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CLT UPDATE
Sunday, June 13, 2021

Fallout From Advancing The Grad Tax


Jump directly to CLT's Commentary on the News


Most Relevant News Excerpts
(Full news reports follow Commentary)

“When the Fair Share Amendment was first introduced in 2015, there were about 15,000 Massachusetts residents earning over $1 million a year,” said O’Day.  “Now in 2021, there are about 18,000 residents earning over $1 million a year.  Clearly, there are millionaires and billionaires who can afford to pay their fair share in taxes, which will support our neighbors and local communities with investments in public education and transportation.”

“In a brash case of the pot calling the kettle black, after voting to move the graduated income tax to the ballot, Rep. James O'Day said of his targets, ‘They are the ones, obviously, that will have the ability to throw a ton of cash at this issue and that’s probably how they’re going to try to beat it,’” said Chip Ford, executive director of Citizens for Limited Taxation, which led the charge that defeated the last two attempts to impose a graduated income tax on the 1976 and 1994 ballots.  “I hope he's right,” continued Ford.  “The reliably deep-pockets opponents of any true 'tax fairness’ and relentless advocates for higher taxes, the teachers and labor unions that make most ballot questions a financially lopsided affair sound concerned to compete on a more level playing field.  So it's game-on, taxpayers, let round six of the Tax Olympics begin.  We need to hand them another grad tax defeat on the 2022 ballot — for the sixth time.”

Beacon Hill Roll Call
Volume 46 - Report No. 24
June 7-11, 2021
Tax Millionaires Another 4 Percent (S-5)


Critics say the lack of roll calls shows the complete lack of transparency in the Senate and place the blame on all 40 senators, both Democrats and Republicans.  A roll call vote can be requested by any one senator and that senator needs only two other senators, for a total of three senators, to mandate that the roll calls take place. So it would only take three of the 37 Democratic senators or all three Republican senators to demand a roll call.  In fact Senate rule number 56 was instituted years ago to ensure that the minority party has the power to demand a roll call.  The rule states that “regardless of the party affiliation of the person requesting or supporting a call of the yeas and nays, the sense of the Senate shall be taken by yeas and nays whenever required by one-fifth of the members present or by a number of members equal to the total number of members of the minority party, whichever is less.”

"Never mind lack of transparency, there's no accountability without recorded votes," said Chip Ford, executive director of Citizens for Limited Taxation.  "We've reached a lack of even necessity.  Why fund a 'full-time' and highly-paid legislature of 200 silent members with all the accompanying perks, 'leadership stipends,' chambers, offices and staff, when with growing frequency all that's necessary today is a House speaker, a Senate president, and a rubber stamp?  The two leaders can confer with the governor, the triumvirate decide all state policy, and drop any pretense of 'representation' along with its attendant costs.  At least voters would then know who’s responsible at less expense."

Beacon Hill Roll Call
Volume 46 - Report No. 24
June 7-11, 2021
Covid-19 Policy Extensions (S-2467)


A day after the Legislature advanced a Constitutional amendment imposing a four percent surtax on incomes above $1 million, Gov. Charlie Baker said the state should not raise taxes following a devastating pandemic, and pointed to billions in federal aid dollars that elected officials still need to allocate.

The House and Senate voted 159-41 Wednesday afternoon to advance the amendment that advocates say could raise $2 billion per year for education and transportation and opponents view as a risky move that could scare high-earning individuals and their capital out of Massachusetts and lead to a graduated income tax structure.

Voters are now set during the November 2022 election to decide whether or not to approve the measure. The Republican governor has long said he is against raising taxes, and asked Thursday whether or not tax policy should be written into the state's Constitution, he returned to that view.

"I said before that I don't think we should be raising taxes," Baker said at a press conference in Roxbury. "We have, between state and local government, we have $10 billion already in federal funds that we need to find a way to put to work. And I really think our focus ought to be on that." ...

"So first of all, we're coming out of a pandemic," he said. "We have hundreds of thousands of people who are looking for work. And we actually don't know exactly what the impact of the pandemic is going to be on how people think about where and how they work and the nature of how organizations are going to set up and manage their organizations in the future."

The state is currently deciding how nearly $5.28 billion in federal aid should be dispensed to communities, a question that has put the Legislature and the governor at odds in recent weeks.

The state's tax hauls have also far exceeded benchmarks, with revenue officials reporting twice as much revenue during May than originally expected....

Senate Minority Leader Bruce Tarr said between 1993 and 2018, Massachusetts experienced a net outflow of $20.7 billion in taxable income. He said if the state raised taxes on individuals earning over $1 million that outflow could increase.

"If that's what's happening now, imagine what happens when we change the dynamic where those earning above $1 million dollars have their taxes increased again," Tarr said Wednesday afternoon.

State House News Service
Thursday, June 10, 2021
Baker Points To Fed Aid As Surtax Debate Heats Up
"I Said Before That I Don't Think We Should Be Raising Taxes"


As remote working opportunities open up relocation opportunities for millions of Americans, low tax states are seeing an influx of people while high tax states are seeing net out-migration. This trend, which according to a redfin report has been ongoing for the last eight years at least, saw four people entering a low tax state for each person who left, while higher tax states saw 2.5 people leaving for every new entry.

But with low tax states like Florida, Montana and, to a lesser extent, Texas attracting buyers from across the country, where does that leave mortgage professionals in states with higher income and property taxes?

To find out, MPA spoke to John Donlon, co-founder of GoldCoast Mortgage in Beverly, Massachusetts. His state has long held a reputation as “Taxachusetts” with the 7th highest state income tax burden in the country, according to a Wallethub study. He explained that with remote work opening up new options for buyers, he has to navigate in a market where someone working in Massachusetts might rather move to a low-tax state like Florida, or even neighboring New Hampshire.

“We have a client who retired out of the Air Force and was moving from Colorado, and he had the choice of any state where he could relocate and buy a home. He chose New Hampshire because his retirement income wasn’t going to be taxed,” Donlon said. “He bypassed Mass. and went for New Hampshire because it’s a low-income tax state.”

Donlon, who is licensed in New Hampshire and Maine, as well as Massachusetts, explained that even though New Hampshire has a higher property tax rate, his client was keen to move where his income wouldn’t be as taxed. Donlon and his team worked out that even with a higher property tax rate, his client would be saving money there.

While his multi-state licensing allows Donlon to secure deals that might not happen because of Massachusetts’ tax rate, he explained that a looming millionaire’s tax on an already high-income state could push more high earners away. He explained, though, that local knowledge can help secure deals thanks to variation in municipal tax rates and a crucial ballot measure.

That ballot measure is called Proposition 2½, it was enacted in 1980 and since then has prevented any city from raising their property tax rate by more than 2.5% without first obtaining the voters’ approval....

Donlon doesn’t think that taxes alone will drive Massachusetts’ homebuyers to Florida, but taken with the anguish of shovelling snow in winter it may spark the beginning of a trend. He sees many buyers looking long term at initiatives like this millionaire’s tax, or even at local estate tax rates, and thinks they may move out-of-state based on those.

Mortgage Professional America
Thursday, June 10, 2021
Buyers are flocking to low tax states - where does that leave high tax markets?


The business community will need to regroup now that the Legislature has overwhelmingly approved the so-called “millionaires tax” again.

The setback is a stark contrast to the stunning legal victory that five major business groups scored in 2018 when the state Supreme Judicial Court sidelined efforts to impose this new income tax surcharge on annual earnings above $1 million.

A legal victory will be much harder to come by now that the “Fair Share Amendment” has returned. A bruising ballot battle, pitting big business against big labor, seems more likely. The union-funded Raise Up Massachusetts coalition could end up facing off against a newly formed nonprofit created to be Raise Up’s antagonist, dubbed Partnership for Massachusetts’ Future, among other business-backed foes....

Critics say the surcharge won’t raise anywhere near that amount. They doubt it will bind the Legislature to use the money for the seemingly noble causes of public schools, roads, and trains. And they claim it will hurt the state’s economic competitiveness, maybe even resurrecting the dreaded “Taxachusetts” label....

Raise Up had tried to advance the ballot question as a citizens’ petition the last time around. It turned out to be a fatal legal mistake. The Supreme Judicial Court essentially ruled that the proponents could not bundle three seemingly unrelated items: taxing high earners, spending money on education, and also spending on transportation.

The tax on higher earners still looks the same. But there’s one key change: It’s being submitted as a proposal from state lawmakers, not the citizenry. For that reason, supporters and critics alike say the “relatedness” question that stymied it the last time around probably will not apply.

That’s not to say a legal challenge has been ruled out. Appellate lawyer Kevin Martin, whose team at Goodwin Procter successfully championed the business community three years ago before the SJC, confirmed Goodwin has been hired by the Massachusetts High Technology Council to consider possible legal options....

Voters may want to punish people like Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk, especially after the ProPublica report this week on how those billionaire bigwigs minimized their income taxes. But Stergios said it’s the local small business owners who would be most affected by Fair Share....

Will Fair Share solve that problem? Probably not. But business leaders will likely need a strong counterargument to win over enough voters when the long-discussed tax on top earners finally gets on the ballot. Odds are they won’t have the SJC’s help this time.

The Boston Globe
Thursday, June 10, 2021
After State House loss, business leaders will need to regroup on higher-earners tax fight
Trade groups weigh legal challenges and multimillion-dollar ballot campaign


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

Beacon Hill Roll Call, founded in 1975, exists to count and report roll call votes in the Legislature so readers of its statewide syndicated weekly newspaper reports can learn how their state representative and senator voted on key issues before them.  When there are no roll call votes an occurrence of growing regularity it's impossible to discern how a particular legislator voted.  This is how legislators like it, cultivating their constituents like mushrooms keeping them in the dark and well-fertilized.  This growing phenomenon is bipartisan within The Beacon Hill Club — governing as preferred by both Democrats and Republican alike.

For its report this week ("Covid-19 Policy Extensions (S-2467)") Beacon Hill Roll Call highlighted this expanding evasion of accountability and requested comments from a number of us (an excerpt follows full report below):

. . . Critics say the lack of roll calls shows the complete lack of transparency in the Senate and place the blame on all 40 senators, both Democrats and Republicans.  A roll call vote can be requested by any one senator and that senator needs only two other senators, for a total of three senators, to mandate that the roll calls take place. So it would only take three of the 37 Democratic senators or all three Republican senators to demand a roll call.  In fact Senate rule number 56 was instituted years ago to ensure that the minority party has the power to demand a roll call.  The rule states that “regardless of the party affiliation of the person requesting or supporting a call of the yeas and nays, the sense of the Senate shall be taken by yeas and nays whenever required by one-fifth of the members present or by a number of members equal to the total number of members of the minority party, whichever is less.”

"Never mind lack of transparency, there's no accountability without recorded votes," said Chip Ford, executive director of Citizens for Limited Taxation.  "We've reached a lack of even necessity.  Why fund a 'full-time' and highly-paid legislature of 200 silent members with all the accompanying perks, 'leadership stipends,' chambers, offices and staff, when with growing frequency all that's necessary today is a House speaker, a Senate president, and a rubber stamp?  The two leaders can confer with the governor, the triumvirate decide all state policy, and drop any pretense of 'representation' along with its attendant costs.  At least voters would then know who’s responsible at less expense."

A day earlier Beacon Hill Roll Call contacted me for a comment on a report it was working on ("Tax Millionaires Another 4 Percent (S-5)").  I couldn't resist going after a previous comment made by this sixth Grad Tax's lead advocate in the House, Rep. James O'Day, D-West Boylston. An excerpt follows (the full report can be found below):

“When the Fair Share Amendment was first introduced in 2015, there were about 15,000 Massachusetts residents earning over $1 million a year,” said O’Day.  “Now in 2021, there are about 18,000 residents earning over $1 million a year.  Clearly, there are millionaires and billionaires who can afford to pay their fair share in taxes, which will support our neighbors and local communities with investments in public education and transportation.”

“In a brash case of the pot calling the kettle black, after voting to move the graduated income tax to the ballot, Rep. James O'Day said of his targets, ‘They are the ones, obviously, that will have the ability to throw a ton of cash at this issue and that’s probably how they’re going to try to beat it,’” said Chip Ford, executive director of Citizens for Limited Taxation, which led the charge that defeated the last two attempts to impose a graduated income tax on the 1976 and 1994 ballots.  “I hope he's right,” continued Ford.  “The reliably deep-pockets opponents of any true 'tax fairness’ and relentless advocates for higher taxes, the teachers and labor unions that make most ballot questions a financially lopsided affair sound concerned to compete on a more level playing field.  So it's game-on, taxpayers, let round six of the Tax Olympics begin.  We need to hand them another grad tax defeat on the 2022 ballot — for the sixth time.”


The State House News Service on Thursday reported ("Baker Points To Fed Aid As Surtax Debate Heats Up 'I Said Before That I Don't Think We Should Be Raising Taxes'"):

A day after the Legislature advanced a Constitutional amendment imposing a four percent surtax on incomes above $1 million, Gov. Charlie Baker said the state should not raise taxes following a devastating pandemic, and pointed to billions in federal aid dollars that elected officials still need to allocate.

The House and Senate voted 159-41 Wednesday afternoon to advance the amendment that advocates say could raise $2 billion per year for education and transportation and opponents view as a risky move that could scare high-earning individuals and their capital out of Massachusetts and lead to a graduated income tax structure.

Voters are now set during the November 2022 election to decide whether or not to approve the measure. The Republican governor has long said he is against raising taxes, and asked Thursday whether or not tax policy should be written into the state's Constitution, he returned to that view.

"I said before that I don't think we should be raising taxes," Baker said at a press conference in Roxbury. "We have, between state and local government, we have $10 billion already in federal funds that we need to find a way to put to work. And I really think our focus ought to be on that." ...

"So first of all, we're coming out of a pandemic," he said. "We have hundreds of thousands of people who are looking for work. And we actually don't know exactly what the impact of the pandemic is going to be on how people think about where and how they work and the nature of how organizations are going to set up and manage their organizations in the future."

The state is currently deciding how nearly $5.28 billion in federal aid should be dispensed to communities, a question that has put the Legislature and the governor at odds in recent weeks.

The state's tax hauls have also far exceeded benchmarks, with revenue officials reporting twice as much revenue during May than originally expected....

Senate Minority Leader Bruce Tarr said between 1993 and 2018, Massachusetts experienced a net outflow of $20.7 billion in taxable income. He said if the state raised taxes on individuals earning over $1 million that outflow could increase.

"If that's what's happening now, imagine what happens when we change the dynamic where those earning above $1 million dollars have their taxes increased again," Tarr said Wednesday afternoon.

All the top politicos around the state are trying to read the tea leaves to determine whether Gov. Baker will run for re-election or not especially in light of his dismal fund-raising.  I think we have an answer with this report:  He's not.  Why do I come to this conclusion?  Charlie Baker just took a position.

He's been mum over the new grad tax push over recent years while it was wending its way toward the ballot.  Now that it's been endorsed by the Legislature and is heading there Baker has come out in opposition, though tepid still sort of.  It's the most out on a limb he's ventured in a very long time.


We've heard political opponents the expectation that passage of a graduated income tax, aka., "Millionaire's Tax" of "Fair Share Amendment," will lead to a swelling exodus to lower tax states.  But how do those with boots on the ground see its effects?  I came across an insightful report from mortgage experts concerning what they expect should it pass on the 2022 ballot.

Mortgage Professional America describes itself as follows:

MPA is the mortgage & finance industry’s most trusted source of news, opinion and analysis.

Created exclusively for the mortgage & finance industry, MPA provides a real-time web service that keeps time-poor mortgage & finance professionals up to date with the latest breaking news, cutting-edge opinion, and expert analysis affecting both their business, and their industry as a whole.

In its report on Thursday the national organization went to John Donlon, co-founder of GoldCoast Mortgage in Beverly, Massachusetts, for his analysis.  MPA reports ("Buyers are flocking to low tax states where does that leave high tax markets?"):

As remote working opportunities open up relocation opportunities for millions of Americans, low tax states are seeing an influx of people while high tax states are seeing net out-migration. This trend, which according to a redfin report has been ongoing for the last eight years at least, saw four people entering a low tax state for each person who left, while higher tax states saw 2.5 people leaving for every new entry.

But with low tax states like Florida, Montana and, to a lesser extent, Texas attracting buyers from across the country, where does that leave mortgage professionals in states with higher income and property taxes?

To find out, MPA spoke to John Donlon, co-founder of GoldCoast Mortgage in Beverly, Massachusetts. His state has long held a reputation as “Taxachusetts” with the 7th highest state income tax burden in the country, according to a Wallethub study. He explained that with remote work opening up new options for buyers, he has to navigate in a market where someone working in Massachusetts might rather move to a low-tax state like Florida, or even neighboring New Hampshire.

“We have a client who retired out of the Air Force and was moving from Colorado, and he had the choice of any state where he could relocate and buy a home. He chose New Hampshire because his retirement income wasn’t going to be taxed,” Donlon said. “He bypassed Mass. and went for New Hampshire because it’s a low-income tax state.”

Donlon, who is licensed in New Hampshire and Maine, as well as Massachusetts, explained that even though New Hampshire has a higher property tax rate, his client was keen to move where his income wouldn’t be as taxed. Donlon and his team worked out that even with a higher property tax rate, his client would be saving money there.

While his multi-state licensing allows Donlon to secure deals that might not happen because of Massachusetts’ tax rate, he explained that a looming millionaire’s tax on an already high-income state could push more high earners away. He explained, though, that local knowledge can help secure deals thanks to variation in municipal tax rates and a crucial ballot measure.

That ballot measure is called Proposition 2½, it was enacted in 1980 and since then has prevented any city from raising their property tax rate by more than 2.5% without first obtaining the voters’ approval....

Donlon doesn’t think that taxes alone will drive Massachusetts’ homebuyers to Florida, but taken with the anguish of shovelling snow in winter it may spark the beginning of a trend. He sees many buyers looking long term at initiatives like this millionaire’s tax, or even at local estate tax rates, and thinks they may move out-of-state based on those.

Donlon has sagely hedged his bets, not locked himself into the Massachusetts economy or real estate market.  He has expanded his operation into New Hampshire and Maine as well.  What's his recommendation to his real estate colleagues for remaining successful?

As mortgage professionals in other high tax states like New York and California stare down similar prospects, Donlon said that they can safeguard their businesses by obtaining licenses in multiple states. Low-tax Nevada might be a perfect addition for a California based mortgage pro, as Florida or South Carolina might be for someone based in New York. Even as these markets should be preparing for a high to low tax relocation shift, Donlon is confident that the national housing market will find its equilibrium again.

Equilibrium may average out well overall for the national market, but not so much for over-taxed Massachusetts even with CLT's Proposition 2½.  Think what "equilibrium" is doing to California, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and other over-taxed states.  The Bay State Diaspora is quickening.


Just a day after the Legislature moved the graduated income tax constitutional amendment to the 2022 ballot the business community is expected to join the opposition battle, apparently gearing up to fight and defeat the 6th graduated income tax attempt.  The Boston Globe reported on Thursday ("After State House loss, business leaders will need to regroup on higher-earners tax fight Trade groups weigh legal challenges and multimillion-dollar ballot campaign"):

The business community will need to regroup now that the Legislature has overwhelmingly approved the so-called “millionaires tax” again.

The setback is a stark contrast to the stunning legal victory that five major business groups scored in 2018 when the state Supreme Judicial Court sidelined efforts to impose this new income tax surcharge on annual earnings above $1 million.

A legal victory will be much harder to come by now that the “Fair Share Amendment” has returned. A bruising ballot battle, pitting big business against big labor, seems more likely. The union-funded Raise Up Massachusetts coalition could end up facing off against a newly formed nonprofit created to be Raise Up’s antagonist, dubbed Partnership for Massachusetts’ Future, among other business-backed foes....

Critics say the surcharge won’t raise anywhere near that amount. They doubt it will bind the Legislature to use the money for the seemingly noble causes of public schools, roads, and trains. And they claim it will hurt the state’s economic competitiveness, maybe even resurrecting the dreaded “Taxachusetts” label....

Raise Up had tried to advance the ballot question as a citizens’ petition the last time around. It turned out to be a fatal legal mistake. The Supreme Judicial Court essentially ruled that the proponents could not bundle three seemingly unrelated items: taxing high earners, spending money on education, and also spending on transportation.

The tax on higher earners still looks the same. But there’s one key change: It’s being submitted as a proposal from state lawmakers, not the citizenry. For that reason, supporters and critics alike say the “relatedness” question that stymied it the last time around probably will not apply.

That’s not to say a legal challenge has been ruled out. Appellate lawyer Kevin Martin, whose team at Goodwin Procter successfully championed the business community three years ago before the SJC, confirmed Goodwin has been hired by the Massachusetts High Technology Council to consider possible legal options....

Voters may want to punish people like Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk, especially after the ProPublica report this week on how those billionaire bigwigs minimized their income taxes. But Stergios said it’s the local small business owners who would be most affected by Fair Share....

Will Fair Share solve that problem? Probably not. But business leaders will likely need a strong counterargument to win over enough voters when the long-discussed tax on top earners finally gets on the ballot. Odds are they won’t have the SJC’s help this time.

Chip Ford
Executive Director


Full News Reports
(excerpted above)

Beacon Hill Roll Call
Volume 46 - Report No. 24
June 7-11, 2021
Tax Millionaires Another 4 Percent (S-5)
By Bob Katzen


House and Senate held a Constitutional convention and approved 159-41, (House approved 121-39, Senate approved 38-2), a proposed constitutional amendment that would allow a graduated income tax in Massachusetts and impose an additional 4 percent income tax, in addition to the current flat 5 percent one, on taxpayers’ earnings of more than $1 million annually. Language in the amendment requires that “subject to appropriation” the revenue will go to fund quality public education, affordable public colleges and universities, and for the repair and maintenance of roads, bridges and public transportation.

The proposal, dubbed by sponsors as “the Fair Share Amendment” is sponsored by Sen. Jason Lewis (D-Winchester) and Rep. James O’Day (D-West Boylston). Opponents reject that label and call it another unnecessary excessive tax. The proposal was also approved by the 2019-2020 Legislature and is now scheduled to go on the November 2022 ballot for voters to decide.

Supporters said the amendment will affect only 18,000 extremely wealthy individuals and will generate up to $2 billion annually in additional tax revenue. They argued that using the funds for education and for the repair and maintenance of roads, bridges and public transportation will benefit millions of Bay State taxpayers. They noted the hike would help lower income families which are now paying a higher share of their income in taxes.

Opponents argued the new tax will result in the loss of 9,500 private sector jobs, $405 million annually in personal disposable income and some millionaires moving out of state. They said that the earmarking of the funds for specific projects is illegal and said all the funds will go into the General Fund and be up for grabs for anything.

“When the Fair Share Amendment was first introduced in 2015, there were about 15,000 Massachusetts residents earning over $1 million a year,” said O’Day. “Now in 2021, there are about 18,000 residents earning over $1 million a year. Clearly, there are millionaires and billionaires who can afford to pay their fair share in taxes, which will support our neighbors and local communities with investments in public education and transportation.”

“In a brash case of the pot calling the kettle black, after voting to move the graduated income tax to the ballot, Rep. James O'Day said of his targets, ‘They are the ones, obviously, that will have the ability to throw a ton of cash at this issue and that’s probably how they’re going to try to beat it,’” said Chip Ford, executive director of Citizens for Limited Taxation, which led the charge that defeated the last two attempts to impose a graduated income tax on the 1976 and 1994 ballots. “I hope he's right,” continued Ford. “The reliably deep-pockets opponents of any true 'tax fairness’ and relentless advocates for higher taxes, the teachers and labor unions that make most ballot questions a financially lopsided affair sound concerned to compete on a more level playing field. So it's game-on, taxpayers, let round six of the Tax Olympics begin. We need to hand them another grad tax defeat on the 2022 ballot — for the sixth time.”

“The Fair Share Amendment once again received strong support from legislators and, in public polling, typically receives support from more than 70 percent of voters in Massachusetts,” said Lewis. “The reason it is so popular is that most people recognize that our wealthiest residents can afford to pay a bit more in taxes to fund investments in public education and improve our transportation infrastructure that will grow our economy, expand opportunity and make our commonwealth more just and equitable for all.”

“Only Beacon Hill politicians want to raise taxes by 80 percent, while simultaneously collecting more tax revenue than they know how to spend,” said Paul Craney, spokesperson for the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance. “The voters should not forget or forgive this level of greed and they will have another chance to hold them accountable in 2022.”

“Right now, our economy is working great for those at the very top, but it’s not working for the rest of us,” said Andrew Farnitano, a spokesman for the Raise Up Massachusetts coalition which has led the campaign for the proposal. “Giving every student access to a high-quality public education, upgrading our crumbling transportation infrastructure and making our public colleges and universities affordable again is the best way to lift up our economy for everyone, and to ensure Massachusetts remains a great place to live, work and raise a family. The Fair Share Amendment would provide sustainable, long-term revenue for investments in transportation and public education, without asking low- and middle-income families to pay a penny more.”

A report released by the Beacon Hill Institute read, “The proposed surtax would decrease the demand for labor services and the quantity of labor services supplied. It would further increase the cost of obtaining capital services by reducing the after-tax profits that owners could plan on receiving from investments in their business. These effects would further manifest themselves as a reduction in private sector jobs, in disposable income and in state gross domestic product. In 2023, for example, more than 4,000 families would leave the Bay State with employment dipping by nearly 9,000 jobs. Workers will have $963 million less in disposable income and the state’s gross domestic project would shrink by $431 million.”

“To make a fully informed decision, voters should understand what the tax changes embedded in the law will mean in terms of costs to the state’s economy,” notes David Tuerck, President of the institute and a co-author of the report. “Supporters of the millionaire’s tax ignore the reality that high-income taxpayers adjust their work effort and their decisions to save and invest, particularly when they are more willing to move.”


Beacon Hill Roll Call
Volume 46 - Report No. 24
June 7-11, 2021
Covid-19 Policy Extensions (S-2467)
By Bob Katzen


The Senate, on a voice vote without a roll call on the bill itself or on any proposed amendments, approved and sent to the House legislation that would extend many of the measures instituted in Massachusetts during the COVID-19 state of emergency that are slated to expire when the emergency declaration ends on June 15. During debate, the Senate approved eight amendments, rejected 23 while 13 were withdrawn by the sponsors.

Provisions of the bill include extending mail-in voting until December 15, 2021 and allowing cities and towns to extend early in-person voting through the same date; allowing public bodies subject to the open meeting law to continue to hold remote meetings until April 1, 2022; making remote town meetings and meetings of nonprofits and public corporations an option through December 15, 2021; allowing cities and towns to approve and extend permits for outdoor dining through April 1, 2022; allowing restaurants to offer alcoholic beverages, including mixed drinks, for off-site consumption with the purchase of food until March 1, 2022; extending several protections that have been granted to tenants who have difficulty paying rent; and extending until December 15 a requirement that certain in-network telehealth services be reimbursed at the same rate as equivalent in-person services.

“This bill represents responsible and proactive action by the Senate to ensure that important safeguards remain in place after June 15th,” said Sen. Cindy Friedman (D-Arlington). “The effects of this public health crisis are not over. We must continue to protect the public’s health and well-being. This bill maintains the rapid availability of our strong health care workforce and provides financial support to those most impacted by the pandemic, like those who struggle to secure adequate childcare as in-person work resumes.”

“We learned a lot during the COVID experience, and we may be able to use some of those lessons going forward,” said President Pro Tempore Sen. Will Brownsberger (D-Belmont). “This legislation gives us the time to sort out which changes we should make permanent.”

Proposed amendments defeated on voice votes without a roll call include keeping the cap on delivery fees charged to restaurants by third parties like Grubhub, DoorDash and Uber Eats at 15 percent of the order price; prohibiting delivery of alcohol to municipal or state parks and beaches; and allowing cities and towns to approve and extend permits for outdoor dining through November 1, 2022 instead of April 1, 2022.

Critics say the lack of roll calls shows the complete lack of transparency in the Senate and place the blame on all 40 senators, both Democrats and Republicans. A roll call vote can be requested by any one senator and that senator needs only two other senators, for a total of three senators, to mandate that the roll calls take place. So it would only take three of the 37 Democratic senators or all three Republican senators to demand a roll call. In fact Senate rule number 56 was instituted years ago to ensure that the minority party has the power to demand a roll call. The rule states that “regardless of the party affiliation of the person requesting or supporting a call of the yeas and nays, the sense of the Senate shall be taken by yeas and nays whenever required by one-fifth of the members present or by a number of members equal to the total number of members of the minority party, whichever is less.”

"Never mind lack of transparency, there's no accountability without recorded votes," said Chip Ford, executive director of Citizens for Limited Taxation. "We've reached a lack of even necessity. Why fund a 'full-time' and highly-paid legislature of 200 silent members with all the accompanying perks, 'leadership stipends,' chambers, offices and staff, when with growing frequency all that's necessary today is a House speaker, a Senate president, and a rubber stamp? The two leaders can confer with the governor, the triumvirate decide all state policy, and drop any pretense of 'representation' along with its attendant costs. At least voters would then know who’s responsible at less expense."

“Voters will have more faith in state lawmakers if they are willing to stand up and be counted on their votes,” said Paul Craney, spokesman for the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance. “Procedural gimmicks like voice votes on controversial policies do nothing to strengthen state democracy.”

Beacon Hill Roll Call made repeated attempts to get a comment from several senators, including the leadership members of each party on the fact that there were no roll calls during the debate on this bill which will affect every Massachusetts resident. Not a single senator responded.

We did not hear from the following six senators who are high ranking in the Senate Democratic leadership or from a staff member for each senator who was included in the e-mail: Senate President Karen Spilka, Majority Leader Cindy Creem, President Pro Tempore Will Brownsberger, Assistant Majority Leaders Joan Lovely, Mike Barrett and Sal DiDomenico.

Nor did we hear from any of the three Republican senators in the Senate or a staff member who was included in the e-mail: Minority Leader Bruce Tarr and Assistant Minority Leaders Ryan Fattman and Patrick O’Connor.


State House News Service
Thursday, June 10, 2021
Baker Points To Fed Aid As Surtax Debate Heats Up
"I Said Before That I Don't Think We Should Be Raising Taxes"
By Chris Van Buskirk


A day after the Legislature advanced a Constitutional amendment imposing a four percent surtax on incomes above $1 million, Gov. Charlie Baker said the state should not raise taxes following a devastating pandemic, and pointed to billions in federal aid dollars that elected officials still need to allocate.

The House and Senate voted 159-41 Wednesday afternoon to advance the amendment that advocates say could raise $2 billion per year for education and transportation and opponents view as a risky move that could scare high-earning individuals and their capital out of Massachusetts and lead to a graduated income tax structure.

Voters are now set during the November 2022 election to decide whether or not to approve the measure. The Republican governor has long said he is against raising taxes, and asked Thursday whether or not tax policy should be written into the state's Constitution, he returned to that view.

"I said before that I don't think we should be raising taxes," Baker said at a press conference in Roxbury. "We have, between state and local government, we have $10 billion already in federal funds that we need to find a way to put to work. And I really think our focus ought to be on that."

Baker's opposition to new taxes, and the potential veto tax hikes might encounter, has diminished tax-raising possibilities for the Democrat-controlled Legislature, but the governor has seen situations where he has favored tax increases, including on opioid manufacturers and to help fund climate change adaptation efforts. Baker also agreed to a payroll tax for paid family and medical leave, and special assessments on hospitals.

The governor also put the tax measure in the context of the pandemic and its impacts.

"So first of all, we're coming out of a pandemic," he said. "We have hundreds of thousands of people who are looking for work. And we actually don't know exactly what the impact of the pandemic is going to be on how people think about where and how they work and the nature of how organizations are going to set up and manage their organizations in the future."

The state is currently deciding how nearly $5.28 billion in federal aid should be dispensed to communities, a question that has put the Legislature and the governor at odds in recent weeks.

The state's tax hauls have also far exceeded benchmarks, with revenue officials reporting twice as much revenue during May than originally expected.

Sen. Jason Lewis, another supporter of the tax proposal, said polling has shown high public support for the amendment, adding the amendment "would make our tax system more equitable and it would raise substantial new revenue to support public investments."

"The reason why the fair share amendment is so popular is that most people recognize that our wealthiest residents can afford to pay a bit more in taxes to help fund investments that expand opportunity and make our commonwealth more just and more equitable for everyone," the Winchester Democrat said.

Senate Minority Leader Bruce Tarr said between 1993 and 2018, Massachusetts experienced a net outflow of $20.7 billion in taxable income. He said if the state raised taxes on individuals earning over $1 million that outflow could increase.

"If that's what's happening now, imagine what happens when we change the dynamic where those earning above $1 million dollars have their taxes increased again," Tarr said Wednesday afternoon.


Mortgage Professional America
Thursday, June 10, 2021
Buyers are flocking to low tax states - where does that leave high tax markets?
by David Kitai


As remote working opportunities open up relocation opportunities for millions of Americans, low tax states are seeing an influx of people while high tax states are seeing net out-migration. This trend, which according to a redfin report has been ongoing for the last eight years at least, saw four people entering a low tax state for each person who left, while higher tax states saw 2.5 people leaving for every new entry.

But with low tax states like Florida, Montana and, to a lesser extent, Texas attracting buyers from across the country, where does that leave mortgage professionals in states with higher income and property taxes?

To find out, MPA spoke to John Donlon, co-founder of GoldCoast Mortgage in Beverly, Massachusetts. His state has long held a reputation as “Taxachusetts” with the 7th highest state income tax burden in the country, according to a Wallethub study. He explained that with remote work opening up new options for buyers, he has to navigate in a market where someone working in Massachusetts might rather move to a low-tax state like Florida, or even neighboring New Hampshire.

“We have a client who retired out of the Air Force and was moving from Colorado, and he had the choice of any state where he could relocate and buy a home. He chose New Hampshire because his retirement income wasn’t going to be taxed,” Donlon said. “He bypassed Mass. and went for New Hampshire because it’s a low-income tax state.”

Donlon, who is licensed in New Hampshire and Maine, as well as Massachusetts, explained that even though New Hampshire has a higher property tax rate, his client was keen to move where his income wouldn’t be as taxed. Donlon and his team worked out that even with a higher property tax rate, his client would be saving money there.

While his multi-state licensing allows Donlon to secure deals that might not happen because of Massachusetts’ tax rate, he explained that a looming millionaire’s tax on an already high-income state could push more high earners away. He explained, though, that local knowledge can help secure deals thanks to variation in municipal tax rates and a crucial ballot measure.

That ballot measure is called Proposition 2½, it was enacted in 1980 and since then has prevented any city from raising their property tax rate by more than 2.5% without first obtaining the voters’ approval. What that’s meant is cities that either went bankrupt or needed to raise taxes to pay for new schools and amenities have been able to raise taxes with voters’ consent, while many others have kept their property tax rates low. Donlon explained that because of Proposition 2½ the tax rate per $1,000 is roughly $4 in Nantucket but $20 in Amesbury. He can use this knowledge of local administration and city variance to help guide his tax-averse borrowers to a city that suits them better.

A crucial part of dealing with clients like this, too, is explaining what they get with their tax rate. Young parents, for example, might see a tax rate in a city as onerous until they look at the quality of the local public schools. For the education their kids will receive there, they might be willing to pony up a little more in income tax. Donlon also works with his clients to develop long-term plans to manage their tax burden as they shift into retirement. Even after they’ve paid off their mortgage, the tax might be onerous for these clients as they move on to a fixed income. Donlon connects them with real estate professionals who can help them sell a piece of their property or tax professionals who can negotiate their tax rate down.

Donlon doesn’t think that taxes alone will drive Massachusetts’ homebuyers to Florida, but taken with the anguish of shovelling snow in winter it may spark the beginning of a trend. He sees many buyers looking long term at initiatives like this millionaire’s tax, or even at local estate tax rates, and thinks they may move out-of-state based on those. Even if new freedom of movement does allow some people to move to lower tax states, though, Donlon is confident that new buyers can fill the gap knowing that even if it comes with a high tax rate, living in a state like Massachusetts is worth it.

As mortgage professionals in other high tax states like New York and California stare down similar prospects, Donlon said that they can safeguard their businesses by obtaining licenses in multiple states. Low-tax Nevada might be a perfect addition for a California based mortgage pro, as Florida or South Carolina might be for someone based in New York. Even as these markets should be preparing for a high to low tax relocation shift, Donlon is confident that the national housing market will find its equilibrium again.

“If taxes spike, I would think that the values would correct at some point in places like Boston or New York City,” Donlon said. “That’ll help make it more palatable for people paying heavy real estate or income tax bills. It may represent opportunity as those markets fill back in, you just always have to be looking for it. The downside velocity of these trends can be impressive, but not if you’re just peddling one product. You’ve got to look for other options, different types of clients, different styles of selling and different demographics.”

https://www.mpamag.com/news/buyers-are-flocking-to-low-tax-states--where-does-that-leave-high-tax-markets-257550.aspx

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Mortgage Professional America (MPA) is the mortgage & finance industry’s most trusted source of news, opinion and analysis.

Created exclusively for the mortgage & finance industry, MPA provides a real-time web service that keeps time-poor mortgage & finance professionals up to date with the latest breaking news, cutting-edge opinion, and expert analysis affecting both their business, and their industry as a whole.


The Boston Globe
Thursday, June 10, 2021
After State House loss, business leaders will need to regroup on higher-earners tax fight
Trade groups weigh legal challenges and multimillion-dollar ballot campaign
By Jon Chesto


The business community will need to regroup now that the Legislature has overwhelmingly approved the so-called “millionaires tax” again.

The setback is a stark contrast to the stunning legal victory that five major business groups scored in 2018 when the state Supreme Judicial Court sidelined efforts to impose this new income tax surcharge on annual earnings above $1 million.

A legal victory will be much harder to come by now that the “Fair Share Amendment” has returned. A bruising ballot battle, pitting big business against big labor, seems more likely. The union-funded Raise Up Massachusetts coalition could end up facing off against a newly formed nonprofit created to be Raise Up’s antagonist, dubbed Partnership for Massachusetts’ Future, among other business-backed foes.

The Fair Share proposal has followed a tortuous path. Its supporters need nothing less than a change in the state constitution. This is a laborious process that requires two votes by the Legislature in consecutive sessions and another one by the people of Massachusetts. The Legislature took that second vote on Wednesday, priming Fair Share for the ballot in November 2022.

Ostensibly, the surcharge would raise about $2 billion a year, to be used for education and transportation purposes, by imposing a higher income tax on nearly 20,000 married couples and individual taxpayers who make more than $1 million a year: 9 percent on all earnings above that threshold, with the standard 5 percent tax on income below it.

Critics say the surcharge won’t raise anywhere near that amount. They doubt it will bind the Legislature to use the money for the seemingly noble causes of public schools, roads, and trains. And they claim it will hurt the state’s economic competitiveness, maybe even resurrecting the dreaded “Taxachusetts” label.

The advocacy has been intense in recent days and weeks. The Massachusetts Competitive Partnership argued that the rise of remote work during the pandemic makes high-cost areas more vulnerable to job losses if taxes go up. The Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation cautioned against state budget writers relying on high-earner taxes, because of the potential volatility of that revenue stream. And the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce warned about enshrining such a public policy in the constitution, essentially setting it in stone and leaving little flexibility for change.

At the very least, business lobbyists had hoped lawmakers would put off this vote until the fall, or early next year. Better, the thinking went, to wait and see how hard-hit businesses recover from the COVID-19 pandemic and how the $5 billion-plus in federal aid that the state has received gets divvied up. There was even talk of reaching another “Grand Bargain,” like the one the business groups struck with labor and community activists in 2018.

But it was not meant to be. The Fair Share proponents — led by the Raise Up coalition of labor, community, and religious groups — simply had too much momentum.

Raise Up had tried to advance the ballot question as a citizens’ petition the last time around. It turned out to be a fatal legal mistake. The Supreme Judicial Court essentially ruled that the proponents could not bundle three seemingly unrelated items: taxing high earners, spending money on education, and also spending on transportation.

The tax on higher earners still looks the same. But there’s one key change: It’s being submitted as a proposal from state lawmakers, not the citizenry. For that reason, supporters and critics alike say the “relatedness” question that stymied it the last time around probably will not apply.

That’s not to say a legal challenge has been ruled out. Appellate lawyer Kevin Martin, whose team at Goodwin Procter successfully championed the business community three years ago before the SJC, confirmed Goodwin has been hired by the Massachusetts High Technology Council to consider possible legal options.

Chris Anderson, president of Mass. High Tech, said it’s too soon to know what kind of legal avenues the business groups can pursue. In the meantime, he is corralling companies to sign an open letter opposing new business taxes (about 170 companies are listed so far) and is helping a related effort to launch a new nonprofit called the Partnership for Massachusetts’ Future. Anderson said the Partnership — not to be confused with the Mass. Competitive Partnership, the group of high-powered chief executives — is designed to bring together like-minded organizations interested in the state’s competitiveness and pose a counterpoint to the Raise Up umbrella organization; the new Partnership’s president is Stephen Fantone, the chief executive of Optikos in Wakefield.

Meanwhile, Pioneer Institute executive director Jim Stergios has put his free-market-oriented think tank to work, with repeated reports this year emphasizing Fair Share’s potential economic downsides. He estimates as many as 14,000 of the likely affected taxpayers are actually owners of small businesses whose profits are taxed at the individual level and would be subject to the new surcharge.

Voters may want to punish people like Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk, especially after the ProPublica report this week on how those billionaire bigwigs minimized their income taxes. But Stergios said it’s the local small business owners who would be most affected by Fair Share.

Jared Walczak of the D.C.-based Tax Foundation adds that 45 percent of all pass-through income in Massachusetts — primarily income from small businesses — is reported on returns of $1 million or more, making Fair Share a significant new tax on employers. (Eight other states, he said, have single-rate income taxes while 32 have graduated ones, with California leading by assessing as much as 13.3 percent for top earners.)

Fair Share proponents such as state Senator Jason Lewis make a valid point that will inevitably resonate. The economic inequities inherent in this state’s economy have only grown over time. The gaps between the haves and have-nots have only widened.

Will Fair Share solve that problem? Probably not. But business leaders will likely need a strong counterargument to win over enough voters when the long-discussed tax on top earners finally gets on the ballot. Odds are they won’t have the SJC’s help this time.


NOTE: In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107, this material is distributed without profit or payment to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving this information for non-profit research and educational purposes only. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml


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