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CLT UPDATE

Monday, November 5, 2012

One day between now and our destiny


As legislative sessions go the 2013-2014 term will be a critically important one for the taxpayers of the commonwealth. The Patrick administration is barely concealing its interest in post-election tax hikes. Revenues are flat and there is the transportation funding “crisis” that Beacon Hill is pledging to resolve.

And so it is more important than ever to support strong voices of fiscal reason at the State House....

As for the rest of the House, the GOP rather unexpectedly boosted its ranks two years ago and now represents a slightly stronger bloc, though efforts are underfoot to reverse that progress.

Take the debate over welfare benefits and the use (and abuse) of electronic benefits cards. Reform efforts came largely in response to the efforts a freshman lawmaker, Rep. Shaunna O’Connell (R-Taunton), who deserves a second term in the 3rd Bristol district. Rep. Keiko Orrall (R-Lakeville), an advocate of smarter state spending, last year won a special election in the 12th Bristol district and has earned a full term....

The bottom line is that voters who are rightly concerned about being asked to pay more to finance new state spending in the coming two years ought to consider their wallets when they step into the ballot box.

A Boston Herald editorial
Friday, October 26, 2012
Balance on Beacon Hill


Two years after the Tea Party surge helped double Republicans’ numbers in the state House of Representatives, Democrats are trying to beat back legislative gains by conservatives while outnumbered Republicans are trying to capitalize on pockets of conservatism in a deep blue state.

Some of the hottest races to watch this season are rematches between candidates who faced tense showdowns in 2010. In the state Senate, President Therese Murray, a Plymouth Democrat, faces a second duel with Thomas F. Keyes, a Sandwich Republican who nearly displaced her by claiming 48 percent of the vote in 2010....

In the House, Republican Representative Steven Levy faces a challenge from Marlborough Democrat Danielle Gregoire, whom Levy edged out of office by about 100 votes in 2010. And Representative James J. Lyons Jr. will face Democrat Barbara L’Italien, whom he ousted in 2010.

Lyons, of Andover, is viewed as the most conservative of the pack of freshman Republicans in the House — 15 newcomers whom Democrats have had their eyes on. This year, Lyons held a sit-in in the House chamber until the Patrick administration disclosed how much the state spends on health care for illegal immigrants....

But Democratic dominance continues on Beacon Hill: The 40-member Senate now includes just four Republicans. And Republican gains in the 160-member House have only brought their numbers to 33.

As a result, Democrats continue to have a lock on legislative leadership, despite scandals and complaints about one-party dominance on Beacon Hill.

Republican spokesman Tim Buckley said in a statement that incumbent Democrats “will hike taxes on Massachusetts’ working families because they are incapable of controlling spending.

The party responsible for 23 years of criminal House speakers either has trouble with simple math or is hiding their only fix to the budget mess, which is raising taxes after the elections.”

The Boston Globe
Monday, October 29, 2012
Democrats aiming to reverse GOP gains in state
Rematches are prominent in state House, Senate races


Freshmen House Republicans are in the crosshairs this election cycle with the majority of incumbents from both parties facing no opposition and a Democratic majority all but assured before voters cast a single ballot.

Nearly two-thirds of the 147 incumbents running for re-election in the 160-member House of Representatives face no challengers on the ballot on Nov. 6, with 95 incumbents, or 65 percent, running unopposed, according to a News Service analysis of the ballot.

Overall, 61 percent of House seats are uncontested this election, with 52 incumbents facing opposition. The rate of seats being challenged in the House is only slightly higher that of the Senate, where 33 percent of Senate seats are being contested this year.

And even if Republicans won every race in which they are contending, Democrats would still be assured a majority in the House come January; voters in 82 districts will see only a Democrat in their House race early next month.

In 2010, Republicans made significant gains in the House, doubling their ranks and adding 22 new faces to the GOP caucus led by House Minority Leader Brad Jones....

Though Republicans say they would like to build on the gains made in 2010, the Democratic Party has made a concerted effort to challenge the GOP freshman class.

State House News Service
Monday, October 29, 2012
House breakdown: Dems guaranteed majority as GOP frosh face challenges


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

The most important election of our lifetime happens tomorrow. The future of our nation, our state, ourselves and our families will be decided within the next 24 hours.

Nationally, it's become a very tight race for the presidency and can go either way with a nudge. We may not know the outcome tomorrow night, or even by Wednesday morning.

The popular and electoral college vote for the office President of the United States of America won't matter much to us here in Blue State Massachusetts: That Barack Obama will take this bluest state is unfortunately a foregone conclusion. But the outcome of every other contested office 'down-ticket' very much matters so every vote is important and could decide the outcome.

If you haven't seen it yet, click here to watch what some have called "the best political ad" of this election season. It's put out by Republican Richard Tisei's campaign for Congress in the 6th District (North Shore), running against 8-term Democrat U.S. Rep. John Tierney. Besides the soothing sound of waves lapping against the shore of Good Harbor Beach in Gloucester, and a woman's sigh at the end, there is no voice-over message; just text at the bottom, "Because You Need A Break From All The Campaign Ads." It's gone viral nationally, a topic on many political affairs TV programs. Whoever thought so far outside the box to create it deserves a bonus.  I'll bet we see more ads like this in the future, especially if Tisei wins as expected.

Tomorrow's the day we've all long awaited:  The day we hopefully will change our destiny for the better.

I don't need to remind you to vote I'm sure you've been counting down the days too.

Please make sure you take a look at the candidates who have been endorsed by CLT's 2½ PAC for seats in the state House and state Senate. All of them have returned a questionnaire answered favorably for taxpayers and have signed the "No New Taxes" pledge. This has been noted in most if not all news reports covering their campaigns and candidacies.  If any of them are on your ballot tomorrow, seriously consider giving them your vote.

CLT's 2½ PAC
CLT's 2½ PAC-endorsed legislative candidates for the 2012 election
CLICK HERE

Chip Ford


 

The Boston Herald
Friday, October 26, 2012

A Boston Herald editorial
Balance on Beacon Hill


As legislative sessions go the 2013-2014 term will be a critically important one for the taxpayers of the commonwealth. The Patrick administration is barely concealing its interest in post-election tax hikes. Revenues are flat and there is the transportation funding “crisis” that Beacon Hill is pledging to resolve.

And so it is more important than ever to support strong voices of fiscal reason at the State House.

On the Senate side, the presence of just four Republican lawmakers inspires little more from leadership than the occasional pat on the head. When it comes to spending and taxes those four individuals do their best but have precious little influence. Voters in several districts have an opportunity to change that.

In the 3rd Middlesex District, for example, voters can replace a retiring liberal Democrat with her ideological opposite. Republican Sandi Martinez, an IT consultant from Chelmsford, would be a reliable vote against new taxes. Same for Republican Richard Jolitz of Beverly, making a second attempt at winning the 2nd Essex seat being vacated by the retiring Fred Berry.

In the crowded field for the open 1st Essex seat, Republican Shaun Toohey of Haverhill stands out. The Haverhill School Committee member would continue the Merrimack Valley district’s tradition of sending fiscal conservatives to the Senate.

That brings us to the Plymouth and Barnstable seat now held by Senate President Therese Murray. We’ve relied on the Plymouth Democrat to be a friend of the taxpayer but have grown increasingly concerned that might not last into the next term. A surge of Republican representation in the Senate, however, could help stiffen Murray’s spine.

Similarly, House Speaker Robert DeLeo, who has a rare Republican challenger in the 19th Suffolk, has in recent years been a strong advocate for taxpayers (with the exception, like Murray, of the sales tax hike).

Since the House and Senate will remain in Democratic control we’re inclined to see them both return to their leadership posts, but urge them to be mindful of their responsibility to the overburdened taxpayers.

As for the rest of the House, the GOP rather unexpectedly boosted its ranks two years ago and now represents a slightly stronger bloc, though efforts are underfoot to reverse that progress.

Take the debate over welfare benefits and the use (and abuse) of electronic benefits cards. Reform efforts came largely in response to the efforts a freshman lawmaker, Rep. Shaunna O’Connell (R-Taunton), who deserves a second term in the 3rd Bristol district. Rep. Keiko Orrall (R-Lakeville), an advocate of smarter state spending, last year won a special election in the 12th Bristol district and has earned a full term.

In the 14th Essex, Karin Rhoton, a software executive and former school committee member from North Andover, would be a welcome addition to the GOP caucus.

Two former reps who lost their seats two years ago, both Democrats, are looking for another shot, but the Republicans who took their place are doing a splendid job representing the interests of the taxpayers: In the 18th Essex district, Rep. James Lyons of Andover deserves re-election, while in the 4th Middlesex district Steven Levy of Marlboro is the right fit for the district.

And as we’ve mentioned in this space before, thanks to her sketchy campaign antics in the 2nd Franklin district incumbent Rep. Denise Andrews deserves a ticket back to the private sector. Republican Susanna Whipps Lee of Athol is a better choice.

Of course there are important issues beyond the economy and taxes. A dogged fighter for passage of the anti-crime legislation known as Melissa’s Bill, for example, Rep. David Linsky, Democrat of Natick deserves re-election.

The bottom line is that voters who are rightly concerned about being asked to pay more to finance new state spending in the coming two years ought to consider their wallets when they step into the ballot box.


The Boston Globe
Monday, October 29, 2012

Democrats aiming to reverse GOP gains in state
Rematches are prominent in state House, Senate races
By Stephanie Ebbert


Two years after the Tea Party surge helped double Republicans’ numbers in the state House of Representatives, Democrats are trying to beat back legislative gains by conservatives while outnumbered Republicans are trying to capitalize on pockets of conservatism in a deep blue state.

Some of the hottest races to watch this season are rematches between candidates who faced tense showdowns in 2010. In the state Senate, President Therese Murray, a Plymouth Democrat, faces a second duel with Thomas F. Keyes, a Sandwich Republican who nearly displaced her by claiming 48 percent of the vote in 2010.

In the House, Republican Representative Steven Levy faces a challenge from Marlborough Democrat Danielle Gregoire, whom Levy edged out of office by about 100 votes in 2010. And Representative James J. Lyons Jr. will face Democrat Barbara L’Italien, whom he ousted in 2010.

Lyons, of Andover, is viewed as the most conservative of the pack of freshman Republicans in the House — 15 newcomers whom Democrats have had their eyes on. This year, Lyons held a sit-in in the House chamber until the Patrick administration disclosed how much the state spends on health care for illegal immigrants. He has also sponsored bills that are viewed by women’s groups as restricting contraception or abortion, making him a target of the left.

Despite Massachusetts’ reputation as a liberal state on women’s issues, Beacon Hill is divided on abortion rights, with less than half of lawmakers considered solid votes for abortion rights.

Democrats continue to have a lock on legislative leadership, despite scandals and complaints about one-party dominance on Beacon Hill.

With many races still too close to call, abortion activists are worrying about their margins — especially since the Republican nominee for president, former governor Mitt Romney, has expressed interest in returning decisions on abortion rights to individual states.

“In the 2010 election, we lost over a dozen prochoice seats and we walked into the last legislative session with a one-vote prochoice majority,” said Megan Amundson, executive director of NARAL Pro-Choice Massachusetts.

“We haven’t been immune to the antichoice wave that has taken over the country over the past two years,” Amundson said.

Fresh off US Senator Scott Brown’s special election, Republicans made gains in the State House in the last election, despite losing elections at the top of the ticket, including the governor’s race.

But Democratic dominance continues on Beacon Hill: The 40-member Senate now includes just four Republicans. And Republican gains in the 160-member House have only brought their numbers to 33.

As a result, Democrats continue to have a lock on legislative leadership, despite scandals and complaints about one-party dominance on Beacon Hill.

Republican spokesman Tim Buckley said in a statement that incumbent Democrats “will hike taxes on Massachusetts’ working families because they are incapable of controlling spending.

The party responsible for 23 years of criminal House speakers either has trouble with simple math or is hiding their only fix to the budget mess, which is raising taxes after the elections.”

Republicans constitute just 11.3 percent of Massachusetts’ registered voters. Democrats make up nearly 35.6 percent, while 53 percent are unenrolled.

But Republicans are hoping to pick up seats in the Legislature in conservative swaths of the state — and the biggest prize would be in Plymouth, where the Democratic Senate president barely beat back a challenge from a Republican last time around.

Murray’s challenger is a management consultant specializing in ethics and compliance, who recently drew Democratic fire for failing to include on his ethics disclosure forms a house he had bought and that he obtained a mortgage through friends, according to the State House News Service.

The news service reported that Keyes blamed the mistake on a glitch in the state computer system. But Keyes has made transparency a theme of his candidacy, and the Democratic party seems eager to pounce on Republicans’ ethical or legal problems, after seeing their party’s last three House speakers indicted and a scandal in the Probation Department cast a continuing cloud over some lawmakers’ futures.

“It’s hard for the Republican party to be making a consistent case here,” said Massachusetts Democratic Party chairman John Walsh.

Republicans meanwhile are hoping to hold onto a rare Republican seat in Pembroke, where Republican Daniel K. Webster of Pembroke is stepping down after being accused, as an attorney, of misusing client funds. The allegations surfaced before the primary, at which point, Webster faced a late primary challenge from a write-in candidate — his onetime campaign manager Republican Karen Barry. He won the primary, but later bowed out, letting Barry become the GOP nominee. Democrats however believe they have a good shot at claiming that seat through their candidate, Josh Cutler, a newspaper editor from Duxbury.

Republicans are also eyeing an open seat in Franklin, where Democratic Representative James Vallee resigned in June and Republican Richard A. Eustis faces Democrat Jeffrey N. Roy.

The GOP hopes to capitalize on support spreading outward from its traditional corridor between Interstate 495 and Route 128. The 2010 election brought a westward push into outlying turf as several GOP candidates claimed districts that had not traditionally been Republican.

But Democrats are trying to halt the tide and hope they have challengers strong enough to return two of those districts to Democratic control.

They have their sights set on Representative Richard Bastien, a Gardner Republican who faces opposition from Democrat Jon Zlotnik, as well as Representative Peter Durant, a Spencer Republican who squeaked into office in 2010 by one vote and who now faces Democrat Kathleen Walker, a member of the Charlton Board of Selectmen.

Republicans are also trying to unseat Democratic incumbents in districts where they think they can make inroads with conservatives. Plymouth School Committee member Debra Betz is challenging Democratic Representative Thomas J. Calter of Kingston and Republican Jon Fetherston is trying to edge out incumbent Democratic Representative Tom Sannicandro in Ashland.

A number of races are contentious in the Merrimack Valley, in addition to the Lyons-L’Italien contest. Both parties have designs on the seat left open by State Senator Steven Baddour.

Haverhill School Committee member Shaun P. Toohey, a Republican, faces Newburyport City Councilor Kathleen A. O’Connor Ives, a Democrat, and two unenrolled challengers, Amesbury Municipal Councilor James Kelcourse and Haverhill School Committee member Paul A. Magliocchetti.

Also in the Merrimack Valley, Representative Paul Adams, a Republican, is leaving his seat to challenge Senator Barry R. Finegold, a Democrat from Andover. Democrats say they see potential for Lawrence City Council president Frank Moran to pick up Adams’s former seat; he faces unenrolled candidate Kevin M. Cuff.


State House News Service
Monday, October 29, 2012

House breakdown: Dems guaranteed majority as GOP frosh face challenges
By Matt Murphy


Freshmen House Republicans are in the crosshairs this election cycle with the majority of incumbents from both parties facing no opposition and a Democratic majority all but assured before voters cast a single ballot.

Nearly two-thirds of the 147 incumbents running for re-election in the 160-member House of Representatives face no challengers on the ballot on Nov. 6, with 95 incumbents, or 65 percent, running unopposed, according to a News Service analysis of the ballot.

Overall, 61 percent of House seats are uncontested this election, with 52 incumbents facing opposition. The rate of seats being challenged in the House is only slightly higher that of the Senate, where 33 percent of Senate seats are being contested this year.

And even if Republicans won every race in which they are contending, Democrats would still be assured a majority in the House come January; voters in 82 districts will see only a Democrat in their House race early next month.

In 2010, Republicans made significant gains in the House, doubling their ranks and adding 22 new faces to the GOP caucus led by House Minority Leader Brad Jones.

Jones is unopposed next week, but House Speaker Robert DeLeo is among the 37 incumbent House Democrats with a challenger this cycle from Republican Paul Caruccio, of Winthrop.

Twenty-one Republican freshmen are seeking re-election this cycle, the exception being Andover state Rep. Paul Adams whose district was merged with another House Republican, Rep. Jim Lyons, during the redistricting process. Adams elected to challenge Sen. Barry Finegold (D-Andover) instead of facing off against Lyons or moving down the street, which he considered, to run in a new majority-minority district centered in Lawrence.

Though Republicans say they would like to build on the gains made in 2010, the Democratic Party has made a concerted effort to challenge the GOP freshman class.

Of the 32 sitting Republicans seeking re-election to the House, 15 are being challenged this cycle and all are freshman, including, Reps. Randy Hunt (R-East Sandwich); George Ross (R-Attleboro); Shaunna O’Connell (R-Taunton); Steven Howitt (R-Seekonk); Keiko Orrall (R-Lakeville); Jim Lyons (R-Andover); Nicholas Boldyga (R-Southwick); Steven Levy (R-Marlborough); Marc Lombardo (R-Billerica); Geoff Diehl (R-Whitman); Angelo D’Emilia (R-Bridgewater); Richard Bastien (R-Gardner); Peter Durant (R-Spencer); Kevin Kuros (R-Uxbridge); and Ryan Fattman (R-Sutton).

Two of those freshmen – Levy and Lyons – carved out a conservative niche for themselves over the past two years, but will have to fend off challenges from the very same incumbents they knocked off two years ago. Barbara L’Italien, who joined Treasurer Steve Grossman’s office after losing to Lyons on 2010, is running again, and Danielle Gregoire is trying to reclaim the seat she lost to Levy.

In total, 116 Democrats are running for re-election with 37, or 32 percent, facing challenges. On the GOP side, 31 House Republicans are vying to keep their seats, challenged at a rate of 48 percent, according to the News Service analysis.

Of the 37 incumbent Democrats with challengers, six are freshman fighting to keep their seats, including Reps. John Lawn (D-Watertown), Denise Andrews (D-Orange), Marcos Devers (D-Lawrence), Michael Finn (D-West Springfield), Rhoda Nyman (D-Hanover), and Carlos Henriquez (D-Dorchester).

A number of vacancies were created over the past year due to departures from the House or announced retirements by longtime lawmakers, leaving 13 open seats, including the districts where incumbent Reps. Demetrius Atsalis, Kevin Aguiar and David Torrisi were defeated in September.

Ten of those open districts are competitive next week, including the 14th Essex District where Democrat Diana DiZoglio, of Methuen, is up against Republican Karin Rhoton, a school committeewoman from North Andover. DiZoglio, a former State House aide for Republican Rep. Paul Adams and chief of staff to the Professional Firefighters Association, defeated Torrisi in the Democratic primary.

Brian Mannel, of Barnstable, defeated Atsalis in the primary in the 2nd Barnstable District, and is now unopposed in the general election. Alan Silvia, of Fall River, finds himself in a similar situation in the 7th Bristol District after defeating Aguiar in his Democratic primary. Barring anything unforeseen, both should join the House in January.

Marjorie Decker, the Democratic primary winner from Cambridge in the 25th Middlesex District, is also running unopposed to the fill the seat being vacated by retiring Rep. Alice Wolf.

Voters in the state’s largest county – Middlesex County – and in Essex, Plymouth and Worcester counties are seeing some competition for House seats this cycle with 20 of 37 seats in Middlesex County being contested, including three open seats.

In Essex County, there are also three open seats and competition for seven of the county’s 18 seats in the House.

Plymouth County voters will decide seven of 12 races, including two districts without an incumbent, and Worcester County has nine competitive races out of 18, including a race to fill former Rep. Vincent Pedone’s seat. Seven of 12 races in Hampden County are also contested.

The Cape and Islands, Hampshire County and Suffolk County are among the least competitive geographic regions. Only one of six districts on the Cape, Nantucket or Martha’s Vineyard has a competitive race, while there are no contests in Hampshire County and only three of 19 districts in populous Suffolk County have more than one candidate on the ballot.

 

NOTE: In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107, this material is distributed without profit or payment to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving this information for non-profit research and educational purposes only. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml


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