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CLT UPDATE
Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Twenty-two years of waiting for maybe . . .


State tax collections rebounded strongly last fiscal year, rising 10.6 percent or nearly $2 billion more than the year before and making it likely that a small, mandated reduction in the income tax will be triggered....

The strength of collections may also trigger a reduction in the income tax from 5.3 to 5.25 percent. Senate President Therese Murray said Monday she expected to know more about the tax cut in October.

Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation President Michael Widmer said Tuesday the collections make it “likely” the tax cut will take effect and said he believes the reduced tax rate should not be blocked. Voters more than a decade ago ordered a 5 percent income tax but lawmakers froze the rate cut in 2002.

Under state law, the tax rate will fall to 5.25 percent if growth in fiscal 2011 inflation-adjusted baseline revenues over fiscal 2010 exceeds 2.5 percent and if for each consecutive three-month period starting in August and ending in November 2011 there is positive inflation-adjusted baseline revenue growth as compared to the same three-month period in 2010.

State documents say a final determination about the tax cut will be made by the revenue commissioner on Dec. 15, 2011. State officials say the tax cut, which would take effect Jan. 1, 2012, is worth between $52 million and $56 million in fiscal 2012 and between $111 million and $117 million in fiscal 2013.

State House News Service
Tuesday, July 19, 2011
FY 2011 tax receipts rise nearly $2 billion, nearly eclipse FY '12 estimate


State tax collections began fiscal 2012 the way they ended fiscal 2011: shattering projections. The Department of Revenue announced Tuesday that officials collected $1.442 billion in taxes in July, a 6.6 increase from a year earlier and $60 million better than lawmakers and the Patrick administration predicted.

State House News Service
Tuesday, August 2, 2011
State Capitol Briefs
State tax collections continue upswing in first month of FY 2012


Top Beacon Hill Democrats are beginning to acknowledge the strong possibility of a reduction in the state income tax rate next year that could deliver $114 million in tax relief. In recent remarks to business officials in Kingston, Senate President Therese Murray noted state tax collections grew 7.2 percent between fiscal 2010 and fiscal 2011 and by 5 percent in the most recent three months....

“If our tax collections stay steady in the next three months, both taxpayers and businesses in Massachusetts will benefit from a decrease in the income tax rate,” Murray said, according to her prepared remarks.

State House News Service
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
State Capitol Briefs
Senate Prez: Income tax cut may be around the corner


And providing more reason for cheer: Senate President Therese Murray told a business group in Kingston this week that tax collections are also trending favorably....

Under state law, the income tax rate, currently set at 5.3 percent, must be decreased in 0.5 percent increments when certain revenue growth benchmarks are met. Such a cut would yield $114 million in taxpayer savings, according to state estimates....

Someone observed recently at a roundtable discussion with Democratic Senate candidate Setti Warren that the reason President Obama has trouble persuading Congress and the public to support needed stimulus spending when times are bad, like now, is that government has a bad habit of going on spending binges when times are good. And the end result is that voters don't trust government to spend their tax money wisely regardless of the circumstances.

A Salem News editorial
Friday, September 16, 2011
Good economic news not a license to spend


The Commonwealth of Massachusetts on Friday evening got the credit rating upgrade state officials have been seeking....

“We’re going to save tens of millions of dollars,” Grossman told the News Service in an interview, adding that the exact savings will be calculated when the bonds are priced....

Also, due to both conservative tax revenue forecasting and a leap in fiscal 2011 tax collections of roughly $2 billion, a $460 million surplus awaits allocation by the governor and the Legislature and a reduction in the income tax rate to 5.25 percent from 5.3 percent appears on track to deliver $114 million in tax relief.

State House News Service
Friday, September 16, 2011
S&P boosts state credit rating


September is one of the four biggest months of the year for state tax collections and receipts over the first half of the month were up $88 million, or 9.7 percent, according to a report to legislative leaders from the state revenue commissioner. The report released Tuesday showed state tax collections over the first two and a half months of the fiscal year are up 6 percent.

State House News Service
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
State Capitol Briefs
Mid-September tax collections up 9.7 percent


Massachusetts sold $500 million worth of bonds Wednesday at an interest rate of slightly below 3 percent after securing what officials said was the highest credit rating in the state's history.

Associated Press
Wednesday, September 21, 2011
Mass. sells $500M in bonds after credit upgrade


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

"If our tax collections stay steady in the next three months, both taxpayers and businesses in Massachusetts will benefit from a decrease in the income tax rate."

Senate President Therese Murray

"[G]overnment has a bad habit of going on spending binges when times are good. And the end result is that voters don't trust government to spend their tax money wisely regardless of the circumstances.

A Salem News editorial

In 1989 twenty-two years ago, when the state income tax was hiked to 5.75% in what was then the largest tax hike in state history — we were promised it would be only "temporary."

In 1990 the Legislature kept it word, made that hike "temporary" by hiking the income tax again, to 6.25% where it remained for a couple years until it was lowered to 5.95%.  A couple years later it was slightly reduced to 5.85% where it remained until the 2000 election.

Eleven years after the income tax was first hiked "temporarily," CLT and then-Governor Cellucci collected the signatures, put the income tax rollback to 5% on the 2000 ballot, and won the rollback by 60-40 percent.

In 2002 the Legislature exceeded itself with a new "largest tax hike in state history," raising taxes by $1.14 billion and "freezing" the voter's tax rollback at 5.3%, again only temporarily. This time they created "triggers." When revenue reached a certain amount, the voters' income tax rollback allegedly would creep downward by .05%  From 5.3% to 5.25% then to 5.2% etc.

That was nine years ago. The income tax rate is still "frozen" at 5.3% where the pols locked it against the will of the voters.

In 2009, instead of returning the income tax to where it was two decades before, the Legislature jacked up the sales tax to 6.25%.

Twenty-two years have gone by a full generation since the first "temporary" promise was made, eleven years have passed since the voters overwhelmingly demanded the rollback, nine years have passed since the Legislature "froze" the voters' mandate but we're still paying more than the historic 5% rate.

What do you suppose will happen before this "trigger" is pulled?

We'll be watching.

But while we wait (without holding our collective breath), Republicans in the Legislature are working to get our money back.

In the ongoing casino gambling debate that began yesterday in the state Senate, Sen. Bruce Tarr (R-Gloucester), the Senate Minority Leader, has filed a number of amendments to the bill to require some gaming revenue to be dedicated to tax reduction:

Amendment 34 – Budgeted Revenues

Requires all revenues deposited in the Gaming Revenue Fund be considered “budgeted fund state tax revenue” so that the funds will be counted toward the triggers for a potential statutory income tax rollback.

Amendment 78 – Tax Reduction Fund

The bill provides that 10% of state revenue from category 1 licenses be provided to the newly created Economic Development Fund. This amendment would instead allocate that 10% of revenues to the Tax Reduction Fund. The Tax Reduction Fund provides for a temporary increase in the amounts of the personal exemption allowable on the income tax if the Fund is sufficiently funded and meets certain additional criteria.

Amendment 82 – Gaming License Fund II

The bill sets up a fund to disperse money received from the license fees from category 1 and category 2 gaming. The bill disperses 15.5 per cent to a Manufacturing Fund, 19.5 per cent to a Community College Fund, and 23 per cent to a Health Care Payment Reform Fund. This amendment would eliminate that funding, and instead provide 10% to the Stabilization Fund (Rainy Day Fund), 10% to debt reduction, 10% to the unemployment trust fund, and 25% to the Tax Reduction Fund, which provides for a temporary increase in the amounts of the personal exemption allowable on the income tax if the Fund is sufficiently funded and meets certain additional criteria.

Amendment 87 – Sales Tax Deduction

The bill provides that a combined 12% of the state revenues from category 1 licenses shall be transferred to a newly created Economic Development Fund and the newly created Local Capital Projects Fund. That money instead will be placed in the General Fund, and used to help ensure revenue neutrality when reducing the state sales tax, currently at 6.25%, to 5%. This reduction will take place in a two-step process, with the first reduction cutting the sales tax to 5.625%, and then another reduction to 5%.

More Is Never Enough (MINE) and never will be. Bravo to Sen. Tarr and the other Republicans in the Legislature, but let's not hold our collective breath for this to become reality either.

The Bacon Hill tax-borrow-and-spend legislators' motto remains:  "What's mine is mine and what's yours is mine too."

Chip Ford


 

State House News Service
Tuesday, July 19, 2011

FY 2011 tax receipts rise nearly $2 billion, nearly eclipse FY '12 estimate
By Michael Norton


State tax collections rebounded strongly last fiscal year, rising 10.6 percent or nearly $2 billion more than the year before and making it likely that a small, mandated reduction in the income tax will be triggered.

Tax collections in June rose 5.2 percent over June 2010, up $106 million for that month alone. And fiscal 2011 collections of $20.507 billion fell only $128 million shy of the revenue estimate used in the fiscal 2012 budget signed last week by Gov. Deval Patrick, which means that unless collections suddenly and unexpectedly retreat, state government will almost immediately start ringing up a revenue surplus.

The strength of collections may also trigger a reduction in the income tax from 5.3 to 5.25 percent. Senate President Therese Murray said Monday she expected to know more about the tax cut in October.

Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation President Michael Widmer said Tuesday the collections make it “likely” the tax cut will take effect and said he believes the reduced tax rate should not be blocked. Voters more than a decade ago ordered a 5 percent income tax but lawmakers froze the rate cut in 2002.

Under state law, the tax rate will fall to 5.25 percent if growth in fiscal 2011 inflation-adjusted baseline revenues over fiscal 2010 exceeds 2.5 percent and if for each consecutive three-month period starting in August and ending in November 2011 there is positive inflation-adjusted baseline revenue growth as compared to the same three-month period in 2010.

State documents say a final determination about the tax cut will be made by the revenue commissioner on Dec. 15, 2011. State officials say the tax cut, which would take effect Jan. 1, 2012, is worth between $52 million and $56 million in fiscal 2012 and between $111 million and $117 million in fiscal 2013.

While Massachusetts’s unemployment is still relatively high at 7.6 percent and the nation’s economic recovery has been weak, the fiscal 2011 collections reflect a state economy "that grew noticeably stronger over the past 12 months," Revenue Commissioner Navjeet Bal said in a statement.

The steep rise in collections exceeded the revenue estimate lawmakers and Patrick used for fiscal 2011 spending purposes by $1.43 billion. However, a string of supplemental budgets approved throughout the fiscal year will cut into the state’s expected fiscal 2011 surplus, which nonetheless will bill sizeable.

Gov. Deval Patrick’s budget chief, Secretary of Administration and Finance Jay Gonzalez, said in a statement that the fiscal 2011 collections “are a reflection of a stronger-than-expected economic recovery and are very good news for the state's balance sheet.”

Gonzalez said the administration was finalizing its non-tax revenue and spending exposures and planned to file a final fiscal 2011 spending bill once the review was completed “within the next couple of weeks.”

A “significant portion” of the fiscal 2011 surplus should be deposited into the state’s rainy day fund, Gonzalez said, because a “large portion” of above-benchmark revenues are attributable to taxes collected on capital gains and other investment returns that may not recur in fiscal 2012.

Gonzalez was unavailable to discuss the potential tax cut or total fiscal 2011 supplemental spending.

Widmer cautioned that last year’s state budget was balanced with about $1.5 billion in one-time revenues, claimed the fiscal 2012 budget underfunded the massive Medicaid account, and warned of potential impacts from slowing economies in Europe and the outcome of talks in Washington over deficit reduction plans and raising the nation’s debt ceiling. Still, he said, the $2 billion uptick in revenues was positive.

“We’re in a very uncertain period,” Widmer said. “There are a number of risks and cautions but it’s clearly good news.”

The tax data released Tuesday showed:

  Compared to fiscal 2010 personal income tax collections in Massachusetts totaled $11.58 billion, an increase of $1.47 billion or 14.5 percent.

  Withholding taxes grew $574 million, or 6.5 percent.

  Income tax estimated payments of $1.86 billion, which include revenue from capital gains, dividends and interest, rose $373 million or 25.1 percent.

  Sales tax receipts, which help fund the state transportation and school construction efforts, were up $295 million in fiscal 2011, or 6.4 percent. The state sales tax rate was increased from 5 percent to 6.25 percent in 2009. Regular sales tax collections were up 5.9 percent, meals tax collections increased 7.1 percent and motor vehicle sales tax receipts rose 7.9 percent.

  Fiscal 2011 corporate and business tax collections totaled $2.23 billion, up 5.1 percent.

  Corporate excise tax collections totaled $1.95 billion, up $351 million or 21.9 percent.

  Tax refunds of $1.4 billion were down $101 million or 6.7 percent.

  Income tax payments with returns and bills of $1.69 billion grew $432 million or 34.2 percent.


State House News Service
Tuesday, August 2, 2011

State Capitol Briefs
State tax collections continue upswing in first month of FY 2012


State tax collections began fiscal 2012 the way they ended fiscal 2011: shattering projections. The Department of Revenue announced Tuesday that officials collected $1.442 billion in taxes in July, a 6.6 increase from a year earlier and $60 million better than lawmakers and the Patrick administration predicted.

DOR Commissioner Navjeet Bal attributed the better-than-expected results to a 9.9 percent -- $71 million -- increase in income tax collections in July from the same month a year earlier. The state also benefited from "several one-time estate tax payments" totaling $25 million, according to DOR. Sales tax collections remained flat last month, coming in at $449 million, down $41 million from last July.

Lawmakers and the Patrick administration estimate that the state will collect $20.636 billion in fiscal 2012, which began July 1, although the estimate will be adjusted downward by $20.5 million to reflect the projected impact of an Aug. 13 to Aug. 14 sales tax holiday. Massachusetts tax officials collected nearly as many tax collections in fiscal 2011 as they are expected to bring in during fiscal 2012, raising questions about whether midyear adjustments to reflect revenue growth are a likelihood.


State House News Service
Wednesday, September 14, 2011

State Capitol Briefs
Senate Prez: Income tax cut may be around the corner


Top Beacon Hill Democrats are beginning to acknowledge the strong possibility of a reduction in the state income tax rate next year that could deliver $114 million in tax relief. In recent remarks to business officials in Kingston, Senate President Therese Murray noted state tax collections grew 7.2 percent between fiscal 2010 and fiscal 2011 and by 5 percent in the most recent three months.

A 2002 state law that raised taxes included provisions allowing the income tax rate of 5.3 percent to drop in annual 0.5 increments if tax revenue growth benchmarks were met.


The Salem News
Friday, September 16, 2011

A Salem News editorial
Good economic news not a license to spend


While the national economy remains shaky, yesterday brought the welcome news that the Massachusetts unemployment rate had dipped to 7.4 percent in August, which, a release from the state Executive Office of Labor and Workforce Development noted, is "well below the national rate of 9.1 percent, and the state's lowest monthly rate since February 2009."

It was also down a couple of ticks from July's rate of 7.6 percent, making for a healthy trend we hope to see continue.

And providing more reason for cheer: Senate President Therese Murray told a business group in Kingston this week that tax collections are also trending favorably.

"If our tax collections stay steady in the next three months, both taxpayers and businesses in Massachusetts will benefit from a decrease in the income tax rate," Murray told the group according to the State House News Service.

Under state law, the income tax rate, currently set at 5.3 percent, must be decreased in 0.5 percent increments when certain revenue growth benchmarks are met. Such a cut would yield $114 million in taxpayer savings, according to state estimates.

Still, it's important that Murray and her colleagues avoid viewing an increase in tax collections as an invitation to spend.

Someone observed recently at a roundtable discussion with Democratic Senate candidate Setti Warren that the reason President Obama has trouble persuading Congress and the public to support needed stimulus spending when times are bad, like now, is that government has a bad habit of going on spending binges when times are good. And the end result is that voters don't trust government to spend their tax money wisely regardless of the circumstances.


State House News Service
Friday, September 16, 2011

S&P boosts state credit rating
By Michael P. Norton


The Commonwealth of Massachusetts on Friday evening got the credit rating upgrade state officials have been seeking.

In advance of next Wednesday’s planned sale of $475 million in general obligation bonds, Standard & Poor’s boosted the state’s rating to AA+ from AA, a move that Treasurer Steven Grossman said reflects confidence in state fiscal management and gives the state its highest rating ever.

“We’re going to save tens of millions of dollars,” Grossman told the News Service in an interview, adding that the exact savings will be calculated when the bonds are priced.

The assessment came weeks after the same agency lowered the United States’ credit rating and arrived as Massachusetts crawls out of the recession with slow but steady job growth rates – the state jobless rate in August ticked down to 7.4 percent this week compared to a U.S. unemployment rate of 9.1 percent.

Grossman said factors that helped the state win the upgrade included efforts to rebuild state reserves and reduce unfunded pension system liabilities, state budget management, an “absence of gridlock” among state government’s top decision makers, and targeted job creation efforts.

“The innovation economy is actually working,” he said.

During and since the recession, Gov. Deval Patrick and the state Legislature have used a blend of tax increases, spending reductions, creative financing and reserve fund draws to balance the state budget.

Also, due to both conservative tax revenue forecasting and a leap in fiscal 2011 tax collections of roughly $2 billion, a $460 million surplus awaits allocation by the governor and the Legislature and a reduction in the income tax rate to 5.25 percent from 5.3 percent appears on track to deliver $114 million in tax relief.

Legislation filed by Patrick last month would steer $300 million from the surplus into the state’s rainy day fund and invest $95 million in infrastructure development, workforce training and other job creation efforts. The bill is pending in a House committee and expected to move this month or in October.

The upgrade followed a private sit-down this month between rating agency officials and top state officials, including Gov. Patrick, in Senate President Therese Murray’s ornate third floor office.

Federal budget cuts loom as a major factor in state finances. According to state documents, top state officials don’t know the details of $917 billion in spending reductions the federal government plans to make as part of $2.4 trillion in savings under the Budget Control Act of 2011, which President Barack Obama approved Aug. 2 as part of a deal to raise the nation’s debt ceiling. State documents say officials “will take appropriate measures to prepare for and manage” the impacts of the federal spending cuts.


State House News Service
Tuesday, September 20, 2011

State Capitol Briefs
Mid-September tax collections up 9.7 percent


September is one of the four biggest months of the year for state tax collections and receipts over the first half of the month were up $88 million, or 9.7 percent, according to a report to legislative leaders from the state revenue commissioner. The report released Tuesday showed state tax collections over the first two and a half months of the fiscal year are up 6 percent.

Monthly collections through Sept. 15 totaled $994 million and the benchmark for the collections over the full month is $2.052 billion, or 1.8 percent more than September 2010.

Quarterly estimated payments for most businesses and individuals are due in September, which helps make it a bigger month for collections than most other months. Mid-month income tax collections were up 15.5 percent, income tax withholding receipts were up 8.1 percent, and sales tax collections mid-month were up 5 percent. The September sales tax benchmark assumed an increase of 1.2 percent, accounting for the two-day suspension of the sales tax in August. Also, month-to-date corporate and business cash estimated payments, which Revenue Commissioner Navjeet Bal said are an indicator of current business profits, declined by $12 million or 4 percent from last year.


Associated Press
Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Mass. sells $500M in bonds after credit upgrade


BOSTON (AP) — Massachusetts sold $500 million worth of bonds Wednesday at an interest rate of slightly below 3 percent after securing what officials said was the highest credit rating in the state's history.

The general obligation bonds will help pay for capital projects around the state, said Treasurer Steven Grossman, who added that the lower rate will save the state tens of millions of dollars.

The sale came less than a week after Standard & Poor's upgraded the state's credit rating to AA+ from AA.

Grossman joined Gov. Deval Patrick and legislative leaders at a news conference to tout the improved rating, which the leaders said was the result of several steps taken cooperatively to stabilize state finances.

The upgrade "speaks volumes about the way our securities are being perceived in the marketplace and in the investor community," Grossman said.

Massachusetts also has ratings of Aa1 from Moody's Investors Services and AA+ from Fitch Ratings.

The 2.97 percent rate on the bonds sold Wednesday was significantly better than on the state's two most recent bond sales in the spring, the treasurer's office said. The winning bid came from Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, which outbid Wells Fargo & Co. and Citigroup Inc.

Grossman, Patrick, Senate President Therese Murray and House Speaker Robert DeLeo — all Democrats — pointed to several recent initiatives that impressed the credit rating agencies, including a bill intended to rein in public pension costs that was approved by the Senate last week and which DeLeo said would be debated in the House within 2-3 weeks.

Patrick has also proposed using a portion of a surplus from the fiscal year that ended July 1 to make a $300 million deposit into the state's "Rainy Day" fund, which if approved would make Massachusetts one of only four states with reserves exceeding $1 billion.

Patrick, a friend and supporter of President Barack Obama, said the cooperation among state officials on financial matters contrasts with partisan bickering in Washington where, he said, "You have a small but vocal and influential minority in Congress who are apparently willing to drive the economy over a cliff."

 

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Citizens for Limited Taxation    PO Box 1147    Marblehead, MA 01945    508-915-3665