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CLT UPDATE
Monday, March 29, 2021

Is Beacon Hill Crazy Enough Yet?  Don't Bank On It!


Jump directly to CLT's Commentary on the News


Most Relevant News Excerpts
(Full news reports follow Commentary)

[SD-2462, An Act Establishing a Public Bank of Massachusetts] establishes a publicly owned, state-run Bank of Massachusetts funded to the tune of up to $2 billion through the sale of bonds, funding from the Legislature and unclaimed property proceeds.  A 10-member board of directors, chaired by the state treasurer, would provide a list of potential CFOs and COOs to the governor, secretary of state and state treasurer who would appoint the officers by a majority vote.

The Bank would focus on providing capital access to underbanked populations, industries, small-business, public-private partnerships or local governments for development of infrastructure and business, incorporating broader public benefits in the climate, equity, health, clean water and education....

“The Big Dig, state police overtime pay, RMV backlogged/missing driver’s license suspensions, Farak, Dookhan and the state crime lab scandals, the Holyoke Soldiers’ Home deaths, the governor’s vaccination rollout,” cited Chip Ford, executive director of Citizens for Limited Taxation.  “Oversight and accountability non-existent.  Now Sen. Hinds wants to establish a state bank.  Whoa boy!  What could possibly go wrong, leaving taxpayers again on the hook?  Even the Fed wouldn’t touch a bailout of this bank crisis-in-the-making.”

Beacon Hill Roll Call
March 22-26, 2021
Create State-Owned Bank (SD-2462)


A tax expert who has been involved with Massachusetts tax policy for years suggested Wednesday that lawmakers could scrap the idea of a Constitutional amendment to impose a surtax on household income over $1 million and instead repeal the Constitution's requirement for a flat tax and impose the graduated income tax rate through traditional legislation.

Democrats on Beacon Hill have been working for years to establish a 4 percent surtax on annual income greater than $1 million by putting a Constitutional amendment to that effect before voters. The process is more complicated than it is for a normal piece of legislation because the state Constitution currently requires that a tax on income be applied evenly to all residents, so the so-called Millionaires Tax would be unconstitutional as a standalone law.

Jane Steinmetz, office managing principal of Ernst & Young, said she thinks it is bad tax administration to enshrine a tax rate into the state Constitution. If the Legislature wants to go forward with a graduated income tax, she said, lawmakers should repeal Article 44 of the Constitution and write the surtax provision directly into Chapter 62 of the Mass. General Laws, which deals with the taxation of income.

"When you have a tax change, there are these unintended consequences," Steinmetz, who was appointed by then-Senate President Therese Murray to a special commission that studied corporate tax issues in 2007, said. "If we etch this in constitutional stone and there's these unintended consequences, you can't just amend the Constitution. It could take four years."

Steinmetz, who did not stake out her own position on the issue, and Stanford University finance professor Joshua Rauh discussed some of the potential consequences of the Massachusetts income surtax Wednesday during a virtual event hosted by Pioneer Institute and the Mass. High Tech Council....

Steinmetz also pointed out that Massachusetts is not exactly hurting for revenue at the moment. Fiscal year 2020 ended about $120 million short -- "which is close to breakeven, but it's still a shortfall," she said -- and fiscal year 2021 "seems to be doing fine," with the state having collected $1.123 billion more from taxpayers in the first eight months of the budget year than it did the previous year.

On top of that, she said, is a deluge of billions of dollars in federal funding, some of which comes to the state under the restriction that it not be used to directly or indirectly offset a tax cut.

State House News Service
Wednesday, March 24, 2021
Expert Warns Against Setting Tax Rate in Constitution
Flat Tax Repeal Could Open Up Debate on Graduated Tax


House Speaker Ron Mariano has voted against a proposed tax on the wealthy earning over $1 million a year and more recently for the proposed Constitutional amendment, but with supporters hoping for a second and final vote in the Legislature this spring the speaker made clear Thursday he's been no fan of the process.

"It really bypasses the whole spirit of the Legislature. It bypasses compromise. It bypasses the ability to work for a better product on the issue, and it's very frustrating for us," Mariano said during a question-and-answer session with the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce....

Before he was speaker, Mariano initially voted against putting a constitutional amendment on the ballot to add a surtax on millionaires, but supported the measure when it came up for a vote in 2020. The Legislature must vote one more time either this year or next year in order for the question to advance to the 2022 ballot, and supporters have been hoping it would surface this spring.

"As you said, if it passes and it's baked into the Constitution it's very very difficult to change it," Mariano said. "It's a process that's used by people who are frustrated because their positions may be too extreme to get enough support to get a bill through the House, so they resort to, I call it an end run around the Legislature."

Last year, the joint session of the House and Senate voted 147-48 in favor of putting the wealth surtax on the ballot, including a 112-43 vote in the House.

A tax expert suggested Wednesday that lawmakers could scrap the idea of a constitutional amendment to impose a surtax on household income over $1 million and instead repeal the constitution's requirement for a flat tax and impose the graduated income tax rate through traditional legislation.

State House News Service
Thursday, March 25, 2021
Income Surtax in Constitution “Bypasses Compromise,” Speaker Says


With $1 billion in federal relief funding for public transit on its way to Massachusetts, House Speaker Ron Mariano said Thursday he was not in a rush to push another vote on transportation revenue a year after the House voted for more than $500 million in new revenue, including a 5-cent hike in the gas tax.

The House's transportation financing package stalled out in the Senate in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic set in.

That bill would have increased the gas tax by 5 cents and the diesel tax by 9 cents, hiked the corporate minimum tax and raised fees on Uber and Lyft to help pay for improvements to transportation system clogged with vehicles and riders.

Asked during an appearance before the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce whether he would return to the issue of transportation revenue, and specifically the gas tax, Mariano said, "I think it's a little premature just yet. I wouldn't rule anything off the table." ...

"Now with this federal money coming in it's a chance for us to take a step back and recalculate..."

State House News Service
Thursday, March 25, 2021
Mariano: “Premature” to Return to New Transportation Revenues


Holding the line on new taxes. Reforming early education and child care. Getting people out of their cars.

With a major climate policy bill set to become law Friday and work on key unemployment system changes nearly complete, one of Beacon Hill's most powerful legislators, Senate President Karen Spilka, on Friday morning outlined other likely focus areas for the Senate in the coming weeks and months....

Spilka also announced that a new panel led by Sen. Adam Hinds to help Massachusetts reimagine its post-pandemic future and "come back better" will hold an April 6 session to hear about business, housing and the digital divide, and an April 14 listening session focused on education and child care....

Spilka's Senate Democrats last session led a deep dive into state tax policy and that group led by Hinds is expected to release its conclusions this spring.

But with House and Senate budget debates on deck, Spilka echoed Mariano's recent statements about tax increases -- the Quincy Democrat said last month that "we have no intention of raising taxes."

Noting she remains concerned about wealth gaps and saying there is "room for improvement" in the state tax code over the long term, Spilka recalled how in 2020 Beacon Hill resisted tax increases when the pandemic struck, and job losses mounted.

"It was not the time to pass any broad-based tax increases," she said. "Our outlook, I believe, is still precarious and we need to be cautious. So I anticipate continuing to hold this view." ...

Spilka said "replacing" $3.5 billion in one-time fiscal 2021 revenues will be one of the biggest challenges for budget writers. However, with state tax collections surpassing estimates and "billions" in federal aid flowing in, Spilka said, "I hope to really minimize any withdrawal from our rainy day fund."

In his fiscal 2022 budget proposal, which was released before the American Rescue Act was signed, Baker did not call for tax increases on residents and proposed trimming state spending by about $300 million even though state tax revenues are expected to rise 3.5 percent over the current budget year. Baker also proposed spending $1.6 billion in one-time revenues drawn from the state's rainy day fund.

State House News Service
Friday, March 26, 2021
Spilka Weighs In On Taxes, Early Ed, Public Health


It took basically all of the last legislative session and the first three months of the new one to get major climate policy signed into law, but the real work begins now that Gov. Charlie Baker has put his signature on the law.

After it took a long, winding and sometimes contentious road, the governor on Friday afternoon signed the long-discussed legislation designed to commit Massachusetts to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, establish interim emissions goals between now and the middle of the century, adopt energy efficiency standards for appliances, authorize another 2,400 megawatts of offshore wind power and address needs in environmental justice communities.

"I'm proud to say that climate change has not been, ever, a partisan issue. We know the impacts on our coasts, on our fisheries, on our farms and our communities are real, and demand action, and that's why we've been committed for over a decade to ... doing the things we need to do to deal with the issue at hand and to maintain a structure that's affordable for the people of the commonwealth," Baker said after signing the bill in the State House library. He added, "This bill puts us on an ambitious path to achieving a cleaner and more livable commonwealth, while also creating economic development opportunities to support the initiatives."

Baker and the Legislature see eye-to-eye when it comes to the goal of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, but the details of how the state would get there proved to be a much more complicated conversation. On Friday, Baker said he was glad lawmakers "went back and forth and back and forth and back and forth on this" with his administration before settling on the final language....

"This bill is a significant step closer to putting our knowledge about a foreseeable risk into action. This critical piece of legislation will help us seize major benefits for the commonwealth on our way to addressing an existential threat to our modern society and human life as we know it," Sen. Marc Pacheco, one of the most vocal lawmakers when it comes to climate policy, said.

But the new law does not deal with the "climate emergency" aggressively enough, he said.

"That's why as soon as this bill is done, we need to get about the business of putting in place the other elements that we need to be dealing with as a state, and working with our national governmental leaders and our world leaders to do everything we can to continue to move forward," he said when the Senate re-enacted the climate bill on March 15.

Pacheco added, "Let us not close the door on this issue. Let's make sure we kick it open for the future, that this is just our new beginning on a commitment to make sure we embrace a clean energy future. We're on the cusp of a sustainability revolution, let's embrace that clean energy revolution."

Pacheco has filed a bevy of climate-related bills for consideration in the current session, including proposals to target retrofitting one million homes over the next decade and to create the jobs necessary to complete those retrofits (SD 2102)....

State House News Service
Friday, March 26, 2021
Baker Signs Law Committing to Net-Zero Emissions by 2050
Change Can't Wait, They Said, But Bill Was Long in Making


Massachusetts is largely in the driver’s seat on a regional plan to reduce carbon emissions from cars and trucks, but the initiative, which could lead to higher gas prices, now hinges on the approval of lawmakers in two neighboring states.

Gov. Charlie Baker, the governors of Connecticut and Rhode Island, and the mayor of Washington, D.C., signed a regional agreement in December that aims to substantially curb tailpipe emissions while drumming up revenue for projects to mitigate climate change and improve transportation infrastructure.

The Transportation and Climate Initiative won't be put to a vote in Massachusetts, but it still must be ratified by Connecticut and Rhode Island in order to go forward.

In Connecticut, lawmakers are debating whether to enter into the pact. A bill filed by Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont is expected to clear a key committee but its fate in the General Assembly is less certain.

Rhode Island lawmakers have yet to file a proposal to ratify the deal, but supporters say they expect legislation to emerge soon.

Backers of the initiative in Connecticut and Rhode Island say they expect it to be ratified, but opponents argue that it’s anything but a done deal.

"If lawmakers go ahead with this, they are going to be increasing gas prices for their constituents, which will be a hard sell," said Christian Herb, executive director of the Connecticut Energy Marketers Association, a trade group that opposes the pact. "The governor is clearly in favor of it, but the Legislature will ultimately have the final say." ...

"In order to reach the emissions cuts they're proposing, it's going to have to be 30, 40, 50 cents a gallon," said Mike Stenhouse, founder and CEO of the Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity. "Make no mistake, this isn't about reducing carbon emissions. It's basically a cash grab by these states."

The Salem News
Friday, March 26, 2021
Climate pact up in the air
Effort hinges on approval by 2 other states


It's Trump's fault.

Not the insurrection at the US Capitol or the discrediting of fairly conducted elections or the general degradation of democratic principles – though there may be those things, too. In this case, the damage done by the former president is to Charlie Baker’s approval ratings.

The governor whose political standing with voters seemed to defy the laws of gravity has seen his poll numbers come down closer to earth, and Politico’s Stephanie Murray says Trump is to blame. Not because of anything he did, but rather because he’s now gone.

“Wildly unpopular in Massachusetts, Trump served as a foil for Baker, who was able to establish his own political independence — and win over Democratic constituents — by frequently criticizing his fellow Republican,” she writes.

With no Trump to kick around anymore, Baker is finding himself on the receiving end of the blue-state brickbats. And he’s not alone, says Murray, who points to falling approval ratings for two other Republican governors in heavily Democratic states, Maryland’s Larry Hogan and Phil Scott in Vermont.

Baker’s approval rating has fallen from close to 80 percent last August to 52 percent last month, she writes. He’s seen a similar falloff in polls asking specifically about his handling of the COVID pandemic.

And there’s the rub. Trump’s exit has coincided with the state’s problem-plagued vaccine rollout and a growing overall weariness with the pandemic as it enters its second year. That makes it hard to tease out any independent effect of Trump’s disappearance from the public stage.

Still, it’s not just public poll numbers that have shifted for Baker. The Democrats who dominate the Legislature have shown a new willingness to spar more directly with him, including in two recent oversight hearings where the lawmakers Baker loves to refer to as “our colleagues” have been decidedly less collegial.

CommonWealth Magazine
Wednesday, March 24, 2021
Is Trump’s exit bad for Baker?


As recently as October, Massachusetts Republican Gov. Charlie Baker was basking in his typically stratospheric poll ratings. More than 70 percent approved of his job performance. Roughly the same amount felt the same way about his handling of the Covid-19 crisis.

Those were the days.

Since then, Baker’s numbers have nosedived, knocking him off his pedestal as arguably the nation’s most popular governor. His coronavirus approval ratings have dropped from a high of 80 percent last April to 59 percent in February, according to the Covid States Project, which has been tracking gubernatorial approval ratings for the past year. His overall job performance ratings have also declined — from 78 percent in August to 52 percent at the end of February, according to a recent UMass Amherst poll.

In part, Baker’s downward slide can be attributed to his state's troubled vaccine rollout, which got off to a slow start and was marked by a very public website crash for the vaccine appointment booking system. Yet there are also signs another factor may be contributing to his decline: Donald Trump’s departure from the White House.

Wildly unpopular in Massachusetts, Trump served as a foil for Baker, who was able to establish his own political independence — and win over Democratic constituents — by frequently criticizing his fellow Republican.

Baker isn’t the only blue-state Republican governor who’s seen his popularity dented by coronavirus fatigue and Trump’s absence from the news cycle. Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan and Vermont Gov. Phil Scott — two other Trump critics who have long rated among the most popular governors in the nation — have also seen their numbers dip in the post-Trump era....

Between their moderate politics and Trump-resistant stances, the three governors have actually managed to become more popular with Democratic voters than Republicans....

"There's nobody a Democrat loves more than a Republican criticizing Trump," said pollster Rich Clark of Vermont’s Castleton University.

In Baker’s case, his standing within his own party is so strained that, in the event he seeks a third term next year, a Republican close to state GOP leadership is gearing up to challenge him in the primary....

“I don’t know if I have a future in the Republican Party, but I care about the future of the Republican Party,” [Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan] said in an interview this month at POLITICO’s The Fifty: America’s Governors event.

That kind of oppositional stance makes for good politics in Maryland, Massachusetts and Vermont, which ranked as Trump’s three weakest states in 2020 — he won just under one-third of the vote in each of them.

POLITICO
Wednesday, March 24, 2021
Blue-state Republicans slump without Trump as foil
Some of the nation’s most popular governors have been knocked off their pedestals


The Democratic sharks are circling, sensing vulnerability in a Republican governor with few teammates to protect his flank. But even if Gov. Charlie Baker looks like easy prey to some in a state like Massachusetts, Democrats on Beacon Hill are unpracticed hunters.

"We know he's a RINO anyway," joked Sen. Nick Collins during his resurrection of the South Boston St. Patrick's Day breakfast last Sunday, alluding to the fact that Baker is actually more popular with Democratic voters than Republicans....

Even as Massachusetts has climbed the state rankings for shots administered, the choice to administer many of those shots at mass vaccination sites instead of through local clinics and municipal public health infrastructure is the hill some in the legislature have chosen to plant their flag.

Democrats accused him of throwing out the playbook right before the big game, and spending millions on private-run facilities when that money could have been used to scale up locally-run clinics....

The defense didn't sit well with Baker's critics on the committee: "What we're getting from you is, 'You're all wrong, we're doing great, please, we don't want to hear it anymore.' And I find that hard to take," said an exasperated Sen. Cindy Friedman....

Everyone agrees the faster the vaccine arrives and gets put into arms, the sooner the state can emerge from the year-long pandemic. That's why Baker's hiring of McKinsey & Co. to write a report about the "future-of-work" has generated so much interest.

But Attorney General Maura Healey's interest in the report this week had nothing to do with her curiosity to learn what the global consulting firm recommends. Healey, who is being watched like a hawk for hints at her political future, went after Baker for hiring McKinsey after her office and others around the country reached a settlement with the firm last month for $573 million over its role in helping Purdue Pharma "turbocharge" opioid sales to turn a profit.

The "future-of-work" contract is one of many the firm holds with the state, and Healey called it "outrageous" that Massachusetts would continue to give them business. One of her opening salvos in the 2022 gubernatorial campaign? Maybe. But even a visit by the attorney general to a picket line in Worcester these days is cause for speculation....

House Speaker Ron Mariano told the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce ... he wasn't in any rush to return to debate over raising taxes to pay for transportation, at least not until the pandemic aftershocks subside and leaders can take stock of the MBTA and its new needs.

Besides, he said, there's $1 billion coming to Massachusetts from the "American Rescue Plan" for public transit and $4.5 billion more in direct aid for state government that changes the calculations.

State House News Service
Friday, March 26, 2021
Weekly Roundup - Blood in the Water


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

Just when you thought insanity on Beacon Hill had reached its apex along comes a leap for higher plateaus.  This week we learned a legislator is going for broke with absurdity.  Sen. Adam Hinds (D-Pittsfield), chairman of the Joint Committee on Revenue and member of the Senate and the Joint Committee on Ways and Means, among others, has proposed establishing Massachusetts' own bank!

Not just your run-of-the-mill everyday bank.  He seeks to establish a progressive WOKE bank, a new version of the sub-prime mortgage scheme and we know how that turned out, beginning with President Bill Clinton's "Community Reinvestment Act" of 1977. Hinds' bill, SD-2462, "An Act Establishing a Public Bank of Massachusetts," proposes to finance this predictable disaster start-up with $2 Billion from state loans and appropriations by the Legislature.

The Beacon Hill Roll Call exposed this late last week, reporting:

[SD-2462, An Act Establishing a Public Bank of Massachusetts] establishes a publicly owned, state-run Bank of Massachusetts funded to the tune of up to $2 billion through the sale of bonds, funding from the Legislature and unclaimed property proceeds.  A 10-member board of directors, chaired by the state treasurer, would provide a list of potential CFOs and COOs to the governor, secretary of state and state treasurer who would appoint the officers by a majority vote.

The Bank would focus on providing capital access to underbanked populations, industries, small-business, public-private partnerships or local governments for development of infrastructure and business, incorporating broader public benefits in the climate, equity, health, clean water and education.

“There are communities throughout Massachusetts, particularly in Western Massachusetts, that are underserved by traditional banking,” said the measure’s sponsor, Sen. Adam Hinds (D-Pittsfield). “A state-owned bank would provide underbanked populations such as minority-owned businesses and the cannabis industry the opportunity to access much-needed capital.”

“The Big Dig, state police overtime pay, RMV backlogged/missing driver’s license suspensions, Farak, Dookhan and the state crime lab scandals, the Holyoke Soldiers’ Home deaths, the governor’s vaccination rollout,” cited Chip Ford, executive director of Citizens for Limited Taxation.  “Oversight and accountability non-existent.  Now Sen. Hinds wants to establish a state bank.  Whoa boy!  What could possibly go wrong, leaving taxpayers again on the hook?  Even the Fed wouldn’t touch a bailout of this bank crisis-in-the-making.”

Section 2 of Hinds's twelve-page bill states:

The Bank shall foster economic development by providing capital access to underbanked populations, industries, small-business, public-private partnerships or local governments for development of infrastructure and business, incorporating broader public benefits in the climate, equity, health, clean water, education.

The Bank will deliver outcomes to achieve the aforementioned goals including but not restricted to the following specific outcomes:

To expand credit, liquidity and the supply of money, increasing local lending within Massachusetts communities and regions that are expanding local businesses;

To reduce costs paid by Massachusetts towns, municipalities and counties for access to capital;

To create and expand socially responsible enterprises that work toward Massachusetts community needs and goals;

To offer Massachusetts INFRASTRUCTURE including but not restricted to financing for communities’ water, sewer, transportation, road, rail, bridge, electrical, cable, broadband, telephone conduit and public utility loans;

To lessen stress on those who have to pay college loans by offering college debt refinancing at lower rates for Massachusetts residents;

To provide growth capital for strategic, underfunded new industries in Massachusetts;

To reduce the tax burden of debt service costs in local towns and municipalities in Massachusetts to pay for capital improvements by issuing and refinancing debt at lower interest rates;

To lower inequality in the concentration of wealth in Massachusetts;

To provide affordable financial services and guidance to small businesses to convert to inclusive employee ownership models;

To capitalize solar energy, wind energy and other renewable energy projects that reduce carbon emissions in Massachusetts;

To provide higher returns than commercial banks on investments of taxpayer funds in Massachusetts;

To provide programs to develop commercial and industrial enterprises that do not harm the environment, raise carbon emissions or increase the rate of climate change in Massachusetts;

To provide greater income opportunities and affordable housing availability to enable Massachusetts residents to obtain shelter to reduce homelessness.

Other sections of his bill state:

The Bank shall be governed and its corporate powers exercised by a Board of Directors, which shall consist of 10 members, 1 of whom shall be the Massachusetts State Treasurer & Receiver General who shall serve as chair, and 9 of whom shall be appointed by the majority vote of a committee consisting of the governor, the senate president, the speaker of the house of representatives, who will ensure 1 of each appointment from a major organization representing the following groups: Minorities, Women, Low-income populations, Historically Under-funded Towns or Municipalities, Emerging Industries, Institutions of Higher-learning and Thought-leadership in Banking and ESG investment....

Section 5 (b): The commonwealth or its agencies may capitalize the Bank with an initial investment of capital in the range of $2,000,000,000 as an equity investment from the pension fund or from a direct legislative appropriation....

Section 5 (d): To meet the expenditures necessary in carrying out section 5, the State Treasurer shall, upon request of the governor, issue and sell bonds of the commonwealth in an amount to be specified by the governor from time to time but not exceeding, in the aggregate, $2,000,000,000. All such bonds issued by the commonwealth shall be designated on their face, “An Act Establishing a Public Bank of Massachusetts” Bank and shall be issued for a maximum term of years, not exceeding 10 years, as the governor may recommend to the general court under section 3 of Article LXII of the Amendments to the Constitution of the Commonwealth. The bonds shall be payable not later than DATE. All interest and payments on account of principal on these obligations shall be payable from the General Fund. Bonds and interest thereon issued under this section shall, notwithstanding any other provision of this act, be general obligations of the commonwealth....

Section 7 (e): The benefit policy shall include a statement that material, relevant, and decision-useful sustainability factors related to the goals of the Bank have been or are regularly considered by the PBANK, within the bounds of financial and fiduciary prudence, in evaluating investment decisions. Such factors will be derived from industry accepted public benefit guidelines such as United Nations Sustainable Development Goals and Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB) standards for impact....

All those dreamy progressive goals and desires are his stated purpose for establishing a state-owned, state-run bank.  I wonder if he spoke with any actual bankers before launching this ruinous debacle?  Banks are not charities; they exist in a free market to earn money for their shareholders by providing financial services to the public.  Banks succeed or fail based on investment decisions.  Banking institutions are not subsidized by government but regulated by it.  Of course your local bank isn't backed up by the full faith and credit of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts meaning its taxpayers.

"The Bank of Massachusetts" will never fail in the understood business sense not so long as there are taxpayers to endlessly bail it out.

“A state-owned bank would provide underbanked populations such as minority-owned businesses and the cannabis industry the opportunity to access much-needed capital,” Sen. Hinds asserted.

Methinks that cannabis perhaps is a basis for this lunacy not so much "much-needed capital" but instead over-consumption.


We can see where this is going with the so-called "Millionaire's Tax," aka, "The Fair Share Amendment."  As we've asserted since this sixth attempt was unleashed to abolish the flat state income tax and replace it with a graduated income tax, this latest proposed constitutional amendment is nothing more than a Trojan Horse to get their feet in the door before coming after all taxpayers one tax bracket at a time.

In our CLT news release of August 5, 2015 ("CLT still opposes Grad Tax schemes") we warned:

Twenty-one years later the Takers are back. They last lost their last assault on productive taxpayers in 1994 by a two-to-one margin, defeated again as they were in 1962, 1968, 1972, and 1976.  But a resounding "NO" is never good enough for the Takers....

Make no mistake about it — what is being proposed is termination of the Massachusetts flat tax, in effect since John Adams authored the oldest functioning written constitution in continuous effect in the world (1779-80).

If there is ever more than one single rate in the Constitution then the state will have replaced de facto the flat income tax with a graduated income tax scheme.

Once the state Constitution has been transformed with a graduated income tax the precedent will have been established.  The only question is which bracket will be targeted next.

This proposal is the first step in an inevitable slippery slope.

Note the phrase "so we can have everyone paying their fair share" in Rep. Kaufman's statement above.

Maybe not today, maybe not next year or the year after — but as sure as the sun rises in the east you know it will come; 'Just on those earning over $100,000 ... over $75,000 ...

For the Takers it is always "We need a significant amount of new money."  More Is Never Enough and never will be.

If a graduated income tax is ever adopted in Massachusetts the question will always be: "Who's next?"

Citizens for Limited Taxation was founded to oppose the graduated income tax in 1976.  CLT led opposition that defeated grad tax assaults on taxpayers ever since, and will be at the opposition forefront of this sixth one as well.

It's taken them over five years to reach this point, one vote away in the Legislature to put their constitutional amendment on the 2022 ballot.  They're confident of accomplishing this again, for the sixth time.  Confident enough now to begin dropping their masks and revealing the true goal all along.

"A tax expert who has been involved with Massachusetts tax policy for years suggested Wednesday that lawmakers could scrap the idea of a Constitutional amendment to impose a surtax on household income over $1 million and instead repeal the Constitution's requirement for a flat tax and impose the graduated income tax rate through traditional legislation," the State House News Service reported on Wednesday ("Expert Warns Against Setting Tax Rate in Constitution; Flat Tax Repeal Could Open Up Debate on Graduated Tax"):

Democrats on Beacon Hill have been working for years to establish a 4 percent surtax on annual income greater than $1 million by putting a Constitutional amendment to that effect before voters. The process is more complicated than it is for a normal piece of legislation because the state Constitution currently requires that a tax on income be applied evenly to all residents, so the so-called Millionaires Tax would be unconstitutional as a standalone law.

Jane Steinmetz, office managing principal of Ernst & Young, said she thinks it is bad tax administration to enshrine a tax rate into the state Constitution. If the Legislature wants to go forward with a graduated income tax, she said, lawmakers should repeal Article 44 of the Constitution and write the surtax provision directly into Chapter 62 of the Mass. General Laws, which deals with the taxation of income.

A day later the News Service reported ("Income Surtax in Constitution 'Bypasses Compromise,' Speaker Says"):

House Speaker Ron Mariano has voted against a proposed tax on the wealthy earning over $1 million a year and more recently for the proposed Constitutional amendment, but with supporters hoping for a second and final vote in the Legislature this spring the speaker made clear Thursday he's been no fan of the process.

"It really bypasses the whole spirit of the Legislature. It bypasses compromise. It bypasses the ability to work for a better product on the issue, and it's very frustrating for us," Mariano said during a question-and-answer session with the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce....

Before he was speaker, Mariano initially voted against putting a constitutional amendment on the ballot to add a surtax on millionaires, but supported the measure when it came up for a vote in 2020. The Legislature must vote one more time either this year or next year in order for the question to advance to the 2022 ballot, and supporters have been hoping it would surface this spring.

"As you said, if it passes and it's baked into the Constitution it's very very difficult to change it," Mariano said. "It's a process that's used by people who are frustrated because their positions may be too extreme to get enough support to get a bill through the House, so they resort to, I call it an end run around the Legislature."

Last year, the joint session of the House and Senate voted 147-48 in favor of putting the wealth surtax on the ballot, including a 112-43 vote in the House.

A tax expert suggested Wednesday that lawmakers could scrap the idea of a constitutional amendment to impose a surtax on household income over $1 million and instead repeal the constitution's requirement for a flat tax and impose the graduated income tax rate through traditional legislation.

"It's a process that's used by people who are frustrated because their positions may be too extreme to get enough support to get a bill through the House, so they resort to, I call it an end run around the Legislature," House Speaker Mariano, to which I say Amen.

But at this moment too many — including the Speaker — are counting on the projected $2 Billion in additional revenue to come pouring in when and if the "Millionaire's Tax" is approved by the voters.  They've got it already spent, have for years and not just on "transportation and education" as it's being falsely sold to less-than-fully-informed voters.  My key qualifier: "At this moment."  If they think they can get away with amending the proposed constitutional amendment, changing it to a straight and unabashed graduated income tax — the ultimate goal for  almost five decades — then all bets are off the table.


On Thursday the State House News Service also reported perhaps some good news for motorists, in what these days qualifies as "good" news.  The new House speaker is in no apparent rush to hike the gas tax even more than will happen under Gov. Baker's Transportation and Climate Initiative (TCI) when and if it kicks in.  You might recall that former House speaker DeLeo took the same position, until it changed and he pushed a gas tax hike along with many other tax and fee increases, so never say never.  The News Service reported ("Mariano: 'Premature' to Return to New Transportation Revenues"):

With $1 billion in federal relief funding for public transit on its way to Massachusetts, House Speaker Ron Mariano said Thursday he was not in a rush to push another vote on transportation revenue a year after the House voted for more than $500 million in new revenue, including a 5-cent hike in the gas tax.

The House's transportation financing package stalled out in the Senate in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic set in.

That bill would have increased the gas tax by 5 cents and the diesel tax by 9 cents, hiked the corporate minimum tax and raised fees on Uber and Lyft to help pay for improvements to transportation system clogged with vehicles and riders.

Asked during an appearance before the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce whether he would return to the issue of transportation revenue, and specifically the gas tax, Mariano said, "I think it's a little premature just yet. I wouldn't rule anything off the table." ...

"Now with this federal money coming in it's a chance for us to take a step back and recalculate..."

Speaker Mariano gave himself plenty of wiggle-room there in fact exactly what did he actually say that enlightened?  Senate President Karen Spilka was equally as ambiguous on new or higher taxes.  The State House News Service reported on Friday ("Spilka Weighs In On Taxes, Early Ed, Public Health"):

Holding the line on new taxes. Reforming early education and child care. Getting people out of their cars.

With a major climate policy bill set to become law Friday and work on key unemployment system changes nearly complete, one of Beacon Hill's most powerful legislators, Senate President Karen Spilka, on Friday morning outlined other likely focus areas for the Senate in the coming weeks and months....

Spilka also announced that a new panel led by Sen. Adam Hinds to help Massachusetts reimagine its post-pandemic future and "come back better" will hold an April 6 session to hear about business, housing and the digital divide, and an April 14 listening session focused on education and child care....

Spilka's Senate Democrats last session led a deep dive into state tax policy and that group led by Hinds is expected to release its conclusions this spring.

But with House and Senate budget debates on deck, Spilka echoed Mariano's recent statements about tax increases -- the Quincy Democrat said last month that "we have no intention of raising taxes."

Noting she remains concerned about wealth gaps and saying there is "room for improvement" in the state tax code over the long term, Spilka recalled how in 2020 Beacon Hill resisted tax increases when the pandemic struck, and job losses mounted.

"It was not the time to pass any broad-based tax increases," she said. "Our outlook, I believe, is still precarious and we need to be cautious. So I anticipate continuing to hold this view." ...

Spilka said "replacing" $3.5 billion in one-time fiscal 2021 revenues will be one of the biggest challenges for budget writers. However, with state tax collections surpassing estimates and "billions" in federal aid flowing in, Spilka said, "I hope to really minimize any withdrawal from our rainy day fund."

In his fiscal 2022 budget proposal, which was released before the American Rescue Act was signed, Baker did not call for tax increases on residents and proposed trimming state spending by about $300 million even though state tax revenues are expected to rise 3.5 percent over the current budget year. Baker also proposed spending $1.6 billion in one-time revenues drawn from the state's rainy day fund.

As obscure as those two statements individually and taken together are, note that would-be state bank founder Sen. Adam Hinds, apparently a very busy and important man these days, along with "reimagining the future" of post-pandemic Massachusetts to "come back better" is also leading Senate Democrats on a "deep dive into state tax policy" with an eye toward restructuring the entire revenue system.  Could a graduated income tax not be in his sights?  Just thinking out loud folks, you know me.  Always trying to connect the dots as they pop up before the truth is finally introduced.


The long-pending massive "net zero" climate-and-constituent control bill became law with the proud signature of Gov. Charlie Baker on Friday.  The State House News Service reported ("Baker Signs Law Committing to Net-Zero Emissions by 2050; Change Can't Wait, They Said, But Bill Was Long in Making"):

It took basically all of the last legislative session and the first three months of the new one to get major climate policy signed into law, but the real work begins now that Gov. Charlie Baker has put his signature on the law.

After it took a long, winding and sometimes contentious road, the governor on Friday afternoon signed the long-discussed legislation designed to commit Massachusetts to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, establish interim emissions goals between now and the middle of the century, adopt energy efficiency standards for appliances, authorize another 2,400 megawatts of offshore wind power and address needs in environmental justice communities.

"I'm proud to say that climate change has not been, ever, a partisan issue. We know the impacts on our coasts, on our fisheries, on our farms and our communities are real, and demand action, and that's why we've been committed for over a decade to ... doing the things we need to do to deal with the issue at hand and to maintain a structure that's affordable for the people of the commonwealth," Baker said after signing the bill in the State House library. He added, "This bill puts us on an ambitious path to achieving a cleaner and more livable commonwealth, while also creating economic development opportunities to support the initiatives."

Baker and the Legislature see eye-to-eye when it comes to the goal of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, but the details of how the state would get there proved to be a much more complicated conversation. On Friday, Baker said he was glad lawmakers "went back and forth and back and forth and back and forth on this" with his administration before settling on the final language....

But proving that More Is Never Enough (MINE) for Progressives like Baker and Massachusetts Democrats, the News Service report went on:

"This bill is a significant step closer to putting our knowledge about a foreseeable risk into action. This critical piece of legislation will help us seize major benefits for the commonwealth on our way to addressing an existential threat to our modern society and human life as we know it," Sen. Marc Pacheco, one of the most vocal lawmakers when it comes to climate policy, said.

But the new law does not deal with the "climate emergency" aggressively enough, he said.

"That's why as soon as this bill is done, we need to get about the business of putting in place the other elements that we need to be dealing with as a state, and working with our national governmental leaders and our world leaders to do everything we can to continue to move forward," he said when the Senate re-enacted the climate bill on March 15.

Pacheco added, "Let us not close the door on this issue. Let's make sure we kick it open for the future, that this is just our new beginning on a commitment to make sure we embrace a clean energy future. We're on the cusp of a sustainability revolution, let's embrace that clean energy revolution."

Pacheco has filed a bevy of climate-related bills for consideration in the current session, including proposals to target retrofitting one million homes over the next decade and to create the jobs necessary to complete those retrofits (SD 2102)....

It's not all smooth sailing for Massachusetts progressives using "climate change" as another fear generator to promote their agenda.  The Salem News reported on Friday ("Climate pact up in the air; Effort hinges on approval by 2 other states") that Baker's still going it alone with his grand Transportation and Climate Initiative (TCI) scheme.  Without passage in the Rhode Island and Connecticut legislatures for some distant and unaccountable entity to hike their constituents' gas and diesel tax Gov. Baker will be walking this plank alone.  Only Baker has been granted unilateral authority to participate in this alleged "multi-state" grand pact, the Massachusetts Legislature having handed their power over to him.  According to the Salem News report:

Massachusetts is largely in the driver’s seat on a regional plan to reduce carbon emissions from cars and trucks, but the initiative, which could lead to higher gas prices, now hinges on the approval of lawmakers in two neighboring states.

Gov. Charlie Baker, the governors of Connecticut and Rhode Island, and the mayor of Washington, D.C., signed a regional agreement in December that aims to substantially curb tailpipe emissions while drumming up revenue for projects to mitigate climate change and improve transportation infrastructure.

The Transportation and Climate Initiative won't be put to a vote in Massachusetts, but it still must be ratified by Connecticut and Rhode Island in order to go forward.

In Connecticut, lawmakers are debating whether to enter into the pact. A bill filed by Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont is expected to clear a key committee but its fate in the General Assembly is less certain.

Rhode Island lawmakers have yet to file a proposal to ratify the deal, but supporters say they expect legislation to emerge soon.

Backers of the initiative in Connecticut and Rhode Island say they expect it to be ratified, but opponents argue that it’s anything but a done deal.

"If lawmakers go ahead with this, they are going to be increasing gas prices for their constituents, which will be a hard sell," said Christian Herb, executive director of the Connecticut Energy Marketers Association, a trade group that opposes the pact. "The governor is clearly in favor of it, but the Legislature will ultimately have the final say." ...

"In order to reach the emissions cuts they're proposing, it's going to have to be 30, 40, 50 cents a gallon," said Mike Stenhouse, founder and CEO of the Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity. "Make no mistake, this isn't about reducing carbon emissions. It's basically a cash grab by these states."


It looks like Charlie Baker may be missing President Trump as much as most MAGA supporters, though for a different reason.  CommonWealth Magazine reported on Wednesday ("Is Trump’s exit bad for Baker?"):

It’s Trump’s fault.

Not the insurrection at the US Capitol or the discrediting of fairly conducted elections or the general degradation of democratic principles – though there may be those things, too. In this case, the damage done by the former president is to Charlie Baker’s approval ratings.

The governor whose political standing with voters seemed to defy the laws of gravity has seen his poll numbers come down closer to earth, and Politico’s Stephanie Murray says Trump is to blame. Not because of anything he did, but rather because he’s now gone.

“Wildly unpopular in Massachusetts, Trump served as a foil for Baker, who was able to establish his own political independence — and win over Democratic constituents — by frequently criticizing his fellow Republican,” she writes.

With no Trump to kick around anymore, Baker is finding himself on the receiving end of the blue-state brickbats. And he’s not alone, says Murray, who points to falling approval ratings for two other Republican governors in heavily Democratic states, Maryland’s Larry Hogan and Phil Scott in Vermont.

Baker’s approval rating has fallen from close to 80 percent last August to 52 percent last month, she writes. He’s seen a similar falloff in polls asking specifically about his handling of the COVID pandemic.

And there’s the rub. Trump’s exit has coincided with the state’s problem-plagued vaccine rollout and a growing overall weariness with the pandemic as it enters its second year. That makes it hard to tease out any independent effect of Trump’s disappearance from the public stage.

Still, it’s not just public poll numbers that have shifted for Baker. The Democrats who dominate the Legislature have shown a new willingness to spar more directly with him, including in two recent oversight hearings where the lawmakers Baker loves to refer to as “our colleagues” have been decidedly less collegial.

The above referenced Politico report ("Blue-state Republicans slump without Trump as foil") noted:

As recently as October, Massachusetts Republican Gov. Charlie Baker was basking in his typically stratospheric poll ratings. More than 70 percent approved of his job performance. Roughly the same amount felt the same way about his handling of the Covid-19 crisis.

Those were the days.

Since then, Baker’s numbers have nosedived, knocking him off his pedestal as arguably the nation’s most popular governor. His coronavirus approval ratings have dropped from a high of 80 percent last April to 59 percent in February, according to the Covid States Project, which has been tracking gubernatorial approval ratings for the past year. His overall job performance ratings have also declined — from 78 percent in August to 52 percent at the end of February, according to a recent UMass Amherst poll.

In part, Baker’s downward slide can be attributed to his state's troubled vaccine rollout, which got off to a slow start and was marked by a very public website crash for the vaccine appointment booking system. Yet there are also signs another factor may be contributing to his decline: Donald Trump’s departure from the White House.

Wildly unpopular in Massachusetts, Trump served as a foil for Baker, who was able to establish his own political independence — and win over Democratic constituents — by frequently criticizing his fellow Republican.

Baker isn’t the only blue-state Republican governor who’s seen his popularity dented by coronavirus fatigue and Trump’s absence from the news cycle. Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan and Vermont Gov. Phil Scott — two other Trump critics who have long rated among the most popular governors in the nation — have also seen their numbers dip in the post-Trump era....

Between their moderate politics and Trump-resistant stances, the three governors have actually managed to become more popular with Democratic voters than Republicans....

"There's nobody a Democrat loves more than a Republican criticizing Trump," said pollster Rich Clark of Vermont’s Castleton University.

In Baker’s case, his standing within his own party is so strained that, in the event he seeks a third term next year, a Republican close to state GOP leadership is gearing up to challenge him in the primary....

"The Democratic sharks are circling, sensing vulnerability in a Republican governor with few teammates to protect his flank.  But even if Gov. Charlie Baker looks like easy prey to some in a state like Massachusetts, Democrats on Beacon Hill are unpracticed hunters," the State House News Service reported on Friday in its Weekly Roundup ("Blood in the Water"):

"We know he's a RINO anyway," joked Sen. Nick Collins during his resurrection of the South Boston St. Patrick's Day breakfast last Sunday, alluding to the fact that Baker is actually more popular with Democratic voters than Republicans....

Even as Massachusetts has climbed the state rankings for shots administered, the choice to administer many of those shots at mass vaccination sites instead of through local clinics and municipal public health infrastructure is the hill some in the legislature have chosen to plant their flag.

Democrats accused him of throwing out the playbook right before the big game, and spending millions on private-run facilities when that money could have been used to scale up locally-run clinics....

Everyone agrees the faster the vaccine arrives and gets put into arms, the sooner the state can emerge from the year-long pandemic. That's why Baker's hiring of McKinsey & Co. to write a report about the "future-of-work" has generated so much interest.

But Attorney General Maura Healey's interest in the report this week had nothing to do with her curiosity to learn what the global consulting firm recommends. Healey, who is being watched like a hawk for hints at her political future, went after Baker for hiring McKinsey after her office and others around the country reached a settlement with the firm last month for $573 million over its role in helping Purdue Pharma "turbocharge" opioid sales to turn a profit.

The "future-of-work" contract is one of many the firm holds with the state, and Healey called it "outrageous" that Massachusetts would continue to give them business. One of her opening salvos in the 2022 gubernatorial campaign? Maybe. But even a visit by the attorney general to a picket line in Worcester these days is cause for speculation....

Baker without Trump to petulantly attack is steadily losing popularity and it's been noticed.  The political sharks are circling their wounded prey.  He and/or his Lieutenant Gov., Karyn Polito, will be hard pressed even to win the Republican primary (without Democrat support at the ballot box).  Maura Healey has always been next in line on the Democrat dance ticket attorneys general usually are.  The Democrat nomination for governor is hers for the taking and she's been positioning herself for it for a very long time.  All the other Democrats announced or contemplating a run for the governorship are but white noise in the background.

Chip Ford
Executive Director


Full News Reports Follow
(excerpted above)

Beacon Hill Roll Call
Volume 46 - Report No. 13
March 22-26, 2021
By Bob Katzen
Create State-Owned Bank (SD-2462)


Establishes a publicly owned, state-run Bank of Massachusetts funded to the tune of up to $2 billion through the sale of bonds, funding from the Legislature and unclaimed property proceeds.  A 10-member board of directors, chaired by the state treasurer, would provide a list of potential CFOs and COOs to the governor, secretary of state and state treasurer who would appoint the officers by a majority vote.

The Bank would focus on providing capital access to underbanked populations, industries, small-business, public-private partnerships or local governments for development of infrastructure and business, incorporating broader public benefits in the climate, equity, health, clean water and education.

“There are communities throughout Massachusetts, particularly in Western Massachusetts, that are underserved by traditional banking,” said the measure’s sponsor, Sen. Adam Hinds (D-Pittsfield).  “A state-owned bank would provide underbanked populations such as minority-owned businesses and the cannabis industry the opportunity to access much-needed capital.”

“The Big Dig, state police overtime pay, RMV backlogged/missing driver’s license suspensions, Farak, Dookhan and the state crime lab scandals, the Holyoke Soldiers’ Home deaths, the governor’s vaccination rollout,” cited Chip Ford, executive director of Citizens for Limited Taxation.  “Oversight and accountability non-existent.  Now Sen. Hinds wants to establish a state bank.  Whoa boy!  What could possibly go wrong, leaving taxpayers again on the hook?  Even the Fed wouldn’t touch a bailout of this bank crisis-in-the-making.”


State House News Service
Wednesday, March 24, 2021
Expert Warns Against Setting Tax Rate in Constitution
Flat Tax Repeal Could Open Up Debate on Graduated Tax
By Colin A. Young


A tax expert who has been involved with Massachusetts tax policy for years suggested Wednesday that lawmakers could scrap the idea of a Constitutional amendment to impose a surtax on household income over $1 million and instead repeal the Constitution's requirement for a flat tax and impose the graduated income tax rate through traditional legislation.

Democrats on Beacon Hill have been working for years to establish a 4 percent surtax on annual income greater than $1 million by putting a Constitutional amendment to that effect before voters. The process is more complicated than it is for a normal piece of legislation because the state Constitution currently requires that a tax on income be applied evenly to all residents, so the so-called Millionaires Tax would be unconstitutional as a standalone law.

Jane Steinmetz, office managing principal of Ernst & Young, said she thinks it is bad tax administration to enshrine a tax rate into the state Constitution. If the Legislature wants to go forward with a graduated income tax, she said, lawmakers should repeal Article 44 of the Constitution and write the surtax provision directly into Chapter 62 of the Mass. General Laws, which deals with the taxation of income.

"When you have a tax change, there are these unintended consequences," Steinmetz, who was appointed by then-Senate President Therese Murray to a special commission that studied corporate tax issues in 2007, said. "If we etch this in constitutional stone and there's these unintended consequences, you can't just amend the Constitution. It could take four years."

Steinmetz, who did not stake out her own position on the issue, and Stanford University finance professor Joshua Rauh discussed some of the potential consequences of the Massachusetts income surtax Wednesday during a virtual event hosted by Pioneer Institute and the Mass. High Tech Council.

In June 2019, House and Senate members voted 147-48 in favor of the Constitutional amendment (H 86) that would impose a 4 percent surtax on annual household income greater than $1 million.

That amendment must also win at least 101 votes of support among the 200 state legislators at a Constitutional Convention in the current legislative session in order to go before voters on the November 2022 ballot.

Supporters of the surtax say it could generate as much as $2 billion per year for education and transportation in Massachusetts without dipping into the pockets of most residents. But critics have long said it could prompt wealthy residents to move out of the Bay State and encourage employers to steer clear of Massachusetts.

"Maybe people hear this discussion and think, 'gee, high-income people, these are millionaires, who really cares if they leave or they reduce their income, does it really matter?' Well, the fact is, it does really matter," Rauh, a Newton native, said.

A 2012 referendum in California raised the top tax rate for the state's highest earners, Rauh said, which was followed by "a big spike in departures of high-income people." Compared to the rate of departures before the initiative passed, he said, the rate of departure doubled following the tax rate hike.

"The other thing we found that had maybe even more of an economic consequence was that for people who stayed in California who were high earners, the income that they were reporting to tax authorities really leveled off compared to the income growth that we saw from taxpayers who were located in other states but who were comparable to these taxpayers who were in California," Rauh said, citing his own research. "And on balance, what we found was that within a couple of years around 60 percent of the state's expected windfall revenue gain from this tax increase was actually eroded away by this combination of people leaving and also high-income earners apparently reporting less income to the state."

A previous Pioneer Institute event looked at how remote working opportunities made popular during the COVID-19 pandemic could encourage people to leave Massachusetts for low-tax states like Florida and New Hampshire, but Steinmetz said Wednesday that the Congressional response to the pandemic and its economic impacts -- especially the appetite for federal tax increases among Congressional Democrats and the White House -- also bears consideration.

"We're talking about this 4 percent surtax, but when individuals are thinking about their tax bill, they're thinking about it in totality. So as these tax proposals move forward at the federal level, the Mass. Legislature has to really watch them and analyze how those potential increases might impact what a surtax could do here in Massachusetts," she said.

Steinmetz also pointed out that Massachusetts is not exactly hurting for revenue at the moment. Fiscal year 2020 ended about $120 million short -- "which is close to breakeven, but it's still a shortfall," she said -- and fiscal year 2021 "seems to be doing fine," with the state having collected $1.123 billion more from taxpayers in the first eight months of the budget year than it did the previous year.

On top of that, she said, is a deluge of billions of dollars in federal funding, some of which comes to the state under the restriction that it not be used to directly or indirectly offset a tax cut.

"We've gone on this crazy rollercoaster ride through COVID-19 and now we're coming out of it and there's largely a reset button being hit," Steinmetz said. She added, "So it's a real important decision for the Mass. Legislature to make about do we move now, or do we kind of pump the brakes a little bit and move forward maybe 12 months from now and see how this reset worked itself out because it would be hard to adjust taxes on a go-forward basis. "

Rep. Jim O'Day, the House sponsor of the amendment, expressed a desire to take the issue up sooner rather than later this session and said he has no reason to believe that the 19 new members of the Legislature this session will significantly alter the support for the measure.

"I've not heard anything overwhelming at all from any of my new colleagues other than asking if we were doing the amendment again," he told the News Service in February. "If anything, the newer members have been interested in being able to sign on to that."

Senate President Karen Spilka has until May 12 to convene a new Constitutional Convention.


State House News Service
Thursday, March 25, 2021
Income Surtax in Constitution “Bypasses Compromise,” Speaker Says
By Matt Murphy


House Speaker Ron Mariano has voted against a proposed tax on the wealthy earning over $1 million a year and more recently for the proposed Constitutional amendment, but with supporters hoping for a second and final vote in the Legislature this spring the speaker made clear Thursday he's been no fan of the process.

"It really bypasses the whole spirit of the Legislature. It bypasses compromise. It bypasses the ability to work for a better product on the issue, and it's very frustrating for us," Mariano said during a question-and-answer session with the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce.

Chamber CEO Jim Rooney asked Mariano to talk about the trend of advocates using ballot questions to "create legislation" and "without getting into sort of what it's for, the use of the Constitutional Convention to actually sort of put what we think of as legislative policy into our Constitution that is now hard to reverse once it's in there."

While Mariano and Rooney danced around the specific question of the millionaire's tax, which would add a 4 percent surtax on all income earned over $1 million, Mariano made clear he knew what Rooney was hinting at.

"I'd love to be able to sit down, and I know what we're talking about here, and have a discussion of tax policy. But instead we have this or nothing and it's a difficult choice for legislators," Mariano said.

Before he was speaker, Mariano initially voted against putting a constitutional amendment on the ballot to add a surtax on millionaires, but supported the measure when it came up for a vote in 2020. The Legislature must vote one more time either this year or next year in order for the question to advance to the 2022 ballot, and supporters have been hoping it would surface this spring.

"As you said, if it passes and it's baked into the Constitution it's very very difficult to change it," Mariano said. "It's a process that's used by people who are frustrated because their positions may be too extreme to get enough support to get a bill through the House, so they resort to, I call it an end run around the Legislature."

Last year, the joint session of the House and Senate voted 147-48 in favor of putting the wealth surtax on the ballot, including a 112-43 vote in the House.

A tax expert suggested Wednesday that lawmakers could scrap the idea of a constitutional amendment to impose a surtax on household income over $1 million and instead repeal the constitution's requirement for a flat tax and impose the graduated income tax rate through traditional legislation.

The current version of the millionaire's tax was filed by Rep. Jim O'Day in House after a push by a coalition of civic, labor and religious groups known as the Raise Up Coalition to amendment the Constitution was ruled ineligible for the ballot as a citizen-generated petition.


State House News Service
Thursday, March 25, 2021
Mariano: “Premature” to Return to New Transportation Revenues
Matt Murphy


With $1 billion in federal relief funding for public transit on its way to Massachusetts, House Speaker Ron Mariano said Thursday he was not in a rush to push another vote on transportation revenue a year after the House voted for more than $500 million in new revenue, including a 5-cent hike in the gas tax.

The House's transportation financing package stalled out in the Senate in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic set in.

That bill would have increased the gas tax by 5 cents and the diesel tax by 9 cents, hiked the corporate minimum tax and raised fees on Uber and Lyft to help pay for improvements to transportation system clogged with vehicles and riders.

Asked during an appearance before the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce whether he would return to the issue of transportation revenue, and specifically the gas tax, Mariano said, "I think it's a little premature just yet. I wouldn't rule anything off the table."

The Chamber played helped build support among the business community for tax increases to improve the state's transportation system, and CEO Jim Rooney noted that Senate Transportation Committee Chairman Joe Boncore has filed an omnibus transportation bill this session that would, among other things, increase the gas tax by 12 cents by 2025.

"I think it's interesting that the senator decided we needed revenue. We knew that a year ago," Mariano said. "Now with this federal money coming in it's a chance for us to take a step back and recalculate what we want the T to look like."

Mariano said he had been "very disappointed" with the service cuts being made by T before they revered course on many of the changes, including cuts to ferry service that he said was important to Quincy and the South Shore.

"We need to do a full cost-benefit analysis of the routes that they want to cut. The T has for an awful long time shut down routes that were fairly heavily traveled to get our attention to vote for fare increases," Mariano said.

The speaker said that before routes are changed or services cut to address budget deficits the MBTA and the Legislature should be working to gain a better understanding of how commuting patterns will change after the pandemic and what kind of system will be needed to meet the new demand.


State House News Service
Friday, March 26, 2021
Spilka Weighs In On Taxes, Early Ed, Public Health
By Michael P. Norton


Holding the line on new taxes. Reforming early education and child care. Getting people out of their cars.

With a major climate policy bill set to become law Friday and work on key unemployment system changes nearly complete, one of Beacon Hill's most powerful legislators, Senate President Karen Spilka, on Friday morning outlined other likely focus areas for the Senate in the coming weeks and months.

The Ashland Democrat's list, as described during an early morning Associated Industries of Massachusetts executive forum, also includes fully funding the state's new education equity law, increasing investments in public health infrastructure, and minimizing additional draws from the state's cash reserves.

Spilka also announced that a new panel led by Sen. Adam Hinds to help Massachusetts reimagine its post-pandemic future and "come back better" will hold an April 6 session to hear about business, housing and the digital divide, and an April 14 listening session focused on education and child care.

The policy and spending agenda she outlined comes a day after House Speaker Ronald Mariano named job creation and training, improved access to broadband, and offshore wind energy as among his favored investment areas.

Spilka's Senate Democrats last session led a deep dive into state tax policy and that group led by Hinds is expected to release its conclusions this spring.

But with House and Senate budget debates on deck, Spilka echoed Mariano's recent statements about tax increases -- the Quincy Democrat said last month that "we have no intention of raising taxes."

Noting she remains concerned about wealth gaps and saying there is "room for improvement" in the state tax code over the long term, Spilka recalled how in 2020 Beacon Hill resisted tax increases when the pandemic struck, and job losses mounted.

"It was not the time to pass any broad-based tax increases," she said. "Our outlook, I believe, is still precarious and we need to be cautious. So I anticipate continuing to hold this view."

Equating the importance of child care to transportation, Spilka said the pandemic exposed gender pay gaps and "wiped out" a decade of progress for women.

"I have to say that gives me the chills and goosebumps," she said. "We must take a close look at the factors that affect women's employment moving forward and the most obvious place to start is child care."

In addition to the educational importance to children, Spilka emphasized the role that quality child care and early education can plan in ensuring that all residents are participating in and growing the state's economy, and pointed to the availability of $500 million in supports in the American Rescue Plan.

"So the Senate will continue to prioritize, and we will work to reform, to update, to meet the needs, the true needs of our residents, post-pandemic, we will reform early education and child care moving forward," she said.

With remote work likely to endure, Spilka said that even the locations of child care facilities is an issue. She also highlighted the potential for broadening hours to meet the needs of working parents and addressing how centers are paid.

"Right now we pay per child, per head, and that hasn't worked because child care centers need to be open and their funding model now figures it out with a full capacity. We realized during the pandemic not all of them had full capacities. So what can we do to support our centers? What can businesses do?" she said. "Because clearly businesses benefit from child care. I would imagine all businesses want to get the best talent that they can ... and oftentimes it happens to be a woman and we should make sure that we foster that and support it and put the resources necessary to do that."

In January, Gov. Baker signed a $16.5 billion multi-year capital funding bill for transportation, but vetoed measures raising fees on ride-hailing services, creating a commission to study congestion pricing systems and requiring the MBTA to launch a low-income fare program.

Spilka said the new law will still make transportation more reliable and accessible, and vowed to continue pursuing policies to change behaviors.

"I have often said that my goal is to get people out of their cars and into public transportation," she said. "And we all know that it's more easily said than done. But the Senate is really committed to continuing to work on policies that will help change people's behavior. So that will ultimately be done."

Education, Public Health, State Finances

Since the release of Baker's $45.6 billion fiscal 2022 budget, critics have alleged that the governor underfunded aid to schools under the new seven-year Student Opportunity Act by using enrollment projections that don't capture students likely to return to classrooms in the fall of 2021.

State officials last year skipped the first of seven scheduled funding years under the $1.5 billion law. They now face pressure to meet funding commitments they made in November 2019 when they agreed to the big investments without establishing a dedicated funding source for the law.

Without getting into specific numbers or the enrollment debate, Spilka said, "I can tell you right now the Senate intends to fulfill our promise to fully fund the Student Opportunity Act, which is so important and so timely. We need to make sure we do that."

Spilka said the pandemic has "held a mirror to our public health infrastructure and ability to respond to widespread emergencies, and we know that there are lessons to learn," and cited research conducted recently by lawmakers seated on a new committee.

"What we have heard is clear -- that we need increased investment in our public health infrastructure, especially if we anticipate any other large-scale emergencies in the future, which we know are likely," Spilka said. "So while we continue to work on health care affordability and overall access, particularly in mental health, I anticipate public health being a big part of our discussion this session as well."

Public health investments, either at the local or state levels, will come into clearer focus during legislative budget deliberations in April and May.

Spilka said "replacing" $3.5 billion in one-time fiscal 2021 revenues will be one of the biggest challenges for budget writers. However, with state tax collections surpassing estimates and "billions" in federal aid flowing in, Spilka said, "I hope to really minimize any withdrawal from our rainy day fund."

In his fiscal 2022 budget proposal, which was released before the American Rescue Act was signed, Baker did not call for tax increases on residents and proposed trimming state spending by about $300 million even though state tax revenues are expected to rise 3.5 percent over the current budget year. Baker also proposed spending $1.6 billion in one-time revenues drawn from the state's rainy day fund.

Gross MassHealth spending in Baker's budget would fall from $18.2 billion this year to $17.6 billion in fiscal 2022, while all non-MassHealth spending in his annual spending blueprint is slated to increase by 1 percent, from $27.7 billion to $28 billion, the administration said.


State House News Service
Friday, March 26, 2021
Baker Signs Law Committing to Net-Zero Emissions by 2050
Change Can't Wait, They Said, But Bill Was Long in Making
By Colin A. Young


It took basically all of the last legislative session and the first three months of the new one to get major climate policy signed into law, but the real work begins now that Gov. Charlie Baker has put his signature on the law.

After it took a long, winding and sometimes contentious road, the governor on Friday afternoon signed the long-discussed legislation designed to commit Massachusetts to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, establish interim emissions goals between now and the middle of the century, adopt energy efficiency standards for appliances, authorize another 2,400 megawatts of offshore wind power and address needs in environmental justice communities.

"I'm proud to say that climate change has not been, ever, a partisan issue. We know the impacts on our coasts, on our fisheries, on our farms and our communities are real, and demand action, and that's why we've been committed for over a decade to ... doing the things we need to do to deal with the issue at hand and to maintain a structure that's affordable for the people of the commonwealth," Baker said after signing the bill in the State House library. He added, "This bill puts us on an ambitious path to achieving a cleaner and more livable commonwealth, while also creating economic development opportunities to support the initiatives."

Baker and the Legislature see eye-to-eye when it comes to the goal of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, but the details of how the state would get there proved to be a much more complicated conversation. On Friday, Baker said he was glad lawmakers "went back and forth and back and forth and back and forth on this" with his administration before settling on the final language.

Sen. Michael Barrett, who led the negotiations for the Senate and said he is concerned that the Baker administration has tried to "evade legislative intent" of the new law, said Friday that everyone in state government now must start "pulling in the same direction" now that the work turns to implementation.

"The order of the day beginning tomorrow is ensuring interpretations of the law that are true to legislative intent and then overseeing implementation in a way that is true to legislative intent," he said. "One reason I've been so concerned about the administration's insistence on idiosyncratic readings of the new statute is because today's abstract discussion segues over in tomorrow's implementation. If the administration pushes back against the plain language of the law today, how are they going to implement it tomorrow?"

The new law requires that greenhouse gas emissions in 2030 be at least 50 percent lower than 1990 emissions, that 2040 emissions be at least 75 percent lower and that 2050 emissions be at least 85 percent below 1990 emissions. In order to actually net out at zero emissions by 2050, the state will have to make up the remainder, up to 15 percent, through strategies like carbon sequestration and carbon banking. The Baker administration has similarly embraced natural climate solutions in its own climate plans.

"We now have in place a path forward for robust climate action that will truly make a difference when it comes to tackling and reversing climate change in Massachusetts and beyond," Deb Markowitz, state director of The Nature Conservancy in Massachusetts, said. "We are especially pleased that, for the first time, the new framework acknowledges the important contribution of natural and working lands -- such as forests, farms and wetlands -- to draw carbon pollution from the air."

Massachusetts has the potential to remove one to two million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent from the atmosphere through natural climate solutions each year, roughly equal to the emissions from 435,000 cars annually, TNC has said.

The law also requires the executive branch to set interim limits for 2025, 2035 and 2045, and to set sublimits for six sectors of the economy -- electric power; transportation; commercial and industrial heating and cooling; residential heating and cooling; industrial processes; and natural gas distribution and service -- every five years. Each five-year emissions limit "shall be accompanied by publication of a comprehensive, clear and specific roadmap plan to realize said limit," the law requires.

That work will begin almost immediately. The first interim plan required by the new law, the plan for 2025, must be in place along with the 2025 emissions limit by July 1, 2022. The bill also requires the Department of Public Utilities to consider emissions reductions on an equal footing as its considerations of reliability and affordability within 90 days, that the governor appoint three green building experts to the Board of Building Regulations and Standards, and that the administration establish the first-ever greenhouse gas emissions reduction goal for the home energy efficiency program MassSave.

Energy and Environmental Affairs Secretary Kathleen Theoharides said she stopped by her daughter's room before driving to Friday's signing ceremony to see if she wanted to join her mother to watch the governor sign a climate bill into law.

"She said, 'So, why is that important? I thought you have to do something to stop climate change?' and I said, 'Yes, you do. But this is step one and we have a lot of work ahead of us,'" Theoharides said. "And so I really look forward to that work, that work we're doing for all of our children and for the future of our residents here in the commonwealth."

The law, through one of Baker's amendments, newly requires the Department of Environmental Protection to conduct cumulative impact analysis as a condition of permitting certain projects to ensure that environmental justice communities -- neighborhoods that are mostly made up of people with lower incomes and people of color that are at risk of being negatively and disproportionately impacted by environmental policies -- no longer bear an undue burden of air pollution.

Offshore wind is becoming an increasingly important part of the state's energy and environmental strategies and the new law requires that the executive branch direct Massachusetts utilities to buy an additional 2,400 MW of offshore wind power generation.

So far, Massachusetts lawmakers have authorized the procurement of a total of 3,200 MW of offshore wind power. The Vineyard Wind I and Mayflower Wind projects are under contract for a combined roughly 1,600 MW and the state is in the early stages of a third procurement, one that could fulfill the remaining 1,600 MW of authorization with a single project.

The Road to the Governor's Signature

"I want to thank the governor for signing this bill today, a bill that has more miles on it than my car," House Speaker Ronald Mariano said Friday.

Eighty-one state lawmakers rang in 2019 and the start of the current two-year legislative session by resolving to pursue a suite of climate policies, including moving the state to net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. The year brought youth climate strikes and clean energy pushes from municipal and business leaders but not, ultimately, completed climate legislation.

At the start of 2020, Gov. Charlie Baker, then-House Speaker Robert DeLeo and Senate President Karen Spilka all declared their support for net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 on the same day in January. But that shared goal, one that climate activists spent years clamoring for, was not carved into statutory stone until Friday afternoon.

The Senate overwhelmingly passed a package of climate bills in January 2020 and the House, which had earlier passed a $1.3 billion climate adaptation bill, in July 2020 passed its response to the main Senate proposal calling for net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.

Six lawmakers negotiated from early August until early January to strike a compromise between the House and Senate versions. That was passed in the final days of the last legislative session, so close to the end that Baker was left with only two options: sign the bill, or veto it.

Though he made clear that he would have preferred to send the bill back with amendments, Baker vetoed the bill. Lawmakers pledged to pass the exact same bill and did just that by the end of January. This time, Baker sent the bill back in early February with amendments he said would make the legislation more palatable.

Lawmakers then sat on the bill for a month as negotiations with the administration played out. The Legislature agreed to many, but not all, of Baker's amendments.

Though the Legislature's changes satisfied the governor and his administration, the two sides continued to disagree over whether the changes were generally significant (as the administration would say) or more technical in nature (as the Legislature would tell you). For example, Barrett said the final version of the bill incorporated "none of the major" amendments suggested by the governor, but the administration says lawmakers adopted all but one of its most significant proposals.

Either way, both sides displayed a willingness to negotiate throughout the process and those talks got the bill to a point where both sides could claim some victories.

More Climate Action to Come?

"This bill is a significant step closer to putting our knowledge about a foreseeable risk into action. This critical piece of legislation will help us seize major benefits for the commonwealth on our way to addressing an existential threat to our modern society and human life as we know it," Sen. Marc Pacheco, one of the most vocal lawmakers when it comes to climate policy, said.

But the new law does not deal with the "climate emergency" aggressively enough, he said.

"That's why as soon as this bill is done, we need to get about the business of putting in place the other elements that we need to be dealing with as a state, and working with our national governmental leaders and our world leaders to do everything we can to continue to move forward," he said when the Senate re-enacted the climate bill on March 15.

Pacheco added, "Let us not close the door on this issue. Let's make sure we kick it open for the future, that this is just our new beginning on a commitment to make sure we embrace a clean energy future. We're on the cusp of a sustainability revolution, let's embrace that clean energy revolution."

Pacheco has filed a bevy of climate-related bills for consideration in the current session, including proposals to target retrofitting one million homes over the next decade and to create the jobs necessary to complete those retrofits (SD 2102).

"For all that last session's bill will accomplish, a lot has been left on the table, and legislators will need to take further action on climate this year," Ben Hellerstein, state director for Environment Massachusetts, said. "One policy that's at the top of the to-do list: a bill championed by Rep. Marjorie Decker, Rep. Sean Garballey, and Sen. Joseph Boncore to transition our electricity, buildings, and transportation system to 100 percent clean energy."

Former Sen. Ben Downing, who hopes to be the Democratic nominee for governor in 2022, shared similar sentiments Friday, saying that "[b]efore the ink is dry on the Governor's signature, Massachusetts again finds itself behind."

"For years Governor Baker and Massachusetts state government have approached the climate crisis with sluggishness and delay. That makes today frustrating. There is rightfully much to celebrate in this bill. But these are provisions that should have been the law of the land in Massachusetts long ago," Downing said. "In the years ahead we have to accelerate our climate response in a way today's bill barely imagines. That's going to require state leadership -- starting with a Governor -- that understands we're out of time."


The Salem News
Friday, March 26, 2021
Climate pact up in the air
Effort hinges on approval by 2 other states
By Christian M. Wade, Statehouse Reporter


Massachusetts is largely in the driver’s seat on a regional plan to reduce carbon emissions from cars and trucks, but the initiative, which could lead to higher gas prices, now hinges on the approval of lawmakers in two neighboring states.

Gov. Charlie Baker, the governors of Connecticut and Rhode Island, and the mayor of Washington, D.C., signed a regional agreement in December that aims to substantially curb tailpipe emissions while drumming up revenue for projects to mitigate climate change and improve transportation infrastructure.

The Transportation and Climate Initiative won't be put to a vote in Massachusetts, but it still must be ratified by Connecticut and Rhode Island in order to go forward.

In Connecticut, lawmakers are debating whether to enter into the pact. A bill filed by Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont is expected to clear a key committee but its fate in the General Assembly is less certain.

Rhode Island lawmakers have yet to file a proposal to ratify the deal, but supporters say they expect legislation to emerge soon.

Backers of the initiative in Connecticut and Rhode Island say they expect it to be ratified, but opponents argue that it’s anything but a done deal.

"If lawmakers go ahead with this, they are going to be increasing gas prices for their constituents, which will be a hard sell," said Christian Herb, executive director of the Connecticut Energy Marketers Association, a trade group that opposes the pact. "The governor is clearly in favor of it, but the Legislature will ultimately have the final say."

Herb said a Republican minority in the Connecticut Legislature, and even some Democrats, strongly oppose approving a pact that would lead to higher gas prices and "cede their taxing authority to some autonomous bureaucracy."

“If it had steam, I think they would've already voted on it by now," he said. "I expect it will come out of committee, but it's going to be a different story in the General Assembly."

The pact aims to cut motor vehicle emissions by at least 26% within the next 11 years. It targets gasoline and diesel fuel consumption, which account for about 40% of regional emissions that scientists say contribute to climate change.

The three states now involved in the pact account for about 73% of vehicle emissions in New England.

Under the plan, suppliers who deliver fuel across state lines will be taxed on emissions above limits that have yet to be set.

Their costs will likely be passed to consumers.

Supporters say the plan caps increases at 5 cents per gallon in the first year, but opponents say it's unclear what will happen down the road. They say the deal ultimately will hurt consumers while doing little to reduce emissions.

"In order to reach the emissions cuts they're proposing, it's going to have to be 30, 40, 50 cents a gallon," said Mike Stenhouse, founder and CEO of the Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity. "Make no mistake, this isn't about reducing carbon emissions. It's basically a cash grab by these states."

Stenhouse said his group has done polling that shows even Rhode Islanders who support cutting vehicle emissions change their mind when told it will cost them at the pump. He said dozens of lawmakers have gone on record in opposition to the pact.

Former Gov. Gina Raimondo, a Democrat who signed the climate pact, has left to serve as President Joe Biden’s commerce secretary. It's not yet clear where her successor, Democratic Gov. Dan McKee, stands on the issue.

But Hank Webster, director of the Rhode Island chapter of the Acadia Center, said he expects the pact to be ratified. He noted the Legislature is in the process of approving a massive climate change bill, and he anticipates something will “emerge soon.”

A majority of the 11 Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states that were part of the original TCI pact haven't committed to the agreement. New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu, a Republican, says his state won't join.

Of the current group, Massachusetts is the only state that won't be putting the issue to a vote.

The Baker administration says the 2008 Global Warming Solutions Act gives the governor the authority to ratify the climate agreement without legislative approval.

A group of Republican lawmakers filed a bill last year that would have required a vote in the Legislature, but it failed to win support.

Christian M. Wade covers the Massachusetts Statehouse for The Salem News and its sister newspapers and websites.


CommonWealth Magazine
Wednesday, March 24, 2021
Is Trump’s exit bad for Baker?
Michael Jonas


It’s Trump’s fault.

Not the insurrection at the US Capitol or the discrediting of fairly conducted elections or the general degradation of democratic principles – though there may be those things, too. In this case, the damage done by the former president is to Charlie Baker’s approval ratings.

The governor whose political standing with voters seemed to defy the laws of gravity has seen his poll numbers come down closer to earth, and Politico’s Stephanie Murray says Trump is to blame. Not because of anything he did, but rather because he’s now gone.

“Wildly unpopular in Massachusetts, Trump served as a foil for Baker, who was able to establish his own political independence — and win over Democratic constituents — by frequently criticizing his fellow Republican,” she writes.

With no Trump to kick around anymore, Baker is finding himself on the receiving end of the blue-state brickbats. And he’s not alone, says Murray, who points to falling approval ratings for two other Republican governors in heavily Democratic states, Maryland’s Larry Hogan and Phil Scott in Vermont.

Baker’s approval rating has fallen from close to 80 percent last August to 52 percent last month, she writes. He’s seen a similar falloff in polls asking specifically about his handling of the COVID pandemic.

And there’s the rub. Trump’s exit has coincided with the state’s problem-plagued vaccine rollout and a growing overall weariness with the pandemic as it enters its second year. That makes it hard to tease out any independent effect of Trump’s disappearance from the public stage.

Still, it’s not just public poll numbers that have shifted for Baker. The Democrats who dominate the Legislature have shown a new willingness to spar more directly with him, including in two recent oversight hearings where the lawmakers Baker loves to refer to as “our colleagues” have been decidedly less collegial.

“We just seem to have thrown the playbook out and decided on something completely different,” Sen. Cindy Friedman told Baker bluntly in yesterday’s hearing, criticizing the administration’s turn away from long-established plans to rely on local public health departments in a crisis. She called the testimony to that effect yesterday from municipal health officials “damning.”

Despite the dip in poll numbers, Baker’s coronavirus approval rating was still 59 percent last month. Hogan’s approval rating on his handling of the pandemic went from 78 percent to 64 percent, while Scott’s had ticked down just 8 points, from 78 percent to 70 percent.

If that’s the sort of punishment in store for Republican governors, Andrew Cuomo and Gavin Newsom may be looking to sign up.


POLITICO
Wednesday, March 24, 2021
Blue-state Republicans slump without Trump as foil
Some of the nation’s most popular governors have been knocked off their pedestals.


BOSTON — As recently as October, Massachusetts Republican Gov. Charlie Baker was basking in his typically stratospheric poll ratings. More than 70 percent approved of his job performance. Roughly the same amount felt the same way about his handling of the Covid-19 crisis.

Those were the days.

Since then, Baker’s numbers have nosedived, knocking him off his pedestal as arguably the nation’s most popular governor. His coronavirus approval ratings have dropped from a high of 80 percent last April to 59 percent in February, according to the Covid States Project, which has been tracking gubernatorial approval ratings for the past year. His overall job performance ratings have also declined — from 78 percent in August to 52 percent at the end of February, according to a recent UMass Amherst poll.

In part, Baker’s downward slide can be attributed to his state's troubled vaccine rollout, which got off to a slow start and was marked by a very public website crash for the vaccine appointment booking system. Yet there are also signs another factor may be contributing to his decline: Donald Trump’s departure from the White House.

Wildly unpopular in Massachusetts, Trump served as a foil for Baker, who was able to establish his own political independence — and win over Democratic constituents — by frequently criticizing his fellow Republican.

Baker isn’t the only blue-state Republican governor who’s seen his popularity dented by coronavirus fatigue and Trump’s absence from the news cycle. Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan and Vermont Gov. Phil Scott — two other Trump critics who have long rated among the most popular governors in the nation — have also seen their numbers dip in the post-Trump era.

"If you happen to be a Republican governor, and you're sort of disagreeing with Trump, you're likely to be really, really popular among the other side, much more so than if you were agreeing with the main party. So I think that goes a long way to explaining it," said Matthew Baum, a researcher on the Covid States Project.

Between their moderate politics and Trump-resistant stances, the three governors have actually managed to become more popular with Democratic voters than Republicans.

Seventy-three percent of Democrats approved of Scott's job performance in September, compared to just 65 percent of Republicans, according to a VPR-Vermont PBS poll. In Maryland, a March Goucher College poll reported Hogan’s approval rating among Democrats at 81 percent, compared to just 65 percent among Republicans.

"There's nobody a Democrat loves more than a Republican criticizing Trump," said pollster Rich Clark of Vermont’s Castleton University.

In Baker’s case, his standing within his own party is so strained that, in the event he seeks a third term next year, a Republican close to state GOP leadership is gearing up to challenge him in the primary.

Like Baker, Hogan and Scott managed to keep a significant distance from the former president while he was in office — all of them made clear that while they may have been on the same team as Trump, they were certainly not on the same page.

Prior to the pandemic, the three governors were frequent Trump critics. Hogan was floated as a potential 2020 primary challenger to Trump. Scott went so far as to call Trump “racist” when the president told four Democratic congresswomen of color to "go back" to where they came from.

After the election, each confessed that they did not vote for Trump in November. Hogan wrote in Ronald Reagan’s name. Scott said he voted for Biden. Baker blanked his ballot for the second election in a row.

Hogan continues to speak out against Trump, saying the GOP will struggle to rebuild as long as the former president remains involved in politics.

“I don’t know if I have a future in the Republican Party, but I care about the future of the Republican Party,” Hogan said in an interview this month at POLITICO’s The Fifty: America’s Governors event.

That kind of oppositional stance makes for good politics in Maryland, Massachusetts and Vermont, which ranked as Trump’s three weakest states in 2020 — he won just under one-third of the vote in each of them.

“I’m a Republican elected in the bluest state in America — twice — by being just the opposite of that, and by winning over a large number of Black voters and suburban women and independents and Democrats,” said Hogan. “I think I have something to add to the conversation about how can Republicans have a winning message and how can you go about winning more people over to our side of the argument. ”

The Covid States Project found that support for the three governors still remains relatively high compared to their counterparts in other states. The trio often acted earlier or more aggressively than Trump to shut down their states and slow the spread of coronavirus, positions that were largely welcomed in their blue states. Massachusetts, Vermont and Maryland, for example, instituted mask mandates when Trump rejected face coverings.

But faced with the last major logistical challenge of the pandemic — vaccine distribution — Baker, Hogan and Scott have seen their approval ratings slip.

"Earlier perception of Baker as a very capable manager and trusted leader was seriously undermined by the way he underperformed the last few months," said Boston-based Republican strategist Todd Domke.

Asked about his slide in the polls, Baker pointed to coronavirus fatigue in an interview with WGBH News. "I think everybody's anxious for the pandemic to be over. I am,” he said. “I don't know why everybody else wouldn't be either."

Hogan's coronavirus approval rating is down from 78 percent in late April to 64 percent in February, according to the Covid States Project, which is a joint effort by Northeastern University, Harvard University, Rutgers University and Northwestern University. Scott's coronavirus approval rating dropped the least — by about 8 percentage points, from 78 percent in August to 70 percent in February.

Mileah Kromer, who oversees the Goucher College poll in Maryland, notes that the governors’ polling numbers are still pretty enviable despite the recent drops.

"It is kind of amazing, though. It tells you how much political capital you have built in," Kromer said. "When your approval rating hits 70 [percent], you can take a 20-point hit and still be at 50."


State House News Service
Friday, March 26, 2021
Weekly Roundup - Blood in the Water
Recap and analysis of the week in state government
By Matt Murphy


The Democratic sharks are circling, sensing vulnerability in a Republican governor with few teammates to protect his flank. But even if Gov. Charlie Baker looks like easy prey to some in a state like Massachusetts, Democrats on Beacon Hill are unpracticed hunters.

"We know he's a RINO anyway," joked Sen. Nick Collins during his resurrection of the South Boston St. Patrick's Day breakfast last Sunday, alluding to the fact that Baker is actually more popular with Democratic voters than Republicans.

Collins brought back the breakfast after a one-year COVID-19 hiatus at a time when his own political ambitions for City Hall, still shrouded in mystery, were ripe for roasting. And while it may have been even less clear if the attempts at jokes landed in the virtual realm, the live-streamed, green-themed breakfast jump-started a week during which good-natured ribbing would quickly give way to intentional and, at times, pointed jabs.

The Committee on COVID-19 and Emergency Preparedness and Management held its second oversight hearing on Tuesday with a clear objective -- challenge Baker's decision not to rely more on local boards of health for vaccination distribution.

Even as Massachusetts has climbed the state rankings for shots administered, the choice to administer many of those shots at mass vaccination sites instead of through local clinics and municipal public health infrastructure is the hill some in the legislature have chosen to plant their flag.

Democrats accused him of throwing out the playbook right before the big game, and spending millions on private-run facilities when that money could have been used to scale up locally-run clinics.

Baker stood his ground, suggesting he is acting off the same script being used by the BIden administration and pointing out how privately operated mass vaccination sites aren't even the largest distributors of vaccines in Massachusetts. Hospitals are.

The governor said local disaster plans weren't developed to deliver a vaccine of limited quantity with very specific cold-storage requirements and a short shelf life. And he and Health and Human Services Secretary Marylou Sudders said that while some local health agencies, like the ones invited to testify, may have been equipped to administer COVID-19 shots, hundreds of other boards of health were not and made that clear when they didn't raise their hands to help vaccinate their own first responders or the 75+ population.

The defense didn't sit well with Baker's critics on the committee: "What we're getting from you is, 'You're all wrong, we're doing great, please, we don't want to hear it anymore.' And I find that hard to take," said an exasperated Sen. Cindy Friedman.

For much of the hour, lawmakers monologued and Baker scribbled notes off screen. Some shots landed and others missed the mark, like when Baker had to explain that he didn't control how many doses go to retail pharmacies.

And at the end of a long day, it was unclear if any progress had been made: "The stark differences between the testimony received demands that we dig deeper and understand better why decades of public investment in emergency preparedness have been shelved in favor of another approach, hastily constructed during a global pandemic," Driscoll and Comerford said in a post-hearing statement.

While the theme of the hearing was to dunk on mass vaccination sites, the idea of a federally supported site, and the thousands of extra doses that come with it, was one that seemed to hold some interest for Democrats.

Rep. William Driscoll appeared very curious to know when exactly the state had applied for one of these FEMA run sites, which was announced in February when the delegation sent a letter of support to the Biden administration.

On Friday, the White House and Baker announced that the newest state-run mass vaccination site at the Hynes Convention Center would be supported with an additional 6,000 doses a day from the federal government, raising the daily capacity of the site to 7,000.

The FEMA sponsorship of the Hynes was one of several good-news announcements about supply this week that also brought word of 40,000 additional doses of the one-shot Johnson & Johnson vaccine. The J&J increase prompted Baker to launch a locally-supported vaccination program to reach homebound residents.

Everyone agrees the faster the vaccine arrives and gets put into arms, the sooner the state can emerge from the year-long pandemic. That's why Baker's hiring of McKinsey & Co. to write a report about the "future-of-work" has generated so much interest.

But Attorney General Maura Healey's interest in the report this week had nothing to do with her curiosity to learn what the global consulting firm recommends. Healey, who is being watched like a hawk for hints at her political future, went after Baker for hiring McKinsey after her office and others around the country reached a settlement with the firm last month for $573 million over its role in helping Purdue Pharma "turbocharge" opioid sales to turn a profit.

The "future-of-work" contract is one of many the firm holds with the state, and Healey called it "outrageous" that Massachusetts would continue to give them business. One of her opening salvos in the 2022 gubernatorial campaign? Maybe. But even a visit by the attorney general to a picket line in Worcester these days is cause for speculation.

Before Boston voters even get to 2022, they will have to choose a new mayor in the fall and it won't be Marty Walsh ... Labor Secretary Marty Walsh.

Wheeling his suitcase through Logan Airport and clutching a cup of Doughboy Donuts coffee, Walsh left Boston for Washington, D.C. on Tuesday, the morning after the U.S. Senate confirmed his nomination to lead the Labor Department. He officially resigned as mayor at 9 p.m. on March 22, handing the reins of the city over to Kim Janey, the former City Council president who became the first woman and Black resident of Boston to be able to call themselves mayor.

Whether Janey will seek extend her historic elevation as mayor beyond the next eight months remains to be seen, but given the current field it would appear the long-running hold on the office by Irish and Italian men will soon be broken.

Janey takes over a city where the school department was granted a waiver by Education Commissioner Jeff Riley to delay its return to in-person learning for K-8 students until April 26. Boston was one of at least 60 districts given a reprieve from the April 5 deadline to bring elementary students back to the classroom.

House Speaker Ron Mariano told the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce that the waiver process was important because ultimately it should be the local districts deciding when it's safe to return to school.

The speaker has largely sided with the teachers' unions in their dispute with Baker over classroom safety. But overall, Mariano said the governor has worked "very effectively" with the Legislature through the pandemic, and used his executive powers "extremely well" apart from some well documented "hiccups" with the vaccine rollout.

Baker even put his name this week on a game-changing climate bill that will put Massachusetts on the path to net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 after working with lawmakers to make small but important adjustments.

The new climate law also directs another massive 2,400-megawatt procurement of offshore wind power. And that was actually what Mariano wanted to talk to the GBCC about.

The speaker announced that the forthcoming House budget proposal would direct $10 million through the Clean Energy Center to train workers for careers in offshore wind, and he promised to pursue a "large-scale" bonding effort to secure the South Coast's position as the regional hub of the offshore wind industry.

Mariano also said he wasn't in any rush to return to debate over raising taxes to pay for transportation, at least not until the pandemic aftershocks subside and leaders can take stock of the MBTA and its new needs.

Besides, he said, there's $1 billion coming to Massachusetts from the "American Rescue Plan" for public transit and $4.5 billion more in direct aid for state government that changes the calculations.

Walsh's Dorchester successor in the House, Rep. Dan Hunt, will lead a hearing next week to dive into the pot of gold that is the latest stimulus package, and already Baker has committed $100 million to Chelsea, Everett, Randolph and Methuen where leaders have said federal funding formulas shortchanged those hard-hit cities because of their size.

House and Senate leaders have said they want to exert more control over how this newest round of stimulus gets spent, but Mariano said he agrees that those communities should be supported, and believes there may be more cities and towns deserving.

With unemployment ticking down to 7.1 percent, the House and Senate also agreed that workers unemployed over the last year are deserving of a new tax deduction on their first $10,200 in unemployment benefits.

The more expensive Senate version of the tax break was part of a bill that will limit the hit to businesses of unemployment insurance rate hikes this year and extend additional COVID-19 sick leave to Massachusetts workers.

The legislation was enacted Thursday, along with a piece of the joint rules setting up committees like the Joint Bonding Committee so that a $400 million borrowing bill to rebuild the Holyoke Soldiers' Home can be advanced.

And while there were few objections to substance, Sen. Diana DiZoglio and Sen. John Keenan again had a few concerns with process.

"State House News knew before the members of this body knew what we were going to be doing," said a miffed Sen. DiZoglio.

Do you want to know what the Senate is doing before senators? Get your subscription here.

STORY OF THE WEEK: It took more than six years, but the Democratic empire is striking back against a still-but-less-popular governor.


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