaps billions more than was forecast taken by the end of the fiscal year.

Another tax cap refund may be in the cards for next year!  That's the good news.  The bad news overtook it this week, starting with the Tweet from Democrat-Socialist state Representative Mike Connolly (D-Cambridge), self-described on his Twitter account as:  "Activist, attorney, renter, proud progressive Democrat and DSA member.  State Representative for 26th Middlesex District in #Somerville & #CambMa."

Comrade Connolly posted:

(1 of 3) "An Act to Put More Money in More People's Pockets by capping Chapter 62F tax credits for those with incomes greater than $1 million and evenly redistributing the excess amount to all other taxpayers via refund checks authorized by the General Court."

(2 of 3) While it's fairly doubtful the regressive, Regan-era [sic] Ch. 62F would be enacted in today's world of unprecedented wealth and income inequality, given that the law is now on the books and few leaders are willing to critique it, the idea is harm mitigation.

(3 of 3) The draft concept is to adjust the hugely regressive Ch. 62F formula such that 99.4% of taxpayers will get a larger refund — this can be accomplished by capping refunds at $6,500 (i.e. the approximate credit for a million dollars in taxable income) and redistributing the excess.

On the same day (Wednesday) the left-wing Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center released its latest assault on productive taxpayers with a new report ("Fundamentally Flawed: 62F Formula Overstates FY 2022 Collections by $1.4 Billion"):

The Baker-Polito Administration recently announced its plan to begin providing refunds to taxpayers starting this November, due to Chapter 62F – the 1986 “tax cap law” which sets an artificial limit on how much tax revenue the state collects. A new report, Fundamentally Flawed: 62F Formula Overstates “Excess” by $1.4 Billion, from the Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center (MassBudget) finds, based on data provided by the Executive Office of Administration and Finance (ANF), that the Fiscal Year (FY) 2022 net "excess tax collections" recently certified by the State Auditor are overstated by $1.4 billion due to the poor design of the law.

"This issue underscores how poorly designed the 62F tax cap is - and how problematic it is that the Governor is racing to refund $1.4 billion the Commonwealth doesn't actually have,’ said Kurt Wise, Senior Policy Analyst at MassBudget and author of the report. "Despite all the talk of "excess" revenue, communities around the state need investments that will improve people's quality of life today and build toward a more prosperous and equitable Commonwealth tomorrow. Racing to give away an imaginary "excess" of $1.4 billion dollars - overwhelming to the state's richest households - is shortsighted and irresponsible." ...

Unless policymakers act to clarify and correct the workings of Chapter 62F, this flawed statute on average will shortchange communities across the state when they are most in need.

The Socialists' knives are out.  They hope to first dilute the current tax cap refund and, plotting ahead, to transmogrify CLT's 1986 tax cap law into something by no stretch was it ever intended to be:  Just another redistributionist scheme to pervert the purpose and definition of a tax refund.

According to the Merriam-Webster dictionary, the definition of "refund" is:

1:  the act of refunding

2:  a sum refunded

Words listed there that are synonymous with refund are "reimburse" or "repay."

When asked by Beacon Hill Roll Call for my reaction to these machinations, I responded:

“It’s pathetic to watch the Bay State socialist wing scrambling in panic at even the thought of a tax refund being returned to those who paid the excess taxation into the $5B revenue surplus without their ability to instead direct it to their favored constituencies, if not spend it,” said Chip Ford, executive director of Citizens for Limited Taxation.  (CLT along with the Massachusetts High Technology Council delivered this tax cap onto the 1986 ballot where it was successfully adopted by the voters.)

“’The Takers’ had 36 years to again attack our tax cap law, as did their precursor, the Tax Equity Alliance for Massachusetts which unsuccessfully attempted to block it in court from ever reaching the ballot.  Add to TEAM’s failed effort back then and to this eleventh-hour distraction, a bill just announced by avowed Democratic Socialist Rep. Mike Connolly, ‘An Act to Put More Money in More People's Pockets by capping Chapter 62F tax credits’ and ‘evenly redistributing’ it, according to him.  Redistributionist dogma and congenital class-envy are racing blindly in overdrive.”

Asked to specifically address a few points made in the MassBudget report I went on to explain:

“The 62F refund formula heavily favors very high-income households, so most of this $1.4 billion overstatement will flow to the state’s highest income households.”

The refund is just that
a refund of excess taxes paid.

The “state’s highest income households” pay the highest amount of 5% income taxes.  [Note:  See the Department of Revenue breakdown, from the State House Weekly Roundup report below.]

If you paid $5,000 to the DOR in annual income tax your refund will be (reportedly) 13% of that $5,000 you paid.

If you paid $1,000,000 to the DOR in the annual income tax your refund will be (reportedly) 13% of that $1M you paid.


The refund is a (reportedly) 13% return of whatever you paid
returned to everyone who paid a personal income tax to the Commonwealth in tax year 2021.


Every resident who paid an income tax will be refunded the same percentage of the excess based on however much they paid, period.

In the old days (until a few years ago) this was called “equality” and was not a bad thing.

“Due to Chapter 62F’s failure to account properly for pass-through entity tax credits, the Commonwealth will refund an additional $13,700, on average, to households with million-plus-incomes. For contrast, based on ANF data from tax year 2020, nearly 53% of tax filers with incomes under $25,000 will not receive a 62F credit at all. Unless policymakers act to clarify and correct the workings of Chapter 62F, this flawed statute on average will shortchange communities across the state when they are most in need.

“For contrast, based on ANF data from tax year 2020, nearly 53% of tax filers with incomes under $25,000 will not receive a 62F credit at all.”


This is likely due to that 53% being low-income workers who don't owe or pay any income tax after taking all their deductions, exemptions, and tax credits
and considering earned-income tax credits, the state is likely paying them upon filing their return.

. . . “this flawed statute on average will shortchange communities across the state when they are most in need.”

Where do they find shortchanged “communities” affected by the tax cap refund?  “Communities” don’t pay income taxes
at least “communities” in the historic sense, not the woke “communities of … whatever.”

In its Weekly Roundup the State House News Service reported on Friday:

Swimming in a sea of surplus tax revenues for the second straight fiscal year, Democrats still seem thrown off by the required return of nearly $3 billion to the taxpayers who paid it under a 1986 law that legislative leaders failed to realize was in play until it was basically too late to change it, or adjust.

They, and other voices on the left, might find that obligation especially frustrating. The yearslong effort that legislative leaders support to raise the tax rate on Bay Staters who earn more than $1 million could haul in about $1.3 billion annually; now, state government must return more than twice that amount to taxpayers.

And because the checks will flow out in proportion to taxes paid in, higher earners are in line for more substantial windfalls. In 2019, people who earned more than $1 million - the same population targeted with the surtax plan - paid about 23 percent of the state's entire income tax haul, according to Department of Revenue data. They are likely in line to receive a similarly large share of the total outlay coming up under Chapter 62F.

"Unless policymakers act to clarify and correct the workings of 62F, this fundamentally flawed statute is poised to make after-tax income inequality in Massachusetts worse than it now is, while also reducing the resources available to support important priorities throughout the Commonwealth," the left-leaning Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center wrote in a report this week....

While lawmakers grapple with their spending choices, the dollars continue to flow, perhaps planting seeds of worry in some minds that the tax cap could come into effect again next year. The Department of Revenue reported that tax collections through the first quarter are $224 million or 2.5 percent higher than the projected year-to-date benchmark and $443 million or 5.1 percent ahead of the same surplus span in 2021.

In its "Advances - Week of Oct. 9, 2022" the News Service also noted on Friday:

Gov. Charlie Baker's team at the Department of Revenue . . . are readying tax refunds totaling nearly $3 billion to be delivered starting next month and representing shares of money due back to taxpayers under a 1986 law [see here] intended to force state government to share massive surpluses with the workers who helped create them. Those refund numbers will be larger for many wealthier taxpayers, running counter to the goal of a surtax on household income above $1 million per year that will be decided by voters on Nov. 8 in the form of Question 1.

I had intended to dedicate this CLT Update to the Graduated Income Tax "Fair Share Amendment" Question 1 ballot question.  I have been intending to do that since back on July 27 when Boston Globe columnist Jeff Jacoby's excellent column on the topic was published but that was the very day that news broke of CLT's tax cap likely kicking in this year and the whirlwind began.  During this relative lull while awaiting the refunds to be sent out, this was the week I was going to catch up with that update on Question 1 but along came the above threats and all focus went back onto the tax cap refund.

Life is a challenge.  "Man makes plans and God laughs"!

Chip Ford
Executive Director


Full News Reports
(excerpted above)

State House News Service
Wednesday, October 5, 2022
Quarterly Tax Take Surpasses Record FY 2022 Pace
By Colin A. Young


The collectors at the Department of Revenue took in $4.187 billion in tax revenue last month, putting the state's coffers more than 5 percent ahead of the pace that led to a massive surplus in the last budget year, with one quarter of fiscal 2023 now in the books.

September receipts came in $194 million or 4.9 percent higher than actual collections from September 2021, and $224 million or 5.7 percent above DOR's September benchmark of $3.963 billion. Through the first quarter, fiscal 2023 collections have totaled about $9.194 billion -- $443 million or 5.1 percent ahead of fiscal 2022 collections over the same period of time and $224 million or 2.5 percent higher than DOR's year-to-date benchmark.

"September collections were above monthly benchmarks and above collections from the same period last year. September revenue included increases in most major tax types relative to September 2021 collections, including increases in withholding, non-withholding income tax, and sales, and partially offset by a decrease in corporate and business tax," Revenue Commissioner Geoffrey Snyder said in a statement. "The increase in withholding is likely related to strong labor market conditions. The increase in sales tax reflects continued strength in retail sales."

After adjusting for a pass-through entity excise that officials have said has affected comparisons, year-to-date tax collections are $231 million or 2.6 percent greater than collections in the same period of fiscal 2022 and $169 million or 1.9 percent more than the year-to-date benchmark, DOR said.

While DOR has now established monthly revenue benchmarks for September through June 2023, there is a good chance the agency will adjust those expectations as the budget year goes on. The benchmarks are all based on the assumption (agreed to by legislative leaders and the Baker administration) that fiscal 2023 revenue will total $39.618 billion. That would be a drop of almost 4 percent from the $41.105 billion that was hauled in during fiscal year 2022, a year in which state tax revenue surged so high compared to wage growth that it triggered a long-forgotten tax relief law.

Estimated payments are required from many corporations and individuals in September, DOR said, which makes the month a significant one for state tax collections. The month generally accounts for 10 percent of the annual haul, making it the "third or fourth largest revenue month of the year," DOR said.

October revenues will be due from DOR on Thursday, Nov. 3. The benchmark for October collections has been set at $2.066 billion, DOR said.


The Boston Herald
Wednesday, October 5, 2022
Massachusetts again takes more in taxes than expected
By Matthew Medsger


The state’s tax windfall streak seems to have continued right into this fall.

“Massachusetts Department of Revenue (DOR) Commissioner Geoffrey Snyder today announced that preliminary revenue collections for September totaled $4.187 billion, $194 million or 4.9% more than the actual collections in September 2021, and $224 million or 5.7% more than benchmark,” revenue said in a Wednesday release.

So far this year the state has taken $9.2 billion in taxes, about $450 million more than at this point last year and $224 million more than originally forecast.

Income taxes accounted for about $2.2 billion of September’s revenue, an increase over 2021 of 7.4% and $131 million more than expected.

Withholding taxes made up another $1.2 billion, 7.6% more than last year.

Sales tax brought in $766 million, 10% more than was taken in 2021 and nearly 12% more than was forecast.

“September revenue included increases in most major tax types relative to September 2021 collections, including increases in withholding, non-withholding income tax, and sales, and partially offset by a decrease in corporate and business tax. The increase in withholding is likely related to strong labor market conditions. The increase in sales tax reflects continued strength in retail sales,” Snyder said in the release.

Revenue says that September tends to be a good tax month due to the arrival of quarterly estimated payments from corporations and contractors but cautions the fiscal year is young enough September alone should not be taken as an indicator of how the rest of the year will go.

However, the month does normally account for a full tenth of the yearly take, they said.

“Historically, roughly 10% of annual revenue, on average, has been received during September,” the department said.

High tax takings last year led to the state auditor determining just last month that Massachusetts had taken too much in taxes and would need to send about $3 billion of it back to taxpayers.

It is unclear if the law that caused the tax rebate, Chapter 62F of the General Laws, is on track to be triggered again after 2022.

The state is forecast to pull in just shy of $40 billion over the course of the year, more than a billion less than was brought in last year.

If September theoretically represents 10% of the year, the state may be looking at another windfall year, with perhaps billions more than was forecast taken by the end of the fiscal year.

Herald wire services contributed.


The Boston Herald
Monday, September 26, 2022
Charlie Baker continues tax cut push, says proposal would help those who need it
By Matthew Medsger


Gov. Charlie Baker continued his push for tax relief Monday, when he took to the airwaves to declare, again, that the state has enough money to pass a stalled economic development bill and send billions back to taxpayers.

“We filed in January a whole series of tax relief measures for low income residents, for people who pay taxes in Massachusetts who are low income, who don’t pay federal income taxes because their income is so low, for renters, for senior homeowners, for people who have expenses related to dependent care,” he said during an appearance on GBH with hosts Margery Eagan and Jim Braude.

Baker submitted an about $700 million tax cut proposal along with his budget at the start of the year.

The proposal was dead on arrival in the Legislature, seemingly, until April’s tax report revealed the state had taken billions more than was expected.

Coupled then with rising fuel prices, the news sent Lawmakers running to declare they, too, would pursue tax relief.

The House, on July 11, announced it had developed its own plan which would couple about $500 million in tax cuts with another $500 million in direct rebate checks. The Senate was quick to announce a similar plan. The proposals passed both chambers unanimously.

Then it turned out a law from 1986, Chapter 62F of the General Laws, would require nearly $3 billion in taxes be returned to taxpayers.

Baker says the need for relief hasn’t gone away despite any legislative hesitancy.

“We put a whole tax package in front of the Legislature, the vast majority of which was focused on the people we felt were hurting most, because of inflation and rising housing prices and gas costs and all the rest,” Baker said. “That package is currently sitting in a conference committee.”

Legislative leaders say they are concerned the plan isn’t affordable considering the 1986 law.

Baker has said that’s simply not the case and provided the math to back up his assertion.

He said said Monday there is still time for lawmakers to act on the bill, despite the fact they are no longer meeting formally.

“A lot of the rest of it, they could do in an informal, and the versions that are currently in conference that passed the House and the Senate both passed unanimously, so I don’t think there’s going to be a lot of negativity in either branch about supporting the non-bond pieces if they come out,” he said.

Even if lawmakers don’t pass the bill this session, tax cuts are not necessarily dead.

Last week, while making a campaign stop in Boston, Attorney General Maura Healey, the front runner in the race for the job Baker will leave in January, was asked if a Healey administration would carry through with the tax cuts if they didn’t pass under Baker.

“Yes,” she replied without hesitation.


Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center (MassBudget)
Wednesday October 5, 2022
Fundamentally Flawed: 62F Formula Overstates
FY 2022 Collections by $1.4 Billion
New MassBudget highlights updated data on the impacts of
Chapter 62F in the Commonwealth


For Immediate Release
Wednesday October 5, 2022

BOSTON – The Baker-Polito Administration recently announced its plan to begin providing refunds to taxpayers starting this November, due to Chapter 62F – the 1986 “tax cap law” which sets an artificial limit on how much tax revenue the state collects. A new report, Fundamentally Flawed: 62F Formula Overstates “Excess” by $1.4 Billion, from the Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center (MassBudget) finds, based on data provided by the Executive Office of Administration and Finance (ANF), that the Fiscal Year (FY) 2022 net "excess tax collections" recently certified by the State Auditor are overstated by $1.4 billion due to the poor design of the law.

"This issue underscores how poorly designed the 62F tax cap is - and how problematic it is that the Governor is racing to refund $1.4 billion the Commonwealth doesn't actually have,’ said Kurt Wise, Senior Policy Analyst at MassBudget and author of the report. "Despite all the talk of "excess" revenue, communities around the state need investments that will improve people's quality of life today and build toward a more prosperous and equitable Commonwealth tomorrow. Racing to give away an imaginary "excess" of $1.4 billion dollars - overwhelming to the state's richest households - is shortsighted and irresponsible."

Key takeaways from the report include:

• Fundamental flaws in the 62F formula have resulted in an overstatement of FY22 excess tax collections by about $1.4 billion;

• The artificially high calculation of excess tax collections in FY22 is due to a timing mismatch between when tax filers paid their pass-through entity (PTE) excise taxes and the lag in claiming their corresponding credits on those taxes;

• This calculation mismatch almost doubles the total amount of money designated for 62F tax refunds; and

• The 62F refund formula heavily favors very high-income households, so most of this $1.4 billion overstatement will flow to the state’s highest income households.

Due to Chapter 62F’s failure to account properly for pass-through entity tax credits, the Commonwealth will refund an additional $13,700, on average, to households with million-plus-incomes. For contrast, based on ANF data from tax year 2020, nearly 53% of tax filers with incomes under $25,000 will not receive a 62F credit at all. Unless policymakers act to clarify and correct the workings of Chapter 62F, this flawed statute on average will shortchange communities across the state when they are most in need.

Key staff related to this report are available to discuss in further detail.

###

Related Content:
62F Credits Benefit the Rich
A Blast From the Past: Reagan-Era Tax Law Hits Hard


State House News Service
Wednesday, October 5, 2022
Dems Struggling To Salvage Jobs, Tax Relief Plans
Refunds Under 1986 Law Forcing Long Reevaluation Of Plans
By Chris Lisinski


As the election nears, Democrats who control the House and Senate remain unable to agree on how to revive stalled economic development and tax relief plans they highlighted as essential over the summer, pointing to rampant inflation and rising interest rates as factors complicating their decisions.

Budget chiefs for both branches and House Speaker Ron Mariano shed little light Wednesday on the outlook for the bills they first approved months ago, and muddied the waters further by suggesting they have not made decisions on whether to stand by a planned tax rebate program that the top Senate negotiator said last week would "probably not" survive in the final accord.

It's been 69 days since Gov. Charlie Baker publicly announced he expected state government would need to return $2.965 billion to taxpayers under a decades-old law tying allowable state tax revenues to the growth in wages, 20 days since Auditor Suzanne Bump certified the amount due back as $2.94 billion, and 19 days since the Baker administration outlined its plans to ship out checks and direct deposits starting in November with individual refunds.

Mariano said Wednesday that lawmakers still need more time to work through the impact of the law known as Chapter 62F.

"What do you mean it's been settled?" Mariano said of 62F. "It's been settled in the mind of the governor. It hasn't been settled in our minds. What that was was an increase in spending that we hadn't accounted for, so it forced us to go back and reevaluate some of the decisions we had made prior to finding out about 62F and then looking forward, how we're going to deal with an additional $3 billion in expense."

Although state tax revenues smashed expectations, soaring more than 20 percent in one year, and produced a surplus north of $5 billion, the speaker cautioned about potential storm clouds on the horizon.

"The inflation rate is going up, interest rates are going up. All signs are trying to slow the economy down, so that was an additional $3 billion -- people seem to forget that -- we hadn't planned on and was dumped in the lap of these guys as they were putting a budget together," the Quincy Democrat said.

Baker has suggested action on the bill, which originally carried a bottom line of more than $4 billion combining surplus, American Rescue Plan Act aid and bond authorizations, might come in October.

Lawmakers shed no light Wednesday on a timeline for action. Senate Ways and Means Committee Chair Michael Rodrigues said he is "confident that we're going to get it done in the very near future."

Asked what he meant by "near future," Rodrigues replied, "The near future."

Legislative leaders have just about one month left if they hope to get their work on the bill complete before all 200 seats in the House and Senate are up for election, and House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Aaron Michlewitz said that the Nov. 8 election date is not a pressure point in the slow-moving talks.

"I don't think it's determinant on whether it's before or after the election. I think we don't have an agreement," Michlewitz said. "Until we have an agreement, we can't make any determination on when exactly that's going to be ready. We're working diligently, as the senator said, talking almost every day about this and we're hopeful to get it done as soon as possible."

"We take our jobs very seriously and responsibly," Rodrigues added. "We're talking about billions of dollars of taxpayers' money. We want to make sure we do reach an agreement on what is the best investment of those taxpayer dollars."

The economic development bills, which the House and Senate both approved in July before Baker went public with his expectations about the mandatory 62F relief, featured about $500 million in permanent tax breaks for renters, seniors, parents and caretakers, plus changes to the estate tax.

It also would have spent $500 million on one-time rebates for middle-income earners, providing $250 checks to qualifying single taxpayers and $500 checks to qualifying married filers.

With taxpayers across the income spectrum now in line for payments of varying size under Chapter 62F, Democrats have not made clear if they plan to also recommend sticking with the rebates they previously approved as a way to help Bay Staters manage the pressures of inflation and high gas prices.

Rodrigues told WBSM's South Coast Tonight last week those checks would "probably not" feature in the revived economic development bill "because $3 billion worth of checks are going out" thanks to 62F.

Michlewitz, who spoke to reporters standing next to Rodrigues and Mariano, on Wednesday gave a less definitive answer about the fate of those middle-income rebates.

"We're still working on that. It goes back to the fact that you take the $3 billion out of the discussion point, it changes the equation, the math that we were dealing with. We have to account for that," he said. "We're trying to figure out right now working together on exactly what we can and can't afford. With regard to 62F, that money is going back to the taxpayers at some point, so people will be getting checks. Will we have additional money in an economic development bill? I think we have to decide whether or not, what we can and can't afford before we make that determination."

The House's original version of the bill also included $10 million toward the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program, or LIHEAP, which has been thrust into the spotlight by projections that Massachusetts heating prices will soar this winter.

Mariano said Wednesday it "remains to be seen" if the Legislature will take action to provide immediate assistance to families squeezed by utility bills as the temperatures drop.

"We are expecting huge increases in November because of the natural gas increases. We're in a very different economic situation now with OPEC closing down the gas pipelines and the Russians shutting down their delivery to Europe," Mariano said. "We don't know where this is going to end up. We're going to need federal help. We're all going to have to work together to solve some of these problems, but we are expecting to see very large increases."

Sam Drysdale contributed reporting.


State House News Service
Friday, October 7, 2022
Weekly Roundup - Heavy Is The Head
Recap and analysis of the week in state government
By Chris Lisinski


What do a regulatory panel of legal gambling experts and Democrats in charge of wielding supermajority margins in the House and Senate have in common?

Up until Friday afternoon, one answer was clear: paralyzing indecisiveness.

The Massachusetts Gaming Commission did ultimately differentiate itself from legislative leaders, who still can't find agreement, or at least an accord that will net the required unanimous vote, on how much to spend to help businesses and job-seekers compete and aid taxpayers struggling with high inflation. On Friday afternoon, they voted to identify "late January" as the launch date for in-person sports betting at casinos and the state's slots parlor and to identify "early March" as the targeted launch date for mobile sports betting.

They needed triple overtime to get there. The commission met for eight-plus hours on Thursday, often tripping over disagreements with one another and coming up shy of their goal of stating when residents might be able to start betting under a law that was approved in early August.

"I am concerned about our ability to move forward," chairwoman Cathy Judd-Stein lamented as that meeting wound to its close.

By the time the clock hit 6 p.m., regulators still did not have consensus and opted to resume their work Friday on an "emergency" basis, the emergency being their inability to reach an agreement on Thursday. After three more hours of talk on Friday, they agreed on a framework that had been in play all day on Thursday.

Unlike lawmakers, who keep most of their many disagreements private, the gaming panel's debate played out in full public, livestreamed view, giving anyone interested a glimpse.

House and Senate Democrats, meanwhile, are testing the limits of the adage that no news is good news when it comes to the more than $4 billion economic development and tax relief bill they froze on Aug. 1.

They rolled out effectively the same platitudes about "constant communication" (Senate budget chief Michael Rodrigues) and choices about "what we can and can't afford" (House budget chief chief Aaron Michlewitz) in their latest comments that closely resembled what the public has already heard for weeks if not months.

After hyping the critical nature of their planned investments in June and July, the budget chiefs are now showing no urgency about the bill. They declined to shed light on a timeline while appearing together at an unrelated event Wednesday, with Rodrigues saying only he expected an economic development bill to pop in the "near future" and then doubling down on that exact word choice when asked to provide more details. For those unfamiliar, phrases like "near future" are tossed about frequently on Beacon Hill and mean little to anyone.

Swimming in a sea of surplus tax revenues for the second straight fiscal year, Democrats still seem thrown off by the required return of nearly $3 billion to the taxpayers who paid it under a 1986 law that legislative leaders failed to realize was in play until it was basically too late to change it, or adjust.

They, and other voices on the left, might find that obligation especially frustrating. The yearslong effort that legislative leaders support to raise the tax rate on Bay Staters who earn more than $1 million could haul in about $1.3 billion annually; now, state government must return more than twice that amount to taxpayers.

And because the checks will flow out in proportion to taxes paid in, higher earners are in line for more substantial windfalls. In 2019, people who earned more than $1 million - the same population targeted with the surtax plan - paid about 23 percent of the state's entire income tax haul, according to _Department of Revenue data._ They are likely in line to receive a similarly large share of the total outlay coming up under Chapter 62F.

https://cltg.org/cltg/clt2022/docs/22-10-07_2019_Quintile_Table.pdf

"Unless policymakers act to clarify and correct the workings of 62F, this fundamentally flawed statute is poised to make after-tax income inequality in Massachusetts worse than it now is, while also reducing the resources available to support important priorities throughout the Commonwealth," the left-leaning Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center wrote in a report this week.

https://cltg.org/cltg/clt2022/docs/22-10-05_62F-Formula-Overstates-Excess.pdf

Both branches gaveled out Thursday for a four-day holiday without any action on the stalled bill nor movement on Gov. Charlie Baker's closeout budget bill for fiscal year 2022, which Comptroller William McNamara wanted to be complete by the end of September in order to meet his own Oct. 31 reporting deadline.

While lawmakers grapple with their spending choices, the dollars continue to flow, perhaps planting seeds of worry in some minds that the tax cap could come into effect again next year. The Department of Revenue reported that tax collections through the first quarter are $224 million or 2.5 percent higher than the projected year-to-date benchmark and $443 million or 5.1 percent ahead of the same surplus span in 2021.

Baker flew out to Utah for a conference hosted by one of his predecessors, Sen. Mitt Romney, after delivering his final annual address to the Providers' Council, an event where he touted his work over the past eight years to boost human service provider rates and industry representatives poured on the praise.

As Baker took a victory lap, the frontrunner to succeed him kept her campaign on cruise control.

Attorney General Maura Healey, who easily secured the Democratic nomination for governor, made great effort not to diverge from a pre-planned message about housing, education, affordability and health care at her latest campaign event.

Asked three times how she might wield the office differently than Baker, Healey dodged every time. Instead of offering any type of example, she said she has "a lot of regard and respect" for the Republican governor and even suggested that the question itself puts the "cart ... before the horse."

Healey took a firmer stance on another topic later on Thursday, telling the Boston Globe via a brief statement from her press team that she would move to pardon state convictions for simple marijuana possession if elected, following President Joe Biden's blockbuster announcement that he would offer pardons to those with federal marijuana possession convictions and undertake an expedited review of the drug's classification.

Republican gubernatorial nominee Geoff Diehl criticized Biden's proposal as "the latest in a series of outrageous moves" that "eliminate consequences for wrongful actions," though he said he would respect the voter-approved law legalizing recreational marijuana here.

STORY OF THE WEEK: Beacon Hill lost a towering figure Saturday when former Senate Clerk William Welch died at 72. Lawmakers and former colleagues remembered him as a "consummate professional," someone who was "even-keeled" and "always proper and correct."


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