CITIZENS   FOR  LIMITED  TAXATION  &  GOVERNMENT
and the
Citizens Economic Research Foundation

 

NEWS RELEASE
Monday, April 29, 2002

Memo to the Legislature:

Another "temporary" tax increase?
Oh my aching head!
From Barbara Anderson


For Immediate Release
Contact: Chip Ford - (781) 631-6842

Can't I sleep even for a week without the Legislature flying out to raise taxes through the clouds?

I know, I know, "the sky is falling" we've been assured ad nauseum, so this should make it easier to reach the stratosphere, your leaders think. But the Finneran Gambit is flopping, few are buying his manipulative "scorched earth" House budget proposal. We know you're intelligent enough not to buy it either, and hope you're courageous enough as well.

House Ways & Means chairman John Rogers noted (in his letter to you on Apr. 26), "The facts of our structural imbalance are undeniable: if there was no fiscal crisis, stakeholders would expect and anticipate a Fiscal Year 2003 budget of about $24 billion. In Fiscal Year 2003, anticipated revenue will only amount to $21.3 billion. Those figures represent a shortfall of $2.7 billion ..."

The curious term "stakeholders" aside - "expect and anticipate"? "Shortfall"? My goodness, we should all be grateful that he didn't "anticipate" a $30 billion budget, or we'd now be hearing the alarm bells going off over a fiscal crisis magnitude of $8.7 billion!

Do you remember the last time Massachusetts survived on a mere $21.3 billion budget?

You certainly should: It was only two years ago, FY'01.

In FY'00, the budget was only $20 billion and the commonwealth managed nicely, growing from the paltry $19 billion in FY'99. We somehow even survived with a $12 billion budget as late as just 1991, if you can imagine that!

There may be a spending crisis for those accustomed to billion-dollar annual spending increases, but there certainly is no fiscal crisis ... except as a ploy to win a long-running battle to raise taxes and increase state spending ad infinitum.

On Saturday, AP reported, according to the U.S. Commerce Department: "Breaking out of the doldrums, the economy grew in the first quarter at a 5.8 percent annual rate, its strongest performance in more than two years and proof positive that last year's recession is history.... Based on the current GDP data, the drop in economic output during the recession was a small 0.3 percent, which would be the mildest on record. That record has been held by the1969-1970 recession, when GDP fell 0.6 percent."

The mildest recession on record is over, but "temporary" tax increases - all tax increases - usually are forever.

The Legislature again got us into this "fiscal crisis," by spending or squirreling away almost every cent of surplus taxpayer money that rolled in, simply to avoid keeping its 13-year old promise of a "temporary" tax increase. 59 percent of your constituents thought 13 years was long enough and finally kept the promise for you in November of 2000. Please don't disrespect them and force us to keep another promise for you again.

/s/ Barbara (Rip van) Anderson

-30-


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

Well here we are, folks: It's Tax Hike Week in Taxachusetts again.

You just read [above] the memo that's being hand-delivered by Chip Faulkner to every member of the Legislature, and will be faxed to every media outlet in the state. (I've already sent it out to those for which I have an e-mail address.)

Isn't it fascinating, as we pointed out, that this is in no way a "fiscal crisis," but instead a disappointment of diminished expectations and anticipations, as recognized by House Ways and Means chairman John Rogers?

Legislators and "stakeholders" (I think we know who he meant by that) are crushed that they can't spend an additional billion dollars next fiscal year, and thus their fabricated "crisis" was reached!

Talk about "fuzzy math" -- their alleged "the sky is falling" $2.7 billion "shortfall" is based on ridiculous expectations that billion dollar annual surpluses would continue to roll in for them to spend, increasing the size and cost of state government a billion dollars more every year forever!

The only "crisis" is that they can't spend even more ... without first taking even more from taxpayers.

I was able to talk Barbara out of her idea to have us roll her up to the State House in a wheelchair (wearing the helmet she must don whenever she gets out of her hospital bed), carrying a sign: "'Temporary' tax hike; Oh my aching head!" She's improving by the day, but she's not ready for that yet, and I very much doubt her doctors would have approved it anyway!

So we worked on the memo yesterday and settled on her slogan instead as the title for her CLT memo. (It was just too good to resist!)


The Boston Herald
Monday, April 29, 2002

A Boston Herald editorial
Curtain goes up on tax hike drama

The curtain is about to rise on a classic Beacon Hill melodrama - a tale of agony and pain, a tale of sacrifice and deprivation, deprivation that can only be ended by ... tax hikes!

But then you knew that, didn't you?

Yes, it will be a week of demonstrations from advocates for all manner of worthy causes as the House begins debate tomorrow on a menu of possible tax hikes.

The House Ways and Means Committee released its doomsday budget at the end of last week. It proposes to make some $1.5 billion in spending cuts - some to programs that can surely take a hit (How many anti-smoking ads does a state really need?) and some to programs it would be cruel to cut (Methadone clinics! What could they be thinking?).

And the loyal sheep who are the House members are expected to respond by doing the only sensible thing - raising taxes.

In a memo issued last Friday Steve Crosby, chief of staff to acting Gov. Jane Swift, tried to stake out a sensible middle ground - both on the issue of tax hikes and spending cuts.

"The Swift administration remains opposed to tax increases," Crosby wrote. "This is not because of a mindless belief that any tax increase under any circumstances is inappropriate. Rather, this position stems from our deep appreciation of the positive effects on the state's economy and fiscal condition that has been created by establishing fair and competitive tax rates ..."

The governor has put on the table other revenue sources that would not hurt the taxpayers of this state nor break faith with those who voted to lower the income tax rate and for the first time add a charitable deduction. Those alternatives include $274 million more for local aid by reducing the payout to Lottery players, $146 million more from the tobacco settlement (that's 100 percent of the annual payment) and $300 million more from the state's cash reserves (above the $500 million House Ways and Means proposes). The high heavens would not fall if any of this were done this year. And when the economy picks up each and every one of these issues could be revisited.

Crosby cautions that those watching the budget debate "not be misled by scare tactics that overstate the problem" - or, we would add, point to a solution that would do untold damage to the economy of this state and to its people.

Like all economic downturns, this one will end - likely sooner rather than later. Employment remains astonishingly strong, so too does economic growth.

Voters aren't being fooled by scare tactics; neither should legislators.


The Boston Herald
Monday, April 29, 2002

Outnumbered House Republicans plot strategy
to fight tax hikes

by Elisabeth J. Beardsley

Vastly outnumbered House Republicans are preparing to cause a public ruckus as they dig in against an avalanche of Democrat-backed tax hikes.

The House is slated to begin debating tax hikes today, with most attention focused on freezing the voter-approved income tax cut, increasing the capital gains tax and ratcheting up the cigarette tax.

Lacking the numbers to stop tax hikes, House Republicans plan to exercise the only power they have - forcing roll call votes so that each lawmaker has to take a public stand in an election year.

"The problem in the House of Representatives is not that we vote too much," said Assistant House Minority Leader Brad Jones.

Support for tax increases seems to be crystallizing in the wake of last week's release of the House budget plan, which slashes $1.5 billion from core programs including education and Medicaid.

Thousands of protesters are expected to swarm the State House this week, as lawmakers discuss hike taxes for the first time in a decade.

Republicans are also pushing for separate votes on each tax increase - fearing Democrats will try to bundle multiple tax hikes into a single package, as a way of minimizing the political damage.

"If the Democratic Party is looking for some level of gubernatorial support, they should be looking at them as separate pieces," Jones said.

Acting Gov. Jane Swift, who recently abandoned her "no new taxes" pledge, recoiled from the House's slash-and-burn budget, accusing Speaker Thomas Finneran of "hyperbole and false choices." Swift warned she would automatically veto all tax hikes, if lawmakers don't accept her plan to raise money by curtailing Lottery payouts and by dipping deeper into the state's tobacco settlement.

Finneran's spokesman, Charlie Rasmussen, declined comment on the GOP complaints. Finneran's lieutenants spent the weekend calling rank-and-file members, gauging the appetite for taxes.

Those poll results, which were not available yesterday, will be used to produce an omnibus tax hike package, Rasmussen said.

Serious floor action isn't expected until after tomorrow - the deadline for election-year challengers to incumbent lawmakers.

"Wednesday is the day the pedal hits the metal," Rasmussen said.


The Boston Globe
Monday, April 29, 2002

A Boston Globe editorial
The 5.6 percent solution

As the Massachusetts House begins debate on tax increases this week, Speaker Thomas Finneran has starkly laid out the choices. Legislators need to raise more revenue for state government or risk the progress that has been made on education and health care over the past decade. As they ponder solutions, they should focus on those taxes that raise the most revenue in the most progressive manner - and that can only mean the income tax.

Finneran believes that the state faces a $2 billion budget shortfall in the 2003 fiscal year, which begins July 1. He proposes to address it on a three-part basis - one-third by using reserves, one-third by budget cuts, and one-third by new revenues. It would be better to go higher on revenues and spare the reserves and essential programs. The reserves in particular need to be used prudently in case they are needed in the future and to make it easier to rebuild them for the next recession.

Even the speaker's approach would require the Legislature to raise roughly $700 million, so small increases in taxes will hardly be enough. One popular approach is to raise the cigarette tax by 50 cents, and that's worth doing if the money from this deadly addiction is used for health-related programs. But a 50-cent increase would raise only $150 million. A higher tax might actually be self-limiting for good reason (people might stop smoking) and bad (smugglers might bring in cigarettes from low-tax states).

To get really big money, the Legislature could raise the 5 percent sales tax, but there is little support for doing that. A 1 percent increase would yield $750 million, according to the House analysis, but the sales tax is regressive. Even with the exclusion for food and most clothing, it affects people of limited means the most.

The state income tax is the largest source of revenue for Massachusetts. In November 2000 voters passed a ballot measure to lower the income tax from 5.85 to 5 percent over three years in expectation that economic growth would yield enough money to prevent cuts in state programs. The recession began a month later, and those projections proved as ephemeral as Internet company profits.

We on this page believe that the budget crisis is best resolved by temporarily returning the rate to last year's 5.6 percent and tying future reductions to economic growth. This would preserve a bit of the cut, as supported by the electorate, but it would also acknowledge the wretched timing of the initiative petition. A return to 5.6 percent would generate $685 million in fiscal 2003 and go far to resolve the crisis.

Talk at the State House seems to favor a freeze at the present rate, 5.3 percent, but that would generate only $230 million. The legislators will have to do better.

Some are looking at reducing the personal exemption to the income tax, which stands at $4,400 per person. But excluding the first $4,400 in income from taxation adds an important element of progressivity to the state tax code. It should not be reduced when other alternatives are available.

Instead, legislators should address the bizarre capital gains tax structure, which varies from 12 percent on any stock or other asset held for only a year to zero if the asset is held six years or more. This law was whisked through a somnolent Legislature in 1994 in a deal to get Governor Weld to sign a legislative pay raise. It is supposed to encourage long-term investments, but the federal tax, which was reduced from 28 to 20 percent in 1997, has far more impact on such decisions. Finneran's suggestion that all capital gains be taxed as regular income has merit.

The Legislature is able to examine tax options at its leisure only because Acting Governor Jane Swift, Finneran, and Senate President Thomas Birmingham were able to reach agreement on closing the budget gap this fiscal year. But they relied solely on reserves and a reduction in the annual contribution to the pension investment fund. The Legislature should not be tempted to try many such gimmicks next year.

For all the concern about tax increases, the amount of money being considered, when spread out over all the state's taxpayers, is relatively small. For a single person earning $50,000 a year, the difference between a 5 percent and a 5.6 percent tax rate would be $5 a week. The Legislature should not be afraid to impose small additional burdens on taxpayers to prevent harm to the programs that provide for the common good.

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