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CLT UPDATE
Monday, November 23, 2020

Senate Passes Its $46B Budget TCI Hit In New Study, Poll


Jump directly to CLT's Commentary on the News


Most Relevant News Excerpts
(Full news reports follow Commentary)

With a unanimous vote, the Massachusetts Senate wrapped up its work late Wednesday night on a roughly $46 billion state budget for the fiscal year that began July 1.

"The budget, I think, is a really strong, responsive budget to the situation at hand and trying to really help the residents of the commonwealth," Senate President Karen Spilka said after the Senate adjourned around 10:30 p.m.

Earlier in the day Wednesday, the Senate codified and expanded abortion access rights in Massachusetts when it adopted an amendment based on the so-called ROE Act that has been debated on Beacon Hill for much of the session amid growing worries that a conservative U.S. Supreme Court majority will erode or overturn the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision.

Wednesday night, the Senate turned to more of a potpourri of issues. Senators rejected an amendment to legalize sports betting, approved an increase in the fees charged to riders of services like Lyft or Uber, and, like the House, did not take a vote on a popular amendment that would have expanded access to emergency paid sick time for employees.

The budget bills produced by the House and Senate will soon be bound for a conference committee. Senate Ways and Means Chairman Michael Rodrigues said Wednesday night he is hopeful the negotiations will be quick and painless, but major issues like policing reform, health care reform and climate change policy have been stuck in conference committees without signs of life since late July.

State House News Service
Wednesday, November 18, 2020
Senate Session Summary - Wednesday, Nov. 18, 2020
Passes FY21 Budget 40-0
By Colin A. Young


Following two days of deliberations, the Massachusetts Senate wrapped up its work late Wednesday night on a roughly $46 billion state budget for the fiscal year that began four and a half months ago.

The vote to approve the budget was unanimous, but the debate Wednesday night revealed some of the friction that exists as lawmakers seek to marshal state government to address economic and societal problems the pandemic has highlighted. On issues like transportation and economic development, senators repeatedly said the Legislature needs to do more if Massachusetts is to rebound after the pandemic and some lamented the lack of significant action from Beacon Hill during the extended session....

The budget will soon head to a conference committee, a group of three senators and three representatives who will meet behind closed doors to hash out the differences between the two budget bills and put a compromise version up for an up-or-down vote of both branches.

Senate Ways and Means Chairman Michael Rodrigues said Wednesday night he is hopeful the negotiations will be quick and painless, but major issues like policing reform, health care reform and climate change policy have been stuck in conference committees without signs of life since late July....

As soon as the overdue fiscal year 2021 budget is done, Rodrigues and his House counterpart Rep. Aaron Michlewitz will turn their attention to the fiscal year 2022 budget process, which typically begins in December with a hearing on projected tax collections and flows to a January agreement on the consensus revenue figure and the late January filing of the governor's budget proposal.

If talks drag on, state government would need another temporary budget to pass to keep services flowing and the state payroll funded. The current interim budget includes about enough money to get through November.

Earlier in the day Wednesday, the Senate codified and expanded abortion access rights in Massachusetts when it adopted an amendment based on the so-called ROE Act that has been discussed for much of the session amid growing worries that a conservative U.S. Supreme Court majority will erode or overturn the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision....

Senators adopted an amendment from Transportation Committee Chairman Joseph Boncore establishing a new structure of higher fees for transportation network companies like Uber and Lyft.

"First, this new fee structure attempts to address congestion and incentivize public transit usage through fees targetted at consumer behavior. Second, it redirects these funds directly to the CTF, providing much-needed revenues to our anemic public transportation system," Boncore said. He added, "Even after the adoption of this language, there is still much work to be done. We need a New Deal for transportation in this commonwealth."

State House News Service
Thursday, November 19, 2020
Senate Rejects Sports Betting, Adds TNC Fees to Budget


The budget also includes an amendment that raises the current flat 20 cents per ride tax paid by Uber, Lyft and other Transportation Network Companies (TNCs) to a percentage of the cost of the ride as follows: 3 percent of the costs of a pooled ride that has more than one rider and 7 percent of a ride by a single person. The 7 percent fee is reduced to 3 percent if it is a zero emissions vehicle. All three fees can go up another 3 percent if the ride is during rush hour. That would bring the single ride up to 10 percent and the shared ride and single ride of a zero emissions vehicle up to 6 percent.

Under current law, the companies pay the tax and are prohibited from passing the cost along to the rider. The amendment allows the cost to be passed along to the rider....

There was no roll call vote on the amendment. It was approved on a voice vote. No members of either party stood to request a roll call vote. It would have taken a total of only four members to request a roll call....

“It’s noteworthy that California voters just repealed further regulation of ride-sharing services on the November 3 ballot by a 17 percent margin, while the Massachusetts Senate just imposed further burdens on companies like Uber and their customers with tax increases,” said Chip Ford, Executive Director of Citizens for Limited Taxation. “It’s usually California that leads the way with nonsense while Massachusetts soon follows in lockstep. When it comes to taxing businesses and residents most, as always, Beacon Hill legislators strive mightily to be number one. I guess we all should just keep driving our own cars.” ...

“The state budget was passed after the election, even though there was plenty of time to debate the merits of the budget before the election,” said Paul Craney, executive director of the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, “This was done to protect lawmakers from taking tough votes before voters go to the polls. As we have seen with the budget, and this is just the beginning, they want to raise taxes and the cost of living and doing business in Massachusetts. The reason for this is because they refuse to reduce their spending and think money grows on trees. They continue to increase spending, borrow money, and raise taxes and fees, leaving the next generation on the hook for how to get out of this mess. Taxpayers should be very careful.”

Beacon Hill Roll Call
Volume 45 - Report No. 47
November 16-20, 2020
By Bob Katzen
Approve $46 Billion Fiscal 2021 State Budget (S-4)


Lawmakers will shift their focus to reconciling key differences between the House and Senate versions of their long-overdue budget over the next two weeks after senators unanimously passed a $46 billion budget in a late-night session on Wednesday....

Now, all eyes turn to the conference committee where the House and Senate versions of the budgets will be reconciled — a process Rodrigues said he hopes is “quick and painless” with discussion on next year’s budget slated to start in January.

The Boston Herald
Thursday, November 19, 2020
Massachusetts Senate unanimously passes $46B budget


So much for a “narrow” budget.

When the House and Senate Ways and Means committees released their fiscal 2021 budget proposals, both were relatively narrow with few policy initiatives. Chairs Aaron Michlewitz and Michael Rodrigues both stressed the need to adopt the budget on a quick time frame, with the state’s temporary budget expiring at the end of November and the fiscal year already five months in. House Speaker Robert DeLeo said at a Massachusetts Association of Health Plans conference that the budget “is not an appropriate place for major policy reform."

But through the amendment process, lawmakers have now adopted numerous significant policy proposals. Whether a conference committee will be able to resolve differences quickly remains to be seen. Gov. Charlie Baker has line item veto power over the budget, so policy proposals could also die on his desk – although Democrats, with a veto-proof majority in both bodies, could override him.

CommonWealth Magazine
Friday, November 20, 2020
From abortion to Uber fees, Senate budget adopts policy proposals


The budget that passed the Senate on Wednesday started out looking a lot like the one that passed the House last week, but changed a good deal over the course of two long days of deliberations during which admonitions against adding too much policy went out the window.

Like the House, the Senate added an expansion of abortion to the spending bill that appears to be a sure bet to wind up on Gov. Baker's desk. And the 33-7 veto-proof margin was even stronger than it was in the House.

Baker has not yet said how he will approach the abortion issue in the budget, other than to say he wished it hadn't been added as a matter of process. But Democrats sense a moment, and hope to seal the deal more easily than they've been able to finalize any of the five conference committee bills, including police reform, that have been languishing since July.

Unlike the House, the Senate also added measures like new fees on Uber and Lyft rides, mail-in voting for all state and municipal elections through June 31, 2021 and a directive for the MBTA to reconsider service cuts, regardless of ridership levels, if Congress delivers a new COVID-19 relief package.

Those budget amendments could complicate efforts to quickly negotiate a compromise budget with the House in the next couple of weeks....

A total of 3,657,972 ballots were cast in Massachusetts, accounting for 76 percent of all registered voters in the state and blowing past the previous record for raw votes set in 2016.

That turnout, which is always higher in a presidential election year, made this cycle a difficult one for Bay State Republicans, but Rep. Shawn Dooley believes he might have done better had he been at the helm of the MassGOP instead of his former colleague Jim Lyons.

Dooley, of Norfolk, announced this week that he would challenge Lyons for the party chairmanship in January, and he might not be the only one.

But Lyons says he's proud of what Republicans were able to accomplish even if they didn't pick up seats, laying the groundwork, he believes, in districts around the state for a strong showing in 2022.

State House News Service
Friday, November 20, 2020
Weekly Roundup - Risky Business


Beacon Hill Agenda

The Legislature heads into the final seven weeks of the 2019-2020 session with an unfinished budget for the fiscal year that began July 1 and nothing to show as far as new laws despite an oft-touted spirit of bipartisanship, and both branches having already gone on record in support of major bills dealing with economic development, climate change, policing reform, health care system changes, and transportation spending.

Democrats who control the five conference committees charged over the summer with reaching accords have so far been unable to bridge differences. In addition, negotiators have opted for private talks only and ignored or deflected questions about intra-party problems that are blocking progress, all at a time of near-constant finger pointing at partisanship in Washington.

While federal officials aren't shy about airing their views about their competing priorities, Beacon Hill leaders are laboring under their own divisions but just prefer to keep all of their infighting private.

In the week ahead, a new conference committee will likely be appointed to hash out final details of a $46 billion state budget. Under the state's current interim budget, appropriations are due to run out not long after Thanksgiving, so negotiators will need to strike a quick deal or pass what would be the fourth interim budget of fiscal 2021.

Will the Legislature deliver on the promise of the other five conference committees? The influences of the pandemic are weighing on those talks and the answers largely depend on the willingness of House Speaker Robert DeLeo and Senate President Karen Spilka to compromise. - Michael P. Norton

State House News Service
Friday, November 20, 2020
Advances - Week of Nov. 22, 2020


Gov. Charlie Baker said governors are re-evaluating support of a controversial carbon tax designed to limit greenhouse gas emissions as advocates renew calls for its passage.

“We’re living at a point in time right now that’s dramatically different than the point in time we were living in when people’s expectations about miles traveled and all the rest were a lot different,” Baker said Tuesday during a press conference at the State House.

Baker said analysts are looking at the costs and benefits of the program in an era where travel patterns have shifted as many people work from home amid the coronavirus pandemic.

“Modeling, I think, is an import part of figuring out how people feel about the cost-benefit associated with the program and the product and it’s certainly something that we think is an important part of helping states make decisions,” he added.

Baker’s comments came the same day that more than a dozen Massachusetts environmental, health and transportation groups joined 200 organizations to renew calls in a letter to Northeast governors — including Baker — to launch the ambitious Transportation and Climate Initiative program....

Paul Craney, of the conservative Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, called the initiative “elitist” and said, “climate alarmists that are still pushing the regressive TCI gas tax scheme need to understand that the world we live in now is not the same world we lived in when TCI was first introduced.” ...

The Transportation Climate Initiative is a regional compact being between 11 Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states that would implement a gas fee to reduce carbon emissions. Officials have estimated the measure would raise gas prices between 5 and 17 cents a gallon in the first year but it remains unclear how high that cost could rise in subsequent years. An agreement is expected by the year’s end, but support is waffling.

Governors in New Hampshire, Connecticut and Vermont have already cast a shadow on the plan.

The Boston Herald
Tuesday, November 17, 2020
Charlie Baker re-evaluating TCI in Massachusetts
amid pandemic as advocates urge support


A new study of the cap-and-trade program under development by Northeast states to reduce carbon emissions from cars and trucks found that the program could be more than twice as expensive for drivers than previously estimated, with the pandemic potentially playing a major role in how effective the Transportation Climate Initiative will be.

The Center for State Policy Analysis (CSPA) at Tufts University concluded that TCI would help reduce carbon emissions across the region and generate significant revenue for participating states to invest in clean energy alternatives and public health.

The tradeoff, however, would be increases in gasoline and diesel prices from as little at 3 cents to as much as 38 cents per gallon in 2022, according to the report released Thursday....

Gov. Charlie Baker, who has been leading the push to establish the regional TCI program, said this week that cooperating states were taking a new look at the framework of the program in light of the pandemic and how business restrictions have impacted travel.

"I'm still very much a fan, but as I said yesterday in answer to another question, there's a lot that's changed about transportation generally over the course of the past eight months, and that stuff's got to get baked into the way people model what this would mean and how it would work going forward for them," Baker said Wednesday.

In December 2019, TCI states released their own study that estimated the cap-and-trade program would add between 5 cents and 17 cents to the price of a gallon of gasoline depending on whether the coalition set a target of a 20 percent, 22 percent or 25 percent reduction in emissions by 2032.

The CSPA study, however, calculated that under the middle emission reduction scenario of 22 percent TCI would most likely add 24 cents to the price of gas at the pump and generate $775 million for Massachusetts to invest in clean energy and public health.

If the economy stagnates due to the pandemic, the Tufts report estimated that the price increase would decrease to 13 cents, but the state would also collect just $406 million....

The Transportation Climate Initiative started as a collaboration between 12 states and the District of Columbia, but the politics of carbon taxing and the possibility of higher consumer prices pushed New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu last year to withdraw.

The remaining states were due to release a memorandum of understanding with the final framework for the cap-and-trade program this spring, but the pandemic caused the states to adjust that timeline. The group now anticipates a final MOU before the end of the year for states that want to participate to sign.

In Massachusetts, Gov. Baker has the authority to enter into a multi-state carbon reduction pact on his own, but other governors will need to seek Legislative approval.

State House News Service
Thursday, November 19, 2020
Study Points to Greater Gas Price Impacts From Transpo Pact
Baker: Modeling Needs to Adjust For Pandemic


A regional effort led by Gov. Charlie Baker to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by putting a price on the carbon in vehicle fuels is likely to drive up the price of gasoline higher than earlier projected, according to a report by the Center for State Policy Analysis at Tufts University.

Under the so-called transportation climate initiative, participating states would set a limit on total carbon emissions from vehicle fuels and then sell rights to market gas and diesel fuel equal to that amount. The center’s analysis assumes the cost of those rights would be incorporated into the price of gasoline and the revenues gained would be used by states to reduce emissions further.

Assuming moderate growth in the economy, the center’s analysis estimates the price of gasoline would rise 24 cents a gallon in 2022 if the goal is to reduce emissions by 22 percent. The increase would be 13 cents a gallon to attain the same result under a low-growth scenario.

Both estimates are higher than numbers modeled by the coalition of states exploring the so-called transportation climate initiative. The coalition estimated a 22 percent emissions reduction would drive up the price of gasoline by 9 cents a gallon in 2022....

States are expected to decide this year whether they want to participate in the transportation climate initiative and then next year fully design the program if they choose to proceed. The program has been slated to start in 2022.

Baker has been a strong advocate of the transportation climate initiative, but earlier this week he said circumstances have changed considerably since it was first proposed last year. “We’re living at a point in time right now that’s dramatically different than the point in time we were living in when people’s expectations about miles traveled and all the rest were a lot different,” Baker said Tuesday during a press conference at the State House, according to the Boston Herald.

CommonWealth Magazine
Thursday, November 19, 2020
Climate initiative could push gas prices higher than forecast


How much would the Transportation and Climate Initiative carbon fee on fuel cost Bay Staters at the pump?

A new report suggests more than previously thought.

Initial estimates said the TCI could add five to 17 cents per gallon onto the cost of gasoline and diesel. That figure came from a study conducted by the 12 states plus the District of Columbia eyed as partners in the initiative, which is billed as combating climate change.

However, The Center for State Policy Analysis (CSPA) at Tufts University says the actual cost increase could be more than double that.

A recent study found that by 2022, the carbon fee could increase the cost of gas and diesel by 38 cents per gallon if enacted....

It’s a price the National Federation for Independent Business Massachusetts and the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance say is too high for Bay Staters.

Both organizations have opposed the TCI since last year — back when the worst-case-scenario was thought to be less than half of the cost Tufts projected.

Christopher Carlozzi, the Massachusetts State Director of the National Federation of Independent Businesses, said the higher cost once again shows the negative consequences of the proposal.

“The notion of adding 17 cents a gallon in TCI taxes to fuel costs was frightening enough, but a whopping 38 cents would be outright devastating,” Carlozzi told New Boston Post in an email message. “Massachusetts small businesses have faced every hurdle and obstacle imaginable in 2020 and this is certainly not the time to dramatically increase the price of fuel. If the cost of gasoline and diesel increases, it means the price of goods and services will rise as well. New TCI taxes won’t just impact small businesses attempting to recover from the pandemic but also hurts those commuters and working families who were forced to tighten their household budgets too.”

Paul Craney, spokesman for the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, said the fuel fee would disproportionately affect lower-income Massachusetts residents.

“TCI has always been an elitist regressive gas tax scheme and the ultimate winners would be unelected bureaucratic from MA,” Craney told New Boston Post in an email message. “They would take money away from working people to subsidize electric vehicles, the vehicle of choice of the affluent. Today’s study by CSPA shows the scheme comes at a very high economic cost, and a similar study by the Beacon Hill Institute showed it has almost no environmental benefit.

“The Reason Foundation released their annual highway report today, and found that Massachusetts’s highway system ranks 47 in the nation in overall cost-effectiveness and condition,” he added. “This is a one-spot decline from 2019. It’s clear the TCI scheme would subside MA transportation spending by other states considering joining the scheme.”

Craney said the state government should spend its highway and infrastructure dollars more efficiently rather than extracting more money from the taxpayers.

The New Boston Post
Thursday, November 19, 2020
New Study Shows Transportation and Climate Initiative
Could Bump Gas Prices Up 38 Cents Per Gallon By 2022


There appears to be widespread support for Gov. Charlie Baker’s desire to tap the brakes on the multi-state TCI carbon tax, a new poll shows.

The Fiscal Alliance Foundation poll released Monday morning shows a majority of Massachusetts residents surveyed back Baker’s move to re-evaluate support for the program. The poll shows 66.8% support for taking another look at the gas tax....

But the MassFiscal poll shows Democrats (60%), Republicans (75%) and independents (69%) all back Baker’s shift to the slow lane with TCI. The poll of 500 likely Massachusetts voters was taken Thursday, Friday and Saturday by Advantage Inc, a polling company in the Washington, D.C. area.

“He’s getting strong majorities for his re-thinking of TCI,” said MassFiscal spokesman Paul Diego Craney.

“A majority of likely voters are strongly against TCI knowing it will impact ‘essential’ workers the most—people who cannot simply ‘Zoom’ into work, but must continue to drive,” Craney added when announcing the results of the poll Monday.

The Boston Herald
Monday, November 23, 2020
Poll shows strong support for Charlie Baker re-evaluating TCI climate tax


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

This week the state Senate passed by 40-0 its version of a $46 Billion state budget for this fiscal year, now almost five months late.  Commonwealth Magazine on Friday noted ("From abortion to Uber fees, Senate budget adopts policy proposals"):

When the House and Senate Ways and Means committees released their fiscal 2021 budget proposals, both were relatively narrow with few policy initiatives. Chairs Aaron Michlewitz and Michael Rodrigues both stressed the need to adopt the budget on a quick time frame, with the state’s temporary budget expiring at the end of November and the fiscal year already five months in. House Speaker Robert DeLeo said at a Massachusetts Association of Health Plans conference that the budget “is not an appropriate place for major policy reform."

But through the amendment process, lawmakers have now adopted numerous significant policy proposals. Whether a conference committee will be able to resolve differences quickly remains to be seen. Gov. Charlie Baker has line item veto power over the budget, so policy proposals could also die on his desk – although Democrats, with a veto-proof majority in both bodies, could override him.

437 amendments were proposed in the Senate on Tuesday.  By the close of that day's session, The State House News Service reported:  "Senators had rejected or approved dozens of measures in bundled mega-amendments. Many of the big-ticket items — 92 amendments — were withdrawn, with some senators holding out hope for passage later on in the extended legislative session that ends Dec. 31. . . .  Most of the amendments adopted or rejected Tuesday were dispensed with through the Senate's 'bundling' process, where a group of amendments from the same categories receive a single 'yes' or 'no' vote."

One of those amendments which was included and passed, according to Beacon Hill Roll Call, would hike the tax on transportation like Uber, Lyft "Transportation Network Companies" (TNCs):

The budget also includes an amendment that raises the current flat 20 cents per ride tax paid by Uber, Lyft and other Transportation Network Companies (TNCs) to a percentage of the cost of the ride as follows: 3 percent of the costs of a pooled ride that has more than one rider and 7 percent of a ride by a single person. The 7 percent fee is reduced to 3 percent if it is a zero emissions vehicle. All three fees can go up another 3 percent if the ride is during rush hour. That would bring the single ride up to 10 percent and the shared ride and single ride of a zero emissions vehicle up to 6 percent. . . .  Under current law, the companies pay the tax and are prohibited from passing the cost along to the rider. The amendment allows the cost to be passed along to the rider."

When asked by Beacon Hill Roll Call to comment on it I responded:

“It’s noteworthy that California voters just repealed further regulation of ride-sharing services on the November 3 ballot by a 17 percent margin, while the Massachusetts Senate just imposed further burdens on companies like Uber and their customers with tax increases,” said Chip Ford, Executive Director of Citizens for Limited Taxation.  “It’s usually California that leads the way with nonsense while Massachusetts soon follows in lockstep.  When it comes to taxing businesses and residents most, as always, Beacon Hill legislators strive mightily to be number one.  I guess we all should just keep driving our own cars.”

Now the House's and Senate's hastily passed budget versions, differing in many ways but the $46 Billion bottom line and expanded abortion rights in common, has been sent to another the sixth conference committee to attempt a compromise agreeable to both chambers.


The best news last week is that Gov. Baker's multi-state compact to hike gas taxes his Transportation Climate Initiative (TCI) seems to be sputtering, running on fumes.  Even the governor himself seems to be having reservations.

The Boston Herald reported on Tuesday ("Charlie Baker re-evaluating TCI in Massachusetts"):

Gov. Charlie Baker said governors are re-evaluating support of a controversial carbon tax designed to limit greenhouse gas emissions as advocates renew calls for its passage.

“We’re living at a point in time right now that’s dramatically different than the point in time we were living in when people’s expectations about miles traveled and all the rest were a lot different,” Baker said Tuesday during a press conference at the State House.

Baker said analysts are looking at the costs and benefits of the program in an era where travel patterns have shifted as many people work from home amid the coronavirus pandemic.

“Modeling, I think, is an import part of figuring out how people feel about the cost-benefit associated with the program and the product and it’s certainly something that we think is an important part of helping states make decisions,” he added.

Baker’s comments came the same day that more than a dozen Massachusetts environmental, health and transportation groups joined 200 organizations to renew calls in a letter to Northeast governors — including Baker — to launch the ambitious Transportation and Climate Initiative program....

Paul Craney, of the conservative Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, called the initiative “elitist” and said, “climate alarmists that are still pushing the regressive TCI gas tax scheme need to understand that the world we live in now is not the same world we lived in when TCI was first introduced.” ...

The Transportation Climate Initiative is a regional compact being between 11 Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states that would implement a gas fee to reduce carbon emissions. Officials have estimated the measure would raise gas prices between 5 and 17 cents a gallon in the first year but it remains unclear how high that cost could rise in subsequent years. An agreement is expected by the year’s end, but support is waffling.

Governors in New Hampshire, Connecticut and Vermont have already cast a shadow on the plan.

It didn't help that last week The Center for State Policy Analysis (CSPA) at Tufts University released a major study ("Assessing The Impact Of TCI"). 

The New Boston Post reported on Thursday ("New Study Shows Transportation and Climate Initiative Could Bump Gas Prices Up 38 Cents Per Gallon By 2022"):

Initial estimates said the TCI could add five to 17 cents per gallon onto the cost of gasoline and diesel. That figure came from a study conducted by the 12 states plus the District of Columbia eyed as partners in the initiative, which is billed as combating climate change.

However, The Center for State Policy Analysis (CSPA) at Tufts University says the actual cost increase could be more than double that.

A recent study found that by 2022, the carbon fee could increase the cost of gas and diesel by 38 cents per gallon if enacted....

Christopher Carlozzi, the Massachusetts State Director of the National Federation of Independent Businesses, said the higher cost once again shows the negative consequences of the proposal.

“The notion of adding 17 cents a gallon in TCI taxes to fuel costs was frightening enough, but a whopping 38 cents would be outright devastating,” Carlozzi told New Boston Post in an email message. “Massachusetts small businesses have faced every hurdle and obstacle imaginable in 2020 and this is certainly not the time to dramatically increase the price of fuel. If the cost of gasoline and diesel increases, it means the price of goods and services will rise as well. New TCI taxes won’t just impact small businesses attempting to recover from the pandemic but also hurts those commuters and working families who were forced to tighten their household budgets too.”

On Thursday CommonWealth Magazine reported ("Climate initiative could push gas prices higher than forecast"):

Assuming moderate growth in the economy, the center’s analysis estimates the price of gasoline would rise 24 cents a gallon in 2022 if the goal is to reduce emissions by 22 percent. The increase would be 13 cents a gallon to attain the same result under a low-growth scenario.

Both estimates are higher than numbers modeled by the coalition of states exploring the so-called transportation climate initiative. The coalition estimated a 22 percent emissions reduction would drive up the price of gasoline by 9 cents a gallon in 2022....

States are expected to decide this year whether they want to participate in the transportation climate initiative and then next year fully design the program if they choose to proceed. The program has been slated to start in 2022.

Baker has been a strong advocate of the transportation climate initiative, but earlier this week he said circumstances have changed considerably since it was first proposed last year. “We’re living at a point in time right now that’s dramatically different than the point in time we were living in when people’s expectations about miles traveled and all the rest were a lot different,” Baker said Tuesday during a press conference at the State House, according to the Boston Herald.

During last Monday's regular Zoom conference meeting among the anti-TCI coalition of taxpayer and free-market organizations in the dozen states that would be affected there was a sense that the TCI instigators were losing some steam, China Virus Pandemic-related or otherwise.  Internal polling by some of our anti-TCI coalition shows little support for it when the costs are known by poll respondents.  The doubling of the "projected" price of TCI will likely pull the rug out from under this abomination.

A just-released poll by Fiscal Alliance Foundation shows "Democrats (60%), Republicans (75%) and independents (69%) all back Baker’s shift to the slow lane with TCI.  The poll of 500 likely Massachusetts voters was taken Thursday, Friday and Saturday by Advantage Inc, a polling company in the Washington, D.C. area," according to today's Boston Herald ("Poll shows strong support for Charlie Baker re-evaluating TCI climate tax"):

“He’s getting strong majorities for his re-thinking of TCI,” said MassFiscal spokesman Paul Diego Craney.

“A majority of likely voters are strongly against TCI knowing it will impact ‘essential’ workers the most—people who cannot simply ‘Zoom’ into work, but must continue to drive,” Craney added when announcing the results of the poll Monday.

Even if TCI is put on hold by Gov. Baker and the multi-state compact pushing it, it won't go away.  Progressives and liberals like Gov. Baker never back down or surrender.  The socialist-progressives and liberals just regroup, rebrand, and charge on.  A Graduated Income Tax in Massachusetts is a perfect example.  They have managed to put it on the ballot five times (1962, 1968, 1972, 1976, and 1994) and were defeated five times.  That hasn't stopped them from going for a sixth attempt, with their so-called "Fair Share Amendment," aka, "The Millionaire's Tax."

Chip Ford
Executive Director


Full News Reports Follow
(excerpted above)

State House News Service
Thursday, November 19, 2020
Senate Rejects Sports Betting, Adds TNC Fees to Budget
Like House, Shelves Emergency Sick Time Proposal
By Colin A. Young

Following two days of deliberations, the Massachusetts Senate wrapped up its work late Wednesday night on a roughly $46 billion state budget for the fiscal year that began four and a half months ago.

The vote to approve the budget was unanimous, but the debate Wednesday night revealed some of the friction that exists as lawmakers seek to marshal state government to address economic and societal problems the pandemic has highlighted. On issues like transportation and economic development, senators repeatedly said the Legislature needs to do more if Massachusetts is to rebound after the pandemic and some lamented the lack of significant action from Beacon Hill during the extended session.

"The budget, I think, is a really strong, responsive budget to the situation at hand and trying to really help the residents of the commonwealth," Senate President Karen Spilka said after the Senate adjourned around 10:30 p.m.

The budget will soon head to a conference committee, a group of three senators and three representatives who will meet behind closed doors to hash out the differences between the two budget bills and put a compromise version up for an up-or-down vote of both branches.

Senate Ways and Means Chairman Michael Rodrigues said Wednesday night he is hopeful the negotiations will be quick and painless, but major issues like policing reform, health care reform and climate change policy have been stuck in conference committees without signs of life since late July.

"I think we realize that we need to get it done. It is the middle of November and we have six or seven weeks left in the session," Spilka said when asked what gives leadership confidence it can resolve the budget while other major matters are left unresolved. "I believe we will get it done."

As soon as the overdue fiscal year 2021 budget is done, Rodrigues and his House counterpart Rep. Aaron Michlewitz will turn their attention to the fiscal year 2022 budget process, which typically begins in December with a hearing on projected tax collections and flows to a January agreement on the consensus revenue figure and the late January filing of the governor's budget proposal.

If talks drag on, state government would need another temporary budget to pass to keep services flowing and the state payroll funded. The current interim budget includes about enough money to get through November.

Earlier in the day Wednesday, the Senate codified and expanded abortion access rights in Massachusetts when it adopted an amendment based on the so-called ROE Act that has been discussed for much of the session amid growing worries that a conservative U.S. Supreme Court majority will erode or overturn the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision.

Wednesday night, the Senate turned to more of a potpourri of issues ranging from small business relief and sales tax modernization to sports betting and airplane noise.

Sen. Diana DiZoglio of Methuen made several impassioned speeches Wednesday night as she sought adoption of amendments that she said were essential to easing the pandemic's toll on bars, pubs and other small businesses, like waiving the remittance of excise tax for meals for a period of months.

Most were rejected, though DiZoglio pressed for the Senate to take recorded votes on many of them.

Throughout her remarks, DiZoglio expressed frustration with the slow pace of action from the Legislature to address businesses that have been harmed by the COVID-19 pandemic and government mandates. She said she could not wait for the conference committee that has been negotiating similar issues since July as part of a stalled economic development bill to reach a compromise and risk not getting relief for businesses in her district done by the end of the year.

"I know, Mr. Chairman, that we're not interested in passing a lot of outside sections in this budget, but I challenge this membership to think about what our response is going to be after we take this vote, and our local pub owners and their families, our local bar owners and their families, and their employees who have been out of work for months, come to us and ask why we didn't take a vote when we had the chance," DiZoglio said. She added, "We're going to say, well we didn't think it was the right time? That we prefer not to do these things in a budget? We had an opportunity to discuss some of these things in economic development, and we didn't. We had an opportunity to do these things for months. Where is the restaurant relief? Where is the small business relief? Tied up in conference committee? Still?"

When DiZoglio asked Rodrigues, who is one of three senators privy to the months-long private talks, if he could guarantee that an economic development conference bill would be voted on before the end of the year, Rodrigues leaned on a Beacon Hill tradition of not discussing negotiations publicly.

"As we all know, we cannot comment on deliberations within conference committees," he said, adding that the conference committee is still negotiating.

An amendment from Minority Leader Bruce Tarr to legalize sports wagering in Massachusetts was rejected without a roll call vote. The amendment would have allowed casinos, racetracks and online operators to apply for a license to take bets on sports, and Tarr said his amendment would have designated the revenue from initial application fees for a new economic recovery fund.

He and other senators talked about the importance of capturing revenue from an activity that nearby states have already authorized. Sen. Patrick O'Connor called it "basically free money" and Sen. Marc Pacheco said Massachusetts is "losing all of this revenue that we are going to need" as residents find other states that will take their bets.

Estimates for annual revenue from sports betting in Massachusetts have ranged from about $20 million to $35 million. The state's two casinos and slots parlor bring in a cumulative average of about $21 million each month. The House legalized sports betting in its economic development bill but the Senate has appeared far less interested in authorizing sports betting.

"If we don't do it in this bill, we should absolutely get to work before we end this year to make sure this is done," Pacheco said. "I am very concerned that we are going to be missing the boat on this."

After the session, Spilka was non-committal when asked if there was a chance the Senate would take sports betting back up before the session ends in early January.

"Right now, the focus is going to be on conference committees, resolving the budget, and COVID. We'll see though," she said.

Senators adopted an amendment from Transportation Committee Chairman Joseph Boncore establishing a new structure of higher fees for transportation network companies like Uber and Lyft.

"First, this new fee structure attempts to address congestion and incentivize public transit usage through fees targetted at consumer behavior. Second, it redirects these funds directly to the CTF, providing much-needed revenues to our anemic public transportation system," Boncore said. He added, "Even after the adoption of this language, there is still much work to be done. We need a New Deal for transportation in this commonwealth."

The Senate also adopted an amendment from Sen. John Velis of Westfield that would provide $200,000 for the creation of an ombudsman's office at the Holyoke Soliders' Home, where more than 75 veterans died of COVID-19 amid an outbreak at the state-overseen facility.

"This home is unique and can continue to be a place of solace if we ensure they have the necessary resources for quality care. We have also seen there is not enough support for residents and families, nowhere for them to turn, no mechanism if problems arise before they grow. This amendment aims to fix that, or begin to fix that," Velis said.

As was the case last week when the House debated its budget, an amendment that would expand access to emergency paid sick time did not get a vote. Sen. Jason Lewis, who filed the amendment with the support of at least 13 other senators, withdrew the amendment before it was considered but asked to speak to its importance.

Lewis said the Senate would not be adopting his amendment but that an identical proposal was pending before the Senate Ways and Means Committee as a standalone piece of legislation and said he hoped that would advance.

Sam Doran contributed reporting.


Beacon Hill Roll Call
Volume 45 - Report No. 47
November 16-20, 2020
By Bob Katzen

Approve $46 Billion Fiscal 2021 State Budget (S-4)


Senate 40-0, approved an estimated $46 billion fiscal 2021 state budget that uses $1.5 billion from the state’s Rainy Day Fund to help cover expenses. The budget increases spending by 5.5 percent over last fiscal year’s 2020 budget. The Senate added $36.1 million in additional spending during two days of debate. The package also includes a controversial amendment that would allow abortions after 24 weeks in the case of lethal fetal anomalies and lower the age from 18 to 16 that a minor can choose to have an abortion without parental or judicial consent.

The budget also includes an amendment that raises the current flat 20 cents per ride tax paid by Uber, Lyft and other Transportation Network Companies (TNCs) to a percentage of the cost of the ride as follows: 3 percent of the costs of a pooled ride that has more than one rider and 7 percent of a ride by a single person. The 7 percent fee is reduced to 3 percent if it is a zero emissions vehicle. All three fees can go up another 3 percent if the ride is during rush hour. That would bring the single ride up to 10 percent and the shared ride and single ride of a zero emissions vehicle up to 6 percent.

Under current law, the companies pay the tax and are prohibited from passing the cost along to the rider. The amendment allows the cost to be passed along to the rider.

Currently, the state distributes to cities and towns 50 percent of the revenue, based on the number of rides from the previous calendar year that originated within that city or town, to address the impact of TNCs on municipal roads, bridges and taxis. It also uses the same formula to give 25 percent to local small businesses operating in the taxicab, livery or hackney industries. The remaining 25 percent is kept by the state in the Commonwealth Transportation Fund that is used for transportation projects and needs across the state.

The amendment lowers from 50 percent to 25 percent the percentage of revenue that goes to cities and towns; triples the state’s share from 25 percent to 75 percent and eliminates the 25 percent given to local small businesses operating in the taxicab, livery or hackney industries.

There was no roll call vote on the amendment. It was approved on a voice vote. No members of either party stood to request a roll call vote. It would have taken a total of only four members to request a roll call.

Supporters said the increased revenue is needed in order to help improve and modernize the state’s infrastructure and transportation system, including the MBTA.

“While the pre-pandemic needs of the MBTA may be different than they are during this public health crisis, we must ensure that the we continue to adopt long-term policies that will make our transit system safe, accessible, and reliable,” said the amendment’s sponsor Sen. Joe Boncore (D-Winthrop). “The Senate took a holistic in moving forward policy that will alleviate congestion, reduce emissions, and direct more revenue to our transportation system.”

“The language adopted in the Senate budget modernizes the fee structure for TNCs,” continued Boncore. “Massachusetts was among the first states in the country to regulate TNCs. By updating these policies, we can help direct more funding to public transit through the Commonwealth Transportation Fund and by generating revenue directly to municipalities.”

“It’s noteworthy that California voters just repealed further regulation of ride-sharing services on the November 3 ballot by a 17 percent margin, while the Massachusetts Senate just imposed further burdens on companies like Uber and their customers with tax increases,” said Chip Ford, Executive Director of Citizens for Limited Taxation. “It’s usually California that leads the way with nonsense while Massachusetts soon follows in lockstep. When it comes to taxing businesses and residents most, as always, Beacon Hill legislators strive mightily to be number one. I guess we all should just keep driving our own cars.”

Sen. Mike Rodrigues (D-Westport), the chair the Senate Ways and Means Committee is proud of the $46 billion budget. “Under difficult circumstances because of the COVID-19 pandemic, I am proud of the Senate’s ability during these last two days to meet the moment, engage in respectful debate, take action to protect our most vulnerable and set the commonwealth on a path toward an equitable recovery,” said Rodrigues. “The Senate has taken important steps this week to confront the unprecedented challenges brought on by this public health crisis and pass a fiscally responsible budget plan that further protects access to childcare, health care, housing, public transportation and economic opportunity.”

“The state budget was passed after the election, even though there was plenty of time to debate the merits of the budget before the election,” said Paul Craney, executive director of the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, “This was done to protect lawmakers from taking tough votes before voters go to the polls. As we have seen with the budget, and this is just the beginning, they want to raise taxes and the cost of living and doing business in Massachusetts. The reason for this is because they refuse to reduce their spending and think money grows on trees. They continue to increase spending, borrow money, and raise taxes and fees, leaving the next generation on the hook for how to get out of this mess. Taxpayers should be very careful.”


The Boston Herald
Thursday, November 19, 2020
Massachusetts Senate unanimously passes $46B budget
By Erin Tiernan


Lawmakers will shift their focus to reconciling key differences between the House and Senate versions of their long-overdue budget over the next two weeks after senators unanimously passed a $46 billion budget in a late-night session on Wednesday.

“This is a budget that we can all be incredibly proud of,” Senate President Karen Spilka said before the final roll call on Wednesday. “At a time where the pandemic has hit so many families, so many businesses, and impacted just our way of life here in Massachusetts, we have really taken this to heart and I believe our budget will make a positive difference in the lives of all of the residents of the Commonwealth.”

Top Republican Sen. Bruce Tarr called the budget “sustainable and balanced.”

Legislators earlier this month set a goal to get a spending plan on Gov. Charlie Baker’s desk by the end of November after delaying delivery for more than five months while the dust settled on the financial storm stirred up by the coronavirus pandemic.

“What a long strange trip it’s been — but, we did it,” said Ways and Means Chairman Michael Rodrigues.

The Fall River Democrat said he was “glad” senators had finished trucking through the 10-month-long budget process — one he estimated to be the longest in Senate history.

Now, all eyes turn to the conference committee where the House and Senate versions of the budgets will be reconciled — a process Rodrigues said he hopes is “quick and painless” with discussion on next year’s budget slated to start in January.

It’s all but certain abortion access will see an expansion in Massachusetts after both branches passed budget amendments amid looming “threats” the right could be struck down on a federal level.

Senators — like members in the House — passed a measure that will enshrine the right to abortion in state law as well as expand access to abortions after 24 weeks in cases of fatal fetal anomalies — not just when necessary to save a woman’s life. It also removes parental consent for people over 16.

“I believe in an affirmative right to choose, but this right now hangs in the balance. Those of us who remember the days before legal abortion and contraception must unite with those of us who never knew those dark times to protect this right at all costs,” said Sen. Harriette Chandler, who authored the Senate amendment.

Senators also passed $36.1 million in targeted investments to local aid and other programs.

Another amendment extends current mail-in ballot measures expanded amid the pandemic through June 30 of next year.

While the bottom lines appear the match, and as Rodrigues said last week — “there are more similarities than differences” — disparities in investments to housing and food security, mental health and substance use treatment, education and other investments must be reconciled.


CommonWealth Magazine
Friday, November 20, 2020
From abortion to Uber fees, Senate budget adopts policy proposals
By Shira Schoenberg


So much for a “narrow” budget.

When the House and Senate Ways and Means committees released their fiscal 2021 budget proposals, both were relatively narrow with few policy initiatives. Chairs Aaron Michlewitz and Michael Rodrigues both stressed the need to adopt the budget on a quick time frame, with the state’s temporary budget expiring at the end of November and the fiscal year already five months in. House Speaker Robert DeLeo said at a Massachusetts Association of Health Plans conference that the budget “is not an appropriate place for major policy reform."

But through the amendment process, lawmakers have now adopted numerous significant policy proposals. Whether a conference committee will be able to resolve differences quickly remains to be seen. Gov. Charlie Baker has line item veto power over the budget, so policy proposals could also die on his desk – although Democrats, with a veto-proof majority in both bodies, could override him.

The most obvious example is a provision expanding abortion access, which was passed in similar forms by the House and Senate. Senate Republican Leader Bruce Tarr objected to having a major policy proposal taken up in a lame duck budget session, as did Baker – though the governor did not say whether he would veto it.

But that was far from the only policy change, with several more added during this week’s Senate budget debate. The Senate adopted an amendment introduced by Sen. Ryan Fattman, a Sutton Republican, to let hemp products be sold in marijuana dispensaries - a potentially significant change that could let smokable hemp flower, hemp-derived vapes, and more CBD-infused food and beverages become available to consumers.

The Senate also adopted a proposal by Sen. Joseph Boncore, a Winthrop Democrat who chairs the transportation committee, to raise fees on ride-hailing companies like Uber and Lyft. Unlike previous proposals by Baker and the House, the fee would be a percentage of the ride’s cost rather than a flat fee hike, with higher fees for single rides and rides during rush hour.

An adopted amendment by Sen. Brendan Crighton, a Lynn Democrat who chairs the housing committee, would seal eviction records and prevent negative credit impacts for tenants facing eviction during the COVID-19 pandemic.

An amendment introduced by Sen. John Velis, a Westfield Democrat, would create a new ombudsman’s office for the Holyoke Soldiers’ Home.

The Senate also included in the budget several provisions of its mental health bill, which has not yet been taken up by the House. MassLive reported that these provisions include banning extra charges for same-day physical and behavioral health services, requiring a universally accepted set of credentialing forms for mental health providers and setting aside $3.5 million for a pilot program to provide students with behavioral health services over the phone through their schools.

During last week’s House debate, that body adopted several proposals to address education problems created or exacerbated by the pandemic - including an amendment inspired by the tragic death of David Almond requiring better tracking of school attendance records for kids with Department of Children and Family cases.

Several proposed policy changes were not adopted. Hotel workers, who used the budget to seek the right to be rehired into their old jobs should they reopen, did not get those protections. Lawmakers also declined to use the budget to implement sports betting. The State House News Service reported that Sen. Diana DiZoglio, a Methuen Democrat, introduced multiple amendments aimed at helping bars, pubs and restaurants recover from the pandemic, but most were rejected.

Some of these proposals could be revived in either an economic development bill that remains before a conference committee or in standalone legislation.


State House News Service
Friday, November 20, 2020
Weekly Roundup - Risky Business
Recap and analysis of the week in state government
By Matt Murphy


One hundred and seventy six years ago Lydia Maria Child sat down and wrote an endearing and enduring poem about the excitement of going to grandfather's house, in Medford no less, to celebrate Thanksgiving.

But in 2020, even over the river and through the wood might be too far to travel. Especially if it's to see grandfather and grandmother. They are in a high risk category, after all.

As families debate how to handle the holidays in the midst of a raging global pandemic, public officials are increasingly urging people to skip the out-of-state travel and big dinners and celebrate the holiday at home, with only those who live there.

Rhode Island Gov. Gina Raimondo reduced the social gathering limit size in her state to the number of people in any given household. And in Massachusetts where the indoor limit sits at 10, Gov. Charlie Baker said residents should think hard about expanding their circle beyond the household for next week's holiday.

"Any group gathering beyond this poses a significant chance of spreading the virus," he said.

But Thanksgiving is traditionally one of the busiest travel days of the year, and officials know that many people, including college students, will be heading home for the holiday anyway. So Massachusetts joined with other states in the region to press colleges and universities to make testing available for anyone planning to leave campus.

The request was one of several that came from a group of governors working to coordinate their messaging this week as the resurgence of COVID-19 across the region threatens to undermine the economic and educational progress made over the summer.

Baker did not take part in a virtual summit convened over the weekend by New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo to discuss coronavirus response strategies with neighboring governors, but his name was on a joint statement later in the week defending in-person schooling as a safe activity even in states with high transmission rates.

The statement came out as New York City moved to shutter its school buildings as the positive test rate there rose above 3 percent. Meanwhile in Boston where schools have already gone almost fully remote, Mayor Marty Walsh allowed four schools to open this week for high-needs students.

And Massachusetts announced that in December it would deploy the first batch of the more than 2 million Abbott BinaxNOW rapid antigen tests to 134 school districts, charter schools and special education collaboratives. The COVID-19 tests can deliver results in as little as 15 minutes, and are intended to be used for students and staff who begin to exhibit symptoms while at school.

Since last Thursday, the estimated number of active cases of COVID-19 in Massachusetts grew by 8,463 people to 34,664 and hospitalizations crept upward toward the 1,000 mark, which would still be just a quarter of what the health care system dealt with during the worst of the spring surge.

There's also other reasons for hope.

Pfizer said it would apply Friday to the FDA for emergency use authorization for its COVID-19 immunization. If approved, the first vaccine could become available as soon as next month.

Baker was one of 10 governors on the National Governors Association executive committee that met virtually with President-elect Joseph Biden on Thursday to discuss how states and the federal government can work together to fight the coronavirus, which will become exceedingly important as vaccines become available.

Legislators can't rely on vaccines just yet, though. So Senate leaders used rapid antigen testing as a protection against the virus as some senators and staff returned to the State House this week to debate a $46 billion state budget. The precaution was taken after two House members that took part in that branch's budget debate tested positive, and more cases among staff continue to crop up.

The budget that passed the Senate on Wednesday started out looking a lot like the one that passed the House last week, but changed a good deal over the course of two long days of deliberations during which admonitions against adding too much policy went out the window.

Like the House, the Senate added an expansion of abortion to the spending bill that appears to be a sure bet to wind up on Gov. Baker's desk. And the 33-7 veto-proof margin was even stronger than it was in the House.

Baker has not yet said how he will approach the abortion issue in the budget, other than to say he wished it hadn't been added as a matter of process. But Democrats sense a moment, and hope to seal the deal more easily than they've been able to finalize any of the five conference committee bills, including police reform, that have been languishing since July.

Unlike the House, the Senate also added measures like new fees on Uber and Lyft rides, mail-in voting for all state and municipal elections through June 31, 2021 and a directive for the MBTA to reconsider service cuts, regardless of ridership levels, if Congress delivers a new COVID-19 relief package.

Those budget amendments could complicate efforts to quickly negotiate a compromise budget with the House in the next couple of weeks.

What was uncomplicated was the confirmation of Kimberly Budd to become the next chief justice of the Supreme Judicial Court. Budd was unanimously confirmed by the Governor's Council to become the first Black woman to lead the 328-year-old court. And Appeals Court Justice Dalila Argaez Wendlandt could have a similarly easy path to confirmation if her hearing was any indication.

"You're one of the most remarkable nominees I've ever seen here in my short six years here," Councilor Joe Ferreira told Wendlandt at her hearing, where she recommended mandatory racism training for all judges to address the systemic racism in the justice system.

Wendlandt would become the first Latina to sit on the SJC, if confirmed next week, and would still have seniority over Boston Municipal Court Judge Serge Georges, Jr., who Baker made his final pick this week to round out a court going through a transition as a result of death and retirement.

As for people waiting in the wings for their seniors to retire, U.S. Rep. Katherine Clark was among the Democrats trying to put a shine this week on the prospects for a post-election stimulus deal on Capitol Hill. Senate Republicans remain wary of a large spending package and the White House is an unreliable partner as its focus seems trained on convincing judges and the public that the election was marred by voter fraud.

Clark's ability to influence the direction of negotiations, however, got stronger Thursday when her colleagues chose her over Rhode Island Rep. David Cicilline to become the next assistant speaker of the House.

Her ascension in leadership bumps her up two slots, and makes her the fourth highest ranking Democrat in the House, adding to the clout of delegation already flush with power brokers.

Clark is getting ready to begin her fourth full term in the U.S. House, propelled to victory earlier this month by record turnout that Secretary of State William Galvin certified this week. A total of 3,657,972 ballots were cast in Massachusetts, accounting for 76 percent of all registered voters in the state and blowing past the previous record for raw votes set in 2016.

That turnout, which is always higher in a presidential election year, made this cycle a difficult one for Bay State Republicans, but Rep. Shawn Dooley believes he might have done better had he been at the helm of the MassGOP instead of his former colleague Jim Lyons.

Dooley, of Norfolk, announced this week that he would challenge Lyons for the party chairmanship in January, and he might not be the only one.

But Lyons says he's proud of what Republicans were able to accomplish even if they didn't pick up seats, laying the groundwork, he believes, in districts around the state for a strong showing in 2022.

STORY OF THE WEEK: Large family gatherings have always been fraught affairs, but not like this year.


State House News Service
Friday, November 20, 2020
Advances - Week of Nov. 22, 2020


Thanksgiving is coming, and this year the traveling associated with that holiday is being portrayed not as a tribute to the family and friends that form our lifelines, but as an act of selfishness with potentially deadly consequences. "I'm scared to death about Thanksgiving. I mean, I'm not kidding when I say that," Gov. Charlie Baker told business executives during a Zoom call on Friday, Nov. 13.

The governor said he understands how "incredibly off-putting" it is for people to hear him urge them to stay home on the cherished holiday, but pointed to an explosion of people in Canada requiring hospital care for COVID-19 two weeks after residents of that country gathered to celebrate its version of Thanksgiving on Oct. 11.

AAA on Nov. 12 said they expected 50 million to travel on Thanksgiving, down from 55 million in 2019. That's only a projected 10 percent drop, but still the largest decrease since the 2008 recession.

Soaring COVID-19 numbers across the country are already straining hospitals and in the absence of stronger federal restrictions, a patchwork of state-by-state actions continues, with many believing a lockdown or something approaching that may be around the corner.

Beacon Hill Agenda

The Legislature heads into the final seven weeks of the 2019-2020 session with an unfinished budget for the fiscal year that began July 1 and nothing to show as far as new laws despite an oft-touted spirit of bipartisanship, and both branches having already gone on record in support of major bills dealing with economic development, climate change, policing reform, health care system changes, and transportation spending.

Democrats who control the five conference committees charged over the summer with reaching accords have so far been unable to bridge differences. In addition, negotiators have opted for private talks only and ignored or deflected questions about intra-party problems that are blocking progress, all at a time of near-constant finger pointing at partisanship in Washington.

While federal officials aren't shy about airing their views about their competing priorities, Beacon Hill leaders are laboring under their own divisions but just prefer to keep all of their infighting private.

In the week ahead, a new conference committee will likely be appointed to hash out final details of a $46 billion state budget. Under the state's current interim budget, appropriations are due to run out not long after Thanksgiving, so negotiators will need to strike a quick deal or pass what would be the fourth interim budget of fiscal 2021.

Will the Legislature deliver on the promise of the other five conference committees? The influences of the pandemic are weighing on those talks and the answers largely depend on the willingness of House Speaker Robert DeLeo and Senate President Karen Spilka to compromise. - Michael P. Norton

Latest Budget in Modern History

As the Senate budget debate drew to a close Wednesday night, Ways and Means Chairman Michael Rodrigues observed that fiscal 2021 "might be the longest budget process in the history of the Senate."

Indeed, it might -- at least for recent history. Since the Legislature in 1995 created self-imposed end-dates for formal sessions, this is the third time they've suspended that rule to consider a months-late budget.

In 1999, the fiscal 2000 budget was stuck in private conference talks as separate negotiations "consumed the bulk of debate for months" on topics like tax cuts, MBTA finances, and prescription drug relief. Gov. Cellucci said budget talks had stalled because Speaker Thomas Finneran and President Thomas Birmingham were micromanaging the private conversations, and with no budget in sight in late October, Cellucci said, "Maybe the dog ate it." Finneran called Cellucci's remarks "childish." Conferees filed their $20.87 billion conference report the morning of Nov. 10, 1999, and it was sent to Gov. Cellucci's desk at 11:58 p.m. that night.

After the 9/11 terrorist attacks and the dot-com bubble burst, in 2001 the budget was held up as revenues declined and lawmakers decided on spending cuts and reserve withdrawals. The $22.25 billion fiscal 2002 spending bill was filed by conferees at 11:58 p.m. on Nov. 20, 2001, and sent to Acting Gov. Swift's desk at 9:47 p.m. on Nov. 21 -- the day before Thanksgiving. It imposed $650 million in spending cuts and drew $700 million from reserves.

Swift blasted it as "sloppy" and a "flawed product" and said it was more than $100 million out of balance; Birmingham responded that her budget advisors had "breathtaking incompetence." As the conference report came to the Senate floor less than a day before Thanksgiving dinner, Minority Leader Brian Lees said that the White House had its turkey, presumably referring to the annual turkey pardon, "and this is ours." - Sam Doran


The Boston Herald
Tuesday, November 17, 2020
Charlie Baker re-evaluating TCI in Massachusetts
amid pandemic as advocates urge support
By Erin Tiernan


Gov. Charlie Baker said governors are re-evaluating support of a controversial carbon tax designed to limit greenhouse gas emissions as advocates renew calls for its passage.

“We’re living at a point in time right now that’s dramatically different than the point in time we were living in when people’s expectations about miles traveled and all the rest were a lot different,” Baker said Tuesday during a press conference at the State House.

Baker said analysts are looking at the costs and benefits of the program in an era where travel patterns have shifted as many people work from home amid the coronavirus pandemic.

“Modeling, I think, is an import part of figuring out how people feel about the cost-benefit associated with the program and the product and it’s certainly something that we think is an important part of helping states make decisions,” he added.

Baker’s comments came the same day that more than a dozen Massachusetts environmental, health and transportation groups joined 200 organizations to renew calls in a letter to Northeast governors — including Baker — to launch the ambitious Transportation and Climate Initiative program.

The letter lays out “strong safeguards and guarantees for overburdened and underserved communities,” which would become key beneficiaries of the proposed Transportation and Climate Initiative cap-and-invest program to modernize transportation in the region. Last week the MBTA announced a set of sweeping cuts to the state’s regional rapid transit system.

Chris Dempsey, director of Transportation for Massachusetts, said the program would “address climate change and improve the quality of life of Massachusetts residents.”

Paul Craney, of the conservative Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, called the initiative “elitist” and said, “climate alarmists that are still pushing the regressive TCI gas tax scheme need to understand that the world we live in now is not the same world we lived in when TCI was first introduced.”

Past studies have shown transportation accounts for more than 40% of Massachusetts’s greenhouse gas emissions and is the largest source of air pollution, but those figures are being “reprogrammed” amid pandemic changes in commuting and travel, Baker said.

The Transportation Climate Initiative is a regional compact being between 11 Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states that would implement a gas fee to reduce carbon emissions. Officials have estimated the measure would raise gas prices between 5 and 17 cents a gallon in the first year but it remains unclear how high that cost could rise in subsequent years. An agreement is expected by the year’s end, but support is waffling.

Governors in New Hampshire, Connecticut and Vermont have already cast a shadow on the plan.


State House News Service
Thursday, November 19, 2020
Study Points to Greater Gas Price Impacts From Transpo Pact
Baker: Modeling Needs to Adjust For Pandemic
By Matt Murphy


A new study of the cap-and-trade program under development by Northeast states to reduce carbon emissions from cars and trucks found that the program could be more than twice as expensive for drivers than previously estimated, with the pandemic potentially playing a major role in how effective the Transportation Climate Initiative will be.

The Center for State Policy Analysis (CSPA) at Tufts University concluded that TCI would help reduce carbon emissions across the region and generate significant revenue for participating states to invest in clean energy alternatives and public health.

The tradeoff, however, would be increases in gasoline and diesel prices from as little at 3 cents to as much as 38 cents per gallon in 2022, according to the report released Thursday. The wide range takes in account a variety of factors, including how aggressively states try to reduce emissions and the health of the economy as it recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Gov. Charlie Baker, who has been leading the push to establish the regional TCI program, said this week that cooperating states were taking a new look at the framework of the program in light of the pandemic and how business restrictions have impacted travel.

"I'm still very much a fan, but as I said yesterday in answer to another question, there's a lot that's changed about transportation generally over the course of the past eight months, and that stuff's got to get baked into the way people model what this would mean and how it would work going forward for them," Baker said Wednesday.

In December 2019, TCI states released their own study that estimated the cap-and-trade program would add between 5 cents and 17 cents to the price of a gallon of gasoline depending on whether the coalition set a target of a 20 percent, 22 percent or 25 percent reduction in emissions by 2032.

The CSPA study, however, calculated that under the middle emission reduction scenario of 22 percent TCI would most likely add 24 cents to the price of gas at the pump and generate $775 million for Massachusetts to invest in clean energy and public health.

If the economy stagnates due to the pandemic, the Tufts report estimated that the price increase would decrease to 13 cents, but the state would also collect just $406 million.

The greatest cost to consumers would arise if the states pursued a 25 percent reduction in emissions by 2032 and the economy rebounds and continues to grow at a moderate clip. While the pump price could increase 38 cents under such a scenario, a lot will also depend on whether the states decide to set a price ceiling and how the revenues are invested by states, the report found.

"How the money is spent really matters," said Evan Horowitz, director of the Center for State Policy Analysis.

Critics have pointed to the higher prices consumers will pay that will hit low-income and rural residents the hardest, but supporters have pointed out how revenues to the state can be reinvested in underserved communities that have been harmed by air pollution and other environmental hazards.

The reports notes that the environmental benefits of TCI will depend on whether states use the money to supplement existing spending on public health and climate change mitigation, or simply replace existing sources of revenue with TCI money and redirect new spending elsewhere.

The higher price estimates in the Tufts study stem, in part, from researchers' assumption that carbon emissions will decline without intervention at a slower rate than that projected by those with the TCI coalition, Horowitz said.

While TCI estimates that emissions will decline between 6 percent and 19 percent without a cap-and-trade program, the Tufts study believes those carbon reductions will be closer to 14.2 percent over the decade from 2022 to 2032.

The lower natural rate reduction means state policies will have to bridge a wider gap to meet emission targets, driving up the price of carbon allowances and fuel.

The study also warned that the coalition's decision to implement a price cap, which would serve to limit increases in fuel prices, will impact its ability to achieve emission reduction targets.

"There is a straight tradeoff. If you set a price cap, you do not reach your emission targets," Horowitz said.

The Transportation Climate Initiative started as a collaboration between 12 states and the District of Columbia, but the politics of carbon taxing and the possibility of higher consumer prices pushed New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu last year to withdraw.

The remaining states were due to release a memorandum of understanding with the final framework for the cap-and-trade program this spring, but the pandemic caused the states to adjust that timeline. The group now anticipates a final MOU before the end of the year for states that want to participate to sign.

In Massachusetts, Gov. Baker has the authority to enter into a multi-state carbon reduction pact on his own, but other governors will need to seek Legislative approval.

"You know, the biggest thing we've been doing, and this has been done in conjunction with the other states that have been part of this dialogue, is reprogramming some of the data around modeling the impact, because we're living at a point in time now that's dramatically different from the point in time we were living in when people's expectations about miles traveled and all the rest were a lot different than they are today," Baker said on Tuesday.

"And that modeling, I think, is an important part of figuring out how people feel about the cost-benefit that's associated with the program and the product, and it's certainly something that we think is an important part of helping states make decisions on this," he concluded.

Emissions from transportation account for about 43 percent of all carbon pollution in the region, according to TCI. Baker has set a goal of moving Massachusetts to net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.


CommonWealth Magazine
Thursday, November 19, 2020
Climate initiative could push gas prices higher than forecast
Analysis projects increase of between 13 and 24 cents a gallon
By Bruce Mohl


A regional effort led by Gov. Charlie Baker to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by putting a price on the carbon in vehicle fuels is likely to drive up the price of gasoline higher than earlier projected, according to a report by the Center for State Policy Analysis at Tufts University.

Under the so-called transportation climate initiative, participating states would set a limit on total carbon emissions from vehicle fuels and then sell rights to market gas and diesel fuel equal to that amount. The center’s analysis assumes the cost of those rights would be incorporated into the price of gasoline and the revenues gained would be used by states to reduce emissions further.

Assuming moderate growth in the economy, the center’s analysis estimates the price of gasoline would rise 24 cents a gallon in 2022 if the goal is to reduce emissions by 22 percent. The increase would be 13 cents a gallon to attain the same result under a low-growth scenario.

Both estimates are higher than numbers modeled by the coalition of states exploring the so-called transportation climate initiative. The coalition estimated a 22 percent emissions reduction would drive up the price of gasoline by 9 cents a gallon in 2022.

The Center for State Policy Analysis said the numbers differ because the two approaches use different estimates for how much emissions will drop on their own as more and more drivers purchase electric vehicles or vehicles achieving better gas mileage. The transportation climate initiative earlier this year projected emissions would drop 19 percent between 2022 and 2032, well above estimates made by the center, which projected emissions would fall 14.2 percent under a moderate growth scenario and 17.5 percent under a low-growth scenario.

The center’s analysis differs from the projections used by the transportation climate initiative in another key respect – the center modeled how revenues gained from the sale of carbon would be spent using California’s real-life results as a guide while the transportation climate initiative modeled their estimate on a basket of initiatives.

The center’s analysis estimates the sale of carbon rights would generate $775 million for Massachusetts in 2022 under the moderate-growth scenario, $406 million under the low-growth scenario.

Actual gas prices and emission results could be lower, the center said, if the transportation climate initiative caps how much gasoline prices could rise. If prices rise above the cap, the states could sell more emissions allowances to drive down prices, which would have the impact of increasing emissions.

States are expected to decide this year whether they want to participate in the transportation climate initiative and then next year fully design the program if they choose to proceed. The program has been slated to start in 2022.

Baker has been a strong advocate of the transportation climate initiative, but earlier this week he said circumstances have changed considerably since it was first proposed last year. “We’re living at a point in time right now that’s dramatically different than the point in time we were living in when people’s expectations about miles traveled and all the rest were a lot different,” Baker said Tuesday during a press conference at the State House, according to the Boston Herald.


The New Boston Post
Thursday, November 19, 2020
New Study Shows Transportation and Climate Initiative
Could Bump Gas Prices Up 38 Cents Per Gallon By 2022
By Tom Joyce


How much would the Transportation and Climate Initiative carbon fee on fuel cost Bay Staters at the pump?

A new report suggests more than previously thought.

Initial estimates said the TCI could add five to 17 cents per gallon onto the cost of gasoline and diesel. That figure came from a study conducted by the 12 states plus the District of Columbia eyed as partners in the initiative, which is billed as combating climate change.

However, The Center for State Policy Analysis (CSPA) at Tufts University says the actual cost increase could be more than double that.

A recent study found that by 2022, the carbon fee could increase the cost of gas and diesel by 38 cents per gallon if enacted.

It’s a price the National Federation for Independent Business Massachusetts and the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance say is too high for Bay Staters.

Both organizations have opposed the TCI since last year — back when the worst-case-scenario was thought to be less than half of the cost Tufts projected.

Christopher Carlozzi, the Massachusetts State Director of the National Federation of Independent Businesses, said the higher cost once again shows the negative consequences of the proposal.

“The notion of adding 17 cents a gallon in TCI taxes to fuel costs was frightening enough, but a whopping 38 cents would be outright devastating,” Carlozzi told New Boston Post in an email message. “Massachusetts small businesses have faced every hurdle and obstacle imaginable in 2020 and this is certainly not the time to dramatically increase the price of fuel. If the cost of gasoline and diesel increases, it means the price of goods and services will rise as well. New TCI taxes won’t just impact small businesses attempting to recover from the pandemic but also hurts those commuters and working families who were forced to tighten their household budgets too.”

Paul Craney, spokesman for the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, said the fuel fee would disproportionately affect lower-income Massachusetts residents.

“TCI has always been an elitist regressive gas tax scheme and the ultimate winners would be unelected bureaucratic from MA,” Craney told New Boston Post in an email message. “They would take money away from working people to subsidize electric vehicles, the vehicle of choice of the affluent. Today’s study by CSPA shows the scheme comes at a very high economic cost, and a similar study by the Beacon Hill Institute showed it has almost no environmental benefit.

“The Reason Foundation released their annual highway report today, and found that Massachusetts’s highway system ranks 47 in the nation in overall cost-effectiveness and condition,” he added. “This is a one-spot decline from 2019. It’s clear the TCI scheme would subside MA transportation spending by other states considering joining the scheme.”

Craney said the state government should spend its highway and infrastructure dollars more efficiently rather than extracting more money from the taxpayers.

Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker supports the TCI initiative but has backed off pursuing it in recent months amid the coronavirus pandemic.

“I’m still very much a fan, but as I said yesterday in answer to another question, there’s a lot that’s changed about transportation generally over the course of the past eight months, and that stuff’s got to get baked into the way people model what this would mean and how it would work going forward for them,” Baker told State House News Service on Wednesday.

The proposed pact would have states charge fees to fuel providers based on carbon emissions. That funding would then go to funding public transportation; the idea behind it is to reduce the number of cars on the road and therefore reduce carbon emissions.

Although Baker remains a supporter of it, other New England governors have expressed skepticism, including Republicans Phil Scott of Vermont and Chris Sununu of New Hampshire as well as Democrats Ned Lamont of Connecticut and Janet Mills of Maine, as New Boston Post has previously reported.


The Boston Herald
Monday, November 23, 2020
Poll shows strong support for Charlie Baker re-evaluating TCI climate tax
By Joe Dwinell


There appears to be widespread support for Gov. Charlie Baker’s desire to tap the brakes on the multi-state TCI carbon tax, a new poll shows.

The Fiscal Alliance Foundation poll released Monday morning shows a majority of Massachusetts residents surveyed back Baker’s move to re-evaluate support for the program. The poll shows 66.8% support for taking another look at the gas tax.

“People are skittish,” said pollster Jim Eltringham. “People are looking for answers to climate change, but smart answers.”

As the Herald first reported, Baker said analysts are examining the costs and benefits of the program in an era where travel patterns have shifted as many people work from home amid the coronavirus pandemic.

Baker’s comments came the same day that more than a dozen Massachusetts environmental, health and transportation groups joined 200 organizations to renew calls in a letter to Northeast governors — including Baker — to launch the ambitious Transportation and Climate Initiative program.

The letter lays out “strong safeguards and guarantees for overburdened and underserved communities,” which would become key beneficiaries of the proposed Transportation and Climate Initiative cap-and-invest program to modernize transportation in the region. Last week the MBTA announced a set of sweeping cuts to the state’s regional rapid transit system.

But the MassFiscal poll shows Democrats (60%), Republicans (75%) and independents (69%) all back Baker’s shift to the slow lane with TCI. The poll of 500 likely Massachusetts voters was taken Thursday, Friday and Saturday by Advantage Inc, a polling company in the Washington, D.C. area.

“He’s getting strong majorities for his re-thinking of TCI,” said MassFiscal spokesman Paul Diego Craney.

“A majority of likely voters are strongly against TCI knowing it will impact ‘essential’ workers the most—people who cannot simply ‘Zoom’ into work, but must continue to drive,” Craney added when announcing the results of the poll Monday.

Baker repeated his concerns Monday at a coronavirus daily update saying, again, it’s “important to re-examine the assumptions” of the TCI tax “based on the changing nature of transportation.”

The Transportation Climate Initiative is a regional compact being between 11 Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states that would implement a gas fee to reduce carbon emissions. Officials have estimated the measure would raise gas prices between 5 and 17 cents a gallon in the first year but it remains unclear how high that cost could rise in subsequent years. An agreement is expected by the year’s end, but support is waffling.

Governors in New Hampshire, Connecticut and Vermont have already cast a shadow on the plan.


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