CITIZENS   FOR  LIMITED  TAXATION  &  GOVERNMENT
and the
Citizens Economic Research Foundation

 

CLT Update
Saturday, March 9, 2002

"Fiscal nightmare" fraud exposed


HOUSE REVENUE GROUP'S FINAL HEARING ON
"WAYS TO GROW REVENUE"

Tuesday, 10:00 am
Gardner Auditorium in the State House

CLT will be there, and invites you to join us!


"The squeeze comes from excessive tax cuts that were too optimistic and went too far," said Jim St. George, director of Tax Equity Alliance for Massachusetts (TEAM) and the TEAM Education Fund.... "In the late '80s the budget shortfall was the result of excessive spending. This time it's very clear that overly ambitious tax cuts are the problem."

[Natick Selectman Jeff Stern said] "The only true way out is to repeal 2½."

Selectman Paul McKinley agrees.

"Even when the economy turns around - and it will - it won't be sufficient to solve the problem," he said. "Until the state or the voters undo or revise [Proposition 2½] so that it is based on a rational economic indicator, the town will forever be fighting the 2½ issue."

The Natick Tab
Mar. 8, 2002
Is the tax system hurting Natick?


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

In a report running in this week's Natick Tab, the town fathers are decrying their "fiscal nightmare," echoing the "sky is falling" mantra of the state mayors association, hands outstretched, reaching for our wallets for more, more, more.

Spouting the usual hyperbole, they would have us believe that Natick in particular and all the other cities and towns are in desperate straits without additional revenue sources - why these fellows are now even suggesting that Proposition 2½ also be killed along with the income tax rollback!

Okay, I've heard enough of this claptrap, and decided to look into just how "gargantuan and ghastly" the plight of cities and towns actually is, whether there is any basis in reality whatsoever. I used Natick as a microcosm -- a fair representation of the alleged "crisis" statewide, especially since these selectmen stuck their heads up. So just how bad are things in Natick?

Natick's annual local aid from the state jumped from $7,572,731 in FY 1990 to $12,198,559 this fiscal year.

Its total revenue (from all sources) grew from $48,649,679 in FY 1990 to $92,884,723 this fiscal year. (That's right, it almost doubled!)

Its free cash account ("rainy day" surplus) mushroomed from $563,348 in FY 1990 to $3,584,494 this fiscal year. (An increase of almost 700 percent!)

I've included the relevant FY 1990-2002 data below, prior to the Tab report, so you have a clear perspective before reading the moaning and kvetching.

It's glaringly obvious that everybody's simply jumping on the tax hike bandwagon, using the "fiscal nightmare" momentum to grab for more of our hard-earned money even after doubling their spending.

This "fiscal crisis" is looking more like a joke every day, especially with the vast majority of economic experts, including Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan as recently as Thursday, declaring that the recession is over, if there ever really was one.

It's merely a smoke-and-mirrors dog-and-pony show intended to frighten the masses into surrendering more.

The only fiscal crisis is a result of limitless overspending by politicians, and they're flocking together for even more to spend.


State House News Service
Friday, March 8, 2002

House budget chief: Higher taxes a "necessity"

They will be unpopular but higher taxes are a "necessity" in the face of state government's fiscal crisis, House Ways and Means Chairman Rep. John Rogers (D-Norwood) told more than 200 activists and individuals who turned out for the final House hearing on next year's budget. Rogers' comments on taxes drew loud applause from attendees, who testified to the unmet needs of the poor and the mentally and physically impaired.

Rogers said that in addition to drafting a budget that closes a $2 billion-plus revenue gap next year, this year's deficit, with less than four months left in the fiscal year, may hit $1 billion.

The solutions will involve drawing from the $1.5 billion left in state reserves, slashing programs and services, and other innovative proposals.

"It's also gonna take some taxes," Rogers said. "This committee has been out there talking about the very real need to raise taxes. To us, it's a necessity."

Rogers said more than $600 million in budget cuts approved last fall took a heavy toll on programs that serve needy citizens.

"This continues to be a very very difficult year for legislators," he said. "Far, far more importantly it's a very difficult year for the people we try to serve. Our spending document is a reflection of our ideas and principles. How we treat our most vulnerable, our most needy, our most challenged ... our poor, our eldery, our frail, really defines us as a people, as a Commonwealth. We will not and can not take taxes off the table."

Rogers offered his comments at 10:30 am, kicking off a budget hearing that he expected to run for between seven and nine hours.

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State House News Service
Advances: Week of March 11, 2001

House Revenue Group's final hearing
on "Ways to Grow Revenue"

Tuesday, 10 am, Gardner Auditorium in the State House

While members of the Senate budget writing committee spend Monday and Wednesday quizzing agency heads about their revenue needs, an eight-member House working group is in Gardner Auditorium Tuesday conducting its third and final hearing on ways to grow revenues - raise taxes is the main one - to meet their needs.

The first two forums were in Lowell and Fall River and were reportedly well attended. Revenue enhancements often mentioned include blocking any further reduction in the state's income tax, reducing the payout to winners of the State Lottery and exploring the potential and viability of casino gambling.

Members of the working group, one of several named by House Speaker Finneran to examine ways to control spending and help balance the books during the next few years, include ranking members of the Commerce and Labor and Taxation committees along with a few who sit on the House Ways and Means Committee. Ways and Means chief John Rogers on Friday called higher taxes a "necessity" given the size of the state's budget gap.

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State House News Service
March 8, 2002

Weekly Roundup - Week of March 3, 2002
Lead story of the week: Developments on the budget,
or lack thereof

By Craig Sandler

STATE HOUSE, BOSTON, MARCH 8, 2002 ... The biggest development in running the government as this week went by was that - this week went by.

Another seven days were stripped from the time left to balance the state budget for this year. That's really important. If your expected expenses are at least $300 million above your expected income for the year, like Massachusetts' are, the faster you do something about it the better. The longer you wait, the bigger your spending reductions have to be in proportion to your total budget.

But the bookkeeping year ends June 30, and state government leaders have waited a very long time to make the cuts that would make the books balance. Democrats in the Legislature and Republicans who want to hold on to the governorship are locked in a chess game, and in chess, observers can wait an excruciating amount of time between moves.

Both observers and players seemed to agree this week that gamesmanship is going on. Michael Widmer, head of the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation, said the two sides - Democratic Legislature, Republican administration - have waited so long, the only way to balance this year's budget is spend money sitting in state reserves. That will leave less reserve money to close next year's $2 billion-plus gap between spending and revenues.

"Our worst fears are coming to pass," Widmer said. "The leadership is responding very slowly, and we're paying the price." As the projected deficits keep climbing and no cuts are made, "we're mirroring the late eighties," Widmer said. "We're running faster in place and losing ground."

John Rogers, head of the House Ways and Means Committee, said Acting Gov. Swift could end the crisis tomorrow if she wanted to, by convening her cabinet and telling them to cut immediately. But Republicans will tell you that Rogers and other Democrats are simply trying to turn Swift into the bad guy, the woman who balanced the budget by denying the needy their services and support from state government. Rogers said Swift isn't cutting because "it's unpopular," even though it's her job.

Swift wants the Legislature to change a pension-paydown plan to free up $134 million; that will lessen the amount that has to be cut this year. But Rogers says that's a ploy to evade taking real responsibility for getting the books balanced again. He claims Swift should be as brave as he, and accept the need for higher taxes.

Widmer and Rogers were echoed this week by two groups of experts. On Tuesday, a panel of bond rating officials said the state shouldn't spend too deeply out of reserve funds, because once they're gone, there's no way to replace them in future years, though the need for the spending remains. On Wednesday, a group of economists said Swift might want to rethink her insistence that the next phase of the 2000 income tax cut approved by voters go into effect immediately.

Unwavering fiscal conservatives like Barbara Anderson (there are not too many in either the administration or Legislature) find the discussion pretty ridiculous. Anderson said that the reserve, or "rainy day," funds, ought to be used when it's raining. And she pointed out that spending has been rising $1 billion a year for quite a while; therefore, there's got to be room to cut without too much pain. "Everybody's been putting on fat cells," she said.

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NATICK'S TOTAL REVENUE

FY Tax Levy State Aid Local Receipts All Other Total Receipts
1990 $28,506,589 $7,572,731 $9,384,296 $3,186,063 $48,649,679
1991 $29,580,338 $7,218,225 $9,375,000 $1,941,253 $48,114,816
1992 $30,594,013 $6,099,191 $9,936,369 $1,297,455 $47,927,028
1993 $31,566,074 $6,356,886 $10,155,766 $1,302,887 $49,381,613
1994 $33,050,076 $6,611,718 $10,838,603 $2,135,729 $52,636,126
1995 $34,526,590 $6,879,209 $10,973,461 $3,326,013 $55,705,273
1996 $38,640,056 $7,272,593 $11,086,857 $2,009,526 $59,009,032
1997 $39,211,030 $7,725,665 $12,234,625 $3,563,332 $62,734,652
1998 $43,251,848 $8,136,412 $13,140,783 $3,580,271 $68,109,313
1999 $44,996,424 $9,315,488 $13,834,596 $4,644,575 $72,791,084
2000 $46,885,381 $10,142,059 $14,575,363 $4,091,516 $75,694,320
2001 $49,413,782 $11,055,390 $15,878,470 $5,662,921 $82,010,563
2002 $51,549,010 $12,198,559 $17,727,470 $11,409,684 $92,884,723

NATICK'S FREE CASH ("RAINY DAY FUND" SURPLUS)

FY

FREE CASH

1990 $563,348.00
1991 $394,668.00
1992 $143,153.00
1993 $256,598.00
1994 $804,603.00
1995 $1,442,721.00
1996 $1,675,191.00
1997 $2,131,823.00
1998 $2,728,405.00
1999 $3,450,176.00
2000 $3,431,756.00
2001 $3,913,775.00
2002 $3,584,494.00

Source: Mass. DOR; Division of Local Services


The Natick Tab
March 8, 2002

Is the tax system hurting Natick?
By Philip Maddocks
Staff Writer

Taxes (and now fees), no matter what form they take, are generally viewed with equal disdain - by taxpayers and politicians alike.

But not all taxes are created equal and not all equal-sounding taxes, such as the across-the board income tax cut being implemented in Massachusetts, benefit all taxpayers equally.

The different effect various taxes have on different income levels is often misunderstood or unnoticed and, in recent years, reductions in particular types of taxes, such as capital gains and estate taxes, have contributed to a shifting of the tax burden onto middle- and lower-income taxpayers, according to a report by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a Washington D.C.-based research and policy institute [for which Jimmy St. George is listed as its "State Contact"! - Chip!].

And one Massachusetts researcher suggests that shortsighted tax policy, more than the economic slowdown, is to blame for the state's fiscal dilemma and, by extension, Natick's current budget predicament.

"The squeeze comes from excessive tax cuts that were too optimistic and went too far," said Jim St. George, director of Tax Equity Alliance for Massachusetts (TEAM) and the TEAM Education Fund, a statewide research organization that describes itself as an advocate for tax fairness. "In the late '80s the budget shortfall was the result of excessive spending. This time it's very clear that overly ambitious tax cuts are the problem. The problem is not largely a function of the recession. The recession, which appears to be the shortest and mildest in American history, did not cause the hole in the budget. Tax cuts that went too far are the problem."

Not only did the tax cuts go too far, says St. George, the cuts were almost exclusively done to taxes such as the corporate tax and the capital gains tax - taxes whose rates are tied to the wealth of the taxpayer, known as progressive taxes - while the so-called regressive taxes, taxes with a flat rate, such as sales tax, remained at the same level.

Point of agreement

St. George's analysis is not universally endorsed. Different students of the economy cite different influences for the current problems. Some say the tax cuts didn't come soon enough. Others say that locally, it is Proposition 2½, the 2.5 percent cap on property tax increases, that needs fixing.

But one matter that even those with different policy views seem to agree on - from St. George to Barbara Anderson, the executive director of Citizens for Limited Taxation - is the state's current fiscal problem is tied at least as much to policy decisions as it is to a slow down in economic growth.

Anderson argues it is the state's spending practices, not its tax cuts, that set it up for boom and bust cycles.

"They would rather spend money than manage the budget," said Anderson. "It's just the way the government is. What we should do is try to control the level of spending during the good years. We should have done the income tax cuts in the middle of the fiscal boom. We could have rolled back the income tax over seven years. We wouldn't have even noticed it. Now we have a fiscal crisis."

Michael Meeropol, chairman of the economics department at Western New England College in Springfield and author of "Surrender: How the Clinton Administration Completed the Reagan Revolution," said a simple federal revenue-sharing package bridging the gap between what state revenues are and what they would have been with 2 percent growth would address a lot of the current difficulties.

"I can't believe the National Governors Association isn't screaming, 'Forget tax revenue stimulus; give us revenue to make up for the recession,'" said Meeropol. "It's the simplest stimulus package and states and localities wouldn't be faced with the incredible problems they are facing now."

Jim Borghesani, a spokesman for Gov. Jane Swift, said the state is using every means to secure federal grants and subsidies for programs such as public safety and is in constant contact with the state's U.S. senators and congressmen.

"They were just down in Washington two weeks ago," he said of the nation's governors. "The Massachusetts governor made the case very clear that for a variety of reasons more federal aid would be welcome."

"Why would anyone come to the aid of the state with the fifth-highest tax burden and which showed itself to be a total screw-up with the Big Dig?" wonders Anderson. "The federal government is waging a war. It has enough on its plate."

Prop 2½ coming up short

Locally, town officials say they have been told not to expect increases in local aid and to even plan for possible cuts in state aid.

"The state is trying to survive itself; it's not looking to provide any more relief," said Selectman Jeff Stern.

Stern said today's fiscal dilemma "has been sneaking up on Natick for years."

While the town is limited to a 2½ percent increase in property tax revenue, its costs for health insurance and state mandates, such as special education funding - expenses the town has no control over - as well as collective bargaining agreements for salaries (which typically have built-in annual increases of 3 percent) are increasing more than 2½ percent.

"There are no easy answers," said Stern. "We all have to live within 2½ ... We may well be looking at an [operational] override next year, depending on how bad the news is for the state.

"It all comes down to the bottom line of the level of services residents want. We as a town need to decide whether the level of service we have now is acceptable or excessive. The choices are to decide they are excessive and endure the cuts or to say this is pretty much the bottom line, folks. We don't want to cut 40 teachers and take police officers off the street. These are the fundamental decisions residents are going to have to make.

"The only true way out is to repeal 2½."

Selectman Paul McKinley agrees.

"Even when the economy turns around - and it will - it won't be sufficient to solve the problem," he said. "Until the state or the voters undo or revise [Proposition 2½] so that it is based on a rational economic indicator, the town will forever be fighting the 2½ issue."

"Massachusetts is more restrictive than most states in the kinds of taxes we allow local governments to raise," said St. George, a past Harry S. Truman Scholar, Alfred P. Sloan Fellow, and John F. Kennedy Fellow. "I'm not convinced the solution is to give cities and towns more local options. What you see with those is an increase in the gap between high- and low-income families."

He argues that increasing local aid is the best solution locally. Statewide, he thinks what is needed is better planning and more evenly weighted distribution of progressive and regressive tax cuts and increases.

"We need to make better choices about how we raise and cut taxes," he said. "The total package needs to be better balanced and we need to make sure when we cut that those cuts are aimed at working families.

"When you cut progressive taxes like capital gains tax, you lose huge amounts of money. You can provide $250 to every couple and $125 to every single [taxpayer] for $500 million. If you target $500 million at the high end, what is that doing?"

Stuck in the middle

According to the report by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, regressive taxes such as taxes on gasoline, tobacco, and goods "impose a disproportionate burden on lower-income families who must consume (rather than save or invest) a larger share of their income than higher-income families."

So even though the total dollars paid by taxpayers in the top income bracket has risen rapidly in recent years, the taxes the top earners are paying relative to their income have declined because states are cutting the rates at which progressive taxes are levied while income for the wealthiest families is rising far more rapidly than those in other income brackets. According to the center's report, from 1989 to 1997, the incomes of earners in the lowest fifth of the population did not change while incomes of earners in the highest fifth rose 17 percent and incomes of the wealthiest 1 percent rose by 36 percent.

Massachusetts, in fact, is cited in the report as a clear example of the way the rapid rise in income for the wealthiest households coupled with cuts in certain taxes has resulted in a shift of the tax burden over the last decade.

According to the report's authors, by the end of the 1990s Massachusetts had reduced personal income, investment income, estate, and corporate tax rates - nearly $3 billion worth of progressive tax cuts - but had left the regressive tax rates largely untouched.

The result, according to the report, is tax changes legislated from 1991 to 1998 "reduced taxes for the wealthiest taxpayers by an average of $16,000 per year, or 1.6 percent of their incomes, but cut taxes for poor and middle-income taxpayers by just 0.2 percent to 0.6 percent of their incomes per year, or as little as $7 annually for the poorest one-fifth of taxpayers."

St. George thinks the state's - and Natick's - current fiscal woes - can be traced to these tax cuts in the mid to late '90s that were " aimed overwhelmingly at profitable businesses " through corporate tax cuts, which, he said, flow through to the wealthy business owners, and a substantial cut in the capital gains tax . St. George said that over a five-year period the cut in capital gains tax will cost the state over $3 billion in tax revenue. And in terms of equity, he said, that particular cut is extraordinarily weighted toward the wealthy, with 76 percent of the benefits going to 1 percent of the population whose average income exceeds $1 million.

"What Massachusetts could have done," he said, "is provide bigger tax cuts to lower income people and spread the wealth around."

St. George said the state has taken measures to help protect low-income families, including raising the income tax threshold - the lowest income level at which a family has income tax liability - to $22,700 for a family of four. Only 11 states have higher income tax thresholds.

"Here in Massachusetts," he said,"we have done reasonably well for low-income people. We have been extraordinarily generous with the high-income people. It's the people in the middle that have been left behind."

It's those middle-income families in Natick that, by in large, will feel the impact locally as well, in some cases they may have to pay extra fees for school bus transportation, interscholastic athletic participation, for use of the town's recycling center, and for the annual increase in their property tax bills - all of them a type of regressive tax. And that may not be the end of it. There is the possibility of an added household fee for trash pickup and perhaps a Proposition 2½ override in the future.

"The message appears to be that there is not going to be an increase [in local aid] and there may be cutbacks," said Selectmen Chairman Charlie Hughes. "We're going to be faced with a revenue shortfall and cuts in services will be an issue."

"Some people walk around and think that [local] government budgets are fat and wasteful. They're not," said McKinley. "There may be a little fat around the edges - that's the battle we're fighting this year. It's painful, but we will survive. But when we start making deep cuts, that's when we start wondering, 'This is the community I bought into, do I really want to do this?' That's where an operational override may be the only option. You may see operational overrides becoming a part of the repertoire in coming years."

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