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CLT UPDATE
Sunday, March 15, 2020

The spreading Beacon Hill Tax-and-Spend epidemic

Jump directly to CLT's Commentary on the News


Just last week, in addition to the coronavirus, the State House was abuzz with talk about gas tax hikes and sports betting. Now there are no games to bet on, and debate over raising taxes to invest in transportation seem like a distant memory....

The branches did team up with few lawmakers in attendance (which isn't out of the ordinary for an informal session) to pass a $15 million coronavirus aid package for the Baker administration to support DPH and local boards of health as they respond to the outbreak.

State House News Service
Friday, March 13, 2020
Weekly Roundup - Postponed Indefinitely


Legislative Direction: House Speaker Robert DeLeo and Senate President Karen Spilka this week focused primarily on trimming the number of staffers reporting to the State House and studying novel ways to facilitate committee activity and the work of the House and Senate. For now, it appears legislative leaders are trying to advance bills during lightly attended informal sessions, where bills are often able to receive the unanimous consent of the few in attendance.

What's less clear is how and when the Legislature will address bills that stir up difference and require debate and recorded votes, which may only happen during formal sessions. Chief among those bills is the state budget, and on that front, time is on the House's side, at least at this point, as that bill usually surfaces in mid-April.

State House News Service
Friday, March 13, 2020
Advances - Week of March 15, 2020


The Joint Ways and Means Committee has indefinitely postponed the two remaining fiscal year 2021 budget hearings, which had been scheduled for the next two weeks, in response to the ongoing COVID-19 outbreak.

A note from top aides to House Chairman Rep. Aaron Michlewitz and Senate Chairman Sen. Michael Rodrigues informed committee members that the hearings scheduled for Monday, March 16 in East Brookfield and Tuesday, March 24 at the State House have been "postponed until further notice." ...

The Joint Ways and Means Committee said it will keep members "informed concerning future next steps."

The committee has held six fiscal 2021 budget hearings, and its tradition is to allow the general public to testify last....

Rodrigues said in a Wednesday interview that the joint committee would ask anyone who planned to testify at the postponed hearings to submit their materials in writing. He also said the Senate Ways and Means Committee would conduct its meetings by teleconference "for the time being."

The Senate is still aiming to produce its budget for debate in May he said. Asked if lawmakers could wind up using only written testimony and never reschedule the delayed hearings before they reach that point, Rodrigues replied, "Anything is possible."

State House News Service
Wednesday, March 11, 2020
Hearing for Public to Testify on State Budget Postponed Indefinitely


Most Democrats in the Massachusetts House of Representatives want to increase fuel taxes in Massachusetts, but they will be met with opposition.

The House voted 113-40 last week for a measure that would raise the state’s gas tax from 24 to 29 cents per gallon and its diesel tax from 24 to 33 cents per gallon. That’s a 21 percent increase in the gas tax and a 37.5 percent increase in the diesel tax.

No Republicans voted in favor of the proposal....

Opponents say it would [affect] everyone who drives and increase prices – which would particularly hurt poor people.

Whitman Republican Geoff Diehl, a former state representative and U.S. Senate candidate who was elected to the State Republican Committee last week for the Second Plymouth & Bristol District, ripped the proposal.

When he was in the state Legislature, Diehl teamed with fellow GOP state representatives Shaunna O’Connell (now the mayor of Taunton) and Jim Lyons (now the chairman of the Massachusetts Republican Party) to lead a successful statewide referendum repealing a law passed by the state Legislature that sought to index the gas tax to inflation, thus leading to automatic increases that state legislators wouldn’t need to approve with a roll call vote.

“Now that we’re all out of the legislature, it seems like now the legislators on Beacon Hill are looking at it as an opportunity to raise the tax with token opposition to run with it again,” Diehl told New Boston Post at an event in East Bridgewater last week.

“The good news is it’s unlikely that the governor will support it and the people out there who fought this when it was a ballot question are willing to go to bat again and repeal it if we have to,” he added. “I think they’re making a mistake in thinking that there’s no opposition to their attempt to go back to take the money we said they’re not accountable for.” ...

The proposal would raise taxes somewhere between $522 million and $612 million annually in the Bay State, according to the bill.

The Massachusetts Senate has not yet taken action on the bill. The Senate tends to be more left-leaning than the House.

Baker told reporters last week that he would veto the legislation if it reaches his desk.

While the margin in the House, if it stands, is veto-proof, Democratic legislative leaders usually try to avoid overriding the governor and often prefer instead to work out a deal with him in advance.

The New Boston Post
Monday, March 9, 2020
Proposed Fuel Tax Increases for Massachusetts
Not in Working Class’s Best Interests, Critics Say


A new study conducted by opponents of a regional cap-and-trade program for vehicle emissions found that assumptions made by Transportation and Climate Initiative states about the impact on the price of gas were greatly underestimated, and the program could increase the price of a gallon of gas by 26 cents.

The Beacon Hill Institute and the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance Foundation released the study Tuesday.

The groups said that if TCI comes to fruition the cost of a gallon of gas in participating states could increase between 18 cents and 26 cents. That exceeds the 5-to-17-cent estimate made by the coalition late last year.

The study, done by the Beacon Hill Institute, also concluded that if TCI states pursue a 25 percent reduction in emissions - the most aggressive path under consideration - Massachusetts would lose 9,600 private sector jobs in the first year, and households will face an added annual expense of $738, taking roughly $932 million out of the economy.

State House News Service
Tuesday, March 10, 2020
Study: Gas Price Impacts from TCI Underestimated


Gas prices could surge even higher under the Transportation Climate Initiative than originally estimated, a new study shows, costing families an average of at least $738 more a year.

“The people who are really going to be hit hard as a result of this are people who are driving into Boston every day, day-to-day workers, people driving for Uber, Lyft for work. They’re going to see dramatic increases,” study author William Burke said. “I think our estimates are even optimistic compared to what could actually happen.”

Gov. Charlie Baker has been pushing the multi-state compact despite balking by neighboring states like New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont. His administration insists the fees are not a tax, though critics say the jacked up fees have the same effect....

Prices could rise by up to 26 cents per gallon, according to the study conducted by the Beacon Hill Institute and commissioned by the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance. The new numbers contradict an estimated 17 cent-per-gallon boost from officials back in December to reach a 25 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions....

MassFiscal Alliance spokesman Paul Craney argued that under TCI’s most aggressive plan, the global greenhouse gas reductions would account for 0.00090 percent by 2022 and 0.00083 percent by 2026.

“The cost associated with TCI is magnitudes larger than previously reported,” Craney said. “This would have a significant impact for consumers with virtually no environmental benefit.”

The Boston Herald
Tuesday, March 10, 2020
TCI gas price increase is higher than reported, new study shows


The cost of the Transportation and Climate Initiative fuel fee may be 50 percent higher than initial estimates, a new study this week reports.

The initiative is a 12-state pact of New England and Mid-Atlantic states that have expressed openness to charging fees to fuel providers based on their carbon emissions. The funding is supposed to be targeted for public transportation, with the idea of decreasing the number of cars on the road and therefore decreasing emissions.

The new study, commissioned by the Fiscal Alliance Foundation and conducted by William Burke and David G. Tuerck of The Beacon Hill Institute, concluded it would take a fuel tax much higher than 17 cents per gallon to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 25 percent – which is the number announced by supporters in December 2019.

Instead, the newly released study found that the gasoline tax would have to increase by 26 cents per gallon and the diesel tax by 52 cents per gallon. That would impose an average increased burden on Massachusetts families of $738 a year and eliminate 9,667 private sector jobs in the Bay State, according to the study.

Overall, the study found the fuel increases would reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by 0.0009 percent in 2022 and 0.00083 percent in 2026....

Typical projections for the Transportation and Climate Initiative take into account measures already taken by states to reduce their emissions by 19 percent. Therefore, cost projections in the past showed what it would cost to reduce emissions by six percentage points to get to 25 percent reductions — not a 25 percent emission decrease from the Transportation and Climate Initiative itself, which is what the initiative aims to deliver.

“What the study found here is truly astounding,” Fiscal Alliance Foundation spokesman Paul Craney said in a statement. “The cost associated with TCI is magnitudes larger than previously reported. For the first time, we now know how many private sector jobs would be lost, and the increase in taxes it would cost every Massachusetts family.”

“The most appalling fact that’s been missing by TCI is the price on diesel costs,” Craney added. “Now we know a price and it will come with a high cost, which will negatively impact commerce and the transportation of almost all goods in Massachusetts. This would have a significant impact for consumers with virtually no environmental benefit.” ...

William Burke, the director of research at The Beacon Hill Institute, said poor people would be hit especially hard.

“TCI is a hidden gasoline tax that is going to directly impact the average Massachusetts household disposable income,” Burke told New Boston Post in an email message. “Gasoline taxes are regressive and lower income households especially will be the ones who are most adversely affected under TCI. When the prices of gasoline and diesel are increased by this magnitude, there will be a considerable shrinkage in economic activity across the state.”

Christopher Carlozzi, the state director for the National Federation of Independent Business-Massachusetts, said the projections show how bad the Transportation and Climate Initiative would be for small business owners.

“The new report shows it would cost an additional 26 cents a gallon, meaning a small business owner filling-up their pickup truck would pay an additional $5.20 to $10.40, depending on the size of the fuel tank — not to mention fueling mowers or heavy equipment,” he told New Boston Post in an email message. “That’s a big hit to a small business owner’s bottom line and every driver’s wallet.

“Many small businesses depend on fuel to conduct business, and they will have to raise the price of the goods and services they provide,” he added. “That will increase consumer costs and make Massachusetts much less competitive with neighboring states and likely damage the state’s economy.”

The New Boston Post
Thursday, March 12, 2020
Gas Price Up 26 Cents A Gallon in Massachusetts?
Carbon-Emissions Fuel Fee A Lot More Expensive
Than Originally Thought, New Study Finds


With a cap on emissions from the final consumption of finished gasoline and on-road diesel, the price of both products will increase. Essentially, TCI imposes a hidden tax on both fuels.

Motor fuels such as gasoline and diesel are vital components of economic activity. Everything from the price of groceries to local tourism is impacted by the price of motor fuels. Gasoline taxes are regressive in nature insofar as lower income households spend larger portions of their income on gasoline....

Motor fuels such as gasoline and diesel are vital components of economic activity. Everything from the price of groceries to local tourism is impacted by the price of motor fuels. Gasoline taxes are regressive in nature insofar as lower income households spend larger portions of their income on gasoline.

The Fiscal Alliance Foundation commissioned the Beacon Hill Institute to study the economic impact that TCI would actually have on our state economy, including the upfront costs average residents will see. The study found that emission caps as stringent as those proposed under TCI could increase the price of finished gasoline by as much as 26 cents per gallon and increase the price of on-road diesel by as much as 52 cents per gallon....

While being a climate leader is considered important, the massive costs incurred by taxpayers under the Initiative will do little to reverse or slow anthropogenic climate change caused by greenhouse gas emissions.

CommonWealth Magazine
Tuesday, March 10, 2020
TCI: Meager benefits, high costs
Beacon Hill Institute study flags concerns


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

The week ahead will bring more of the unknown and continuing updates on the virus fight. Here's some themes to watch:

. . . House Speaker Robert DeLeo and Senate President Karen Spilka this week focused primarily on trimming the number of staffers reporting to the State House and studying novel ways to facilitate committee activity and the work of the House and Senate. For now, it appears legislative leaders are trying to advance bills during lightly attended informal sessions, where bills are often able to receive the unanimous consent of the few in attendance.

What's less clear is how and when the Legislature will address bills that stir up difference and require debate and recorded votes, which may only happen during formal sessions. Chief among those bills is the state budget, and on that front, time is on the House's side, at least at this point, as that bill usually surfaces in mid-April.

State House News Service
Friday, March 13, 2020
Advances - Week of March 15, 2020

The Joint Ways and Means Committee has indefinitely postponed the two remaining fiscal year 2021 budget hearings, which had been scheduled for the next two weeks, in response to the ongoing COVID-19 outbreak.

A note from top aides to House Chairman Rep. Aaron Michlewitz and Senate Chairman Sen. Michael Rodrigues informed committee members that the hearings scheduled for Monday, March 16 in East Brookfield and Tuesday, March 24 at the State House have been "postponed until further notice." ...

Rodrigues said in a Wednesday interview that the joint committee would ask anyone who planned to testify at the postponed hearings to submit their materials in writing. He also said the Senate Ways and Means Committee would conduct its meetings by teleconference "for the time being."

The Senate is still aiming to produce its budget for debate in May he said. Asked if lawmakers could wind up using only written testimony and never reschedule the delayed hearings before they reach that point, Rodrigues replied, "Anything is possible."

State House News Service
Wednesday, March 11, 2020
Hearing for Public to Testify on State Budget Postponed Indefinitely

There was very little state political news this week that wasn't related to the mounting health crisis; the Wuhan/China/Covid-19/Coronovirus pandemic that's sweeping the state, the nation, and the world.  I couldn't help but recall that old supposed Chinese curse, "May you live in interesting times."  One way or another, China certainly has delivered on that worldwide.

One nugget of taxpayer-related news this week concerned "Baker's Boondoggle," his Transportation Climate Initiative (TCI).  A new report was released by Beacon Hill Institute and Mass. Fiscal Foundation that dramatically undercut its alleged costs and benefits.  The Boston Herald reported on release of "The Transportation Climate Initiative: Its Economic Impacts on Massachusetts":

Gas prices could surge even higher under the Transportation Climate Initiative than originally estimated, a new study shows, costing families an average of at least $738 more a year. . . . Prices could rise by up to 26 cents per gallon, according to the study conducted by the Beacon Hill Institute and commissioned by the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance.  The new numbers contradict an estimated 17 cent-per-gallon boost from officials back in December to reach a 25 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.

The Boston Post added:

The cost of the Transportation and Climate Initiative fuel fee may be 50 percent higher than initial estimates, a new study this week reports.

Instead, the newly released study found that the gasoline tax would have to increase by 26 cents per gallon and the diesel tax by 52 cents per gallon.  That would impose an average increased burden on Massachusetts families of $738 a year and eliminate 9,667 private sector jobs in the Bay State, according to the study.

Overall, the study found the fuel increases would reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by 0.0009 percent in 2022 and 0.00083 percent in 2026.

Not to be outdone, proponents quickly countered with issuing a letter, "100 US Companies, Investors Throw Weight Behind Transportation and Climate Initiative."  This is part of an umbrella group network called Ceres.  According to its website, "Ceres is a sustainability nonprofit organization working with the most influential investors and companies to build leadership and drive solutions throughout the economy," with headquarters in Boston and San Francisco.  (My goodness, where else would it be based?)

The "100 US Companies, Investors" letter opens with:

"A diverse group of investors, companies and organizations across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic US are urging the region’s governors to adopt the TCI — what they’re calling a ‘once-in-a-generation opportunity.’"

●  On Beacon Hill the House of Representatives on March 4 passed its 5 cents per gallon gas tax hike (9 cents per gallon on diesel fuel).  Its transportation revenue bill now sits in the state Senate awaiting its action.

●  TCI would add an additional 26 cents per gallon to that, bringing the total gas tax hikes to 31 cents a gallon.

●  The current state gas tax of 24 cents per gallon would leap to a total gas tax of 55 cents per gallon.  That's more than a doubling of the gas tax motorists now pay!

But what do legislators care how much they over-burden their constituents?  They don't pay the gas tax.  They don't pay for their gas at all taxpayers pay for it for them!  As Boston Herald writer Hillary Chabot noted in her March 8 column ("Gas tax for thee, per diem for me"):

If [the gas tax hike is] approved, the new charges will push the commonwealth’s hand deeper into the pockets of Massachusetts motorists who have to pay for their own ride to and from work.  State legislators, however, are able to tap into a taxpayer-funded annual stipend of $16,248 to pay for their commute if they live within 50 miles of the State House and $21,664 if they live farther away.

I expect that after some chaos and certainly much inconvenience we will survive the Wuhan/Coronovirus pandemic; a vaccine against it will soon be developed and become available.

But can taxpayers survive the spreading Beacon Hill Tax-and-Spend epidemic?

Chip Ford
Executive Director


 

State House News Service
Friday, March 13, 2020
Weekly Roundup - Postponed Indefinitely
By Matt Murphy
[Excerpts]

Not only is the administration attempting to stay ahead of the coronavirus spread and give guidance to government and private employers on how to proceed, Baker is also grappling with a national failing of adequate COVID-19 testing capacity and the long-term reality that the Department of Public Health's State Laboratory will not be able to keep up with the demand for much longer, if they even are now....

Just last week, in addition to the coronavirus, the State House was abuzz with talk about gas tax hikes and sports betting. Now there are no games to bet on, and debate over raising taxes to invest in transportation seem like a distant memory.

With all of this going on, Secretary of State William Galvin tried to launch the state's 2020 Census efforts on Thursday as residents began to hear from the U.S. Census Bureau about making sure they get counted.

Galvin described himself as a convert to the idea that the online Census option for residents will become invaluable, particularly as people start working from home, if they can. The Brighton Democrat estimated that 6.9 million people now live in Massachusetts, which would be a 6 percent uptick from 2010 and enough to stave off the loss of another Congressional seat....

While Census takers will have to adapt to counting people in the midst of a viral pandemic, Galvin also wants some flexibility to adapt to situations on the ground, seeking to refile legislation that would allow him to move polling locations, alter deadlines and outright postpone elections if an emergency warranted such a step....

It's difficult to predict where that legislative effort will go with House Speaker Robert DeLeo and Senate President Karen Spilka urging committees to reschedule public hearings, and still contemplating how to even legislate remotely.

The branches did team up with few lawmakers in attendance (which isn't out of the ordinary for an informal session) to pass a $15 million coronavirus aid package for the Baker administration to support DPH and local boards of health as they respond to the outbreak.

The White House and the state's Congressional delegation also said Massachusetts would be receiving $11.65 million from the $8.3 billion aid package signed by President Trump last week. Another major federal bill to respond to the pandemic is in the works.


State House News Service
Friday, March 13, 2020
Advances - Week of March 15, 2020
[Excerpts]

The quiet halls of government buildings and offices, empty campuses and the quiet skies and open roads belie the tumult the virus is actually causing. Impacts on the jobs, state revenues and family budgets, the tourism and higher education sectors, and high-stakes campaigns like the presidential race and the Joe Kennedy-Ed Markey U.S. Senate primary are only just beginning to come into focus. The virus causes mild flu symptoms in most people, and data shows most of those who are infected are recovering, but the death toll globally has surpassed 4,600 and the highly contagious disease is proving lethal to some older people and those with underlying medical conditions.

Baker on Thursday night unilaterally modified the open meeting law to facilitate remote participation as long as government boards use technology to make those meetings accessible. Public agencies are investing in technologies that facilitate virtual meetings, which is what's required at the moment just to get by in state government. The week ahead will bring more of the unknown and continuing updates on the virus fight. Here's some themes to watch: ...

-- Legislative Direction: House Speaker Robert DeLeo and Senate President Karen Spilka this week focused primarily on trimming the number of staffers reporting to the State House and studying novel ways to facilitate committee activity and the work of the House and Senate. For now, it appears legislative leaders are trying to advance bills during lightly attended informal sessions, where bills are often able to receive the unanimous consent of the few in attendance.

What's less clear is how and when the Legislature will address bills that stir up difference and require debate and recorded votes, which may only happen during formal sessions. Chief among those bills is the state budget, and on that front, time is on the House's side, at least at this point, as that bill usually surfaces in mid-April.


State House News Service
Wednesday, March 11, 2020
Hearing for Public to Testify on State Budget Postponed Indefinitely
By Colin A. Young and Chris Lisinski

The Joint Ways and Means Committee has indefinitely postponed the two remaining fiscal year 2021 budget hearings, which had been scheduled for the next two weeks, in response to the ongoing COVID-19 outbreak.

A note from top aides to House Chairman Rep. Aaron Michlewitz and Senate Chairman Sen. Michael Rodrigues informed committee members that the hearings scheduled for Monday, March 16 in East Brookfield and Tuesday, March 24 at the State House have been "postponed until further notice."

The East Brookfield hearing would have given lawmakers who write the annual state budget the chance to hear from public safety agency and department heads, and the hearing at the State House was the only opportunity for the general public to weigh in before the House and Senate each roll out their own budget plans.

The Joint Ways and Means Committee said it will keep members "informed concerning future next steps."

The committee has held six fiscal 2021 budget hearings, and its tradition is to allow the general public to testify last.

On Tuesday, Gov. Charlie Baker declared a state of emergency and imposed broad restrictions on executive branch employees. He also suggested that "large gatherings are probably not a great idea" and urged people to work remotely, if possible.

Rodrigues said in a Wednesday interview that the joint committee would ask anyone who planned to testify at the postponed hearings to submit their materials in writing. He also said the Senate Ways and Means Committee would conduct its meetings by teleconference "for the time being."

The Senate is still aiming to produce its budget for debate in May he said. Asked if lawmakers could wind up using only written testimony and never reschedule the delayed hearings before they reach that point, Rodrigues replied, "Anything is possible."

"This is new and unique, the first time we've experienced this type of public health emergency," Rodrigues told the News Service after a Wednesday caucus. "It is important that we fulfill our constitutional requirement and do the people's business but do so in a responsible manner."

Also Wednesday, the Mass. Gaming Commission announced that its Thursday meeting will take place as scheduled, but that external participants -- like representatives of the state's casinos -- will take part in the meeting via conference call. The commission said those interested in attending the meeting "are strongly encouraged to take advantage of remote access" like the commission's livestream.


The Boston Herald
Tuesday, March 10, 2020
TCI gas price increase is higher than reported, new study shows
By Mary Markos

Gas prices could surge even higher under the Transportation Climate Initiative than originally estimated, a new study shows, costing families an average of at least $738 more a year.

“The people who are really going to be hit hard as a result of this are people who are driving into Boston every day, day-to-day workers, people driving for Uber, Lyft for work. They’re going to see dramatic increases,” study author William Burke said. “I think our estimates are even optimistic compared to what could actually happen.”

Gov. Charlie Baker has been pushing the multi-state compact despite balking by neighboring states like New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont. His administration insists the fees are not a tax, though critics say the jacked up fees have the same effect.

“Governor Baker opposes raising the gas tax and is pursuing a regional transportation and climate initiative to invest in public transportation, reduce emissions and cut congestion,” a Baker administration statement said.

Prices could rise by up to 26 cents per gallon, according to the study conducted by the Beacon Hill Institute and commissioned by the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance. The new numbers contradict an estimated 17 cent-per-gallon boost from officials back in December to reach a 25 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.

The cost of diesel fuel could also increase by 52 cents per gallon, according to Burke, the director of research at BHI, which estimates 9,667 private sector jobs could be lost in Massachusetts.

“Businesses are definitely going to see a sharp increase in price,” Burke said.

State Rep. Alyson Sullivan, R-Abington, said, “I’ve spoken to many constituents in my district who own small businesses, who go to small businesses and contribute to the local community.

“They are very concerned about this TCI gas tax because it’s not only going to affect the businesses, but the consumers as well,” Sullivan said. “There’s just going to be a ripple affect that we’re very much concerned about.”

“This is going to once again establish Massachusetts as Taxachusetts,” said state Rep. David DeCoste, R-Norwell. “I think it’s bad policy.”

MassFiscal Alliance spokesman Paul Craney argued that under TCI’s most aggressive plan, the global greenhouse gas reductions would account for 0.00090 percent by 2022 and 0.00083 percent by 2026.

“The cost associated with TCI is magnitudes larger than previously reported,” Craney said. “This would have a significant impact for consumers with virtually no environmental benefit.”


The New Boston Post
Monday, March 9, 2020
Proposed Fuel Tax Increases for Massachusetts
Not in Working Class’s Best Interests, Critics Say
By Tom Joyce

Most Democrats in the Massachusetts House of Representatives want to increase fuel taxes in Massachusetts, but they will be met with opposition.

The House voted 113-40 last week for a measure that would raise the state’s gas tax from 24 to 29 cents per gallon and its diesel tax from 24 to 33 cents per gallon. That’s a 21 percent increase in the gas tax and a 37.5 percent increase in the diesel tax. (It’s Massachusetts House Bill 4058, An Act Relative To Transportation Finance.)

No Republicans voted in favor of the proposal.

Supporters say a gas tax increase is needed to improve roads and bridges – as well as mass transit, which they say would reduce carbon emissions.

“We know there is a significant need for transportation revenue, and this package delivers it,” Massachusetts House Speaker Robert DeLeo (D-Winthrop) said in a written statement last week.

Opponents say it would [affect] everyone who drives and increase prices – which would particularly hurt poor people.

Whitman Republican Geoff Diehl, a former state representative and U.S. Senate candidate who was elected to the State Republican Committee last week for the Second Plymouth & Bristol District, ripped the proposal.

When he was in the state Legislature, Diehl teamed with fellow GOP state representatives Shaunna O’Connell (now the mayor of Taunton) and Jim Lyons (now the chairman of the Massachusetts Republican Party) to lead a successful statewide referendum repealing a law passed by the state Legislature that sought to index the gas tax to inflation, thus leading to automatic increases that state legislators wouldn’t need to approve with a roll call vote.

“Now that we’re all out of the legislature, it seems like now the legislators on Beacon Hill are looking at it as an opportunity to raise the tax with token opposition to run with it again,” Diehl told New Boston Post at an event in East Bridgewater last week.

“The good news is it’s unlikely that the governor will support it and the people out there who fought this when it was a ballot question are willing to go to bat again and repeal it if we have to,” he added. “I think they’re making a mistake in thinking that there’s no opposition to their attempt to go back to take the money we said they’re not accountable for.”

Paul Craney, executive director of the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, called the proposed fuel tax increases “regressive tax schemes” and argued they have the most impact on the poor.

“Speaker DeLeo’s gas tax hike will come out of the earnings of the hard-working taxpayers who rely on their vehicle to get to work, run errands, and operate a business,” Craney said in a written statement. “Instead of looking at how to spend taxpayer’s money more wisely, Speaker DeLeo added an additional cost onto the backs of the state’s already very generous taxpayers.”

Christopher Carlozzi, the state director for the National Federation of Independent Business-Massachusetts, also opposes the proposed fuel tax increases.

He told New Boston Post that if combined with the proposed Transportation and Climate Initiative (supported by Governor Charlie Baker, a Republican) that could raise gas and diesel taxes by 17 cents per gallon, the impact would be especially negative.

“When fuel costs increase for small businesses, it means the price tag of goods and services will rise too,” Carlozzi said in an email message. “Fuel tax hikes result in less money for small businesses to create jobs and less money in consumers’ wallets.”

The bill would also increase the fees on ride-hailing services like Uber and Lyft. The proposal would increase the fee by 20 cents, to $1.20 per ride on standard non-shared rides – a 20 percent increase over the current $1 fee.

On luxury rides, the fee would increase by $1.20 to $2.20 – an 83 percent increase.

In addition, the bill would end the sales tax exemption that rental car companies currently have when purchasing vehicles.

The proposal would raise taxes somewhere between $522 million and $612 million annually in the Bay State, according to the bill.

The Massachusetts Senate has not yet taken action on the bill. The Senate tends to be more left-leaning than the House.

Baker told reporters last week that he would veto the legislation if it reaches his desk.

While the margin in the House, if it stands, is veto-proof, Democratic legislative leaders usually try to avoid overriding the governor and often prefer instead to work out a deal with him in advance.


State House News Service
Tuesday, March 10, 2020
Study: Gas Price Impacts from TCI Underestimated
By Matt Murphy

A new study conducted by opponents of a regional cap-and-trade program for vehicle emissions found that assumptions made by Transportation and Climate Initiative states about the impact on the price of gas were greatly underestimated, and the program could increase the price of a gallon of gas by 26 cents.

The Beacon Hill Institute and the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance Foundation released the study Tuesday.

The groups said that if TCI comes to fruition the cost of a gallon of gas in participating states could increase between 18 cents and 26 cents. That exceeds the 5-to-17-cent estimate made by the coalition late last year.

The study, done by the Beacon Hill Institute, also concluded that if TCI states pursue a 25 percent reduction in emissions - the most aggressive path under consideration - Massachusetts would lose 9,600 private sector jobs in the first year, and households will face an added annual expense of $738, taking roughly $932 million out of the economy.

Reps. David DeCoste of Norwell and Alyson Sullivan of Abington, both Republicans, and Christopher Carlozzi of the National Federation of Independent Business joined with BHI and MassFiscal officials to release the report.

DeCoste said the state should be looking at strategies like increasing parking at MBTA stations to reduce carbon emissions. He also said he had a personal interest in how countries like Sweden and Japan were burning their trash for fuel.

Sullivan said she also supported Gov. Charlie Baker's proposal to give companies tax credits to encourage employees to work remotely.


The New Boston Post
Thursday, March 12, 2020
Gas Price Up 26 Cents A Gallon in Massachusetts?
Carbon-Emissions Fuel Fee A Lot More Expensive Than Originally Thought, New Study Finds
By Tom Joyce

The cost of the Transportation and Climate Initiative fuel fee may be 50 percent higher than initial estimates, a new study this week reports.

The initiative is a 12-state pact of New England and Mid-Atlantic states that have expressed openness to charging fees to fuel providers based on their carbon emissions. The funding is supposed to be targeted for public transportation, with the idea of decreasing the number of cars on the road and therefore decreasing emissions.

The new study, commissioned by the Fiscal Alliance Foundation and conducted by William Burke and David G. Tuerck of The Beacon Hill Institute, concluded it would take a fuel tax much higher than 17 cents per gallon to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 25 percent – which is the number announced by supporters in December 2019.

Instead, the newly released study found that the gasoline tax would have to increase by 26 cents per gallon and the diesel tax by 52 cents per gallon. That would impose an average increased burden on Massachusetts families of $738 a year and eliminate 9,667 private sector jobs in the Bay State, according to the study.

Overall, the study found the fuel increases would reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by 0.0009 percent in 2022 and 0.00083 percent in 2026.

Why the disparity?

According to the Fiscal Alliance Foundation, previous cost estimates have been based on a flawed assumption.

Typical projections for the Transportation and Climate Initiative take into account measures already taken by states to reduce their emissions by 19 percent. Therefore, cost projections in the past showed what it would cost to reduce emissions by six percentage points to get to 25 percent reductions — not a 25 percent emission decrease from the Transportation and Climate Initiative itself, which is what the initiative aims to deliver.

“What the study found here is truly astounding,” Fiscal Alliance Foundation spokesman Paul Craney said in a statement. “The cost associated with TCI is magnitudes larger than previously reported. For the first time, we now know how many private sector jobs would be lost, and the increase in taxes it would cost every Massachusetts family.”

“The most appalling fact that’s been missing by TCI is the price on diesel costs,” Craney added. “Now we know a price and it will come with a high cost, which will negatively impact commerce and the transportation of almost all goods in Massachusetts. This would have a significant impact for consumers with virtually no environmental benefit.”

The Transportation and Climate Initiative fuel fee has the support of Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker, a Republican, who has stuck by it even as the Republican governors of New Hampshire and Vermont and the Democratic governor of Connecticut have bailed on it because of the initial cost projection in December 2019.

New Boston Post contacted the Massachusetts Department of Transportation, a state agency, seeking comment about the higher cost estimates predicted by the Beacon Hill Institute study.

Jaquelyn Goddard, a spokesman for the state Department of Transportation, provided a written statement expressing support for the Transportation and Climate Initiative but not addressing the new study’s projection of higher-than-initially-reported fuel costs.

“Governor Baker is pursuing the Transportation and Climate Initiative as data shows it would be an effective tool to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from the transportation sector and because it has been met with a broad coalition of support from members of both the business and environmental communities who believe this initiative will further mitigate the impacts of climate change, protect the health of our residents, and build a more resilient, sustainable and equitable transportation system for the next generation,” Goddard said in the written statement.

Opponents of the fuel fee say the new cost estimates mean that what they consider a bad policy proposal is actually worse than it initially seemed.

William Burke, the director of research at The Beacon Hill Institute, said poor people would be hit especially hard.

“TCI is a hidden gasoline tax that is going to directly impact the average Massachusetts household disposable income,” Burke told New Boston Post in an email message. “Gasoline taxes are regressive and lower income households especially will be the ones who are most adversely affected under TCI. When the prices of gasoline and diesel are increased by this magnitude, there will be a considerable shrinkage in economic activity across the state.”

Christopher Carlozzi, the state director for the National Federation of Independent Business-Massachusetts, said the projections show how bad the Transportation and Climate Initiative would be for small business owners.

“The new report shows it would cost an additional 26 cents a gallon, meaning a small business owner filling-up their pickup truck would pay an additional $5.20 to $10.40, depending on the size of the fuel tank — not to mention fueling mowers or heavy equipment,” he told New Boston Post in an email message. “That’s a big hit to a small business owner’s bottom line and every driver’s wallet.

“Many small businesses depend on fuel to conduct business, and they will have to raise the price of the goods and services they provide,” he added. “That will increase consumer costs and make Massachusetts much less competitive with neighboring states and likely damage the state’s economy.”

State Representative Shawn Dooley (R-Norfolk) told New Boston Post he is not surprised by the Fiscal Alliance Foundation’s latest report.

Dooley said the entire Transportation and Climate Initiative process is flawed because it does not go through the state legislature.

”I still believe the more concerning issue is the creation of any taxation by executive order bypassing the legislature,” Dooley said in an email message. “Further, by joining a coalition of other states we acquiesce our authority to non elected people who have no loyalty or duty to the Commonwealth. Issues of this magnitude should be fully vetted, debated, and voted on in full view of the citizenry.”

There does not appear to be much support for the Transportation and Climate Initiative carbon-emissions fuel fee in Massachusetts. A Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance poll in late January found that 61 percent of Bay Staters disapprove of the proposal.

The proposed carbon-emissions fuel fee is not the same as a gas tax increase, although both measures would increase the price of gasoline and diesel at gas stations.

The Massachusetts House of Representatives approved on March 4 a bill that would increase the state’s gasoline tax by 5 cents a gallon (from 24 cents now to 29 cents) and the state’s diesel tax by 9 cents a gallon (from 24 cents now to 33 cents). That bill awaits action by the Massachusetts Senate and, if it gets that far, Governor Baker.


CommonWealth Magazine
Tuesday, March 10, 2020
TCI: Meager benefits, high costs
Beacon Hill Institute study flags concerns
By William Burke and Laurie Belsito

The Transportation and Climate Initiative bills itself as a regional collaboration designed to improve transportation, develop clean energy sources, and reduce carbon emissions from the transportation sector. To accomplish these goals, TCI proposes implementing a regional “cap and trade” scheme whereby a cap, established by individual states in collaboration with regional authorities, would be set on greenhouse gas emissions from the combustion of finished gasoline and on-road diesel. Emissions allowances under the set cap level would then be sold to the highest bidder at auctions region wide.

With a cap on emissions from the final consumption of finished gasoline and on-road diesel, the price of both products will increase. Essentially, TCI imposes a hidden tax on both fuels.

Motor fuels such as gasoline and diesel are vital components of economic activity. Everything from the price of groceries to local tourism is impacted by the price of motor fuels. Gasoline taxes are regressive in nature insofar as lower income households spend larger portions of their income on gasoline.

The Fiscal Alliance Foundation commissioned the Beacon Hill Institute to study the economic impact that TCI would actually have on our state economy, including the upfront costs average residents will see. The study found that emission caps as stringent as those proposed under TCI could increase the price of finished gasoline by as much as 26 cents per gallon and increase the price of on-road diesel by as much as 52 cents per gallon.

Using its “MA-STAMP” model, the Beacon Hill Institute estimated the economic impacts of various scenarios for implementing TCI in Massachusetts. In the first year, under a 25 percent emissions cap, TCI would cost Massachusetts residents over 9,000 jobs, over $300 million in business investment, and over $900 million in state gross domestic product. It would increase the tax burden on the average Massachusetts household by $738. While TCI would create a new source of tax revenue, Massachusetts would stand to incur considerable losses in other revenue streams.

TCI fails to deliver benefits to justify its substantial costs to the taxpayer. Transportation sector emissions within the TCI region total 340.6 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalents, whereas emissions from California, Florida, and Texas alone are 554.9 million metric tons, according to the most recent data from the Environmental Information Agency.

According to the PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, global emissions total 50.9 gigatons. The emissions affected by TCI represent 0.6 percent of total global emissions. Since global emissions are increasing year after year, TCI will have negligible effects on greenhouse gas emissions worldwide.

While being a climate leader is considered important, the massive costs incurred by taxpayers under the Initiative will do little to reverse or slow anthropogenic climate change caused by greenhouse gas emissions.

William Burke is director of research at the Beacon Hill Institute and Laurene Belsito is legislative director of the Fiscal Alliance Foundation.

 

NOTE: In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107, this material is distributed without profit or payment to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving this information for non-profit research and educational purposes only. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml


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