CITIZENS   FOR  LIMITED  TAXATION  &  GOVERNMENT
and the
Citizens Economic Research Foundation

 

CLT UPDATE
Sunday, October 13, 2002

Finneran's Fiscal Crisis, Act II opens soon


Acting Gov. Jane M. Swift is threatening to impose another $65 million in devastating budget cuts on cops, nurses, seniors, the mentally ill and disabled poor - if lawmakers "hide their heads under the blanket" about the state's deepening fiscal crisis....

The deepening crisis is sparking cries for more tax hikes, on top of last year's $1.2 billion package.

Boston Mayor Thomas M. Menino is agitating for a local-option meals-tax hike, and the Massachusetts Mayors Association is likely to make a major push to raise the income tax back to 5.95 percent - where it was before voters rolled it back in 2000.

"It's hard to imagine, based on the pain throughout the budget, that you could do it without revenues," said MMA President Ed Lambert, mayor of Fall River.

The Boston Herald
Oct. 13, 2002
Swift threatens to whack budget again


These are mayors, 25 of them, who have come to endorse O'Brien and her running mate, Chris Gabrieli.

They gather in a small room with paneled walls, where boxes of coffee, jugs of orange juice, and baskets of muffins are set out on a long table. O'Brien and Gabrieli mingle among them, as the mayors shake hands and exchange near-identical greetings: "How are you, Mayor?"

In the middle of the room, Mayor Thomas M. Menino of Boston talks with Mayor Edward M. Lambert Jr. of Fall River and Mayor John Barrett III of North Adams...

The Boston Globe
Oct. 13, 2002
Excerpt - Trail Report - The Week
By Joanna Weiss


But legislative leaders have thus far shown little interest as Swift - a lame-duck leader with a diminishing number of allies - urges them to close a $100 million hole her administration says remains despite the acting governor's slicing of $202 million from the state budget Thursday.

House Speaker Thomas M. Finneran isn't commenting publicly on the chances of returning to formal sessions before January, and he seems more focused on electing Shannon O'Brien governor. Thomas F. Birmingham, Senate president - himself a lame duck after his failed bid for governor - has questioned whether the fiscal situation is as dire.

In response, Swift's aides are circulating a list of $60 million in proposed cuts to popular programs ...

"We're prepared to do these things - we don't want to do them, but the fiscal health of the Commonwealth supercedes everything else," a senior Swift administration official said. "The Legislature needs to act, and they need to act now."

The Boston Globe
Oct. 13, 2002
Swift urges budget session
But top lawmakers balk at new cuts


We had a local display of this skill this week in North Andover when a trio of state lawmakers came to take the heat off town and school officials for the scare tactics used in an attempt to pass a $4 million Proposition 2½ override....

Almost immediately after the override failed by a 2-1 margin, town leaders announced there would be no jobs lost....

This is all part of a little theater that happens every budget season. The Legislature wails that vital programs are on the line. "And we'll have to cut state aid!" they shout.

This puts town budget planners into a frenzy and causes them to issue dire forecasts of their own.

Once everyone is in full crisis mode, the Speaker of the House steps center stage and says softly, "Well, I could prevent this disaster from happening ... but I'll have to raise your taxes."

Then a great chorus of cheering arises from the public employee unions and advocacy groups of every stripe. "Yes, please, raise our taxes. It's the responsible thing to do."

An Eagle-Tribune editorial
Oct. 10, 2002
Take your lumps and move on


With reserves at much lower levels and next fiscal year's projected spending and revenue gap estimated at somewhere between $1 billion and $2 billion, there's a sense in the building that another major tax hike may be on the short-term horizon.

State House News Service
Advances - Week of Oct. 14, 2002


The next round of welfare reform ensures Massachusetts - with the country's most generous welfare program - will likely have to work harder than any other state to get thousands more people working.

If a bill pending in Washington becomes law, Massachusetts would have to drastically alter its work requirements, now the country's most liberal. Only about 9 percent of the state's welfare recipients work, and that rate would have to increase to 50 percent in 2005 and 70 percent in 2007.

Associated Press
Oct. 7, 2002
State bracing for next welfare-to-work change


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

Remember this date, folks: This is the week leaders of "The Best Legislature Money Can Buy" sacrificed "the most vulnerable among us" as cannon fodder, the week they abandoned the pawns in their eternal pursuit of another massive tax increase, soon to become the next "Biggest Tax Increase in State History" if they have their way with us again.

Our "full-time" legislators - out on taxpayer-paid vacation for the past three months -- are refusing to return to work even to confront what they'll term the next fiscal crisis once it's too late to fix, once too much of the various department budgets have been spent, once they can claim that another massive tax increase is "now the only solution!"

The usual cast of Gimme Lobby characters has been recruited, reassembled and given their scripts -- Mayor Tom Menino and Ed Lambert have signed on to reprise the roles they played so well in Finneran's stage production just last year.

Playwright and director Tom Finneran of "The Best Legislature Money Can Buy" troupe again will star in the leading role of "Mr. Fiscal Conservative." As usual, during pre-production he will remain "unavailable for comment." But he's warming up his "Straight Talk Express" tour bus for another statewide road extravaganza to promote the grand opening of his next stage production, "Return of the Fiscal Crisis."

Auditioning for the role of leading lady in the latest Finneran production is Shannon O'Brien, nominated for an Enron for her recent role in "The Vanishing Pension Fund."

Production startup support again will be provided by the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation, always dependable as Finneran production backers.

Auditions for walk-on parts in front of the State House will be scheduled soon for card-carrying members of TEAM, the Human Services Coalition, teachers union bosses, and other veterans of the Gimme Lobby actors guild. Applications for these minor roles are expected to be numerous, but the production budget is generous enough to provide for a cast of thousands.

Many critics of last year's production -- "Fiscal Crisis: The Sky is Falling!" -- complained that the plot was too predictable yet unbelievable; nonetheless box office receipts netted over $1.2 Billion - a record profit for the tax-and-spend industry.

Can a sequel released so soon on the heels of the original production and following the original plot so closely have the same impact on the audience? Much will depend on whether Tom Finneran can maintain a credible performance as "Mr. Fiscal Conservative," and on whether his supporting cast can deliver.

Can a sequel released so soon on the heels of the original production and mirroring the original plot have the same impact on the audience? Much will depend on whether Tom Finneran can maintain a credible performance as "Mr. Fiscal Conservative," and on whether his supporting cast can deliver.


***  A CLT BLAST FROM THE PAST  ***

To be sure, the frenzied goings-on at the Statehouse this week are in large part political theater. House Speaker Thomas M. Finneran and his inside circle wrote the script weeks ago and now are making sure that the painstaking choreography is followed step for step.

But make no mistake: Finneran & Co. couldn't mount this lavish production without the rank-and-file chorus that dances so lively to their tune.

A Telegram & Gazette editorial
May 3, 2002
Beacon Hill dance


Now's your last and only chance, folks. Toss some of the bad actors off the stage while you can, before "Return of the Fiscal Crisis" is playing at a theater near you. You know who they are, you've read the reviews.

Chip Ford


The Boston Herald
Sunday, October 13, 2002

Swift threatens to whack budget again
by Elisabeth J. Beardsley

Acting Gov. Jane M. Swift is threatening to impose another $65 million in devastating budget cuts on cops, nurses, seniors, the mentally ill and disabled poor - if lawmakers "hide their heads under the blanket" about the state's deepening fiscal crisis.

The new wave of potential budget-slashing measures comes immediately in the wake of $202 million in cuts Swift made this week, as the state struggles with a $300 million cash shortfall and a structural deficit approaching $2 billion.

"The people impacted will be significantly and exponentially worse because people failed to live up to their responsibilities," Swift said as she unveiled the cuts Thursday.

With her unilateral budget-balancing powers limited to about two-thirds of the $23 billion state budget, Swift plans to lay down the law with House Speaker Thomas M. Finneran and Senate President Thomas F. Birmingham when the trio huddle Tuesday in an emergency summit.

Swift is asking lawmakers to reconsider their opposition to revenue-raising proposals such as scaling back Lottery prizes or forcing higher-paid state workers to pay more for health care.

Lawmakers also are being asked to kick 50,000 people off state-sponsored health care two months earlier than planned, trim the welfare program and institute a second early retirement program.

If the Legislature doesn't do its part to close the last $100 million of the revenue gap, administration officials say, Swift is prepared to impose some "pretty bad stuff."

Swift is boring in on the $6 billion Medicaid program - the largest and fastest-growing account in state government - which provides health care to nearly 1 million of the state's poorest residents.

All 12,500 low-income disabled adults who receive health care through the CommonHealth program would lose their pharmacy or hospital coverage under a $10 million cut Swift is preparing.

And Swift is planning to save $5 million by freezing enrollments in Medicaid's family assistance program, which provides health care to families marginally above the federal poverty line - $1,665 of income per month for a family of three.

While public-safety programs have been held beyond harm in the year since Sept. 11, Swift is eyeing a drastic cut in community policing.

The 40 percent reduction would yank $8 million away from cops in urban areas, where crime has been on the rise during the last year.

Boston would lose $1.6 million under the potential cut. Lawrence would lose $491,000, and $373,000 would be taken from Worcester.

Swift also is looking to slash reimbursements for the Quinn law, which provides salary incentives to cops who go back to college.

The state currently picks up half the Quinn law tab, splitting the costs down the middle with cities and towns. But Swift's $7 million cut would force cities and towns to pay for 60 percent.

Boston would take a $1.5 million hit under the Quinn law cut. Springfield would lose $400,000, and Worcester would lose $290,000.

Swift also is looking to incinerate the state's $680,000 program to train 1,040 certified nursing assistants, who are in high demand for nursing homes struggling with severe staffing shortages.

And nursing homes could face a major influx of patients under a $6.5 million cut Swift is mulling for the elder home-care program.

That program, which serves 5,454 seniors, was spared during the latest round of cuts after an aggressive activist lobbying effort.

Swift also is considering wiping out the $3.8 million psychiatric day treatment program, which serves 3,000 people. Another 5,200 recovering addicts would lose follow-up services under a $3 million cut that would blow up the state's entire post-detox program.

The single largest threatened cut would fall on welfare mothers, as Swift prepares to slash cash payments by 10 percent - snatching back a cost-of-living increase lawmakers just approved.

The $21 million cut would mean that 49,069 families would see their payments scaled back to $449 a month, from $498.

Swift has not issued an ultimatum date, but administration officials say she would impose the cuts on her way out of office if lawmakers haven't acted by the end of the year.

The deepening crisis is sparking cries for more tax hikes, on top of last year's $1.2 billion package.

Boston Mayor Thomas M. Menino is agitating for a local-option meals-tax hike, and the Massachusetts Mayors Association is likely to make a major push to raise the income tax back to 5.95 percent - where it was before voters rolled it back in 2000.

"It's hard to imagine, based on the pain throughout the budget, that you could do it without revenues," said MMA President Ed Lambert, mayor of Fall River.

The rising tax-hike talk has prompted GOP gubernatorial candidate Mitt Romney to argue that installing a Republican in the Corner Office is the only way to protect the economy from tax-and-spend Democrats.

"We can't balance the budget the Shannon O'Brien way - by raising taxes," Romney spokesman Eric Fehrnstrom said. "That will only drive our economy deeper into recession."

Democratic hopeful O'Brien, meanwhile, pounced on Swift's challenge to constitutional officers to voluntarily cut costs by 2 percent.

"We'll do everything that we can to accommodate the governor," said O'Brien, noting that she voluntarily trimmed Treasury spending by 5 percent last year and squeezed $1 million out of the Lottery.

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The Boston Globe
Sunday, October 13, 2002

Swift urges budget session
But top lawmakers balk at new cuts

By Rick Klein
Globe Staff

With the state's political energy largely trained on the contentious race for governor, Acting Governor Jane Swift is seeking to haul state lawmakers back into session to help deal with a looming budget crisis.

But legislative leaders have thus far shown little interest as Swift - a lame-duck leader with a diminishing number of allies - urges them to close a $100 million hole her administration says remains despite the acting governor's slicing of $202 million from the state budget Thursday.

House Speaker Thomas M. Finneran isn't commenting publicly on the chances of returning to formal sessions before January, and he seems more focused on electing Shannon O'Brien governor. Thomas F. Birmingham, Senate president - himself a lame duck after his failed bid for governor - has questioned whether the fiscal situation is as dire.

In response, Swift's aides are circulating a list of $60 million in proposed cuts to popular programs - gutting home-care assistance for the elderly and shaving educational bonuses paid to police under the Quinn bill program, for example - and sending the message that the cuts will become reality unless the Legislature acts quickly to help her come up with alternative ways to save money.

"We're prepared to do these things - we don't want to do them, but the fiscal health of the Commonwealth supercedes everything else," a senior Swift administration official said. "The Legislature needs to act, and they need to act now."

The cuts being threatened by Swift include a $20.9 million reduction in welfare aid to families with children, which means some of the state's poorest families would get $50 less per month; elimination of prescription drug coverage to lower-income adults with disabilities, which costs $10 million; and a $6.5 reduction in the elder home-care program, which is designed to keep seniors out of nursing homes. She is also eyeing a 40 percent cut in community policing grants, to save $8 million, and a $8 million reduction in the Quinn bill program, certain to upset the powerful police union.

Her top aides say she will make those cuts and others unilaterally, perhaps as early as next month, if the House and Senate don't come back into session to address the budget situation. The state Constitution permits Swift to invoke emergency powers to make cuts when she determines that tax revenues will not be enough to cover budget obligations. She used those powers Thursday when she imposed the $202 million in cuts, eviscerating the state's antismoking program and eliminating eyeglass and hearing aid benefits for adult Medicaid recipients, among other programs.

Swift is scheduled to meet with Finneran and Birmingham on Tuesday. Her release of the list of proposed cuts is designed to increase public pressure on them to reconvene the session - which ended July 31 - and adopt money-saving suggestions that Swift has offered to avoid cuts. She wants them to reconsider ideas such as reducing the size of prizes awarded in the state lottery and forcing better-paid state workers to contribute more to their health insurance.

Swift's recent moves, and the reactions from Finneran and Birmingham, reveal as much about the state's current political situation as its fiscal condition. The acting governor has experienced a rocky year, having ended her campaign for governor and having been eclipsed by the Republican gubernatorial candidate, Mitt Romney. She is eager to be relevant, and elevate her public standing before she leaves office, and her advisers are convinced that a get-tough approach to the budget is not only responsible, it's politically smart. They say the legacy she leaves will be a balanced budget.

Birmingham is on his way out - his failed bid for governor meant he couldn't seek reelection to his Senate seat - and he and his colleagues may prefer that Swift handle it on her own.

But Birmingham is also questioning whether the state's economic situation is really as dire as Swift is insisting.

Birmingham said last week that the budget gap Swift describes is not an actual shortage of funds, but a projected deficit based on economists' recent predictions that the Massachusetts economy will not rebound strongly early next year as expected. Indeed, the state collected $91 million more than expected in tax receipts last month - up 2.5 percent over the same period last year.

Finneran hasn't commented publicly on fiscal matters since Swift announced the cuts, though his chief budget writer, John H. Rogers, the House Ways and Means chairman, sent a letter that same day saying the budget gap could be far worse than Swift has said: from $500 million to $700 million this year.

Nonetheless, aides to Finneran and Rogers have said the House is unlikely to embrace ideas put forward by Swift that members have already turned down, such as shrinking lottery prizes.

Mark C. Montigny, the Senate Ways and Means chairman, said none of Swift's cost-saving proposals can be ruled out, but he's not convinced that any of them are necessary. He said he hopes that Swift will use Tuesday's meeting to convince legislative leaders - and, by extension, rank-and-file lawmakers - that the situation requires immediate action.

"You must show, with significant factual and numeric evidence, that this deficit is this sizeable and this troubling," said Montigny, a New Bedford Democrat. "That's the only thing that requires drastic action when you've already cut the budget and the first-quarter revenue numbers are above expectations."

Meanwhile, the Swift administration is hoping that advocates and beneficiaries of the programs that are facing further cuts will contact their elected representatives and call on them to act.

Other items on the list include a $3 million cut to programs for recovering drug addicts and a $5 million reduction to Medicaid that would force the state to freeze enrollment under the MassHealth family assistance program, which provides health care to families with incomes 133 percent to 150 percent above the poverty line.

The administration official interviewed by the Globe stressed that the fiscal crisis is real and that Swift will make the cuts if she must.

"This is not an effort to bluff," he said.

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The Lawrence Eagle-Tribune
Thursday, October 10, 2002

Editorial
Take your lumps and move on

OUR VIEW
If there is one hallmark of poor leadership it is the constant search for "plausible deniability," the ability to claim no responsibility at all for anything bad that happens.

If there is one hallmark of poor leadership it is the constant search for "plausible deniability," the ability to claim no responsibility at all for anything bad that happens. Politicians are masters of plausible deniability, of seeking cover for their actions.

We had a local display of this skill this week in North Andover when a trio of state lawmakers came to take the heat off town and school officials for the scare tactics used in an attempt to pass a $4 million Proposition 2½ override. The locals were eager to dive for the cover offered by the state politicos as they have been taking quite a rhetorical beating from anti-tax forces in town.

Superintendent William Allen had told voters that without the override, 47 teachers would lose their jobs. Others predicted cuts in services. The predictions were based on an expectation that state aid to the community would be cut 10 percent.

Almost immediately after the override failed by a 2-1 margin, town leaders announced there would be no jobs lost.

This week, state Rep. David M. Torrisi, D-North Andover, and state Sens. Bruce E. Tarr, R-Gloucester, and Steven A. Baddour, D-Methuen, came to town to take blame for it all. State legislators had failed to get a budget approved on time so the local aid figures were uncertain. "You did the right thing" planning for a 10 percent cut, Torrisi said.

That is utter nonsense. It was apparent well before the vote on May 21 that towns would not suffer great aid cuts.

"I think level funding is a good possibility, and possibly even a slight increase," Tarr said in an Eagle-Tribune story published May 19.

This is all part of a little theater that happens every budget season. The Legislature wails that vital programs are on the line. "And we'll have to cut state aid!" they shout.

This puts town budget planners into a frenzy and causes them to issue dire forecasts of their own.

Once everyone is in full crisis mode, the Speaker of the House steps center stage and says softly, "Well, I could prevent this disaster from happening ... but I'll have to raise your taxes."

Then a great chorus of cheering arises from the public employee unions and advocacy groups of every stripe. "Yes, please, raise our taxes. It's the responsible thing to do."

We've seen this show many times. It doesn't get better with age. North Andover leaders who supported the unnecessary override would do well to take their lumps and move on.

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State House News Service
Advances - Week of October 14, 2002

With reserves at much lower levels and next fiscal year's projected spending and revenue gap estimated at somewhere between $1 billion and $2 billion, there's a sense in the building that another major tax hike may be on the short-term horizon.

On the campaign trail, Democratic gubernatorial nominee Shannon O'Brien says new revenues might need to be part of a solution, in addition to extricating wasteful spending and advancing innovative savings plans.

Republican gubernatorial candidate Mitt Romney also is intent on cutting waste and harnessing savings, but has pledged to fight any effort to raise taxes, although his opposition won't matter if Democrats can muster the two thirds vote needed to override vetoes.

That's a big question right now. No one can intelligently answer it. Democrats overwhelmingly control the Legislature and the political backlash over raising taxes does not appear to be very severe this year. Few incumbents appear to be at risk of losing their seats.

Will that embolden them to raise taxes again, or will they view another tax hike as too politically risky and too damaging to the economy?

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Associated Press
Monday, October 7, 2002

State bracing for next welfare-to-work change
By Ron DePasquale

BOSTON - The next round of welfare reform ensures Massachusetts - with the country's most generous welfare program -- will likely have to work harder than any other state to get thousands more people working.

If a bill pending in Washington becomes law, Massachusetts would have to drastically alter its work requirements, now the country's most liberal. Only about 9 percent of the state's welfare recipients work, and that rate would have to increase to 50 percent in 2005 and 70 percent in 2007.

"It is very expensive to put people to work, especially if it means creating public sector jobs," said Katherine Newman of Harvard's Kennedy School of Government. "There are many benefits of course - people who work feel much better about themselves, they see a future ahead. It's a laudatory ambition, but it's costly."

The House version of the welfare bill, backed by President Bush, also has stoked a debate over whether welfare programs should be focused on work or education. The bill would mandate recipients work 40 hours a week, including at least 24 hours of actual labor, leaving up to 16 hours eligible for job training and schooling.

The debate also reaches the state level, and gubernatorial candidates Shannon P. O'Brien and Mitt Romney differ on the issue. The state's 20-hour work requirement does not allow for education or training. Romney, a Republican, supports the requirement, while O'Brien, a Democrat, has called for allowing education to count.

The issue could become moot, however, as support for a nationwide system grows in Washington.

A divided Congress has passed a three-month extension of the current law, which went into effect in 1996. Members of the Democratic-controlled Senate have proposed a 30-hour workweek and more money for child care, while the White House has threatened to veto anything it deems too lenient and too costly. If an agreement isn't reached, the old law will be reauthorized for at least another year, if not more.

In Massachusetts, no recipient in the state with children 6 or younger has to work. In 48 other states, the cutoff is 2 years or less; in Texas, it's age 3. Some states only give mothers three months before they must return to work.

Options for meeting the new requirements won't be popular, observers say. Groups that could have to work include parents with children aged 2 to 5, who make up 22 percent of the state's caseload, and people who receive state disability benefits - but don't meet standards to receive federal disability - another 12 percent of the state's rolls.

The average Massachusetts recipient receives $497 a month. The amount depends on income and dependents.

Advocates for the poor, such as Jeffrey Haywood of the United Way of Massachusetts Bay, agree that as many people as possible should be moved off welfare as possible, but say during a down economy, former recipients with little to no training simply return to welfare. Untrained workers may be off welfare but are collecting several other kinds of aid, such as food stamps or housing assistance, Haywood said.

"If the goal is to reduce the caseload, congratulations, you've done it," said Haywood, the agency's vice president of public policy. "But if the goal is to get people to the point where they're self-sufficient, and don't need any benefits, then an intensive two-year investment in education will benefit everyone in the long run."

Reform proponents such as Robert Rechter of the conservative Heritage Foundation say the same arguments were made against the 1996 reforms, which he said have been an overwhelming success. The failure of a quarter century of education-focused programs provided the impetus for welfare reform, he said.

"Combining work and education can really communicate the message that you're going to have to work to support yourself for the rest of your life, so you can really apply your education," Rechter said.

Child poverty is at its lowest since the early 1970s, census data show. The booming '90s economy played a role in lifting people out of poverty, but so did welfare reform, Rechter said.

Pushing recipients toward either work or education is a false choice, because one should amplify the lessons of the other, said John Wagner, the state's welfare commissioner. And while many of the people left on welfare rolls have checkered work histories, along with substance and domestic abuse problems, most would still prefer to work, he said.

"One thing we learned through welfare reform is when you expect things from welfare recipients, they usually perform," Wagner said.

Riei, who is 23, pregnant and single, and didn't want her last name used, said she would want to return to work by the time her child turned 2, but she knows going to school, working 24 hours a week and raising her child by herself wouldn't be easy.

"It's hard to manage around here, especially with how expensive it is to live," she said. "A lot of people my age are living with their parents, because they can't afford apartments. Or they're on some kind of assistance."

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