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CLT UPDATE
Monday, January 11, 2021

Wonder Why Out-Migration Continues in Bay State?


Jump directly to CLT's Commentary on the News


Most Relevant News Excerpts
(Full news reports follow Commentary)

 

Ending a General Court whose course and operations were altered by the pandemic, the Legislature kept its final sessions of the biennium open until after 4:30 a.m. Wednesday, less than seven hours until the new Legislature is due to be sworn in. Sessions had been scheduled to end on Tuesday at midnight but no objections were raised and the Senate held votes throughout the evening that creeped its final adjournment farther toward dawn.

After sending a final day-and-a-half's worth of bills to Gov. Baker's desk including accords on transportation infrastructure borrowing and economic development and jobs, the Senate adjourned sine die -- without any more sittings to follow -- at 4:41 a.m.

State House News Service
Wednesday, January 6, 2021 | 5:23 AM
Senate Session Summary - Tuesday, Jan. 5, 2021
Adjourns Sine Die At 4:41 a.m. Wednesday


In a year that ushered in staggering unemployment amid the economic collapse from the coronavirus pandemic, the state’s payroll ballooned more than $17 million to $8.2 billion in 2020, a Herald analysis shows.

Officials blamed the payroll spike on contractual increases negotiated with police, teachers and other unions. Responding to the COVID-19 crisis was also cited.

But Beacon Hill officials also welcomed the new year with fat raises thanks in part to a 2017 law that ties legislators’ pay to wages....

“Now’s the time for belt tightening in government,” said the Pioneer Institutes’ Greg Sullivan. “It’s a crisis situation for small businesses. We can’t put all the burden on the small business owner.”

Massachusetts had the worst unemployment rate in the nation at 16.1% in July. The state has climbed up since, but job growth continues to slow after unprecedented losses, statistics show.

Paul Diego Craney of Mass Fiscal Alliance said the high pay today sends the wrong message.

“This is not the direction the state should be going in this year,” he said Tuesday night. “How is it possible a state can shut down and an economy can tank and two employees can earn more than one million?”

He said anyone earning more than Gov. Charlie Baker — $184,999 — should be looked at closely.

But the spending continues. The state’s 200 senators and representatives saw their salaries jump 6.46% this week, bringing their base pay up to $70,536.

A separate 4.89% boost to both expense accounts and stipends for legislative leaders amounts to a lucrative payday especially for elected officials, some of whom will get raises north of $9,000 this year....

The state has avoided layoffs until now. Baker must submit his budget by the end of the month.

The Baker administration said the state’s total $8.2 billion payroll includes the UMass system, independent agencies and constitutional offices “outside of the control of the executive branch.” And some of the highest paid are in the UMass system....

Jim Lyons, head of the MassGOP, slammed lawmakers for not setting the tone.

“People are out of work, families are struggling to put food on the table, and these same Democrats who insist on further shutting down our economy are giving themselves raises for the third time in as many sessions,” Lyons said. “This honestly makes me sick to my stomach.”

The Boston Herald
Wednesday, January 6, 2021
Massachusetts’ $8.2B state payroll, raises called a ‘sick’ trend during pandemic
State pay jumps by $17M and six-figure earners top the charts


For public-sector America, also known as the hackerama, 2020 was yet another fantastically prosperous year. And most of them got to “work” from home – wink wink, nudge nudge.

According to the latest numbers, under the so-called leadership of Gov. Charlie Baker, 19,962 coat holders on the public payroll made over $100,000 last year. There were 879 earning over $200,000, and 116 making more than $300,000.

And behind those obscene salaries comes the pension — 80% of the top three years if you’ve got the years in, and you know they’ve all got the years in to max out the kiss in the mail.

As Thomas Jefferson said more than 200 years ago of the nascent federal bureaucracy: “Vacancies by death are few, by resignation never.” ...

As they were making these big bucks in 2020, most of the state’s payroll Charlies were working “remotely,” as their voicemail messages always say. Meanwhile, the DPS was utterly ravaged by the insane, capricious dictates of someone who never once missed either a paycheck or a meal. That would be Charlie Baker, who’s making $200,355 a year.

The DPS got two months of the nation’s highest unemployment rate, not to mention the continuing highest nursing home death rate in the US and the third highest overall death rate among the 50 states.

And yet Baker et al. aren’t just feeding at the trough, they’re licking the plate....

After their latest raises, and increases in expenses, not to mention their stipends, the least any state senator is making is $103,846 a year.

That includes $70,537 salary, at least $17,044 for expenses (formerly per diems, source of so many scandals) and a minimum bonus of $16,245 for their positions in leadership.

Incidentally, 40 of 40 state senators are in “leadership” positions. Every last one of them.

Hey, It beats working.

The Boston Herald
Wednesday, January 6, 2021
2020 was a fantastically prosperous year … for hacks
By Howie Carr


Over the last six months of a pandemic that's led to wholesale changes in consumer habits, business closures and job losses, Massachusetts state government has collected $372 million more in taxes from people and businesses than it did during the same six months of pre-pandemic 2019.

The Department of Revenue reported that December tax collections came in at $2.842 billion, up by $230 million or 8.8 percent from the December 2019 total. Halfway into fiscal 2021, the state has collected approximately $14.306 billion from people and businesses. That puts fiscal 2021 revenues $372 million or 2.7 percent ahead of what was collected during the six months of fiscal 2020 that were entirely unaffected by the COVID-19 pandemic....

Massachusetts will also see billions in federal funds this fiscal year, including about $1.3 billion for education aid as part of the $900 billion pandemic relief and economic stimulus package Congress passed late last month. President-elect Joe Biden has signaled an interest in additional relief packages, including aid to state and local governments, which could further benefit Massachusetts.

State House News Service
Thursday, January 7, 2021
State Tax Haul Rises Through December, But DOR Sees Descent Ahead
Collections Higher Than Pre-Pandemic Levels


Despite everyone's most fervent wishes, simply watching the ball drop on New Year's Eve Thursday didn't end the madness of 2020. And midnight wound up looking like an early bedtime for the week that was about to unfold.

The first full week of 2021 started innocently enough.

On Sunday night, MassGOP Chairman Jim Lyons eked out a victory by three votes over Rep. Shawn Dooley to maintain control of the state party, and legislative negotiators announced they had struck a deal on a climate change bill to set a statewide target of net-zero emissions by 2050 and to authorize even more offshore wind....

The Legislature came to work Monday and passed the climate bill, set a special election date to replace former Speaker Robert DeLeo on March 30 and went home around dinner time to prepare for the last day of session.

It was always going to be a long night on Tuesday, with major economic development and transportation financing legislation still up in the air. But it's unlikely anyone had 4:34 a.m. in their virtual office pool as the time the final gavel would fall.

Not even five extra months to finish their work could help lawmakers save themselves from the last-minute rush, and though they went home tired, they also went home having accomplished most of the big ticket items on their to-do list....

The hardest thing to do Wednesday should have been getting out of bed. But on a day when new and returning lawmakers took their oaths to start a new session on Beacon Hill and Senate President Karen Spilka and Mariano were reelected to their leadership posts, riots stoked by the president of the United States on Twitter erupted on Capitol Hill.

A mob, fueled by unproven claims of election fraud repeated by the president and his allies, broke into the Capitol. They were intent on disrupting the certification by Congress of the Electoral College vote that would give President-elect Joe Biden the victory.

But Congress returned to work that night and certified the Electoral College vote at around 3:45 a.m.

The fact that Congress fulfilled its Constitutional obligation despite the chaos of the day was the one bright spot, according to Gov. Baker, who the next day said he was sickened by what he watched on TV.

Baker, a Republican, joined the chorus of Democrats, including every member of Congress from Massachusetts, in calling for Trump to be removed from office. No more waiting until Jan. 20 for President-elect Joe Biden to be inaugurated. Let Vice President Mike Pence oversee the transition, the governor said.

State House News Service
Friday, January 8, 2021
Weekly Roundup - Out with the Old, In with the Older


Secretary of State William Galvin is calling on the state Legislature to offer relief to homeowners who are unable to pay their property taxes on time, a deadline that is quickly approaching in most cities and towns.

“With so many people struggling financially right now, property tax payments can be a hardship,” Galvin said in a statement.

Last year, the Legislature allowed cities and towns to waive interest and penalties on late property tax payments due to the hardship caused by the pandemic. That relief expired on June 30.

“Now that we are in a second wave of the pandemic, I think the time has come to offer additional relief to those who are unemployed through no fault of their own,” said Galvin, who is proposing the same type of relief take effect again.

Galvin is also encouraging homeowners to take advantage of existing abatement opportunities if they believe an assessment is too high.

“You can challenge a tax bill if you believe that the assessed value is too high in relation to similar properties in the neighborhood, or that the classification is improper,” Galvin said....

Across the state, residential tax rates decreased on average in 2020, according to data from the Department of Revenue’s Division of Local Services.

The Boston Herald
Friday, January 8, 2021
William Galvin calling on Massachusetts Legislature for property tax relief


Gov. Charlie Baker is fattening his campaign coffers as speculation grows the popular Republican may seek an unprecedented third term.

Baker reported raising $165,418 last month, according to his latest filings with the state Office of Campaign and Political Finance. That's his biggest fundraising haul in more than two years.

By comparison, Baker's campaign account only reported about $900 in contributions during the preceding month.

While Baker hasn't said he will seek a third term, he hasn't ruled it out, and his campaign has been keeping its fundraising on slow burn in the event that he decides to run again in 2022.

To be sure, Baker and Lt. Gov. Karyn Polito already have a sizable war chest at their disposal. The duo had more than $2.5 million between their campaign accounts as of Jan. 4, according to OCPF records....

There are no term limits for Massachusetts governors, and while a handful in the past have served three terms, most don't stick around longer than eight years.

Democrat Mike Dukakis is the most recent governor to serve three terms but not consecutively. He was governor from 1975-79, and again from 1984-1991.

Leverett Saltonstall, a Republican, served three consecutive terms from 1939-1945. But terms for governor were only two years back then, so he was only in office six years.

Recent governors, including Republican Bill Weld and Democrat Deval Patrick, have toyed with the idea of seeking a third term but ultimately decided against it.

Political observers say Baker's stratospheric popularity — his job approval numbers remain among the highest of any governor — could ensure him a long tenure.

The Salem News
Saturday, January 9, 2021
Baker stuffs war chest with eye to 2022


There’s a difference between doing the people’s business and giving people the business.

Someone should explain this to the Massachusetts legislators who intend to take the 6.46% raise on the table this year.

Our lawmakers on Beacon Hill get a raise every two years — it’s written into the Massachusetts Constitution that their pay correlate with the state’s median household income. They voted a nice increase for themselves in 2017, overriding Gov. Charlie Baker’s veto, and got another 6% raise in 2019.

Each of the state’s 200 senators and representatives are in line for a $4,280 bump in their base salaries. They’ll also get a bump in their expense accounts and stipends.

How many people in the private sector have missed out on pay raises because of company “belt-tightening,” even before the coronavirus hit our shores?

In past years, umbrage was (rightly) taken at the taxpayer burden imposed by the pay hikes.

But this year’s raises add insult to injury....

State Rep. Mike Connolly, another raise-taker, said, “Cost of living increases make sense for everyone in terms of government benefits, Social Security and other programs.”

Here’s what seniors receiving Social Security will get for a cost of living increase this year: 1.3%.

Members of the military are set to receive a 3% pay raise this year, according to federalnewsnetwork.com. Business Insider reports that base pay for an enlisted service member in their first six months comes out to less than $20,000 per year. Newly commissioned officers make about $38,250 a year.

It’s good to be a lawmaker in the Bay State....

David Tuerck, president of the Beacon Hill Institute, summed up the situation succinctly: “It is utterly inappropriate for any state government official to take a pay raise at this time, considering we are still in the depths of this COVID-19 crisis and considering the fact many that many people have gone without pay for quite some time.”

Legislators, the ball is in your court.

A Boston Herald editorial
Tuesday, January 5, 2021
Lawmakers should donate pay raises amid coronavirus pandemic


If you are a Massachusetts resident who works a minimum-wage job, your pay goes up this week to $13.50 per hour, an increase of 75 cents.

If you are one of the state’s 1.2 million Social Security recipients, your benefits check will be boosted by 1.3 percent this month. For the average retiree, that will mean a monthly hike of about $20.

If you are a private sector worker in Greater Boston who gets an annual cost-of-living adjustment based on the Consumer Price Index, your wages may inch up by a slight 0.4 percent — the change in prices locally over the past year, as determined by the US Labor Department.

And if you are among the 6.7 percent of the state workforce that is currently unemployed — you won’t get any paycheck at all, though you may be eligible for temporary unemployment benefits.

But if you are a member of the Massachusetts Legislature, you won’t have to settle for such trifling (or nonexistent) gains in pay. The salaries of Bay State legislators are going up by thousands of dollars as a new session of the Legislature commences and not one, not two, but three separate pay raises kick in.

Again....

Virtually no other state pays its lawmakers so much money. (California, New York, and Pennsylvania are the exceptions, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures.) If Beacon Hill were a model of legislative excellence, such exorbitant compensation might be justifiable, but the opposite is true. Most Massachusetts legislators have no influence, and the handful who do conduct nearly all their business in secret — indeed, our Legislature is one of the least transparent in America. Year in, year out, the Legislature blows off its deadline to pass a state budget. Rarely is any legislative issue seriously debated in the open. Bills approved in advance are typically gaveled to passage in pro forma votes whose outcome is a forgone conclusion.

In most of America, state lawmakers convene for just a few weeks or months each year — long enough to hammer out a budget, approve needed legislation, and adjourn. They know better than to think of legislating as a full-time job requiring bountiful salaries.

But not in Massachusetts. Here, growing their own pay is one of the things legislators do really well, and taxpayers keep underwriting raises that they can only dream about for themselves.

The Boston Globe
Wednesday, January 6, 2021
A new Legislature convenes and three pay hikes kick in. Only in Massachusetts
Bay State taxpayers underwrite raises for politicians that they can only dream about for themselves.

By Jeff Jacoby


Newly elected House Speaker Ron Mariano’s first order of business should be to rescind the pay raise the Massachusetts Legislature just pocketed.

If the 74-year-old veteran legislator wants to set a positive tone, he could call on members to forego the unwarranted pay hike.

Not only would it be a bold leadership move, but it would also show some empathy towards hundreds of thousands of people who are out of work and struggling to put food on the table and pay the rent as a result of the coronavirus shutdown.

If legislators find it too technically complicated to return the pay raise, they could donate the money to a nonprofit that is providing food for the needy and the homeless. They could figure it out.

The new pay raise for the 160 members of the House and 40 members of the Senate — who have been working from home — is not only a bad look, but also bad policy, coming at a time when people are out of work while no legislator has missed a single paycheck.

Who other than politicians can get a pay raise in the middle of a pandemic that has wreaked havoc with the working poor and everyone else? Who else but legislators can also get an increase in expenses and travel allowances during the COVID-19 lockdown? Nobody, that’s who.

The latest pay hike for the 2021 session raises the base pay for legislators from $66,250 to $70,530. This comes on top of the 5.9% raise that was approved by Gov. Charlie Baker in 2019.

The salary of lawmakers is based on the median state household income, but the governor has the authority to set the exact amount. Baker last week ordered an increase of 6.46%.

However, the $70,530 new base pay sum is misleading. Most legislators are paid more than that....

More to the point, however, is that House and Senate committee chairs, majority and minority leaders, their assistants and just about everybody else with a title is paid extra money as stipends.

Since the Democrats dominate the Legislature, all committees are controlled by the Democrats as are all the chairmanships. And all the chairs are paid extra, starting at $30,000 for the chairs of both the House and Senate Ways and Means committees.

But Republican legislators, scarce as they are on Beacon Hill, do not do badly either. House Minority Leader Brad Jones of North Reading, who is leader of some 30 Republicans in the House, receives more than $50,000 in extra pay, bringing his salary well over $100,000.

So does Rep. Bradford Hill of Ipswich, the GOP assistant House minority leader. Hill also received $50,000 in extra pay in the last session of the Legislature.

If that is surprising, it is even more startling in the Senate where there are now only three Republicans — all “leaders” — in the 40-member Democrat-controlled body even though there is no one to lead. All make close to $100,000 or more. They are Minority Leader Bruce Tarr of Gloucester and Assistant Minority Leaders Ryan Fattman of Sutton and Patrick O’Connor of Weymouth.

They all — Democrats, Republicans and progressives — have turned public service into private gain.

But not to worry. It was announced last week that the minimum wage in 2021 — if you have a job — will go from $12.75 an hour to $13.50, a whopping increase of 75 cents. How thoughtful.

The Boston Herald
Saturday, January 9, 2021
Job #1 for Speaker Mariano: nix Legislature’s pay raise
By Peter Lucas


A study by United Van Lines found the most common reason for moving in or out of Massachusetts
was related to customers' jobs. [Courtesy]

More people moved out of Massachusetts than relocated to the Bay State in 2020, with retirees and people seeking a change in lifestyle driving the overall migration out of the state, according to a recent study by a national moving company.

United Van Lines found Massachusetts to be one of the top 10 states in the country that people were moving from as the COVID-19 pandemic accelerated people's decisions to relocate and the years-long trend of people moving south and west continued....

New Jersey, New York, Illinois, Connecticut and California saw the greatest percentage of movers leaving, with Massachusetts ranking eighth....

United reported that 56.6 percent of its Massachusetts business was from customers leaving the state, while 43.4 percent of moves were people and family relocating here, primarily for work or family. The company tracked 3,355 moves in and out of Massachusetts in 2020.

The Boston metro area did not make United's list of Top 25 urban areas for inbound or outbound migration, but the Worcester-Fitchburg-Leominster area ranked 18th on the outbound list with 64 percent of movers leaving the region on a United van.

Customers cited work as the most common reason for moving to Massachusetts, with 40.4 percent of inbound moves related to a job, followed by family at 30.6 percent, retirement at 12 percent and lifestyle at 10.4 percent....

Of those leaving Massachusetts, 35.2 percent of United customers surveyed said it was because of work, while equal numbers of people (24.2 percent) said they were leaving to retire or for family. Another nearly 20 percent said they left for a change in lifestyle....

Vermont, Maine, Rhode Island and New Hampshire all witnessed more moves into the state than out, with the numbers almost split in New Hampshire, while the two higher-cost states - Massachusetts and Connecticut - experienced the reverse.

State House News Service
Thursday, January 7, 2021
Moving Out: Mass. Top Ten in 2020 Outbound Migration
United Van Lines Data Measures Moves During Pandemic


A new report has found that Tennessee posted the largest net gain of U-Haul trucks than any other state in 2020, making it U-Haul's top growth state for the first time.

Growth rates are determined by the net gain of one-way U-Haul trucks entering a state versus leaving that state in a given year. U-Haul keeps tabs on more than two million one-way U-Haul truck customer transactions annually, allowing the company to observe migration trends, according to the report published by U-Haul.

"Tennessee's influx of do-it-yourself movers during a turbulent year marked by the coronavirus pandemic means that a state other than Florida and Texas tops the growth rankings for the first time since 2015 when North Carolina led the way," the report said.

Texas and Florida were the top two other destinations. For three consecutive years, Texas had the largest net gain of one-way U-Haul trucks before Florida displaced it for the number one spot last year.

Before the pandemic, Americans fled liberal-run states and metro areas because of high taxes to conservative states that were business-friendly, such as Texas and Florida. The pandemic certainly amplified the exodus....

On the flip side, California, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Oregon were the top five states with the most significant net loss of U-Haul trucks....

We have never seen such a sudden mass exodus away from major cities in modern American history. U-Haul's report offers a unique insight into migration trends that are overwhelmingly benefiting conservative states while liberal ones plunge into socio-economic turmoil.

Zero Hedge Fund
Saturday, January 9, 2021
U-Haul Reveals 2020 Migration Trends As Pandemic And Taxes Take Toll

Full List: States Ranked By Migration Growth
Chart linked above indicates previous year’s rankings in parentheses.
Washington, D.C. is its own U-Haul market and is listed among growth states for migration trends purposes.
Hawaii is not included since state-to-state truck transactions are inapplicable.


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

It's such a relief having staved off the latest attack on Proposition 2˝ — considering the tension it caused and the intense and extended response it required since back in July.  It's satisfying that we were able to prevail in the end — not at the traditional and proverbial "11th hour" but beyond the final 12th and into the 16th hour!  The State House News Service reported on Wednesday morning ("Adjourns Sine Die At 4:41 a.m. Wednesday"):

Ending a General Court whose course and operations were altered by the pandemic, the Legislature kept its final sessions of the biennium open until after 4:30 a.m. Wednesday, less than seven hours until the new Legislature is due to be sworn in.  Sessions had been scheduled to end on Tuesday at midnight but no objections were raised and the Senate held votes throughout the evening that creeped its final adjournment farther toward dawn.

After sending a final day-and-a-half's worth of bills to Gov. Baker's desk including accords on transportation infrastructure borrowing and economic development and jobs, the Senate adjourned sine die -- without any more sittings to follow -- at 4:41 a.m.

In its Weekly Roundup the State House News Service reported on Friday:

It was always going to be a long night on Tuesday, with major economic development and transportation financing legislation still up in the air.  But it's unlikely anyone had 4:34 a.m. in their virtual office pool as the time the final gavel would fall.

Not even five extra months to finish their work could help lawmakers save themselves from the last-minute rush, and though they went home tired, they also went home having accomplished most of the big ticket items on their to-do list.

I discussed our success with fending off the attack on Proposition 2˝ with frequent CLT ally Chris Carlozzi, executive director of the state chapter of National Federation of Independent Business the members of which also inundated legislators and conference committee members with calls, letters and e-mails opposing the stealth attack on Prop 2˝.  We agreed that the bevy of tax hikes included in especially the House's as well as the Senate's original versions or their respective transportation bond bills were likely stripped from those by the conference committee to keep the compromise bill clean and focused.  In the end it rightfully contained only transportation bonding issues — borrowing, allocating, appropriating, and spending money for and on future transportation projects.  Expect the taxes initially included by both chambers' original bills to arise again in the coming year.


Despite the Wuhan Chinese Virus pandemic soon entering its second year, while many if not most state legislators and state employees "work remotely" from their homes, having never missed a pay check unlike so many others, The Boston Herald reported on Wednesday ("Massachusetts’ $8.2B state payroll, raises called a ‘sick’ trend during pandemic; State pay jumps by $17M and six-figure earners top the charts"):

In a year that ushered in staggering unemployment amid the economic collapse from the coronavirus pandemic, the state’s payroll ballooned more than $17 million to $8.2 billion in 2020, a Herald analysis shows.

Officials blamed the payroll spike on contractual increases negotiated with police, teachers and other unions.  Responding to the COVID-19 crisis was also cited.

But Beacon Hill officials also welcomed the new year with fat raises thanks in part to a 2017 law that ties legislators’ pay to wages....

“Now’s the time for belt tightening in government,” said the Pioneer Institutes’ Greg Sullivan.  “It’s a crisis situation for small businesses.  We can’t put all the burden on the small business owner.”

Howie Carr noted on Wednesday in his Boston Herald column ("2020 was a fantastically prosperous year … for hacks"):

For public-sector America, also known as the hackerama, 2020 was yet another fantastically prosperous year.  And most of them got to “work” from home – wink wink, nudge nudge.

According to the latest numbers, under the so-called leadership of Gov. Charlie Baker, 19,962 coat holders on the public payroll made over $100,000 last year.  There were 879 earning over $200,000, and 116 making more than $300,000.

And behind those obscene salaries comes the pension — 80% of the top three years if you’ve got the years in, and you know they’ve all got the years in to max out the kiss in the mail.

More rounds of criticism on the ridiculous (I don't use "outrageous" anymore, because there is so much which is that repetitive use of the word has stripped it of its power) legislative pay bonanza will be noted below.  There was lots of reaction, especially in light of today's circumstances.


State House News Service reported on Thursday ("State Tax Haul Rises Through December, But DOR Sees Descent Ahead; Collections Higher Than Pre-Pandemic Levels"):

Over the last six months of a pandemic that's led to wholesale changes in consumer habits, business closures and job losses, Massachusetts state government has collected $372 million more in taxes from people and businesses than it did during the same six months of pre-pandemic 2019.

The Department of Revenue reported that December tax collections came in at $2.842 billion, up by $230 million or 8.8 percent from the December 2019 total.  Halfway into fiscal 2021, the state has collected approximately $14.306 billion from people and businesses.  That puts fiscal 2021 revenues $372 million or 2.7 percent ahead of what was collected during the six months of fiscal 2020 that were entirely unaffected by the COVID-19 pandemic....

Massachusetts will also see billions in federal funds this fiscal year, including about $1.3 billion for education aid as part of the $900 billion pandemic relief and economic stimulus package Congress passed late last month.  President-elect Joe Biden has signaled an interest in additional relief packages, including aid to state and local governments, which could further benefit Massachusetts.

Well at least there's plenty of taxpayers' money to fund all those generous state government employee pay raises and we know where it went.  Worst is that they all know there's always more where that came from from you and other taxpayers.  They'll be back for it soon enough.


Now here's a man-bites-dog story for you!

The Boston Herald reported on Friday ("William Galvin calling on Massachusetts Legislature for property tax relief"):

Secretary of State William Galvin is calling on the state Legislature to offer relief to homeowners who are unable to pay their property taxes on time, a deadline that is quickly approaching in most cities and towns.

“With so many people struggling financially right now, property tax payments can be a hardship,” Galvin said in a statement.

Last year, the Legislature allowed cities and towns to waive interest and penalties on late property tax payments due to the hardship caused by the pandemic. That relief expired on June 30.

“Now that we are in a second wave of the pandemic, I think the time has come to offer additional relief to those who are unemployed through no fault of their own,” said Galvin, who is proposing the same type of relief take effect again.

Galvin is also encouraging homeowners to take advantage of existing abatement opportunities if they believe an assessment is too high.

“You can challenge a tax bill if you believe that the assessed value is too high in relation to similar properties in the neighborhood, or that the classification is improper,” Galvin said....

Across the state, residential tax rates decreased on average in 2020, according to data from the Department of Revenue’s Division of Local Services.

Bill Galvin's epiphany of concern for property taxpayers reminds me of the concern expressed by candidate Deval Patrick when he was running for governor, but quickly abandoned once elected.  Can Galvin be considering taking on Charlie Baker in 2022?  If he is, watch for his fundraising efforts to begin ramping up.

The Salem News reported on Saturday ("Baker stuffs war chest with eye to 2022"):

Gov. Charlie Baker is fattening his campaign coffers as speculation grows the popular Republican may seek an unprecedented third term.

Baker reported raising $165,418 last month, according to his latest filings with the state Office of Campaign and Political Finance. That's his biggest fundraising haul in more than two years.

By comparison, Baker's campaign account only reported about $900 in contributions during the preceding month....

Political observers say Baker's stratospheric popularity — his job approval numbers remain among the highest of any governor — could ensure him a long tenure.


The disgusting and tone-deaf legislative pay grabs drew lots of ire and fire last week.  Excerpts from a few of the fusillades follow:

A Boston Herald editorial
Tuesday, January 5, 2021
Lawmakers should donate pay raises amid coronavirus pandemic

There’s a difference between doing the people’s business and giving people the business.

Someone should explain this to the Massachusetts legislators who intend to take the 6.46% raise on the table this year.

Our lawmakers on Beacon Hill get a raise every two years — it’s written into the Massachusetts Constitution that their pay correlate with the state’s median household income.  They voted a nice increase for themselves in 2017, overriding Gov. Charlie Baker’s veto, and got another 6% raise in 2019.

Each of the state’s 200 senators and representatives are in line for a $4,280 bump in their base salaries.  They’ll also get a bump in their expense accounts and stipends.

How many people in the private sector have missed out on pay raises because of company “belt-tightening,” even before the coronavirus hit our shores?

In past years, umbrage was (rightly) taken at the taxpayer burden imposed by the pay hikes.

But this year’s raises add insult to injury....

The Boston Globe
Wednesday, January 6, 2021
A new Legislature convenes and three pay hikes kick in. Only in Massachusetts
Bay State taxpayers underwrite raises for politicians that they can only dream about for themselves.
By Jeff Jacoby

If you are a Massachusetts resident who works a minimum-wage job, your pay goes up this week to $13.50 per hour, an increase of 75 cents.

If you are one of the state’s 1.2 million Social Security recipients, your benefits check will be boosted by 1.3 percent this month.  For the average retiree, that will mean a monthly hike of about $20.

If you are a private sector worker in Greater Boston who gets an annual cost-of-living adjustment based on the Consumer Price Index, your wages may inch up by a slight 0.4 percent — the change in prices locally over the past year, as determined by the US Labor Department.

And if you are among the 6.7 percent of the state workforce that is currently unemployed — you won’t get any paycheck at all, though you may be eligible for temporary unemployment benefits.

But if you are a member of the Massachusetts Legislature, you won’t have to settle for such trifling (or nonexistent) gains in pay.  The salaries of Bay State legislators are going up by thousands of dollars as a new session of the Legislature commences and not one, not two, but three separate pay raises kick in.

Again....

The Boston Herald
Saturday, January 9, 2021
Job #1 for Speaker Mariano: nix Legislature’s pay raise
By Peter Lucas

. . . The new pay raise for the 160 members of the House and 40 members of the Senate — who have been working from home — is not only a bad look, but also bad policy, coming at a time when people are out of work while no legislator has missed a single paycheck.

Who other than politicians can get a pay raise in the middle of a pandemic that has wreaked havoc with the working poor and everyone else?  Who else but legislators can also get an increase in expenses and travel allowances during the COVID-19 lockdown?  Nobody, that’s who.

The latest pay hike for the 2021 session raises the base pay for legislators from $66,250 to $70,530.  This comes on top of the 5.9% raise that was approved by Gov. Charlie Baker in 2019. . . .

However, the $70,530 new base pay sum is misleading.  Most legislators are paid more than that....

More to the point, however, is that House and Senate committee chairs, majority and minority leaders, their assistants and just about everybody else with a title is paid extra money as stipends.

Since the Democrats dominate the Legislature, all committees are controlled by the Democrats as are all the chairmanships.  And all the chairs are paid extra, starting at $30,000 for the chairs of both the House and Senate Ways and Means committees.

But Republican legislators, scarce as they are on Beacon Hill, do not do badly either.  House Minority Leader Brad Jones of North Reading, who is leader of some 30 Republicans in the House, receives more than $50,000 in extra pay, bringing his salary well over $100,000.

So does Rep. Bradford Hill of Ipswich, the GOP assistant House minority leader.  Hill also received $50,000 in extra pay in the last session of the Legislature.

If that is surprising, it is even more startling in the Senate where there are now only three Republicans — all “leaders” — in the 40-member Democrat-controlled body even though there is no one to lead.  All make close to $100,000 or more.  They are Minority Leader Bruce Tarr of Gloucester and Assistant Minority Leaders Ryan Fattman of Sutton and Patrick O’Connor of Weymouth.

They all — Democrats, Republicans and progressives — have turned public service into private gain.

But not to worry.  It was announced last week that the minimum wage in 2021 — if you have a job — will go from $12.75 an hour to $13.50, a whopping increase of 75 cents.  How thoughtful.

There's little I can or need to add to those critiques.


The State House News Service reported on Thursday ("Moving Out: Mass. Top Ten in 2020 Outbound Migration"):

A study by United Van Lines found the most common reason for moving in or out of Massachusetts
was related to customers' jobs. [Courtesy]

More people moved out of Massachusetts than relocated to the Bay State in 2020, with retirees and people seeking a change in lifestyle driving the overall migration out of the state, according to a recent study by a national moving company.

United Van Lines found Massachusetts to be one of the top 10 states in the country that people were moving from as the COVID-19 pandemic accelerated people's decisions to relocate and the years-long trend of people moving south and west continued....

New Jersey, New York, Illinois, Connecticut and California saw the greatest percentage of movers leaving, with Massachusetts ranking eighth....

United reported that 56.6 percent of its Massachusetts business was from customers leaving the state, while 43.4 percent of moves were people and family relocating here, primarily for work or family. The company tracked 3,355 moves in and out of Massachusetts in 2020.

The Boston metro area did not make United's list of Top 25 urban areas for inbound or outbound migration, but the Worcester-Fitchburg-Leominster area ranked 18th on the outbound list with 64 percent of movers leaving the region on a United van.

Customers cited work as the most common reason for moving to Massachusetts, with 40.4 percent of inbound moves related to a job, followed by family at 30.6 percent, retirement at 12 percent and lifestyle at 10.4 percent....

Of those leaving Massachusetts, 35.2 percent of United customers surveyed said it was because of work, while equal numbers of people (24.2 percent) said they were leaving to retire or for family. Another nearly 20 percent said they left for a change in lifestyle....

Vermont, Maine, Rhode Island and New Hampshire all witnessed more moves into the state than out, with the numbers almost split in New Hampshire, while the two higher-cost states - Massachusetts and Connecticut - experienced the reverse.

Zero Hedge Fund on Saturday took a broader national overview of the migration and exodus ("U-Haul Reveals 2020 Migration Trends As Pandemic And Taxes Take Toll"):

A new report has found that Tennessee posted the largest net gain of U-Haul trucks than any other state in 2020, making it U-Haul's top growth state for the first time.

Growth rates are determined by the net gain of one-way U-Haul trucks entering a state versus leaving that state in a given year. U-Haul keeps tabs on more than two million one-way U-Haul truck customer transactions annually, allowing the company to observe migration trends, according to the report published by U-Haul.

"Tennessee's influx of do-it-yourself movers during a turbulent year marked by the coronavirus pandemic means that a state other than Florida and Texas tops the growth rankings for the first time since 2015 when North Carolina led the way," the report said.

Texas and Florida were the top two other destinations. For three consecutive years, Texas had the largest net gain of one-way U-Haul trucks before Florida displaced it for the number one spot last year.

Before the pandemic, Americans fled liberal-run states and metro areas because of high taxes to conservative states that were business-friendly, such as Texas and Florida. The pandemic certainly amplified the exodus....

On the flip side, California, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Oregon were the top five states with the most significant net loss of U-Haul trucks....

We have never seen such a sudden mass exodus away from major cities in modern American history. U-Haul's report offers a unique insight into migration trends that are overwhelmingly benefiting conservative states while liberal ones plunge into socio-economic turmoil.

Full List: States Ranked By Migration Growth
Chart linked above indicates previous year’s rankings in parentheses.
Washington, D.C. is its own U-Haul market and is listed among growth states for migration trends purposes.
Hawaii is not included since state-to-state truck transactions are inapplicable.

Tennessee was ranked first for net population, the most inbound arrivals from other states compared to outbound migration to other states, followed by Texas (#2) and Florida (#3).

Massachusetts was ranked at #47 for net population, the fewest inbound arrivals from other states compared to greater outbound migration to other states, followed only by New Jersey (#48), Illinois (#49), and California (#50).  Even New York's vaunted exodus of former New Yorkers ranked it #42 lower than Massachusetts.  (Kentucky was ranked #18, an improvement over last year's ranking of #37.)

This is but a snapshot, primarily of low- and middle-income residents on the move.  I don't imagine many if any of the wealthier avail themselves of loading U-Haul trucks and trailers themselves when making their exodus to friendlier, more welcoming states.  Even I had a moving company haul my belongings when I escaped though I did tow a small U-Haul trailer behind containing my office desk, chair, and the entire computer system, which was all I had for ten days until the movers finally arrived.

You might recall that the aforementioned Secretary of State William Galvin was giddy over the population growth due to "international immigration" back in December, 2018:

Population growth in Massachusetts is outpacing that of other New England states, according to the U.S. Census Bureau, and Secretary of State William Galvin is now predicting that the state should be able to hold on to all nine seats in Congress with an accurate head count in 2020.

New data released on Wednesday showed that the population in Massachusetts grew by 38,903 people to 6.9 million between July 1, 2017 and July 1, 2018. The 0.6 percent growth rate equaled the population growth in the country, and ranked Massachusetts 22nd among all other states and first in New England.

Galvin said that while the state continues to lose residents to other states, those loses are more than offset by international immigration. "These numbers show how important it is that we ensure every person in Massachusetts is counted in the 2020 Census, whether or not they are United States citizens," Galvin said.

After the 2010 Census, Massachusetts lost one seat in Congress. Galvin said the state should be able to avoid a repeat of that with an accurate population count.

"More people moved out of Massachusetts than relocated to the Bay State in 2020, with retirees and people seeking a change in lifestyle driving the overall migration out of the state, according to a recent study by a national moving company," the News Service reported.  A "change in lifestyle" covers escaping an exorbitant cost-of-living, relentless high taxation, over-regulation, political corruption, and a burgeoning nanny state where everything that's not prohibited is mandatory, not to mention the weather among other negatives.  That sums up my motivation to escape; a "change of lifestyle" for sure.

What Galvin seems to have overlooked is that when population increases in other states (following last year's national decennial census), that could add to those states' numbers of congressional representatives taking those seats away from states losing, or not gaining, population.  The result could be Tennessee, Florida and Texas (all Crimson Red states) gaining congressional representatives (and Electoral College electors) while Massachusetts, California, Illinois, Maryland, and Oregon (all Deep Blue states) lose congressional seats.  The nation can only hope.

Chip Ford
Executive Director


Full News Reports Follow
(excerpted above)

 

State House News Service
Wednesday, January 6, 2021 | 5:23 AM
Senate Session Summary - Tuesday, Jan. 5, 2021
Adjourns Sine Die At 4:41 a.m. Wednesday
By Sam Doran


Ending a General Court whose course and operations were altered by the pandemic, the Legislature kept its final sessions of the biennium open until after 4:30 a.m. Wednesday, less than seven hours until the new Legislature is due to be sworn in. Sessions had been scheduled to end on Tuesday at midnight but no objections were raised and the Senate held votes throughout the evening that creeped its final adjournment farther toward dawn.

After sending a final day-and-a-half's worth of bills to Gov. Baker's desk including accords on transportation infrastructure borrowing and economic development and jobs, the Senate adjourned sine die -- without any more sittings to follow -- at 4:41 a.m.

Also acted upon Tuesday (and early Wednesday) were measures dealing with emergency room access, Quincy College degrees, waterway pollution awareness, MBTA service cuts, and a commission on the commonwealth's seal. Among the proposals left unfinished, and pronounced dead at sine die, were a bill from Gov. Baker to limit large hikes scheduled for 2021 in business unemployment taxes (H 5206), which the House shelved in its Ways and Means Committee, and legislation to address emergency action on FEMA flood insurance rate maps (H 4720), which was stuck in the House Third Reading Committee before adjournment.

The Senate gavels in at 11 a.m. Wednesday kicking off the new General Court with an outdoor swearing-in ceremony for a quorum of senators in Ashburton Park.


The Boston Herald
Wednesday, January 6, 2021
Massachusetts’ $8.2B state payroll, raises called a ‘sick’ trend during pandemic
State pay jumps by $17M and six-figure earners top the charts
By Erin Tiernan


In a year that ushered in staggering unemployment amid the economic collapse from the coronavirus pandemic, the state’s payroll ballooned more than $17 million to $8.2 billion in 2020, a Herald analysis shows.

Officials blamed the payroll spike on contractual increases negotiated with police, teachers and other unions. Responding to the COVID-19 crisis was also cited.

But Beacon Hill officials also welcomed the new year with fat raises thanks in part to a 2017 law that ties legislators’ pay to wages.

In all, a study of state comptroller payroll figures for all of 2020 finalized this week shows top earners recorded six-figure sums:

• Nearly 2,000 state employees earned $100,000 or more.
• 879 took home $200,000 and up.
• 116, $300,000 and beyond.
• 36, $400,00 and more.
• 13, $500,000 and above.
• 6, at $600,000 and up.
• 3, at $700,000 or more.
• 2 clocked in at $1 million and change.

In a year like no other, the recovery from the pandemic will hit the private sector hard if the high pay keeps up, fiscal watchdogs warn.

“Now’s the time for belt tightening in government,” said the Pioneer Institutes’ Greg Sullivan. “It’s a crisis situation for small businesses. We can’t put all the burden on the small business owner.”

Massachusetts had the worst unemployment rate in the nation at 16.1% in July. The state has climbed up since, but job growth continues to slow after unprecedented losses, statistics show.

Paul Diego Craney of Mass Fiscal Alliance said the high pay today sends the wrong message.

“This is not the direction the state should be going in this year,” he said Tuesday night. “How is it possible a state can shut down and an economy can tank and two employees can earn more than one million?”

He said anyone earning more than Gov. Charlie Baker — $184,999 — should be looked at closely.

But the spending continues. The state’s 200 senators and representatives saw their salaries jump 6.46% this week, bringing their base pay up to $70,536.

A separate 4.89% boost to both expense accounts and stipends for legislative leaders amounts to a lucrative payday especially for elected officials, some of whom will get raises north of $9,000 this year.

Constitutional officers are also entitled to a hefty raise, though some have already declined.

State Treasurer Deborah Goldberg said she won’t take the boost to her $189,000 salary noting, “with so many people hurting, now is not the time to consider something like this.”

Gov. Charlie Baker and Lt. Gov. Karyn Polito also declined the 4.89% raise.

The payroll bumps come as state budget writers prepare to craft another budget in the midst of an uncertain financial future. Pandemic-era business shutdowns have sent state tax revenues into free fall and led the state to rely heavily on one-time funding sources — including the state’s rainy day fund — to balance the current year budget.

Economists have warned the spending plan for the year that begins on July 1 could put even more strain on the state’s limited resources with continued uncertainty over when a full return to economic activity will be possible.

The state has avoided layoffs until now. Baker must submit his budget by the end of the month.

The Baker administration said the state’s total $8.2 billion payroll includes the UMass system, independent agencies and constitutional offices “outside of the control of the executive branch.” And some of the highest paid are in the UMass system.

“The administration has reduced the executive branch headcount by nearly 2,100 employees since taking office, and much of the payroll spending growth in 2020 was driven by contractual increases and COVID-19 response efforts,” said Patrick Marvin, administration and finance spokesman.

He added the fiscal ’21 budget “controls new spending and does not raise taxes, while enabling significant investments in the Commonwealth’s schools and small businesses.”

Some employees took early retirement and “900 people left under the Voluntary Separation Incentive Program, 100 of whom made over $100,000 a year,” Marvin said in an email to the Herald.

Jim Lyons, head of the MassGOP, slammed lawmakers for not setting the tone.

“People are out of work, families are struggling to put food on the table, and these same Democrats who insist on further shutting down our economy are giving themselves raises for the third time in as many sessions,” Lyons said. “This honestly makes me sick to my stomach.”


The Boston Herald
Wednesday, January 6, 2021
2020 was a fantastically prosperous year … for hacks
By Howie Carr


You always learn something new when the annual state payroll comes out and today we learn … Gerard Leone Jr., former district attorney of Middlesex County.

Forgotten, but not gone — last year this hack grabbed $291,200 as “general counsel” at the University of Massachusetts.

He’s had his snout buried (for the second time) in the public trough since 2017, but did anybody know it?

When he resigned as district attorney of the state’s largest county in 2013, Leone went to a big downtown law firm, Nixon Peabody. Much hoopla.

Not so much hoopla two years later, in 2015, when he fled the white-shoe firm to become “vice president of people development,” whatever that is, at Consigli Construction Co.

And no hoopla whatsoever in 2017 when Leone was snatched off the waiver wire, I mean, recruited after a nationwide search, by his fellow former Middlesex County coat holder Marty Meehan, now the president of ZooMass.

If you look on the state comptroller’s payroll, Leone’s annual rate is listed as $302,848 a year, so I guess in 2020 he did tighten his belt, so to speak, just like his boss Marty, whose pay is listed on different state payrolls as between $584,748 and $682,270 – but hey, who’s counting?

I mention this only because this latest payroll shows, once again, that former Sen. John Edwards was right when he said that there are “two Americas.”

Public-sector America and the Dreaded Private Sector (DPS).

For public-sector America, also known as the hackerama, 2020 was yet another fantastically prosperous year. And most of them got to “work” from home – wink wink, nudge nudge.

According to the latest numbers, under the so-called leadership of Gov. Charlie Baker, 19,962 coat holders on the public payroll made over $100,000 last year. There were 879 earning over $200,000, and 116 making more than $300,000.

And behind those obscene salaries comes the pension — 80% of the top three years if you’ve got the years in, and you know they’ve all got the years in to max out the kiss in the mail.

As Thomas Jefferson said more than 200 years ago of the nascent federal bureaucracy: “Vacancies by death are few, by resignation never.”

Because on those rare occasions when someone does decide to leave, it seldom works out for the best. They often have to come crawling back to the hackerama. Exhibit A: Gerry Leone.

As they were making these big bucks in 2020, most of the state’s payroll Charlies were working “remotely,” as their voicemail messages always say. Meanwhile, the DPS was utterly ravaged by the insane, capricious dictates of someone who never once missed either a paycheck or a meal. That would be Charlie Baker, who’s making $200,355 a year.

The DPS got two months of the nation’s highest unemployment rate, not to mention the continuing highest nursing home death rate in the US and the third highest overall death rate among the 50 states.

And yet Baker et al. aren’t just feeding at the trough, they’re licking the plate.

Take UMass — please. The whole place was pretty much shut down for the last 9 or 10 months of the year. (The football coach, Walter Bell, only had four games this year — he now has a 1-15 record over two years to justify his $618,682.92-a-year salary.)

The 30 top-paying state jobs belong to UMass hirelings before you get to the chief medical examiner, Mindy Hull, at $395,624.90 a year. Then there are another 15 ZooMass Minutepersons before the next non-academic – Steve Poftak, the boss of the MBTA, at $345,322.81 a year.

Think about that one – according to their own statistics, passengers on the T’s commuter rail lines have dropped by 90%. On the subways, the T is down 60-75 percent.

Those numbers are like … Massachusetts restaurants. But Poftak hasn’t missed any paychecks, has he? When the T even hinted at layoffs, denunciations and recriminations were hurled indiscriminately. How dare they?

Speaking of which, it’s January. When do the promised Massport layoffs begin? What are the chances of any of Massport’s legions of six-figure hacks ever being separated from the trough?

There are three chances of hack layoffs at Massport: Slim, fat and none.

These salaries are almost enough to make you forget the pay raises the hacks in the Legislature just scored. Almost.

After their latest raises, and increases in expenses, not to mention their stipends, the least any state senator is making is $103,846 a year.

That includes $70,537 salary, at least $17,044 for expenses (formerly per diems, source of so many scandals) and a minimum bonus of $16,245 for their positions in leadership.

Incidentally, 40 of 40 state senators are in “leadership” positions. Every last one of them.

Hey, It beats working. It beats being vice president of people development. Just ask Gerry Leone.


State House News Service
Thursday, January 7, 2021
State Tax Haul Rises Through December, But DOR Sees Descent Ahead
Collections Higher Than Pre-Pandemic Levels
By Colin A. Young


Over the last six months of a pandemic that's led to wholesale changes in consumer habits, business closures and job losses, Massachusetts state government has collected $372 million more in taxes from people and businesses than it did during the same six months of pre-pandemic 2019.

The Department of Revenue reported that December tax collections came in at $2.842 billion, up by $230 million or 8.8 percent from the December 2019 total. Halfway into fiscal 2021, the state has collected approximately $14.306 billion from people and businesses. That puts fiscal 2021 revenues $372 million or 2.7 percent ahead of what was collected during the six months of fiscal 2020 that were entirely unaffected by the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Baker administration does not expect the cushion that's been accumulated to last, however. The administration expects that fiscal year 2021 tax collections will end up 3.9 percent below actual fiscal year 2020 collections and DOR this week outlined how it expects that shift to materialize.

If tax collections outperform the administration's expectations, it could put the state in a significantly better position for the fiscal 2022 budget. By the end of next week, the administration and Joint Ways and Means committees must agree on a consensus revenue estimate for fiscal 2022, which begins July 1, and Gov. Charlie Baker must propose a fiscal 2022 budget based on that projected revenue base by Jan. 27.

Massachusetts will also see billions in federal funds this fiscal year, including about $1.3 billion for education aid as part of the $900 billion pandemic relief and economic stimulus package Congress passed late last month. President-elect Joe Biden has signaled an interest in additional relief packages, including aid to state and local governments, which could further benefit Massachusetts.

December's haul was fueled by increases in corporate and business taxes (up $201 million or 51.7 percent from December 2019), withholding (up $44 million or 3.4 percent), and regular sales tax (up $26 million or 6.3 percent). Meals tax (down $36 million or 36 percent) and "all other" tax receipts (down $6 million or 2.9 percent) declined for the month.

"The increase in withholding reflects increases in unemployment insurance benefits and the increase in corporate and business taxes is partly attributable to one-time business restructuring events and timing factors such as changes to corporate estimated payment installment patterns," Revenue Commissioner Geoffrey Snyder said.

December is one of the more significant months for state tax collections, DOR said, and typically accounts for about 9.5 percent of annual tax revenue in part because many corporate taxpayers must make quarterly estimated payments.

Snyder said DOR will continue to "monitor revenue collections closely in the coming months."

In conjunction with the announcement of December revenues, DOR also released its monthly expectations for the rest of fiscal 2021 based on the administration's revenue estimate as upgraded in December. DOR has not been reporting how collections so far in fiscal 2021 have compared to its expectations and a DOR spokeswoman said the agency does not have benchmarks for the first six months of fiscal 2021.

The new monthly benchmarks offer a bit of a hint as to when DOR anticipates that the bottom will fall out between now and the end of June.

DOR is expecting to collect $2.738 billion in January, which would be $218 million less than the agency collected in January 2020. The expectation of $1.486 billion in February would be $29 million less than was collected in February 2020 and the $2.266 billion that DOR expects to receive in March would be $393 million less than actual March 2020 collections.

If those benchmarks are met, it would mean that Massachusetts would collect $640 million less over the next three months than it did during the same period of time in 2020 and the $372 million revenue cushion budget managers are currently sitting on would evaporate. The state would instead be looking at a $268 million drop from 2020 collections.

Over the final three months of fiscal 2021, DOR is expecting to collect $951 million less than it did during the same three months of fiscal 2020. Those estimates put Massachusetts on track for a drop of $1.219 billion from actual fiscal 2020 tax collections, which is roughly in keeping with the framework of the $45.9 billion fiscal year 2021 budget that Baker signed last month.

In recent years, specifically fiscal years 2016 and 2017, Massachusetts saw tax collections crater in the second half of the year. Stock market volatility cut into investment profits resulting in lower than expected capital gains tax collections over the second half of fiscal 2016. Then, during fiscal 2017, budgeted fund tax revenues increased by just $211 million, or 0.9 percent, from fiscal 2016, dragged down by declines in capital gains and corporate tax revenues.

Even as the COVID-19 pandemic and social unrest unfolded around the country through 2020 and into 2021, the stock market has generally been resilient. On Wednesday, the Nasdaq Composite rose above 13,000 for the first time, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 31,000 and closed at an all-time high.

For fiscal year 2022, the administration's forecast predicts that tax collections will fall within a range of $27.83 billion to $30.61 billion, or between a 1 percent decrease and an 8.8 percent increase.


State House News Service
Friday, January 8, 2021
Weekly Roundup - Out with the Old, In with the Older
Recap and analysis of the week in state government
By Matt Murphy


All-nighters aren't just for college kids anymore.

Despite everyone's most fervent wishes, simply watching the ball drop on New Year's Eve Thursday didn't end the madness of 2020. And midnight wound up looking like an early bedtime for the week that was about to unfold.

The first full week of 2021 started innocently enough.

On Sunday night, MassGOP Chairman Jim Lyons eked out a victory by three votes over Rep. Shawn Dooley to maintain control of the state party, and legislative negotiators announced they had struck a deal on a climate change bill to set a statewide target of net-zero emissions by 2050 and to authorize even more offshore wind.

But by the end of the week, democracy was under attack, 12 more days of the Trump administration was being talked about like too great a risk to take, Boston Mayor Marty Walsh was checking Amtrak schedules to D.C., and the promise of the COVID-19 vaccine was getting showered by the cold reality of continued viral spread.

Welcome to 2021.

The Legislature came to work Monday and passed the climate bill, set a special election date to replace former Speaker Robert DeLeo on March 30 and went home around dinner time to prepare for the last day of session.

It was always going to be a long night on Tuesday, with major economic development and transportation financing legislation still up in the air. But it's unlikely anyone had 4:34 a.m. in their virtual office pool as the time the final gavel would fall.

Not even five extra months to finish their work could help lawmakers save themselves from the last-minute rush, and though they went home tired, they also went home having accomplished most of the big ticket items on their to-do list.

The House and Senate managed to send to Gov. Charlie Baker a $16.5 billion transportation bond bill that the governor said was needed to access federal funding and get ready for the spring construction season. They also agreed to a $626 million jobs bill full of grant and loan programs to help small businesses, restaurants, artists and other industries crushed by the pandemic.

The notable piece missing from the economic development bill was a House-backed plan to legalize sports betting in Massachusetts.

Gov. Baker supports the idea. He even filed his own bill this session. But Speaker Ron Mariano said he didn't have a dance partner in the Senate, where leaders would not entertain the idea of tacking the gambling expansion onto the jobs bill, or debate it separately.

"If we could, we'd have a deal," Mariano told Bloomberg radio Tuesday evening. Mariano said he wants to come back to the issue early this year.

By the time everyone's head hit the pillow, the Legislature had also passed campus sexual assault prevention and craft beer distribution bills, approved of a commission to examine changing the state seal and sent Baker a bill intended to reduce racial inequities in maternal health.

The one piece that pulled up lame before it got to the finish line was a cap on unemployment insurance rate increases in 2021, but there's still time for the Legislature to do that before first quarter bills come due. In fact, it might just give the new Legislature something to vote on to start the new session.

The hardest thing to do Wednesday should have been getting out of bed. But on a day when new and returning lawmakers took their oaths to start a new session on Beacon Hill and Senate President Karen Spilka and Mariano were reelected to their leadership posts, riots stoked by the president of the United States on Twitter erupted on Capitol Hill.

A mob, fueled by unproven claims of election fraud repeated by the president and his allies, broke into the Capitol. They were intent on disrupting the certification by Congress of the Electoral College vote that would give President-elect Joe Biden the victory.

But Congress returned to work that night and certified the Electoral College vote at around 3:45 a.m.

The fact that Congress fulfilled its Constitutional obligation despite the chaos of the day was the one bright spot, according to Gov. Baker, who the next day said he was sickened by what he watched on TV.

Baker, a Republican, joined the chorus of Democrats, including every member of Congress from Massachusetts, in calling for Trump to be removed from office. No more waiting until Jan. 20 for President-elect Joe Biden to be inaugurated. Let Vice President Mike Pence oversee the transition, the governor said.

Trump's future hangs in the balance, but as he prepares to leave Washington, Mayor Walsh is ready to move in.

People around City Hall and the mayor have been downplaying the Walsh-to-Washington speculation for weeks, insisting that the mayor was gearing up for reelection and maybe not even interested in a Biden administration post.

Maybe that's exactly what people tell reporters to throw them off the scent. Or maybe they didn't think it would happen, at the end of the day. But it did.

Biden officially introduced Walsh as his nominee for labor secretary on Friday, after joking a day earlier amid reports that Walsh had been chosen that he was still looking for an Irishman to round out his Cabinet.

Needless to say, Walsh's decision to trade the Charles for the Potomac has completely upended the race for mayor. City Council President Kim Janey is now preparing to become the first Black woman mayor in the city's history, and Councilors Michelle Wu and Andrea Campbell - who were already running for mayor - are preparing for company on the trail.

Janey will be watched closely for signals that she might get in the race, while Councilor Annissa Essaibi George is now taking a look. The off-cycle municipal election also means that State House denizens could have a free run at the seat if they want it, and the North End's Aaron Michlewitz, who chaired the House Ways and Means Committee last session, is kicking the tires, according to sources.

Reports also suggest that the South End's Rep. Jon Santiago and others are also thinking about it.

While it will take some time for the mayoral chess game to play out, COVID-19 is still here. Right now.

Gov. Baker this week announced that business restrictions put in place on Dec. 26, including 25 percent capacity limits in many businesses, would be extended at least two weeks until Jan. 24, and new pool testing would be made available to K-12 school students and personnel.

The administration is also ready to give hospitals facing capacity constraints leeway from nurse staffing-level mandates in ICUs to free up more beds. Hospitalizations are up 145 percent since Thanksgiving.

Vaccines already deployed in hospitals and nursing homes will become available to first responders beginning Monday, when another week begins.

But until then, in the words of Speaker Mariano, who was caught on a hot mic as he gaveled the first session of the 192nd General Court to a close, let's "get the hell outta here."

STORY OF THE WEEK: Sometimes good things happen after 2 a.m.


The Boston Herald
Friday, January 8, 2021
William Galvin calling on Massachusetts Legislature for property tax relief
By Alexi Cohan


Secretary of State William Galvin is calling on the state Legislature to offer relief to homeowners who are unable to pay their property taxes on time, a deadline that is quickly approaching in most cities and towns.

“With so many people struggling financially right now, property tax payments can be a hardship,” Galvin said in a statement.

Last year, the Legislature allowed cities and towns to waive interest and penalties on late property tax payments due to the hardship caused by the pandemic. That relief expired on June 30.

“Now that we are in a second wave of the pandemic, I think the time has come to offer additional relief to those who are unemployed through no fault of their own,” said Galvin, who is proposing the same type of relief take effect again.

Galvin is also encouraging homeowners to take advantage of existing abatement opportunities if they believe an assessment is too high.

“You can challenge a tax bill if you believe that the assessed value is too high in relation to similar properties in the neighborhood, or that the classification is improper,” Galvin said.

Feb. 1 is the deadline for property tax payments in two-thirds of the cities and towns in Massachusetts and also the last day to file for an abatement.

Many Massachusetts residents are still struggling to make ends meet due to unemployment or other financial hardships caused by the pandemic, causing bills to pile up.

Eric Demas, CFO for the city of Everett, said many residents are looking to take advantage of any type of relief that becomes available.

“Everett has been disproportionately impacted given our density and certainly any available tools that the Legislature can give us to continue to provide additional relief is greatly appreciated,” said Demas.

He said the city’s property tax and water and sewer receivables have been increasing, showing that people are struggling to make payments.

“The city is doing everything that we can to provide as much relief we can recognizing the situation everyone is in,” said Demas.

Demas said while property value in Everett is up, taxes went down this year as levy limits were lowered.

Across the state, residential tax rates decreased on average in 2020, according to data from the Department of Revenue’s Division of Local Services.

A spokeswoman for Galvin said he is currently contacting members of the Legislature about his proposal for relief.


The Boston Herald
Tuesday, January 5, 2021
A Boston Herald editorial
Lawmakers should donate pay raises amid coronavirus pandemic


There’s a difference between doing the people’s business and giving people the business.

Someone should explain this to the Massachusetts legislators who intend to take the 6.46% raise on the table this year.

Our lawmakers on Beacon Hill get a raise every two years — it’s written into the Massachusetts Constitution that their pay correlate with the state’s median household income. They voted a nice increase for themselves in 2017, overriding Gov. Charlie Baker’s veto, and got another 6% raise in 2019.

Each of the state’s 200 senators and representatives are in line for a $4,280 bump in their base salaries. They’ll also get a bump in their expense accounts and stipends.

How many people in the private sector have missed out on pay raises because of company “belt-tightening,” even before the coronavirus hit our shores?

In past years, umbrage was (rightly) taken at the taxpayer burden imposed by the pay hikes.

But this year’s raises add insult to injury.

In a pandemic that has cost hundreds of thousands of Massachusetts jobs, with a jobless rate of 6.7% (as of November), and that has shuttered businesses across the state, legislators get more money.

But they don’t have to — lawmakers and other constitutional officers can reject the raises.

According to a spokesperson, Gov. Baker and Lt. Gov. Karyn Polito will decline.

New Speaker of the House Ronald Mariano will accept the raise — his pay packet climbs to more than $178,000 a year.

This while desperate families set their hopes on a stimulus check.

State Rep. Mike Connolly, another raise-taker, said, “Cost of living increases make sense for everyone in terms of government benefits, Social Security and other programs.”

Here’s what seniors receiving Social Security will get for a cost of living increase this year: 1.3%.

Members of the military are set to receive a 3% pay raise this year, according to federalnewsnetwork.com. Business Insider reports that base pay for an enlisted service member in their first six months comes out to less than $20,000 per year. Newly commissioned officers make about $38,250 a year.

It’s good to be a lawmaker in the Bay State.

Yes, we have coronavirus vaccines, and a return to normalcy is on the horizon, but we are still struggling.

Food banks are seeing double-digit increases in demand for free groceries.

Here’s a challenge to lawmakers opting for that pay hike amid an economy-crushing pandemic: Donate the money to a food bank, a homeless shelter or one of the many organizations that are helping those in need. There’s no shortage of want in Massachusetts — what a great way to show solidarity with constituents, not just the high-earners, but those who try to support a family on minimum wage jobs, those who’ve seen tips disappear along with their restaurant positions, those who have spent all their savings without a new job in sight.

It’s taxpayer money that’s funding your pay raise — never forget that.

David Tuerck, president of the Beacon Hill Institute, summed up the situation succinctly: “It is utterly inappropriate for any state government official to take a pay raise at this time, considering we are still in the depths of this COVID-19 crisis and considering the fact many that many people have gone without pay for quite some time.”

Legislators, the ball is in your court.


The Boston Globe
Wednesday, January 6, 2021
A new Legislature convenes and three pay hikes kick in. Only in Massachusetts
Bay State taxpayers underwrite raises for politicians that they can only dream about for themselves.
By Jeff Jacoby, Globe Columnist


If you are a Massachusetts resident who works a minimum-wage job, your pay goes up this week to $13.50 per hour, an increase of 75 cents.

If you are one of the state’s 1.2 million Social Security recipients, your benefits check will be boosted by 1.3 percent this month. For the average retiree, that will mean a monthly hike of about $20.

If you are a private sector worker in Greater Boston who gets an annual cost-of-living adjustment based on the Consumer Price Index, your wages may inch up by a slight 0.4 percent — the change in prices locally over the past year, as determined by the US Labor Department.

And if you are among the 6.7 percent of the state workforce that is currently unemployed — you won’t get any paycheck at all, though you may be eligible for temporary unemployment benefits.

But if you are a member of the Massachusetts Legislature, you won’t have to settle for such trifling (or nonexistent) gains in pay. The salaries of Bay State legislators are going up by thousands of dollars as a new session of the Legislature commences and not one, not two, but three separate pay raises kick in.

Again.

Pay Raise No. 1 will enrich each senator and representative by an additional $4,280 per year, raising their base salary by 6.46 percent from the current $66,257. Under an amendment to the Massachusetts Constitution, legislative salaries are adjusted every two years to match the change in household median income, as determined by the governor. The Legislature placed that amendment on the ballot in 1998 and successfully pitched it to voters as a guarantee that lawmakers would never again vote to hoist their own salaries.

But in Massachusetts, lawmakers don’t collect only a salary. They also collect a generous “expense allowance” — currently, $16,250 per year for those whose districts are within 50 miles of the State House and $21,660 for all the others. On top of that, every state senator and almost two-thirds of state representatives collect hefty “leadership stipends,” which augment their compensation by at least 20 percent. For most taxpayers, getting that kind of money for a job as undemanding as state legislator is sheer fantasy. But when it comes to their own pockets, Massachusetts lawmakers make fantasies come true.

In 2017, the Legislature passed a law automatically hiking their expense allowances and leadership stipends in tandem with state wages every two years — effectively guaranteeing themselves a second and third pay raise at the start of each new session. Even for Beacon Hill, it was a brazen ploy. There was a public outcry, and Governor Charlie Baker vetoed the measure. But the Legislature steamrolled his veto, with the result that each two-year legislative session now begins with multiple pay raises for House and Senate members. In the 2021-22 session, Massachusetts lawmakers will be paid a base salary of $70,537, plus an expense allowance of $22,729 ($17,044 for those within 50 miles of Boston). In addition, 70 percent of legislators will receive yearly “leadership” pay ranging from $17,039 to $90,876. No member will make less than $87,581; some will collect as much as $178,457.

Virtually no other state pays its lawmakers so much money. (California, New York, and Pennsylvania are the exceptions, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures.) If Beacon Hill were a model of legislative excellence, such exorbitant compensation might be justifiable, but the opposite is true. Most Massachusetts legislators have no influence, and the handful who do conduct nearly all their business in secret — indeed, our Legislature is one of the least transparent in America. Year in, year out, the Legislature blows off its deadline to pass a state budget. Rarely is any legislative issue seriously debated in the open. Bills approved in advance are typically gaveled to passage in pro forma votes whose outcome is a forgone conclusion.

In most of America, state lawmakers convene for just a few weeks or months each year — long enough to hammer out a budget, approve needed legislation, and adjourn. They know better than to think of legislating as a full-time job requiring bountiful salaries.

But not in Massachusetts. Here, growing their own pay is one of the things legislators do really well, and taxpayers keep underwriting raises that they can only dream about for themselves.


The Boston Herald
Saturday, January 9, 2021
Job #1 for Speaker Mariano: nix Legislature’s pay raise
By Peter Lucas


Newly elected House Speaker Ron Mariano’s first order of business should be to rescind the pay raise the Massachusetts Legislature just pocketed.

If the 74-year-old veteran legislator wants to set a positive tone, he could call on members to forego the unwarranted pay hike.

Not only would it be a bold leadership move, but it would also show some empathy towards hundreds of thousands of people who are out of work and struggling to put food on the table and pay the rent as a result of the coronavirus shutdown.

If legislators find it too technically complicated to return the pay raise, they could donate the money to a nonprofit that is providing food for the needy and the homeless. They could figure it out.

The new pay raise for the 160 members of the House and 40 members of the Senate — who have been working from home — is not only a bad look, but also bad policy, coming at a time when people are out of work while no legislator has missed a single paycheck.

Who other than politicians can get a pay raise in the middle of a pandemic that has wreaked havoc with the working poor and everyone else? Who else but legislators can also get an increase in expenses and travel allowances during the COVID-19 lockdown? Nobody, that’s who.

The latest pay hike for the 2021 session raises the base pay for legislators from $66,250 to $70,530. This comes on top of the 5.9% raise that was approved by Gov. Charlie Baker in 2019.

The salary of lawmakers is based on the median state household income, but the governor has the authority to set the exact amount. Baker last week ordered an increase of 6.46%.

However, the $70,530 new base pay sum is misleading. Most legislators are paid more than that.

In 2017 the Legislature, over a Baker veto, approved special legislation circumventing the regular pay scale adjustment process to allow whopping increases in office and travel expenses based on how far legislators commuted to the State House.

Even though legislative staff is paid by the state, and legislators are working from home during the pandemic, each legislator is allowed up to $20,000 in expenses.

Leaders in the House and Senate, committee chairs and other ranking members are paid additional sums of money in “stipends.” Consequently, there is hardly a member of the Legislature who is not paid more than the base salary. All you need is a title.

For instance, both the Senate and House “pro tempores” Sen. Marc Pacheco of Taunton and Rep. Patricia Haddad of Somerset each have a $50,000 stipend to go along with their base salary.

Mariano and Senate President Karen Spilka under the raise are paid $178,500, not including perks and expenses.

More to the point, however, is that House and Senate committee chairs, majority and minority leaders, their assistants and just about everybody else with a title is paid extra money as stipends.

Since the Democrats dominate the Legislature, all committees are controlled by the Democrats as are all the chairmanships. And all the chairs are paid extra, starting at $30,000 for the chairs of both the House and Senate Ways and Means committees.

But Republican legislators, scarce as they are on Beacon Hill, do not do badly either. House Minority Leader Brad Jones of North Reading, who is leader of some 30 Republicans in the House, receives more than $50,000 in extra pay, bringing his salary well over $100,000.

So does Rep. Bradford Hill of Ipswich, the GOP assistant House minority leader. Hill also received $50,000 in extra pay in the last session of the Legislature.

If that is surprising, it is even more startling in the Senate where there are now only three Republicans — all “leaders” — in the 40-member Democrat-controlled body even though there is no one to lead. All make close to $100,000 or more. They are Minority Leader Bruce Tarr of Gloucester and Assistant Minority Leaders Ryan Fattman of Sutton and Patrick O’Connor of Weymouth.

They all — Democrats, Republicans and progressives — have turned public service into private gain.

But not to worry. It was announced last week that the minimum wage in 2021 — if you have a job — will go from $12.75 an hour to $13.50, a whopping increase of 75 cents. How thoughtful.


The Salem News
Saturday, January 9, 2021
Baker stuffs war chest with eye to 2022
By Christian M. Wade | Statehouse Reporter


Gov. Charlie Baker is fattening his campaign coffers as speculation grows the popular Republican may seek an unprecedented third term.

Baker reported raising $165,418 last month, according to his latest filings with the state Office of Campaign and Political Finance. That's his biggest fundraising haul in more than two years.

By comparison, Baker's campaign account only reported about $900 in contributions during the preceding month.

While Baker hasn't said he will seek a third term, he hasn't ruled it out, and his campaign has been keeping its fundraising on slow burn in the event that he decides to run again in 2022.

To be sure, Baker and Lt. Gov. Karyn Polito already have a sizable war chest at their disposal. The duo had more than $2.5 million between their campaign accounts as of Jan. 4, according to OCPF records.

Some of the money has amassed over the past year, but a sizable chunk was leftover from previous campaigns.

Polito's contributions were even slightly higher than Baker's in December, with the Shrewsbury Republican raking in $165,944, according to campaign disclosures.

The Baker-Polito fundraising machine is well oiled and known for shaking the state's biggest money trees, drumming up more cash than any gubernatorial campaign in recent history. During the 2018 campaign, Baker and Polito at one point had more than $10 million combined in their campaign coffers.

Many of Baker's contributions in December came from usual suspects — lawyers, lobbyists and real estate developers who traditionally open up their checkbooks for the state's top elected officials at the end of the year.

But he also picked up small donations from supporters like Charles and Hilda Parrott, of Newburyport, who each chipped in $50.

"I think he should seek a third term," said Charles Parrott, a longtime Baker supporter. "I've been really pleased with the job he's done over the past six years and don't see anyone else at this point who could do as good a job."

There are no term limits for Massachusetts governors, and while a handful in the past have served three terms, most don't stick around longer than eight years.

Democrat Mike Dukakis is the most recent governor to serve three terms but not consecutively. He was governor from 1975-79, and again from 1984-1991.

Leverett Saltonstall, a Republican, served three consecutive terms from 1939-1945. But terms for governor were only two years back then, so he was only in office six years.

Recent governors, including Republican Bill Weld and Democrat Deval Patrick, have toyed with the idea of seeking a third term but ultimately decided against it.

Political observers say Baker's stratospheric popularity — his job approval numbers remain among the highest of any governor — could ensure him a long tenure.

"Gov. Baker's prospects are very strong for a third term," said Jeff Berry, a political science professor at Tuft's University. "He remains popular throughout the state. And there's no indication that a major Democrat is going to step forward at this time to contest him, so right now he's the pavement."

Christian M. Wade covers the Massachusetts Statehouse for The Salem News and its sister newspapers and websites.


A study by United Van Lines found the most common reason for moving in or out of Massachusetts
was related to customers' jobs. [Courtesy]

State House News Service
Thursday, January 7, 2021
Moving Out: Mass. Top Ten in 2020 Outbound Migration
United Van Lines Data Measures Moves During Pandemic
By Matt Murphy


More people moved out of Massachusetts than relocated to the Bay State in 2020, with retirees and people seeking a change in lifestyle driving the overall migration out of the state, according to a recent study by a national moving company.

United Van Lines found Massachusetts to be one of the top 10 states in the country that people were moving from as the COVID-19 pandemic accelerated people's decisions to relocate and the years-long trend of people moving south and west continued.

Idaho topped United's survey for inbound moves, followed by South Carolina, Oregon, South Dakota and Arizona as popular destinations.

New Jersey, New York, Illinois, Connecticut and California saw the greatest percentage of movers leaving, with Massachusetts ranking eighth.

"United Van Lines' data makes it clear that migration to western and southern states, a prevalent pattern for the past several years, persisted in 2020," said Michael Stoll, an economist and University of California, Los Angeles professor, in a statement released by the company.

"However, we're seeing that the COVID-19 pandemic has without a doubt accelerated broader moving trends, including retirement driving top inbound regions as the Baby Boomer generation continues to reach that next phase of life," Stoll said.

United reported that 56.6 percent of its Massachusetts business was from customers leaving the state, while 43.4 percent of moves were people and family relocating here, primarily for work or family. The company tracked 3,355 moves in and out of Massachusetts in 2020.

The Boston metro area did not make United's list of Top 25 urban areas for inbound or outbound migration, but the Worcester-Fitchburg-Leominster area ranked 18th on the outbound list with 64 percent of movers leaving the region on a United van.

Customers cited work as the most common reason for moving to Massachusetts, with 40.4 percent of inbound moves related to a job, followed by family at 30.6 percent, retirement at 12 percent and lifestyle at 10.4 percent.

However, the survey doesn't necessarily reflect overall population trends.

With the 2020 Census concluded, the U.S. Census Bureau estimated in December that as of July 1 the state's population had held steady in 2020 at close to 6.9 million residents, down by about 1,300 people from its 2019 estimate. The full decennial Census count will not be available until later in 2021.

Of those leaving Massachusetts, 35.2 percent of United customers surveyed said it was because of work, while equal numbers of people (24.2 percent) said they were leaving to retire or for family. Another nearly 20 percent said they left for a change in lifestyle.

Retirees moved in the biggest volume to Delaware, according to the United Vans survey, followed by Florida and South Carolina.

Minnesota was the most popular destination for people moving for family, and movers decided Wyoming offered the best change of pace for their lifestyle. Nebraska boasted the highest percent of people moving in for jobs.

In New England, states saw different moving patterns over the past year.

Vermont, Maine, Rhode Island and New Hampshire all witnessed more moves into the state than out, with the numbers almost split in New Hampshire, while the two higher-cost states - Massachusetts and Connecticut - experienced the reverse.


Zero Hedge Fund
Saturday, January 9, 2021
U-Haul Reveals 2020 Migration Trends As Pandemic And Taxes Take Toll
by Tyler Durden


A new report has found that Tennessee posted the largest net gain of U-Haul trucks than any other state in 2020, making it U-Haul's top growth state for the first time.

Growth rates are determined by the net gain of one-way U-Haul trucks entering a state versus leaving that state in a given year. U-Haul keeps tabs on more than two million one-way U-Haul truck customer transactions annually, allowing the company to observe migration trends, according to the report published by U-Haul.

"Tennessee's influx of do-it-yourself movers during a turbulent year marked by the coronavirus pandemic means that a state other than Florida and Texas tops the growth rankings for the first time since 2015 when North Carolina led the way," the report said.

Texas and Florida were the top two other destinations. For three consecutive years, Texas had the largest net gain of one-way U-Haul trucks before Florida displaced it for the number one spot last year.

Before the pandemic, Americans fled liberal-run states and metro areas because of high taxes to conservative states that were business-friendly, such as Texas and Florida. The pandemic certainly amplified the exodus.

Ohio, Arizona, Colorado, Missouri, Nevada, North Carolina, and Georgia made up the rest of the top ten states with a net gain of one-way U-Haul trucks.

On the flip side, California, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Oregon were the top five states with the most significant net loss of U-Haul trucks.

Jeff Porter, U-Haul Company of Nashville president, said his company is "seeing a lot of people from California move (to Tennessee) because they're attracted to our lifestyle."

Porter pointed out, "Tennessee has no income tax and is very business-friendly. There are plenty of jobs. People and companies are taking note."

He noted, "Nashville is ever-growing, and even the era of COVID-19 isn't slowing that. We saw movement before the virus hit, but I think the situation has pushed a lot more people away from the West Coast to our state."

"Arrivals of one-way U-Haul trucks into Tennessee jumped 12%, while departures rose only 9% over 2019, with that disparity catapulting it up the charts. Arrivals accounted for 50.6% of all one-way U-Haul traffic in Tennessee, which ranked No. 12 among growth states a year ago," the report said.

"The best thing about Tennessee is the southern hospitality. People are decent to one another," said Clay McQuade, U-Haul Company of Knoxville president. "I believe the draw to Tennessee is the rural atmosphere."

U-Haul migration trends are useful data to show how higher taxes and the pandemic are shifting Americans from liberal-run states to more friendly conservative states.

In July, we noted some people in Illinois waited nearly three weeks for a U-Haul truck as the pandemic plus the state's dire fiscal situation resulted in an exodus of residents.

Compound high taxes, the pandemic, decimation of the local economy, plus soaring violent crime, New Yorkers have been fleeing the metro area by the tens of thousands.

"Long lines were seen outside of a number of U-Haul stations in the neighborhood across Saturday and Sunday, with moving vehicles lining residential streets and discarded furniture stacked on sidewalks left by locals seeking pastures new," reported the Daily Mail.

We have never seen such a sudden mass exodus away from major cities in modern American history. U-Haul's report offers a unique insight into migration trends that are overwhelmingly benefiting conservative states while liberal ones plunge into socio-economic turmoil.

Full List: States Ranked By Migration Growth
Chart linked above indicates previous year’s rankings in parentheses.
Washington, D.C. is its own U-Haul market and is listed among growth states for migration trends purposes.
Hawaii is not included since state-to-state truck transactions are inapplicable.


NOTE: In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107, this material is distributed without profit or payment to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving this information for non-profit research and educational purposes only. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml


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