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CLT UPDATE
Saturday, January 25, 2020

Persevere or Surrender

Jump directly to CLT's Commentary on the News


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Massachusetts is home to great colleges, amazing hospitals, high-tech success stories — and a dismal business tax climate.

That includes the highest per capita public debt burden in the nation, according to the national Tax Foundation, [Full Report], driven partly by six-figure state pensions, as the Herald reported this week.

The result is the Bay State is ranked as having the 36th most competitive state business tax climate in the nation, according to the Washington, D.C.-based Tax Foundation.

“The tax health of the state is not good,” said Michael Lucci, vice president of state projects for the nonprofit. “The state has a relatively high tax burden, especially compared to New Hampshire.”

The foundation ranks the Granite State among the Top 10 states for taxes on business, with Wyoming coming in first followed by South Dakota, Alaska, Florida, Montana then New Hampshire....

Key indicators show tax bills in Massachusetts are not as high as they were in the past, but the state is still in the Top 10 in many categories per capita, including:

• The second highest corporate tax collections at $320.  The national average is $139.
• The third highest for individual income tax collections at $2,146.  The national average is $1,083.
• The fifth highest for state and local tax collections at $6,469.  The U.S. average is $4,946.

“The Taxachusetts label is not completely gone but it has improved. It is still a high tax state,” Lucci added.

The Boston Herald
Monday, January 20, 2020
Massachusetts tax scorecard shows worrisome grades
Gov. Baker says credit rating not at risk, pensions on schedule


Massachusetts has the highest per capita public debt burden in the nation — and it’s a bill millennials will be saddled with as state pensions continue to climb, fiscal watchdogs say.

The latest pension report provided to the Herald from the state comptroller’s office shows six-figure payouts to retirees are not easing up. Two pensioners topped $300,000 a year in 2019 and 11 others were paid $200,000 or more, records show.

On top of that, more than 1,400 other retired state workers were paid $100,000 or more last year, according to the data, and another 1,100-plus took home $90,000 or more. And all pension payouts are not subject to state taxes.

The costly pensions will continue to be a drag on the budget through 2037, experts warn....

“We’re talking about big increases and every year and the cost is expected to go up almost 10% a year,” said Heath Fahle, policy director for the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation.

“Health care, local aid, public safety, MBTA and road projects all get squeezed a little by these rapidly growing pension payments,” said Fahle. “Credit rating agencies are noticing.”

Fahle was the author of a report out earlier this week saying Massachusetts could be facing an $880 million budget gap next year due to slowing tax revenue and bills due — including pensions.

The Boston Herald
Friday, January 17, 2020
Massachusetts state pension, debt liability ‘at crisis level’


#10. Massachusetts

The pension program in Massachusetts is just 59.9% funded and is $35.7 billion in debt.

To fill its pension gap, the state would need to collect $5,202 from each resident — including adults and children. That would provide enough funding to pay out all of the retirement benefits promised to state and local government employees in Massachusetts.

In this state, led by Republican Gov. Charlie Baker, there are currently an estimated 278,000 public employees providing a wide range of services.

MoneyWise
The States Where Taxpayers Should Worry Most About Pensions
October 24, 2019


With the $44.6 billion fiscal 2021 budget his administration unveiled Wednesday, Gov. Charlie Baker said Massachusetts would be able to fully fund both the letter and spirit of the new education funding law, make sizeable investments in public transit and workforce training, and still stash more money away for an eventual economic downturn....

Baker's budget was built on the consensus agreement of his administration and lawmakers that the state will collect an estimated $31.15 billion in tax revenue during fiscal 2021 -- 2.8 percent growth, modest compared to recent years of higher-than-expected collections that resulted in large surpluses.

The governor's budget would increase overall state spending by 2.3 percent above the current fiscal year, according to the administration, and accounts for a $96 million reduction in tax revenue associated with the income tax rate having dropped to 5 percent, a reduction of $95 million because of the state's new restrictions on the sales of vaping products, and another $64 million reduction from the scheduled re-emergence of a charitable giving tax deduction.

State House News Service
Wednesday, January 22, 2020
Baker Budget Pushes Spending Up to $44.6 Bil
Larger Increases for Education, Transportation, Pensions


Energy and Environmental Affairs Secretary Kathleen Theoharides plans to issue a letter of determination in the coming weeks to formally establish a policy of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, she told the News Service Thursday.

Gov. Charlie Baker announced his support for the 2050 target during his State of the Commonwealth address Tuesday night. The 2008 Global Warming Solutions Act requires a 2050 target of at least an 80 percent reduction in emissions, compared to 1990 levels, but the 2050 target has never been formally set, the secretary said.

A plan the administration will release later this year will feature tactical steps the administration plans to take to reach the goal, and Theorharides said the state needs to not only reduce emissions from transportation and buildings, but also focus on land conservation, agricultural and wetlands protection measures to facilitate carbon storage. Generally speaking, the goal will be to pursue the most cost effective approaches that reduce the most carbon, she said.

State House News Service
Thursday, January 23, 2020
Theoharides Letter Will Formalize Net-Zero 2050 Target


Gov. Charlie Baker doubled down on his support for the controversial Transportation Climate Initiative and took it a step further in his State of the State address Tuesday, vowing to make Massachusetts net-zero greenhouse gas emissions in the next 30 years.

“We must continue to take bold action to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions,” Baker said in his speech. “I get that this is going to be hard, but together we have a real opportunity and a responsibility to achieve a significant reduction in transportation emissions.”

Baker’s allegiance to the initiative, which would implement a gas fee to reduce carbon emissions, continues as neighboring New England states have cast doubt on whether they will participate. The regional uncertainty has been a cause for concern for House Speaker Robert DeLeo.

“Tonight, I’m committing the Commonwealth to achieving an ambitious climate goal: net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050,” Baker said. “That is why we’re working with our colleagues across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states on a Regional Transportation and Climate Initiative.”

During Baker’s speech, MassFiscal Alliance announced on Twitter they will be releasing details of a new statewide poll they conducted on the TCI Wednesday.

“No matter what was said tonight, the benefits to TCI do not outweigh the costs,” MassFiscal Alliance Spokesman Paul Craney said. “Almost all of the New England states have raised concerns with the regressive nature of the program and tonight’s speech will not change that. Massachusetts voters care deeply about keeping costs low and TCI will only dramatically increase the cost of living and doing business in Massachusetts.”

The Boston Herald
Tuesday, January 21, 2020
Baker doubles down on TCI, vows net-zero emissions by 2050


During his State of the Commonwealth address on Tuesday night, Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker set a lofty goal for net-zero carbon emissions in 30 years without a plan to do it. Reactions are mixed.

Baker’s pledge is more ambitious than the one then-Governor Deval Patrick made in 2008. Patrick called for an 80 percent reduction by 2050, a goal set forth in the state’s Global Warming Solutions Act of 2008.

During his speech, Baker did not lay out a specific plan to meet this goal and the governor’s press office did not respond to a request for comment via email on Wednesday or Thursday when asked what Baker wants to do to reach net-zero emissions by 2050.

Baker on Tuesday emphasized a proposed state government fee on fuel providers that could increase the cost of gasoline to drivers by up to 17 cents a gallon. Known as the Transportation and Climate Initiative, it’s supposed to be a regional approach from Maine to Virginia, though several states have been bailing on the idea since cost estimates came out in December....

Some Democratic state legislators are filling in the blanks of what anti-climate-change legislation could look like.

As of Thursday afternoon, four bills had been filed in the Massachusetts Legislature with the intent of lowering Massachusetts’s carbon emissions.

One measure would set energy-efficient standards for certain new household and commercial appliances. (It’s called An Act Relative to Energy Savings Efficiency (Massachusetts Senate Bill 2478).) ...

One bill would whack medium-size and major employers with an excise tax based on the number of people they employ, apparently on the theory that employers cause traffic by requiring that employees go to a workplace. The head tax would be $100 per employee for companies with 100 to 499 employees, $225 per employee on companies with 500 to 999 employees, and $350 per employee for ones employing over 1,000 people. (It’s called An Act for Providing A Transportation Excise Tax (HD.4821).)

The New Boston Post
Friday, January 24, 2020
Climate-Change Activists Like Baker’s Net-Zero Emissions Goal,
But Skeptics Are Counting the Cost


During his State of the Commonwealth address on Tuesday night, Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker set a lofty goal for net-zero carbon emissions in 30 years without a plan to do it. Reactions are mixed.

Baker’s pledge is more ambitious than the one then-Governor Deval Patrick made in 2008. Patrick called for an 80 percent reduction by 2050, a goal set forth in the state’s Global Warming Solutions Act of 2008.

During his speech, Baker did not lay out a specific plan to meet this goal and the governor’s press office did not respond to a request for comment via email on Wednesday or Thursday when asked what Baker wants to do to reach net-zero emissions by 2050.

Baker on Tuesday emphasized a proposed state government fee on fuel providers that could increase the cost of gasoline to drivers by up to 17 cents a gallon. Known as the Transportation and Climate Initiative, it’s supposed to be a regional approach from Maine to Virginia, though several states have been bailing on the idea since cost estimates came out in December....

Some Democratic state legislators are filling in the blanks of what anti-climate-change legislation could look like.

As of Thursday afternoon, four bills had been filed in the Massachusetts Legislature with the intent of lowering Massachusetts’s carbon emissions.

One measure would set energy-efficient standards for certain new household and commercial appliances. (It’s called An Act Relative to Energy Savings Efficiency (Massachusetts Senate Bill 2478).) ...

One bill would whack medium-size and major employers with an excise tax based on the number of people they employ, apparently on the theory that employers cause traffic by requiring that employees go to a workplace. The head tax would be $100 per employee for companies with 100 to 499 employees, $225 per employee on companies with 500 to 999 employees, and $350 per employee for ones employing over 1,000 people. (It’s called An Act for Providing A Transportation Excise Tax (HD.4821).)

The New Boston Post
Friday, January 24, 2020
Climate-Change Activists Like Baker’s Net-Zero Emissions Goal,
But Skeptics Are Counting the Cost


The House's top Democrat on the Transportation Committee said Thursday he's ready to move on Gov. Charlie Baker's $18 billion borrowing bill to finance infrastructure improvements over the next five years, one of the major pillars of the governor's agenda for 2020.

Rep. William Straus, the House chair of the Joint Committee on Transportation, said he reached out by text message over the holiday weekend to his co-chair Sen. Joseph Boncore to suggest scheduling an executive session in order for members of the committee to vote to recommend a new version of Baker's bill.

The Mattapoisett Democrat said has not received a response from Boncore, but hopes to avoid having to seek an extension beyond the Feb. 5 deadline for most committees to report on bills filed at the start of the session.

"I made the request because I think the House members are ready," Straus said....

While House Democrats have been privately discussing ways to raise new revenue to fund transportation improvements, Baker has been publicly touting the $18 billion bond bill as largely sufficient to make major investments over the next five years....

The Legislature over the years has been generally receptive to advancing bond bills, which authorize capital spending over multiple years, but Democrats in the Legislature this year are also actively pursuing a revenue bill that could boost recurring sources of funding for transportation investments.

Straus declined to discuss changes he will recommend to the governor's bill, but suggested that the House will not seek to increase the total amount of borrowing above $18 billion. There could, however, be policy changes.

"It's unlikely that the same bill that the governor filed is the one that the committee would report. There would be things changed, deleted and added," Straus said....

The committee, which is controlled by Democrats, has 20 members, including seven senators and 13 House members. Only four of those members are Republicans....

The governor's bill also proposed contract and procurement reforms to speed up projects and recommended a new $100 million paving program to help municipalities maintain state numbers, but locally owned roads.

State House News Service
Thursday, January 23, 2020
Rep: House Ready to Move on $18 Bil Transpo Bond


The Massachusetts Senate plans to roll out a "comprehensive climate change bill" on Thursday, officials announced Tuesday, and one senator told reporters he expects the bill to feature a net-zero emissions requirement by 2050.

Senate President Karen Spilka and Sen. Mike Barrett, who co-chairs the Telecommunications, Utilities and Energy Committee, announced in a 30-second video posted to social media that they would unveil the bill's contents on Thursday.

"The youth of the Commonwealth have urged us in no uncertain terms to take bold action to combat climate change right here in Massachusetts," Spilka says in the video....

Sen. Marc Pacheco, who chairs the Senate Committee on Global Warming and Climate Change, pushed his colleagues for months to address climate change before securing agreement from Spilka last November to produce legislation by Jan. 31.

Pacheco told reporters the Senate Ways and Means Committee is forming the bill based on other pieces of legislation. He said he expects the comprehensive bill will revise the Global Warming Solutions Act target of 80 percent emissions reduction by 2050 to a net-zero emissions requirement by 2050.

"We know that the world hasn't acted as quickly as we should be and we haven't acted as quickly as we should be at the state level," Pacheco said. "If we're going to do what (the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) and other science tells us, we have to have net zero by 2050."

The House in July approved a $1.3 billion bond bill (H 3997) to fund climate resiliency infrastructure. That bill remains pending before the Senate Bonding, Capital Expenditures and State Assets committee.

State House News Service
Tuesday, January 21, 2020
On Tap: Senate Plans Climate Bill Rollout Thursday
Pacheco Expects Net-Zero Emissions Requirement


The Massachusetts Senate next week plans to take up a far-reaching package of climate bills whose major components include an electric MBTA bus fleet by 2040, carbon-pricing mechanisms for transportation, homes and commercial buildings, and a series of five-year greenhouse gas emissions reduction requirements that ramp up to net-zero emissions in 2050.

The three bills, teed up for debate on Thursday, Jan. 30, with amendments due by Monday, amount to what Senate President Karen Spilka called a "comprehensive plan for the state" to respond to an international issue: global climate change.

"This is a race against time," Spilka told reporters. "Climate change is changing not only Massachusetts and the United States, it is changing the face of our planet, and our planet's survival is at stake." ...

Targeting both MBTA buses and individual car purchases is an approach with the goal of "helping people regardless of income to make sure that the air gets greener and the emissions go down," said Sen. Michael Barrett, co-chair of the Telecommunications, Utilities and Energy Committee....

Barrett said he has been working on assembling the package of legislation since June and that its overall goal is for the state "to do its part in keeping global temperatures below 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels," something he characterized as "very hard to do."

"Actually getting there is really going to take everything Massachusetts can muster," he said. "The language in this bill is very no-nonsense about how we're going to get there."

On carbon pricing, the bill takes a similar approach to language the Senate approved in 2018, leaving it up to the governor and executive branch to choose a specific methodology but setting deadlines for its adoption. That measure did not survive talks with the House last session and was dropped from the clean energy bill that ultimately became law....

Giving latitude to the governor rather than spelling out a specific mechanism helped get more senators on board with the idea of carbon pricing last session, Barrett said.

This year's bill allows the governor to choose among a revenue-neutral fee, a revenue-positive tax, or a cap and trade system like the Transportation Climate Initiative Gov. Charlie Baker is pursuing with other states. It would require a carbon-pricing mechanism to be in effect for the transportation sector by Jan. 1, 2022, for commercial, industrial and institutional buildings by Jan. 1, 2025, and residential buildings by Jan. 1, 2030....

The bill's cost implications, for consumers, businesses and property owners, were not the focus of a briefing senators held Thursday morning before the bills were introduced during an 11 a.m. Senate session.

State House News Service
Thursday, January 23, 2020
Carbon Pricing a Cornerstone of Senate Climate Package
Three Bills on Agenda for Jan. 30 Session


A new statewide poll shows that the majority of Massachusetts residents are circumstantially opposed to the Transportation Climate Initiative, a regional agreement that would raise gas prices in an effort to reduce carbon emissions.

The poll, released Wednesday by the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, found that just over 61 percent of people said they strongly or somewhat oppose Massachusetts joining TCI if neighboring states decide not to join.

“What’s very clear to me is, based off this poll, people do care about making sure Massachusetts has a clean environment,” Mass. Fiscal Alliance spokesman Paul Craney told the Herald. “But when you compare the TCI to issue of taxes, fees and fuel costs, those are paramount. Voters here have strong opinions on making sure those things are affordable. I think it’s because they’re sensitive to the notion of ‘taxachusetts’.” ...

The survey was the first to take the temperature of voters on the issue since a draft agreement came out in December, resulting in New Hampshire’s abrupt rejection of the measure. Commissioned by MassFiscal Alliance and conducted by Jim Eltringham of Advantage Inc, a D.C.-based polling company, 712 likely Massachusetts voters were contacted between Jan. 14-19....

The regional uncertainty has been a cause for concern for House Speaker Robert DeLeo, who has promised to release his own revenue package for transportation in the coming months. The poll also found that more than 63 percent of Massachusetts voters strongly or somewhat oppose paying the TCI fuel costs and any additional gasoline taxes increased by the legislature.

“Every data set tells a story and it really does tell a story,” [pollster] Eltringham said. “When people are asked if they support a measure to help environment that has this price tag from their own wallet, that’s when you start seeing the dip.”

The Boston Herald
Thursday, January 23, 2020
Poll shows Massachusetts majority oppose cost of TCI


The fate of the Massachusetts-led compact to cap vehicle emissions is unclear after multiple governors expressed skepticism about its costs, but state Transportation Secretary Stephanie Pollack believes history shows the concerns will not be fatal.

More than a decade ago, when officials from Northeast states were drafting the framework for the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative program that caps emissions from the energy sector, onlookers raised questions about its viability, Pollack said Tuesday. The Transportation and Climate Initiative, modeled on the 10-state RGGI partnership, now faces similar pressure, and Pollack thinks that it will follow its predecessor once again.

"Right before RGGI was put together, it looked like RGGI was going to fall apart. No states were going to sign on. It wasn't going to happen. People were concerned: too complicated, why would we throw our hat in with the other states, all that stuff," Pollack said at a Tuesday event. "We've heard it all before, worked through it, got to where we are 10 years later."

Despite those concerns, RGGI — which former Gov. Deval Patrick joined in 2007 — has generated $3 billion to invest in the electric grid and participating states have performed 90 percent better than the rest of the country at reducing electric-sector greenhouse gas emissions while watching prices fall, Pollack said.

"We've done it as a group, and this is why Gov. (Charlie) Baker and Lt. Gov (Karyn) Polito and I and Environmental Affairs Secretary (Kathleen) Theoharides are so committed to the Transportation and Climate Initiative: because we know that it can work," Pollack said....

Democratic legislative leaders in Massachusetts have not fully embraced TCI, despite estimates that it could net the state $500 million or more in revenue to reinvest in clean transit.

In an interview on WCVB that aired Sunday, House Speaker Robert DeLeo put a two-year to three-year timeframe on TCI becoming operational and said that's too long to wait. "I don't think we have that luxury," he said.

"I don't think we can rely on something which I would say is very questionable at this time," he said.

While House leaders have delayed their planned debate on transportation revenues, DeLeo said they can't wait much longer.

"We need an immediate infusion of funds relative to the T. I don't think this is anything that can wait. And I think it's about time that we got serious about it," he said. Employers are concerned about the MBTA forcing employees to be late for work, he said, and people need reliable transportation to schools and hospitals.

DeLeo also raised questions about support levels for the multi-state compact.

"I'm not looking to be the person that's going to say that this may be dead on arrival," he said. "But what I'm also smart enough to know, or read anyways, is the fact that as I'm looking at all these surrounding states I really haven't seen any state that has come out in favor of this. Now, maybe if the governor is strong enough, it can change that persuasion, persuade the other states, or governors or whoever he has to convince. Maybe we can have a different discussion, but as we're preparing and as we're talking about transportation, I don't think that is something we can rely on at this time because I think its future is so uncertain." ...

Increasing the state's 24-cents-per-gallon gas tax is not guaranteed to have the same greenhouse gas reduction goals as TCI, Pollack said, noting that statewide emissions have increased since the last gas tax hike was approved in 2013.

"The best way to simultaneously ensure that we can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and have money to invest is the Transportation and Climate Initiative," Pollack said. "It's not an either/or. We're not saying it's the only revenue source. But I am telling you, without that platform, anyone in this room that believes we need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to save the planet, there is not another idea on the table to do this in the transportation sector."

As a candidate for governor in 2010, Baker said he wasn't sure he supported the compact that Patrick joined.

"I'm willing to participate as long as it doesn't cost Massachusetts jobs and money. I don't know if I'm against it or not. I view that as something that needs to be reviewed," he said at the time.

As governor since 2015, Baker has supported RGGI.

State House News Service
Tuesday, January 21, 2020
Pollack Sees TCI on Same Track as RGGI
DeLeo: Emissions Agreement "Very Questionable At This Time"


Massachusetts is in a dangerous situation. Within the next few months, Governor Charlie Baker may impose a fee on fuel providers that would add up to 17 cents a gallon on gasoline – for starters. (He claims he can do it on his own.) Around the same time, Democratic state legislators could ram through a major increase in the gas tax.

Sky-is-falling climate change activists say these measures are necessary – and not enough, even – to reduce carbon emissions that they say cause climate change, which they say is bad. (Cue our skepticism on every point in that last sentence.) They claim the punitive cost increases will somehow persuade people not to drive where they need to go, and that the money will be used to improve public transportation to the point where people won’t want to drive nearly as much as they do now. (Did you keep a straight face through that last one?)

But let’s focus on cost....

The gas tax hits everyone in Massachusetts, multiple times. There’s the cost at the pump, which hurts poor people who have to drive to work and to the store. It also hurts everyone who sells any products or buys any products, since the vast majority of products need trucks to get where they’re going, which need gasoline or diesel to get there. As some people note, there’s no such thing as free shipping – that cost is figured in somewhere.

Democratic leaders in the state Legislature haven’t said how much more they’d like to take from our debit cards. But imagine come summer a similar increase to what Baker is looking at – let’s see, 17 cents plus 17 cents … that makes 34 cents a gallon.

Yikes.

Charlie Baker and Democrats on Beacon Hill should realize that they didn’t create the golden goose in Massachusetts … but they could kill it.

A New Boston Post editorial
Friday, January 24, 2020
Precarious Gas Tax Situation Should Have Massachusetts Residents On War Path


Good news: The political panic over climate change doesn’t justify one-man rule. That’s the message the Washington Supreme Court delivered this week to Governor Jay Inslee, who tried to impose his command-and-control agenda by fiat.

Perhaps you heard Mr. Inslee for a millisecond in the presidential race last year declaring that climate change is “the most urgent challenge of our time.” He failed to galvanize the masses, much as he failed to persuade the Washington Legislature in 2015 when it rejected his cap-and-trade proposal.

Mr. Inslee then decided to write his own law. “Washingtonians have too much at stake to wait any longer for legislative action,” his office said in a news release at the time. The Washington Department of Ecology proceeded to promulgate its own carbon caps in 2016.

Mr. Inslee's new regulation applied to “direct emitters” like refineries but also “indirect emitters” like fuel distributors, which are not themselves “sources” of carbon-dioxide emissions. To comply, businesses had to cut their emissions or buy carbon credits or invest in carbon offsets. Indirect emitters’ only option was to pay up.

The rule’s total compliance costs could run as high as $6.9 billion over 20 years, according to the Department of Ecology’s economic impact analysis. And the Washington Supreme Court noted that “of those emissions covered by the Rule, approximately 74 percent are generated by the combustion of products sold by natural gas and petroleum product producers and importers.”

The Association of Washington Business and four natural-gas distributors sued. In a 5-4 ruling Thursday, the Washington Supreme Court rebuked Mr. Inslee’s lawless overreach and invalidated the portions of the regulation that apply to businesses that aren’t sources of emissions....

“The plain meaning of the Act’s ‘emissions standards’ definition limits the scope of Ecology’s authority to promulgate emissions standards to those entities that actually emit air pollutants,” Chief Justice Debra Stephens wrote for the majority. “Left unchecked, Ecology’s expansive interpretation of its own authority would sweep many newly branded ‘indirect emitters’ into the regulatory web.” She added that the Legislature is free to write a law that covers indirect emitters.

Democrats control the House and Senate in Washington, and Mr. Inslee is welcome to try to persuade them to adopt his anti-fossil-fuel obsessions. But they’ll have to answer to Washington voters, who will pay in higher energy and other costs. As good progressives like to say, this is what democracy looks like.

The Wall Street Journal
Saturday, January 18, 2020
Opinion | Review & Outlook
Inslee’s Climate of Illegality
A court says Washington’s Governor can’t impose cap and trade by fiat.


With political clout in Washington, D.C. and billions of dollars in federal funding at stake, Massachusetts and more than a dozen other states are spending unprecedented amounts of money on outreach and preparations for the 2020 census to get the decennial count right.

Collectively, at least 27 states have spent or committed more than $316 million for the effort, according to data from the National Conference of State Legislatures.

Massachusetts has earmarked at least $6.25 million this fiscal year for 2020 census outreach and preparations, the seventh largest amount among all states.

The state is pegging $3.5 million for competitive grants to community groups and local governments to do public outreach, as well as $2.75 million for technical assistance and post-census work, according to the Secretary of State’s office, which oversees the state’s count. The money was allocated by the Legislature as part of the state budget.

“This is the first time in Massachusetts and other states when an enormous amount of money is being devoted to get a full count,” said Eva Millona, who chairs the state’s Complete Count Committee that is coordinating the outreach. “It’s extremely important that we make these investments, because the census is about power, money and respect.”

Much of the money is going to cities, towns and community organizations, she said, because they have stronger ties and more credibility with hard-to-count populations such as low-income residents, immigrants, transient college students, the elderly, and indigenous peoples.

Millona, who is also executive director of the Massachusetts Immigrant Refugee Advocacy Coalition, said the outreach is aimed at making sure everyone is counted.

It’s a task complicated by misconceptions that the information will be misused and fears of the federal government in many immigrant communities, she said....

Census data determines funding formulas for the next decade for federal spending on infrastructure, health care, education and affordable housing.

More than $1.5 trillion in funding for state and local governments is parceled out according to census data, according to Andrew Reamer, a professor and researcher at the George Washington Institute of Public Policy, who is studying the census’ role in the distribution of federal funds....

In fiscal year 2017, Massachusetts received more than $38.2 billion in federal funding that was connected to census data, Reamer said, citing his latest research.

The federal dollars went to everything from transportation, health care and community development block grants to affordable housing, special education and school breakfast programs....

Besides guiding how federal money is distributed, this year’s census also will determine how many congressional seats each state gets.

Massachusetts, for example, has nine representatives in Congress, which could increase or decrease depending on the count.

The state lost one congressional seat after the 2010 count, when its population — then estimated at 6,547,629 — didn’t grow as fast as the national average.

In 2018, the U.S. Census Bureau’s estimate for Massachusetts population was 6,902,149, a growth of 5.41% in nine years....

Concerns about undercounted populations were stoked by efforts from the Trump administration to add a citizenship question to the 2020 census. The move was ultimately blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court but not before it raised concerns that immigrants and their families — even those living in the U.S. legally — would avoid the count.

The Salem News
Monday, January 20, 2020
States spending big bucks on census prep


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

Massachusetts has "the highest per capita public debt burden in the nation," The Boston Herald reported.  Based on the recent publication by the Tax Foundation the Herald found:

Key indicators show tax bills in Massachusetts are not as high as they were in the past, but the state is still in the Top 10 in many categories per capita, including:

• The second highest corporate tax collections at $320.  The national average is $139.
• The third highest for individual income tax collections at $2,146.  The national average is $1,083.
• The fifth highest for state and local tax collections at $6,469.  The U.S. average is $4,946.

A recent MoneyWise report of just the unfunded pension crisis alone found that Massachusetts ranked 10th-worst state in the nation:

The pension program in Massachusetts is just 59.9% funded and is $35.7 billion in debt.

To fill its pension gap, the state would need to collect $5,202 from each resident — including adults and children.

And let's not forget that Beacon Hill spends 304% more than the national average for state-maintained highway lane-miles.

Nonetheless, the spending binge plows ahead in one of the worst-managed states in the nation.

State House News Service last summer on July 31, 2019 reported on the passage of the current state budget ("Baker okays all spending in record $43.3 Bil budget" by Katie Lannan):

Gov. Charlie Baker on Wednesday accomplished something House Speaker Robert DeLeo, who joined the Legislature in 1991, said he does not remember seeing happen before:  signing the annual state budget without issuing a single spending veto.

Placing the bottom line at $43.3 billion, Baker signed the annual budget just after 10 a.m. Wednesday, nearly a full month after the start of fiscal 2020 on July 1.

This week the governor proposed spending $44.6 billion in the upcoming fiscal 2021 budget an additional $1.3 billion over this fiscal year's record budget spending.

According to the Baker administration, "the governor's budget would increase overall state spending by 2.3 percent above the current fiscal year."

Stop right here and think of this:  Just 2.3 percent of the current fiscal year's spending amounts to $1.3 billion.

Just ten years ago the Legislature passed its FY 2011 budget for $27.6 billion.  That was $17 billion less than Gov. Baker's proposed spending, only ten years later.  2.3 percent of that FY 2011 budget would have been $635 million.  2.3 percent today is $1.3 billion.

This is what happens when unfettered spending incrementally increases by more than a billion taxpayers' dollars piled on year after year.

Instead of pulling back from the precipice before wildly racing over the edge into oblivion, Gov. Baker and the other Beacon Hill spendthrifts pile on more ridiculous spending schemes and plot higher taxes to pay for them.  I very much fear governance in Massachusetts is finally, completely out of control, running on a death wish on automatic pilot.  It has become unable to help itself, does not even recognize it has a problem let alone how self-destructive it is.

The Boston Herald editorial of January 16 summed it up succinctly:

But in these parts, the word solution is synonymous with money, as in taxpayer money. And as long as there are taxpayers, there are solutions to any problems the state will encounter.

I would add, "as long as there are taxpayers, there are solutions to any problems the state will encounter" and conjure, contrive, and even create.

Now that it has an apparently popular (in some circles) new cause to wield as an excuse for jacking up unlimited revenue, not only is the Baker administration roaring ahead with its flailing Transportation Climate Initiative scheme but it's doubling down.  In the name of "climate change" the Governor now wants to eliminate its effects entirely through his "net-zero carbon emissions" in the next thirty years, by 2050.  His Secretary of Energy and Environmental Affairs, Kathleen Theoharides, said "the state needs to not only reduce emissions from transportation and buildings, but also focus on land conservation, agricultural and wetlands protection measures to facilitate carbon storage."

Sheesh, they're coming at us from every direction.

The Legislature is still intent on raising taxes on its own for "transportation needs" regardless of Baker's Boondoggle, TCI.  They can't wait for it to begin raking in hundreds of millions from its gas "fee."  It is moving ahead with its own gas tax, on top of TCI if it should be imposed.

TCI is where we are focused right now, where we must be focused.  First, if it is accepted and imposed it will be forever.  Surrendering our state sovereignty should be a non-starter.  We cannot hand it over to some nameless group of unaccountable bureaucrats somewhere who will have the power to impose any amount they desire at a time and place of their choosing without any restriction.  As bad as the Legislature's expected gas tax hike would be, it would at least be possible to hold them accountable, perhaps vote them out of office and repeal their greedy money grab.  If established, TCI will be forever untouchable which is exactly why it is popular among the ruling class.

On a promising note, Gov. Jay Inslee of Washington state tried the "executive order" route much as Gov. Baker is attempting, to impose his own "carbon tax" by royal decree.  It was shot down in court.  The Wall Street Journal reported that last week:

In a 5-4 ruling Thursday, the Washington Supreme Court rebuked Mr. Inslee’s lawless overreach and invalidated the portions of the regulation that apply to businesses that aren’t sources of emissions.

So many revelations and threats erupted over the past week that I can't possibly cover all of them here without burying you.  You can read the following news excerpts and full reports to grasp the gravity of the situation for taxpayers.  It's pretty discouraging but the fight must go on; we must persevere or surrender.

Chip Ford
Executive Director


 

The Boston Herald
Monday, January 20, 2020

Massachusetts tax scorecard shows worrisome grades
Gov. Baker says credit rating not at risk, pensions on schedule
By Joe Dwinell and Stefan Geller


Massachusetts is home to great colleges, amazing hospitals, high-tech success stories — and a dismal business tax climate.

That includes the highest per capita public debt burden in the nation, according to the national Tax Foundation, [Full Report], driven partly by six-figure state pensions, as the Herald reported this week.

The result is the Bay State is ranked as having the 36th most competitive state business tax climate in the nation, according to the Washington, D.C.-based Tax Foundation.

“The tax health of the state is not good,” said Michael Lucci, vice president of state projects for the nonprofit. “The state has a relatively high tax burden, especially compared to New Hampshire.”

The foundation ranks the Granite State among the Top 10 states for taxes on business, with Wyoming coming in first followed by South Dakota, Alaska, Florida, Montana then New Hampshire.

Connecticut, California, New York and New Jersey are rated as having the worst state business tax climate for 2020, the foundation states.

“Massachusetts as a whole has high income and strong growth and education is a key driver,” Lucci told the Herald. “But having a better tax code can make that better … and help the state if a recession were to hit.”

Key indicators show tax bills in Massachusetts are not as high as they were in the past, but the state is still in the Top 10 in many categories per capita, including:

•  The second highest corporate tax collections at $320. The national average is $139.
•  The third highest for individual income tax collections at $2,146. The national average is $1,083.
•  The fifth highest for state and local tax collections at $6,469. The U.S. average is $4,946.

“The Taxachusetts label is not completely gone but it has improved. It is still a high tax state,” Lucci added.

Gov. Charlie Baker said Saturday “the single biggest thing we heard from the rating agencies … is actually not about pensions and debt, it was about the state of the state’s stabilization fund, and over the past several years we have basically tripled the size of our stabilization fund to $3.5 billion. It’s as big as it’s ever been.”

Baker said the pension payouts are “on a schedule” and the state will “fund them every single year on the schedule” that reaches to 2037.

UMass Amherst economics professor emeritus David Kotz urged continued investment in state infrastructure.

“Look at China. That country grew so fast because because the government invested in high-class railways and roads,” said Kotz. “We’ve got to invest in what we’re good at.”


The Boston Herald
Friday, January 17, 2020

Massachusetts state pension, debt liability ‘at crisis level’
More than 1,400 retired state workers paid $100,000 or more;
11 $200,000 and up and two $300,000-plus


Massachusetts has the highest per capita public debt burden in the nation — and it’s a bill millennials will be saddled with as state pensions continue to climb, fiscal watchdogs say.

The latest pension report provided to the Herald from the state comptroller’s office shows six-figure payouts to retirees are not easing up. Two pensioners topped $300,000 a year in 2019 and 11 others were paid $200,000 or more, records show.

On top of that, more than 1,400 other retired state workers were paid $100,000 or more last year, according to the data, and another 1,100-plus took home $90,000 or more. And all pension payouts are not subject to state taxes.

The costly pensions will continue to be a drag on the budget through 2037, experts warn.

“Millennials will need to address massive debt and these high pensions for years and if the economy turns, they will have to do it quicker,” said Paul Craney, spokesman for the Mass Fiscal Alliance. And, he added, he’s a 38-year-old millennial.

“The pensions are unbelievable. The current crop of leaders on Beacon Hill are just burying their heads in the sand,” Craney added.

Mass Fiscal Alliance and others are also warning that the pension obligation could also harm the state’s credit rating making borrowing for major projects — from fixing the MBTA to improving roads and bridges — more expensive.

“We’re talking about big increases and every year and the cost is expected to go up almost 10% a year,” said Heath Fahle, policy director for the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation.

“Health care, local aid, public safety, MBTA and road projects all get squeezed a little by these rapidly growing pension payments,” said Fahle. “Credit rating agencies are noticing.”

Fahle was the author of a report out earlier this week saying Massachusetts could be facing an $880 million budget gap next year due to slowing tax revenue and bills due — including pensions.

That report — titled “First Look: Tough Choices Ahead in Fiscal 2021” — said MassHealth and Chapter 70 state education spending are also big-ticket items that may force lawmakers to cut the budget or raise taxes.

Former state Inspector General Gregg Sullivan, now with the Pioneer Institute, said the state needs to look to other solutions when it comes to pensions.

“The state needs to consider inviting new employees to go on 401(k) programs,” said Sullivan Thursday night. “The state pension system, and that includes teachers, is underfunded by $43 billion. That’s mammoth.

“It’s at a crisis level,” he added, “and we’re just kicking the can down the road and the credit-rating agencies are noticing.”

The 126,000-plus pension payouts studied by the Herald show former provosts, professors, prosecutors, teachers, social workers, toll collectors and prison guards collecting hefty checks. Two former UMass Medical School officials top the list with both pulling down $347,000 and $348,000 a year in pensions. The list goes on from there.


MoneyWise
The States Where Taxpayers Should Worry Most About Pensions
October 24, 2019


Most American workers can't get pensions anymore, though state and local government employees are an exception. But their pensions — providing regular income in retirement — have become a costly burden for states and their citizens.

Many state pension plans, covering government workers at both the state and local level, are underfunded. There's not enough money to pay all the benefits promised to current and future retirees, and residents might one day have to cough up more tax dollars to cover those costs.

Using data from the Pew Charitable Trusts, the Foundation for Economic Education, and Governing.com, we've ranked the states, going from those with the healthiest pensions systems to the ones with the biggest pension problems — potentially for taxpayers.

11. Mississippi
10. Massachusetts

The pension program in Massachusetts is just 59.9% funded and is $35.7 billion in debt.

To fill its pension gap, the state would need to collect $5,202 from each resident — including adults and children. That would provide enough funding to pay out all of the retirement benefits promised to state and local government employees in Massachusetts.

In this state, led by Republican Gov. Charlie Baker, there are currently an estimated 278,000 public employees providing a wide range of services.

9. Pennsylvania
8. Hawaii
7. South Carolina
6. Rhode Island
5. Colorado
4. Connecticut
3. Illinois
2. New Jersey
1. Kentucky


State House News Service
Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Baker Budget Pushes Spending Up to $44.6 Bil
Larger Increases for Education, Transportation, Pensions
By Colin A. Young


With the $44.6 billion fiscal 2021 budget his administration unveiled Wednesday, Gov. Charlie Baker said Massachusetts would be able to fully fund both the letter and spirit of the new education funding law, make sizeable investments in public transit and workforce training, and still stash more money away for an eventual economic downturn.

"Every year, we're tasked with filing a budget to balance the books and make smart fiscal decisions but our budgets are far more than just a list of dollar amounts and line items," Baker said. "It is a body of work that reflects the priorities and needs of the people of this great commonwealth. It is designed to help our residents in every corner of the state find the support that they need to access a quality education, secure a good-paying job, and find a safe and strong community to live and raise their family in."

The central themes of the Baker administration's sixth budget (H 2) are education and transportation, Administration and Finance Secretary Michael Heffernan said. Public schools would see $355 million in new spending -- the first payment towards a $1.5 billion, seven-year overhaul of the state's public education funding formula -- and the budget newly directs $216.7 million to the MBTA and other transportation agencies to address safety and infrastructure issues.

Baker's budget was built on the consensus agreement of his administration and lawmakers that the state will collect an estimated $31.15 billion in tax revenue during fiscal 2021 -- 2.8 percent growth, modest compared to recent years of higher-than-expected collections that resulted in large surpluses.

The governor's budget would increase overall state spending by 2.3 percent above the current fiscal year, according to the administration, and accounts for a $96 million reduction in tax revenue associated with the income tax rate having dropped to 5 percent, a reduction of $95 million because of the state's new restrictions on the sales of vaping products, and another $64 million reduction from the scheduled re-emergence of a charitable giving tax deduction.

Baker's spending plan assumes the state will pull in $282.7 million in revenue from casino gaming, $146 million in marijuana taxes and another $14 million from Cannabis Control Commission license payments and fines.

It also assumes $35 million in revenue from an activity that is still illegal in Massachusetts -- sports betting -- another $16 million from an opioid tax the governor has asked the Legislature to approve, and the $237 million in one-time revenue that would materialize if the Legislature goes along with the governor's sales tax modernization plan.


State House News Service
Thursday, January 23, 2020

Theoharides Letter Will Formalize Net-Zero 2050 Target
By Michael P. Norton


Energy and Environmental Affairs Secretary Kathleen Theoharides plans to issue a letter of determination in the coming weeks to formally establish a policy of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, she told the News Service Thursday.

Gov. Charlie Baker announced his support for the 2050 target during his State of the Commonwealth address Tuesday night. The 2008 Global Warming Solutions Act requires a 2050 target of at least an 80 percent reduction in emissions, compared to 1990 levels, but the 2050 target has never been formally set, the secretary said.

A plan the administration will release later this year will feature tactical steps the administration plans to take to reach the goal, and Theorharides said the state needs to not only reduce emissions from transportation and buildings, but also focus on land conservation, agricultural and wetlands protection measures to facilitate carbon storage. Generally speaking, the goal will be to pursue the most cost effective approaches that reduce the most carbon, she said.

House Speaker Robert DeLeo and Senate President Karen Spilka on Tuesday also announced their support for a net-zero by 2050 target. "We were not expecting that announcement then," Theoharides said.


The Boston Herald
Tuesday, January 21, 2020

Baker doubles down on TCI, vows net-zero emissions by 2050
By Mary Markos


Gov. Charlie Baker doubled down on his support for the controversial Transportation Climate Initiative and took it a step further in his State of the State address Tuesday, vowing to make Massachusetts net-zero greenhouse gas emissions in the next 30 years.

“We must continue to take bold action to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions,” Baker said in his speech. “I get that this is going to be hard, but together we have a real opportunity and a responsibility to achieve a significant reduction in transportation emissions.”

Baker’s allegiance to the initiative, which would implement a gas fee to reduce carbon emissions, continues as neighboring New England states have cast doubt on whether they will participate. The regional uncertainty has been a cause for concern for House Speaker Robert DeLeo.

“Tonight, I’m committing the Commonwealth to achieving an ambitious climate goal: net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050,” Baker said. “That is why we’re working with our colleagues across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states on a Regional Transportation and Climate Initiative.”

Officials have estimated the measure would raise gas prices between 5 to 17 cents per gallon in the first year but it remains unclear how high that cost could rise in subsequent years. Baker argued the regional initiative, which encompasses 70 million people and 50 million vehicles, would take on 40 percent of the state’s total emissions produced by transportation.

“Unless we take on transportation, we won’t meet our objectives,” Baker said.

During Baker’s speech, MassFiscal Alliance announced on Twitter they will be releasing details of a new statewide poll they conducted on the TCI Wednesday.

“No matter what was said tonight, the benefits to TCI do not outweigh the costs,” MassFiscal Alliance Spokesman Paul Craney said. “Almost all of the New England states have raised concerns with the regressive nature of the program and tonight’s speech will not change that. Massachusetts voters care deeply about keeping costs low and TCI will only dramatically increase the cost of living and doing business in Massachusetts.”

Baker’s speech also focused on education, housing, climate change and fiscal responsibility. He spoke about the state of the MBTA, calling the loss of time and lack of reliability “unacceptable,” and promising an increase of $135 million in operating funds for the T in the Administration’s 2021 budget.

“The governor laid out an ambitious and much needed plan for transportation infrastructure but then distracted his audience by announcing the unachievable and harmful goal of net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050,” said David Tuerck, president of the Beacon Hill Institute. “Worse still, he endorsed the ‘Transportation Climate Initiative,’ which would drive up gas prices and shrink the economy without producing any measurable improvement in the climate.”


The New Boston Post
Friday, January 24, 2020

Climate-Change Activists Like Baker’s Net-Zero Emissions Goal,
But Skeptics Are Counting the Cost
By Tom Joyce


During his State of the Commonwealth address on Tuesday night, Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker set a lofty goal for net-zero carbon emissions in 30 years without a plan to do it. Reactions are mixed.

Baker’s pledge is more ambitious than the one then-Governor Deval Patrick made in 2008. Patrick called for an 80 percent reduction by 2050, a goal set forth in the state’s Global Warming Solutions Act of 2008.

During his speech, Baker did not lay out a specific plan to meet this goal and the governor’s press office did not respond to a request for comment via email on Wednesday or Thursday when asked what Baker wants to do to reach net-zero emissions by 2050.

Baker on Tuesday emphasized a proposed state government fee on fuel providers that could increase the cost of gasoline to drivers by up to 17 cents a gallon. Known as the Transportation and Climate Initiative, it’s supposed to be a regional approach from Maine to Virginia, though several states have been bailing on the idea since cost estimates came out in December.

A spokesman for the Baker administration’s Executive Office of Energy and Environmental Affairs also emphasized the proposed gas fee when contacted by New Boston Post.

“Continuing the Baker-Polito Administration’s national leadership on climate change, Governor Baker is taking bold action by committing the Commonwealth to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050,” agency spokesman Katie Gronedyke said in an email message. “As the transportation sector accounts for more than 40 percent of greenhouse gas emissions, the Transportation and Climate Initiative, a bipartisan, regional effort to develop a market-based program to reduce the emissions that cause climate change and invest in clean transportation options, will be critical to achieving this ambitious goal.”

Baker drew praised from anti-climate-change environmentalist organizations, including the Environmental League of Massachusetts.

“ELM has been a strong advocate to update our climate targets to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. We applaud Governor Baker for committing Massachusetts to emissions reductions that the latest science demands,” said Ellen Tomlinson, communications manager for the Environmental League of Massachusetts. “Climate change is affecting our health, our economy, and our way of life. This commitment is the kind of action we need from our elected officials to protect ourselves from the worst impacts of the climate crisis.”

Skeptics wonder how far Baker is willing to go to pursue his new goal, and how much damage it might do to the state’s economy.

“Massachusetts leaders should focus on problems the state is facing in 2020 instead of imposing unfunded mandates and unrealistic targets for 2050,” said Paul Craney, executive director of the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, in an email message to New Boston Post.

Christopher Carlozzi, the state director for the National Federation of Independent Business-Massachusetts, worries that Baker’s goal will open the door for anti-business policies.

“Massachusetts small businesses already face some of the highest energy costs in the nation,” Carlozzi wrote in an email message to New Boston Post. “The legislature should examine ways to lower energy costs to provide opportunities for Main Street businesses to grow and create new jobs. If net-zero emissions mean enacting new fees and carbon taxes like the Transportation and Climate Initiative, it will increase operating costs for Massachusetts small businesses struggling to compete with other parts of the nation where costs are lower.”

Some Democratic state legislators are filling in the blanks of what anti-climate-change legislation could look like.

As of Thursday afternoon, four bills had been filed in the Massachusetts Legislature with the intent of lowering Massachusetts’s carbon emissions.

One measure would set energy-efficient standards for certain new household and commercial appliances. (It’s called An Act Relative to Energy Savings Efficiency (Massachusetts Senate Bill 2478).)

Another amounts to a bill to set goals – it would set five-year goals for what the state must do to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2050 without mandating any. Ideas mentioned in the proposal include “electric vehicles, electric vehicle charging stations, solar photovoltaic and solar thermal technologies, energy storage capacity and air-source and ground-source heat pumps. (It’s called An Act Setting Next-Generation Climate Policy (Massachusetts Senate Bill 2477).)

One bill would whack medium-size and major employers with an excise tax based on the number of people they employ, apparently on the theory that employers cause traffic by requiring that employees go to a workplace. The head tax would be $100 per employee for companies with 100 to 499 employees, $225 per employee on companies with 500 to 999 employees, and $350 per employee for ones employing over 1,000 people. (It’s called An Act for Providing A Transportation Excise Tax (HD.4821).)

Another bill would require all public transit in Massachusetts to be provided via electric buses by 2040 and for all new buses purchased after 2030 to be electricity-powered. It would also provide a $1,500 rebate to people buying a zero-emissions vehicle if the final price is below $50,000. (It’s called An Act To Accelerate the Transition of Cars, Trucks, and Buses To Carbon-Free Power (Massachusetts Senate Bill 2476).


State House News Service
Thursday, January 23, 2020

Rep: House Ready to Move on $18 Bil Transpo Bond
Chairs Haven't Agreed to Date for Vote on Bill
By Matt Murphy


The House's top Democrat on the Transportation Committee said Thursday he's ready to move on Gov. Charlie Baker's $18 billion borrowing bill to finance infrastructure improvements over the next five years, one of the major pillars of the governor's agenda for 2020.

Rep. William Straus, the House chair of the Joint Committee on Transportation, said he reached out by text message over the holiday weekend to his co-chair Sen. Joseph Boncore to suggest scheduling an executive session in order for members of the committee to vote to recommend a new version of Baker's bill.

The Mattapoisett Democrat said has not received a response from Boncore, but hopes to avoid having to seek an extension beyond the Feb. 5 deadline for most committees to report on bills filed at the start of the session.

"I made the request because I think the House members are ready," Straus said.

Straus said he was asked about the status of the bill by several legislators after Baker mentioned it in his State of the Commonwealth address on Tuesday night.

While House Democrats have been privately discussing ways to raise new revenue to fund transportation improvements, Baker has been publicly touting the $18 billion bond bill as largely sufficient to make major investments over the next five years.

The governor did propose in his fiscal 2021 budget on Wednesday to raise fees on Uber and Lyft rides by $100 million to boost the operating budget of the MBTA.

"We know these are big, complicated issues, but we urge the Legislature to act as quickly as possible on these bills," Baker said in his speech, referring to both the bond bill and legislation to address congestion caused by ride-hailing services.

The bond bill, the governor said, proposes to direct $11 billion into road and bridge improvements and $7 billion into the "expansion and modernization of transit, commuter rail and bus services."

The governor has also proposed in the legislation to create a tax credit for businesses that allow their employees to telecommute as an incentive to reduce road congestion, and to earmark half of all revenues from the controversial, still-in-development regional cap-and-trade program known as the Transportation Climate Initiative to public transit.

The Legislature over the years has been generally receptive to advancing bond bills, which authorize capital spending over multiple years, but Democrats in the Legislature this year are also actively pursuing a revenue bill that could boost recurring sources of funding for transportation investments.

Straus declined to discuss changes he will recommend to the governor's bill, but suggested that the House will not seek to increase the total amount of borrowing above $18 billion. There could, however, be policy changes.

"It's unlikely that the same bill that the governor filed is the one that the committee would report. There would be things changed, deleted and added," Straus said.

Boncore was on a flight to Washington, D.C. on Thursday afternoon and was not available for an interview, but his office issued a statement on Straus's request.

"The Transportation Bond Bill remains a Senate priority. I continue to work with my co-chair to get this bill out of committee. Every penny of the $18 billion proposed funding is critical to the transportation infrastructure in municipalities from Provincetown to Pittsfield," the Winthrop Democrat said.

Executive sessions have become far less common in the Legislature in recent years as chairs from both the House and Senate have preferred to poll committee members over email in order to report out legislation.

"This kind of bond bill is a little different in terms of how the membership looks at it, so I thought there are likely House members of the committee and Senate members of the committee who would like to express some views and input," Straus said.

Under the rules of the committee, the two chairs must be in agreement before an executive session can be scheduled. Another member of the committee from the Senate told the News Service Thursday they had not heard from their chairman about a possible date for a vote.

The committee, which is controlled by Democrats, has 20 members, including seven senators and 13 House members. Only four of those members are Republicans.

"I'd like to see it move," Straus said. "This is not a bill I think anyone wants to sit on."

The Transportation Committee held a hearing in October when Gov. Baker testified in person in support of his bond bill, which he filed in July and is the first such borrowing bill focused on transportation since former Gov. Deval Patrick signed a $14 billion version in 2014.

The governor's bill also proposed contract and procurement reforms to speed up projects and recommended a new $100 million paving program to help municipalities maintain state numbers, but locally owned roads.


State House News Service
Tuesday, January 21, 2020

On Tap: Senate Plans Climate Bill Rollout Thursday
Pacheco Expects Net-Zero Emissions Requirement
By Chris Lisinski


The Massachusetts Senate plans to roll out a "comprehensive climate change bill" on Thursday, officials announced Tuesday, and one senator told reporters he expects the bill to feature a net-zero emissions requirement by 2050.

Senate President Karen Spilka and Sen. Mike Barrett, who co-chairs the Telecommunications, Utilities and Energy Committee, announced in a 30-second video posted to social media that they would unveil the bill's contents on Thursday.

"The youth of the Commonwealth have urged us in no uncertain terms to take bold action to combat climate change right here in Massachusetts," Spilka says in the video.

The Senate often introduces bills on Thursday, along with plans to debate the bills the following week.

Sen. Marc Pacheco, who chairs the Senate Committee on Global Warming and Climate Change, pushed his colleagues for months to address climate change before securing agreement from Spilka last November to produce legislation by Jan. 31.

Pacheco told reporters the Senate Ways and Means Committee is forming the bill based on other pieces of legislation. He said he expects the comprehensive bill will revise the Global Warming Solutions Act target of 80 percent emissions reduction by 2050 to a net-zero emissions requirement by 2050.

"We know that the world hasn't acted as quickly as we should be and we haven't acted as quickly as we should be at the state level," Pacheco said. "If we're going to do what (the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) and other science tells us, we have to have net zero by 2050."

The House in July approved a $1.3 billion bond bill (H 3997) to fund climate resiliency infrastructure. That bill remains pending before the Senate Bonding, Capital Expenditures and State Assets committee.

In his State of the State address, Gov. Charlie Baker on Tuesday night plans to offer some details about "key initiatives" to address climate change.

Activists opposed to some of the Baker administration's efforts on climate change, including its position on an unpopular natural gas compressor station in Weymouth, plan to take their activism to the State House Tuesday at 6:30 p.m.

Extinction Rebellion, a group that interrupted Vermont Gov. Phil Scott's recent State of the State address, announced Tuesday that a "Governor Baker XR" affiliated with the group will "give a short address outside the State House announcing major measures to combat the climate emergency."

"This is the speech local Massachusetts citizens concerned about the climate crisis wish the real Charlie Baker would make," the group said.

Michael P. Norton contributed reporting


State House News Service
Thursday, January 23, 2020

Carbon Pricing a Cornerstone of Senate Climate Package
Three Bills on Agenda for Jan. 30 Session
By Katie Lannan


The Massachusetts Senate next week plans to take up a far-reaching package of climate bills whose major components include an electric MBTA bus fleet by 2040, carbon-pricing mechanisms for transportation, homes and commercial buildings, and a series of five-year greenhouse gas emissions reduction requirements that ramp up to net-zero emissions in 2050.

The three bills, teed up for debate on Thursday, Jan. 30, with amendments due by Monday, amount to what Senate President Karen Spilka called a "comprehensive plan for the state" to respond to an international issue: global climate change.

"This is a race against time," Spilka told reporters. "Climate change is changing not only Massachusetts and the United States, it is changing the face of our planet, and our planet's survival is at stake."

The carbon pricing and net-zero emissions provisions are both contained in one piece of legislation, dubbed An Act Setting Next-Generation Climate Policy (S 2477). The other bills address energy efficiency (S 2478) and electric vehicles (S 2476).

The electric vehicles bill directs the MBTA to limit its bus purchases and leases to zero-emissions vehicles starting in 2030 and operate an entirely zero-emissions passenger bus fleet by Dec. 31, 2040, according to a Senate Ways and Means Committee summary. To address transportation emissions, it also seeks to make permanent an existing rebate program for consumers buying electric vehicles.

Targeting both MBTA buses and individual car purchases is an approach with the goal of "helping people regardless of income to make sure that the air gets greener and the emissions go down," said Sen. Michael Barrett, co-chair of the Telecommunications, Utilities and Energy Committee.

Barrett said he has been working on assembling the package of legislation since June and that its overall goal is for the state "to do its part in keeping global temperatures below 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels," something he characterized as "very hard to do."

"Actually getting there is really going to take everything Massachusetts can muster," he said. "The language in this bill is very no-nonsense about how we're going to get there."

On carbon pricing, the bill takes a similar approach to language the Senate approved in 2018, leaving it up to the governor and executive branch to choose a specific methodology but setting deadlines for its adoption. That measure did not survive talks with the House last session and was dropped from the clean energy bill that ultimately became law.

Barrett, a Lexington Democrat, has been filing bills since 2013 that propose a revenue-neutral carbon fee, with the money generated returned to Massachusetts citizens.

"For several years the bill struggled," Barrett said. "We did not find traction in the House in particular. I want to be respectful of the legislative branches and respectful of the governor. It seemed to me after two or three years that we weren't moving quickly enough. I decided I wanted to put a price on carbon by any path we could lay our hands on, so I backed away from my preferred method."

Giving latitude to the governor rather than spelling out a specific mechanism helped get more senators on board with the idea of carbon pricing last session, Barrett said.

This year's bill allows the governor to choose among a revenue-neutral fee, a revenue-positive tax, or a cap and trade system like the Transportation Climate Initiative Gov. Charlie Baker is pursuing with other states. It would require a carbon-pricing mechanism to be in effect for the transportation sector by Jan. 1, 2022, for commercial, industrial and institutional buildings by Jan. 1, 2025, and residential buildings by Jan. 1, 2030.

Barrett said the 2030 timeframe for residential carbon pricing is to allow time for cleaner home heating alternatives to evolve and for more energy-efficient homes to be built, in hopes of keeping costs down for homeowners.

The bill's cost implications, for consumers, businesses and property owners, were not the focus of a briefing senators held Thursday morning before the bills were introduced during an 11 a.m. Senate session.

The idea of requiring Massachusetts to speed up its carbon emission reduction efforts and hit net-zero status by 2050 got a significant boost on Beacon Hill this week, with Baker, Spilka and House Speaker Robert DeLeo each declaring their support for the concept. Backing from the governor and the leaders of the two legislative houses creates likelihood that some version of a net-zero emissions policy becomes law this session. Energy and Environmental Affairs Secretary Kathleen Theoharides told the News Service Thursday that she plans to issue a letter of determination in the coming weeks to formally establish a policy of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.

Under the Senate's approach, the secretary of energy and environmental affairs would be required to set the limit of net-zero emissions by 2050, with interim targets every five years, and develop "comprehensive plans" to reach each of those limits. The bill requires that the 2030 limit be at least 50 percent below 1990 levels, and the 2040 limit at least 75 percent below 1990 levels.

A 2008 law requires the state to reduce its emissions to 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050. Emissions must be 25 percent lower by 2020, and the most recent data show that Massachusetts emissions in 2017 were down 22.4 percent from 1990 levels

Since Baker on Tuesday night announced he was committing the state to net-zero emissions in 2050, some advocates have called for the state to pursue a more aggressive approach.

"Changing our emissions goal from '80% reduction by 2050' to 'net zero by 2050' may make no difference in accelerating the Commonwealth's transition from fossil fuels to clean energy," Ben Hellerstein of Environment Massachusetts said, calling for the state to instead entirely eliminate its use of fossil fuels. "Most of the additional emissions reductions could be met through dubious offsets and accounting changes."

The press release Spilka's office issued on the climate legislation included statements of support from Boston Mayor Martin Walsh, the Massachusetts Sierra Club, Northeast Clean Energy Council, the Environmental League of Massachusetts, Acadia Center and the Mass Climate Action Network.

Other elements featured in the carbon emissions-related bill include:

• The establishment of a new Climate Policy Commission, which Barrett said would serve as an independent watchdog over government's response to climate change.

• The creation of a mission statement for the Department of Public Utilities, requiring it to prioritize safety, security, reliability of service, affordability, and emissions reductions.

• Development of a net-zero energy code that municipalities could opt into if they choose to move away from fossil fuels as a heating source.

• Increased membership on the Board of Building Regulation and Standards, including new seats for experts in energy efficiency.

• A requirement that solar energy incentive programs set aside a portion of future allocations for low-income neighborhoods.

Barrett said climate change has moved so quickly that state agencies have not had a chance to catch up.

"The Legislature has to see to it that all the resources of the executive branch are mustered together to reach net-zero by 2050, because this is a heck of a challenge for us, and we can't do it unless everyone has a laser focus and becomes serious about the job rather soon," he said.


The Boston Herald
Thursday, January 23, 2020

Poll shows Massachusetts majority oppose cost of TCI
By Mary Markos

A new statewide poll shows that the majority of Massachusetts residents are circumstantially opposed to the Transportation Climate Initiative, a regional agreement that would raise gas prices in an effort to reduce carbon emissions.

The poll, released Wednesday by the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, found that just over 61 percent of people said they strongly or somewhat oppose Massachusetts joining TCI if neighboring states decide not to join.

“What’s very clear to me is, based off this poll, people do care about making sure Massachusetts has a clean environment,” Mass. Fiscal Alliance spokesman Paul Craney told the Herald. “But when you compare the TCI to issue of taxes, fees and fuel costs, those are paramount. Voters here have strong opinions on making sure those things are affordable. I think it’s because they’re sensitive to the notion of ‘taxachusetts’.”

Governors in New Hampshire, Connecticut, Vermont and Maine have already cast a shadow on the Transportation Climate Initiative, which would implement a gas fee to reduce carbon emissions. Officials have estimated the measure would raise gas prices between 5 to 17 cents per gallon in the first year but it remains unclear how high that cost could rise in subsequent years.

The survey was the first to take the temperature of voters on the issue since a draft agreement came out in December, resulting in New Hampshire’s abrupt rejection of the measure. Commissioned by MassFiscal Alliance and conducted by Jim Eltringham of Advantage Inc, a D.C.-based polling company, 712 likely Massachusetts voters were contacted between Jan. 14-19.

Gov. Charlie Baker doubled down on his support for the controversial Transportation Climate Initiative in his State of the State address Tuesday. His office declined to comment, but pointed to a MassINC poll taken before the draft agreement was released that found two-thirds of voters support the measure.

The regional uncertainty has been a cause for concern for House Speaker Robert DeLeo, who has promised to release his own revenue package for transportation in the coming months. The poll also found that more than 63 percent of Massachusetts voters strongly or somewhat oppose paying the TCI fuel costs and any additional gasoline taxes increased by the legislature.

“Every data set tells a story and it really does tell a story,” Eltringham said. “When people are asked if they support a measure to help environment that has this price tag from their own wallet, that’s when you start seeing the dip.”


State House News Service
Tuesday, January 21, 2020

Pollack Sees TCI on Same Track as RGGI
DeLeo: Emissions Agreement "Very Questionable At This Time"
By Chris Lisinski and Michael P. Norton


The fate of the Massachusetts-led compact to cap vehicle emissions is unclear after multiple governors expressed skepticism about its costs, but state Transportation Secretary Stephanie Pollack believes history shows the concerns will not be fatal.

More than a decade ago, when officials from Northeast states were drafting the framework for the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative program that caps emissions from the energy sector, onlookers raised questions about its viability, Pollack said Tuesday. The Transportation and Climate Initiative, modeled on the 10-state RGGI partnership, now faces similar pressure, and Pollack thinks that it will follow its predecessor once again.

"Right before RGGI was put together, it looked like RGGI was going to fall apart. No states were going to sign on. It wasn't going to happen. People were concerned: too complicated, why would we throw our hat in with the other states, all that stuff," Pollack said at a Tuesday event. "We've heard it all before, worked through it, got to where we are 10 years later."

Despite those concerns, RGGI — which former Gov. Deval Patrick joined in 2007 — has generated $3 billion to invest in the electric grid and participating states have performed 90 percent better than the rest of the country at reducing electric-sector greenhouse gas emissions while watching prices fall, Pollack said.

"We've done it as a group, and this is why Gov. (Charlie) Baker and Lt. Gov (Karyn) Polito and I and Environmental Affairs Secretary (Kathleen) Theoharides are so committed to the Transportation and Climate Initiative: because we know that it can work," Pollack said.

Officials crafting the TCI framework said last month that they are targeting a cap of 20 to 25 percent on emissions from passenger vehicles. Suppliers would be allowed to purchase allowances for every ton of carbon dioxide that will be released by their fuel.

Vehicle emissions are projected to decline between 6 percent and 19 percent without any action due to improvements in fuel efficiency and changing consumer behaviors, according to the TCI's model, but supporters say the program can lock in the reductions at the desired cap.

Achieving that goal would increase gas prices between 5 and 17 cents per gallon, starting in 2022, according to initial estimates. Program leaders are collecting public comments until Feb. 28, after which they will propose a final cap and states will decide whether to remain in the compact.

Concerns have grown since the numbers emerged. The same day as the coalition released its economic forecast, New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu, a Republican, slammed the proposal as a "financial boondoggle" and withdrew his state.

Eleven other states and the District of Columbia are participating in the framework process, but governors in Vermont, Connecticut and Maine have expressed doubt about signing onto the program, as has the House speaker in Rhode Island.

Several opponents argue the emissions reductions sought by the cap are not worth the impact on gas prices, particularly because TCI's own projections shows some or most of the decline will come without any action from the compact.

They also say the higher fuel costs will be passed on to small businesses and commuters.

"Private transportation isn't a luxury in Maine. It's an absolute necessity," Jacob Posik, spokesman for the Maine Heritage Policy think tank, said at a summit of opponents last week, adding that the effects would disproportionately harm low-income residents. "This is a regressive tax that will hurt their bottom line and make it harder for them to get a leg up."

Democratic legislative leaders in Massachusetts have not fully embraced TCI, despite estimates that it could net the state $500 million or more in revenue to reinvest in clean transit.

In an interview on WCVB that aired Sunday, House Speaker Robert DeLeo put a two-year to three-year timeframe on TCI becoming operational and said that's too long to wait. "I don't think we have that luxury," he said.

"I don't think we can rely on something which I would say is very questionable at this time," he said.

While House leaders have delayed their planned debate on transportation revenues, DeLeo said they can't wait much longer.

"We need an immediate infusion of funds relative to the T. I don't think this is anything that can wait. And I think it's about time that we got serious about it," he said. Employers are concerned about the MBTA forcing employees to be late for work, he said, and people need reliable transportation to schools and hospitals.

DeLeo also raised questions about support levels for the multi-state compact.

"I'm not looking to be the person that's going to say that this may be dead on arrival," he said. "But what I'm also smart enough to know, or read anyways, is the fact that as I'm looking at all these surrounding states I really haven't seen any state that has come out in favor of this. Now, maybe if the governor is strong enough, it can change that persuasion, persuade the other states, or governors or whoever he has to convince. Maybe we can have a different discussion, but as we're preparing and as we're talking about transportation, I don't think that is something we can rely on at this time because I think its future is so uncertain."

Pollack said the program is vital to ensure Massachusetts achieves its short- and long-term climate goals, particularly because about 40 percent of all emissions in the state come from the transportation sector.

Increasing the state's 24-cents-per-gallon gas tax is not guaranteed to have the same greenhouse gas reduction goals as TCI, Pollack said, noting that statewide emissions have increased since the last gas tax hike was approved in 2013.

"The best way to simultaneously ensure that we can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and have money to invest is the Transportation and Climate Initiative," Pollack said. "It's not an either/or. We're not saying it's the only revenue source. But I am telling you, without that platform, anyone in this room that believes we need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to save the planet, there is not another idea on the table to do this in the transportation sector."

As a candidate for governor in 2010, Baker said he wasn't sure he supported the compact that Patrick joined.

"I'm willing to participate as long as it doesn't cost Massachusetts jobs and money. I don't know if I'm against it or not. I view that as something that needs to be reviewed," he said at the time.

As governor since 2015, Baker has supported RGGI.


The New Boston Post
Friday, January 24, 2020

A New Boston Post editorial
Precarious Gas Tax Situation Should Have Massachusetts Residents On War Path


Massachusetts is in a dangerous situation. Within the next few months, Governor Charlie Baker may impose a fee on fuel providers that would add up to 17 cents a gallon on gasoline – for starters. (He claims he can do it on his own.) Around the same time, Democratic state legislators could ram through a major increase in the gas tax.

Sky-is-falling climate change activists say these measures are necessary – and not enough, even – to reduce carbon emissions that they say cause climate change, which they say is bad. (Cue our skepticism on every point in that last sentence.) They claim the punitive cost increases will somehow persuade people not to drive where they need to go, and that the money will be used to improve public transportation to the point where people won’t want to drive nearly as much as they do now. (Did you keep a straight face through that last one?)

But let’s focus on cost. Beacon Hill Democrats look at other states’ higher gas taxes with a keeping-up-with-the-Joneses mentality – as if mimicking the relative un-prosperity in high-gas-tax Connecticut is something to be longed for.

They’re also clearly pining for more public funds to feast on – as if they’re being denied the ice cream that all the other kids on the playground are getting.

Yet what if Massachusetts’s current prosperity is in large measure attributable to our relatively low gas tax? (At 26.54 cents per gallon. it’s 30th highest in the nation, and second lowest in New England behind only New Hampshire’s, and the lowest between New Hampshire and Delaware.)

The gas tax hits everyone in Massachusetts, multiple times. There’s the cost at the pump, which hurts poor people who have to drive to work and to the store. It also hurts everyone who sells any products or buys any products, since the vast majority of products need trucks to get where they’re going, which need gasoline or diesel to get there. As some people note, there’s no such thing as free shipping – that cost is figured in somewhere.

Democratic leaders in the state Legislature haven’t said how much more they’d like to take from our debit cards. But imagine come summer a similar increase to what Baker is looking at – let’s see, 17 cents plus 17 cents … that makes 34 cents a gallon.

Yikes.

Charlie Baker and Democrats on Beacon Hill should realize that they didn’t create the golden goose in Massachusetts … but they could kill it.


The Wall Street Journal
Saturday, January 18, 2020
Opinion | Review & Outlook

Inslee’s Climate of Illegality
A court says Washington’s Governor can’t impose cap and trade by fiat.


Good news: The political panic over climate change doesn’t justify one-man rule. That’s the message the Washington Supreme Court delivered this week to Governor Jay Inslee, who tried to impose his command-and-control agenda by fiat.

Perhaps you heard Mr. Inslee for a millisecond in the presidential race last year declaring that climate change is “the most urgent challenge of our time.” He failed to galvanize the masses, much as he failed to persuade the Washington Legislature in 2015 when it rejected his cap-and-trade proposal.

Mr. Inslee then decided to write his own law. “Washingtonians have too much at stake to wait any longer for legislative action,” his office said in a news release at the time. The Washington Department of Ecology proceeded to promulgate its own carbon caps in 2016.

Mr. Inslee's new regulation applied to “direct emitters” like refineries but also “indirect emitters” like fuel distributors, which are not themselves “sources” of carbon-dioxide emissions. To comply, businesses had to cut their emissions or buy carbon credits or invest in carbon offsets. Indirect emitters’ only option was to pay up.

The rule’s total compliance costs could run as high as $6.9 billion over 20 years, according to the Department of Ecology’s economic impact analysis. And the Washington Supreme Court noted that “of those emissions covered by the Rule, approximately 74 percent are generated by the combustion of products sold by natural gas and petroleum product producers and importers.”

The Association of Washington Business and four natural-gas distributors sued. In a 5-4 ruling Thursday, the Washington Supreme Court rebuked Mr. Inslee’s lawless overreach and invalidated the portions of the regulation that apply to businesses that aren’t sources of emissions.

“The plain meaning of the Act’s ‘emissions standards’ definition limits the scope of Ecology’s authority to promulgate emissions standards to those entities that actually emit air pollutants,” Chief Justice Debra Stephens wrote for the majority. “Left unchecked, Ecology’s expansive interpretation of its own authority would sweep many newly branded ‘indirect emitters’ into the regulatory web.” She added that the Legislature is free to write a law that covers indirect emitters.

Democrats control the House and Senate in Washington, and Mr. Inslee is welcome to try to persuade them to adopt his anti-fossil-fuel obsessions. But they’ll have to answer to Washington voters, who will pay in higher energy and other costs. As good progressives like to say, this is what democracy looks like.


The Salem News
Monday, January 20, 2020

States spending big bucks on census prep
By Christian M. Wade, Statehouse Reporter


BOSTON — With political clout in Washington, D.C. and billions of dollars in federal funding at stake, Massachusetts and more than a dozen other states are spending unprecedented amounts of money on outreach and preparations for the 2020 census to get the decennial count right.

Collectively, at least 27 states have spent or committed more than $316 million for the effort, according to data from the National Conference of State Legislatures.

Massachusetts has earmarked at least $6.25 million this fiscal year for 2020 census outreach and preparations, the seventh largest amount among all states.

The state is pegging $3.5 million for competitive grants to community groups and local governments to do public outreach, as well as $2.75 million for technical assistance and post-census work, according to the Secretary of State’s office, which oversees the state’s count. The money was allocated by the Legislature as part of the state budget.

“This is the first time in Massachusetts and other states when an enormous amount of money is being devoted to get a full count,” said Eva Millona, who chairs the state’s Complete Count Committee that is coordinating the outreach. “It’s extremely important that we make these investments, because the census is about power, money and respect.”

Much of the money is going to cities, towns and community organizations, she said, because they have stronger ties and more credibility with hard-to-count populations such as low-income residents, immigrants, transient college students, the elderly, and indigenous peoples.

Millona, who is also executive director of the Massachusetts Immigrant Refugee Advocacy Coalition, said the outreach is aimed at making sure everyone is counted.

It’s a task complicated by misconceptions that the information will be misused and fears of the federal government in many immigrant communities, she said.

In 2010, the U.S. Census Bureau estimates more than 1 in 5 people in Massachusetts did not self-respond to the 2010 census.

Big outreach

To be sure, spending on census outreach in Massachusetts is dwarfed by more populous states like Illinois, New York and California, which are putting huge sums of money toward public education.

California is spending more than any other state — $187 million — and sending workers to knock on doors as part of a mini-census ahead of the nationwide count.

Illinois plans to spend $84.5 million, while Washington is pledging $15.5 million to the effort, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures.

New York is pledging $20 million while New York City, the nation’s most populous city, recently committed to spending $40 million on census preparations.

Texas, New Hampshire and Maine, by comparison, are among about 20 states that haven’t allocated any money specifically for census outreach.

For many states, their spending for 2020 is a significant jump from past decades, including 10 years ago, when the recession restricted many state budgets.

While the U.S. Census Bureau spends $500 million on education and outreach ahead of the count, the agency isn’t providing direct funding to states.

The constitutionally mandated census is required to count the country’s entire population every 10 years. It asks questions about race, marital status and other topics.

But there’s a lot more at stake for state and local governments than vital statistics.

High stakes

Census data determines funding formulas for the next decade for federal spending on infrastructure, health care, education and affordable housing.

More than $1.5 trillion in funding for state and local governments is parceled out according to census data, according to Andrew Reamer, a professor and researcher at the George Washington Institute of Public Policy, who is studying the census’ role in the distribution of federal funds.

Medicare accounted for almost half of the funding, more than $710 billion, according to the research.

Reamer said the sizable expenditures are a safe bet for the states making them, given the amount of federal funding that’s on the table.

“From a taxpayer perspective, the return on that investment could be multiple times what they are spending,” he said. “They stand to get a lot in return.”

In fiscal year 2017, Massachusetts received more than $38.2 billion in federal funding that was connected to census data, Reamer said, citing his latest research.

The federal dollars went to everything from transportation, health care and community development block grants to affordable housing, special education and school breakfast programs.

Besides guiding how federal money is distributed, this year’s census also will determine how many congressional seats each state gets.

Massachusetts, for example, has nine representatives in Congress, which could increase or decrease depending on the count.

The state lost one congressional seat after the 2010 count, when its population — then estimated at 6,547,629 — didn’t grow as fast as the national average.

In 2018, the U.S. Census Bureau’s estimate for Massachusetts population was 6,902,149, a growth of 5.41% in nine years.

Rhode Island — which stands to lose one of its two seats in the U.S. House of Representatives — is spending about $500,000 on census preparations and outreach.

Nonprofit push

States that don’t devote money and resources to census preparation risk under-counting their population, and could risk losing federal dollars to other states.

In New Hampshire, which received more than $3.7 billion in federal funds in fiscal 2016 based on census data, preparations are being supported by nonprofits that are concerned about a loss of federal funding.

A coalition of nonprofits called the New Hampshire Funders Forum has committed to hiring a part-time consultant for census outreach.

“A lot of it is being done at the local level,” said Ken Gallager, a planner with New Hampshire’s Office of Strategic Initiatives who heads the state’s Complete Count Committee. “While it would be nice to have additional funds for outreach, there’s a lot of people coming together to do what they can with their own resources to get the word out.”

Massachusetts has also set up local complete count committees for outreach to officials and community groups that can help ensure more people are counted.

Concerns about undercounted populations were stoked by efforts from the Trump administration to add a citizenship question to the 2020 census. The move was ultimately blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court but not before it raised concerns that immigrants and their families — even those living in the U.S. legally — would avoid the count.

Wendy Underhill, director of elections and redistricting for the National Conference of State Legislatures, said the unprecedented spending on census preparation underscores that a lot is at stake.

“It’s unusual to have this much money pouring into census outreach by states,” she said. “I think it shows that the connection between the census data and federal funding to the states is clearer than it’s ever been. The states understand that if they can get everyone counted, more federal money will flow to them.”

Christian M. Wade covers the Massachusetts Statehouse for The Salem News and its newspapers and websites.

State totals for census funding:

California: $187 million
Illinois: $84.5 million
New York: $20 million
Washington: $15.5 million
New Jersey: $9 million
Oregon: $7.7 million
Massachusetts: $6.25 million
Colorado: $6 million
Maryland: $5 million
Nevada: $5 million
Pennsylvania: $4 million
Georgia: $3.8 million
New Mexico: $3.5 million
Minnesota: $2.2 million
North Carolina: $1.5 million
Virginia: $1.5 million
Alabama: $1.24 million
Utah: $1 million
North Dakota: $1 million
Wisconsin: $1 million
Alaska: $600,000
Missouri: $501,650
Rhode Island: $500,000
Connecticut: $500,000
Michigan: $500,000
Montana: $100,000
Source: National Conference of State Legislatures

 

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