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CLT UPDATE
Thursday, September 23, 2010

Question 3:  A philosophical dilemma


 

A major business-backed group sounded alarm bells Wednesday over the potential impact of Question 3, the ballot initiative that would slash the sales tax to 3 percent from 6.25 percent and drill an estimated $2.5 billion hole in next year's state revenue base, on top of an already-expected $2 billion gap between expected revenues and spending levels.

A new report released by the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation concludes that the question’s passage would force deep cuts in local aid, higher education, public safety, human service and capital spending programs....

Labor unions, led by teachers’ groups, have amassed a huge war chest to oppose the question. In August, the Massachusetts Teachers Association, the National Education Association and the American Federation of Teachers and the national branch of Service Employees International Union combined to provide $1.2 million to fight the proposal. The Massachusetts Nurses Association and the Massachusetts SEIU added $10,000 to the effort in March. The group has about $867,000 in cash on hand, having spent more than $400,000 this year on consulting fees.

By contrast, Howell’s group amassed about $159,000 in 2009, spending the bulk on signature-gathering efforts to place the question on the ballot. This year, the group raised about $72,000 and has about $17,400 remaining.

State House News Service
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Biz group warns of deep service cuts if sales tax cut passes


Thousands of Massachusetts teachers, police officers, firefighters, and other municipal employees would be laid off, property taxes would rise, and students at the University of Massachusetts, state colleges, and community colleges would pay more if a proposal to cut the state’s sales tax passes, according to a new analysis by a respected budget watchdog group.

“It is not an exaggeration to say that the resulting massive spending cuts would eliminate or erode a wide range of services — from education and public safety to health care and human services — that for decades the citizens of Massachusetts have counted on the government to provide,’’ said the report, released yesterday by the business-backed Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation....

Carla Howell ... said the foundation, which she described as a “business lobby group,’’ had shown its “contempt for the everyday taxpayers who have had to cut family budgets by 20 percent and more while politicians lavishly grew state spending.’’

The Boston Globe
Thursday, September 23, 2010
Watchdog group warns against cutting state sales tax


[Rep. Karyn Polito, Republican nominee for state treasurer] also said she would work to raise the sales tax to 5 percent if voters approve a ballot question that would slash it to 3 percent. Polito opposed a move supported by Gov. Deval Patrick and Democrats in the Legislature to raise the sales tax to 6.25 percent last year, but she said cutting it to 3 percent would be “too low.” Polito supports the ballot question, calling it the only way to lower the sales tax rate.

“The only way we can get it back to 5 percent is for the people to vote yes on Question 3, which is to roll it back to 3 percent, so that we can put pressure on Beacon Hill to get the sales tax back to 5 percent. That’s my position,” Polito said, adding that the income tax would not have been cut to its current rate, 5.3 percent, had voters in 2000 not approved a ballot question calling for it to be cut to 5 percent. If voters reject Question 3, she said, state leaders will interpret that as “the people think raising taxes is okay.”

State House News Service
Thursday, September 23, 2010
Polito pitches plans for sales tax, threatens to block borrowing


Republican Charles Baker said Thursday that the “best way” to repeal last summer’s sales tax hike is to elect him governor, dismissing an alternative approach offered by Republican Rep. Karyn Polito, the party’s nominee for state treasurer, who believes voters should back a ballot question slashing the sales tax to 3 percent.

Polito and Baker both want to see the state’s sales tax rate returned to 5 percent after lawmakers hiked it to 6.25 percent in the summer of 2009 to balance the state budget....

Polito argues that she’s speaking to political reality: Democrats control the Legislature on Beacon Hill by a wide margin, House and Senate leaders have shown no interest in a broad-based tax cut in decades, and in recent years they’ve repeatedly used procedural maneuvers to block votes on such proposals.

Without sending a message in the form of passing the ballot question, she argues, there’s no hope of a sales tax cut of any size.

“The only way we can get it back to 5 percent is for the people to vote yes on Question 3, which is to roll it back to 3 percent, so that we can put pressure on Beacon Hill to get the sales tax back to 5 percent. That's my position,” Polito said during a radio appearance on WRKO Thursday morning. She argued that the state income tax would not have been cut to its current rate, 5.3 percent, if voters had not approved a 2000 ballot question that called for an even deeper cut to 5 percent....

Barbara Anderson, president of Citizens for Limited Taxation, said Polito’s path is the only way to achieve a tax cut in the short-term.

“You could change the entire legislature and also elect Charlie and Karyn. That’s another alternate route, which isn’t going to happen this year,” she said. “We’re trying to move in that direction.”

Anderson lamented that backers of the sales tax cut hadn’t opted to simply push for a rollback to 5 percent, which she said would pass easily. Libertarian activist Carla Howell, leading the ballot drive, last year proposed cuts to 5 percent, 4 percent, 3 percent and 2.5 percent as ballot questions before opting for the 3 percent option. Anderson said she worried that if voters reject the question, Beacon Hill leaders will view it as a prelude to additional taxes, although no legislative leaders have discussed such a move.

“The only choice, as Karyn said, is to vote for what’s there or we’ll get nothing,” Anderson said. “CLT’s position is the same as Karyn Polito’s. It’s the fastest way to do something that should have never passed in the first place that’s really hurting the border communities. We don’t know for sure that Charlie’s going to win … You have to vote yes.”

Anderson added, however, that she had “no doubt” Baker could get his agenda passed if he wins, especially “if enough challengers win to scare the rest of the incumbents.”

State House News Service
Thursday, September 23, 2010
Baker not on board with Polito tax cut strategy


Chip Ford's CLT Commentary

As you can see from the State House News Service reports, Question 3 is causing a dilemma for our Revolution 2010 candidates. It's not just Charlie Baker and Karyn Polito:  It's positioning our legislative candidates too.

In the final SHNS report, both Charlie and Karyn are right.

He, as governor, will have to implement the sales tax cut if Question 3 passes; he will have to do it in two months after being elected. So his position is honest, yet different from Karyn's and Barbara's.

There are no options for CLT. CLT must support a YES vote on Question 3. If voters don't vote YES, our sales tax will stay at 6.25 percent forever, or until they raise it again.

If voters vote NO, the Legislature will know -- again -- that it can get away with anything.

Unless, of course, voters vote out the incumbents and governor who increased the sales tax last year.

This has been CLT's focus this year -- Revolution 2010.

This is one reason why we didn't do a petition drive ourselves. The other reason is that today even when you win a ballot campaign, the Legislature just refuses to do what the voters demand.  We are still waiting for our 5% income tax rate from our successful 2000 campaign.

So this was and is the year to replace the legislators, governor, and treasurer who ignore us.  And the plan can work: We have excellent candidates for the constitutional offices and for many legislative seats.

Then along came Carla Howell.  Again.  Not just legitimately repealing an outrageous 2009 sales tax hike, which we think would have passed, but insisting on dropping the rate to 3%, which is difficult for many if not most candidates to support.

Many of them, those who will have to implement it two months after passage and taking office, are recommending a NO vote and promising to make 5% income and sales tax rates a priority when they win.

Others are recommending a YES vote "to send a message," then saying it will have to be changed by the Legislature to 5% -- which puts them in the awkward position of being accused of "not respecting the will of the voters."

We have also heard from some of our usual supporters who prefer 5% to 3%, leading us to think that the majority of voters would prefer that option too, were it available.

But it is not and here we are.

I wonder as I did in 2008:  Why can't Carla work within a doable paradigm and perhaps finally win something?

Why must she be perceived as so extreme that her cause always loses?

When will Carla ever win a campaign for us, win any campaign whatsoever?

Carla always brings us to the edge, then over it.  Rolling back the income tax isn't enough; it must be abolished entirely.  CLT won a rollback of it on the 2000 ballot. The Legislature ignored the voters' will in 2002, "froze" the 1989 income tax hike at 5.3 percent where it remains. We understand why "reasonably" phasing-in tax cuts doesn't work either.

Carla lost abolishing the income tax in 2002 then again in 2008, not that the sitting Legislature then would have honored it. The Legislature took that voters' message -- defeat of her proposal -- as encouragement to raise the sales and other taxes last year.  Wonderful.

Now she's back for another election cycle, proposing not only rolling back the 25% sales tax increase to 5 percent but dropping the rate to 3 percent.

The echo of "it goes too far" that defeated CLT's first tax rollback campaign of 1990 -- CLT's only ballot question loss -- is not too distant a refrain.

Leave it to Carla. She has put the entire "Revolution 2010" at risk, basically for nothing since if we don't elect a new governor and new legislators, her ballot question -- should it pass -- will be ignored, repealed.

CLT can't stay neutral

Do we drop our ongoing demand for the 5% income tax rate to make room for the 3% sales tax rate?

Do we tell CLT activists to prepare to fight the many overrides that will be on local ballots when state local aid is cut?

Carla Howell has a poor track record: She has never won anything -- for us taxpayers, for her candidacies for elective office, or for her movement of "Small Government Is Beautiful." She needs to win this one.  She can do this if she offers to support a change when and if she wins to a 5% sales tax rate and a 5% income tax rate.

Yes, we must support a YES vote on Question 3. If we were creating a state from scratch, it'd certainly look a lot more like New Hampshire, with maybe very low constitutionally-limited income and sales taxes to keep property taxes low.

But this ballot question is dropped onto the Commonwealth we already have.

CLT and many others including the energized Tea Party movement are supporting candidates against targeted incumbents. After decades of ballot success and experience -- CLT has won 8 out of 9 tax ballot questions -- we are convinced that if we don't change the 'ruling class' we honestly can't change anything in the long run.

Carla Howell and her ballot question are making this mission more difficult.

Each new candidate is now being asked how they'll vote on Question 3.

There is no good answer:  Every response, regardless of which way, leaves the candidate open to exposure. We at CLT must wrestle with this as well.

If the voters endorse Question 3, is that a mandate -- or a message?

If a future legislature overturns or amends the result, is that a violation -- or to be expected?

If Question 3 is defeated, will Carla's latest failure be a green light for higher taxes, as it apparently was the last time, with the same old Legislature happy to pass go?

We tell you this so you will understand why good candidates may disagree or sound ambivalent about the issue; so you'll understand and not hold it against them.

Chip Ford


 

State House News Service
Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Biz group warns of deep service cuts if sales tax cut passes
By Kyle Cheney and Michael Norton


A major business-backed group sounded alarm bells Wednesday over the potential impact of Question 3, the ballot initiative that would slash the sales tax to 3 percent from 6.25 percent and drill an estimated $2.5 billion hole in next year's state revenue base, on top of an already-expected $2 billion gap between expected revenues and spending levels.

A new report released by the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation concludes that the question’s passage would force deep cuts in local aid, higher education, public safety, human service and capital spending programs.

“It is impossible to overstate the enormity of the consequences of reducing state revenues by $2.5 billion when programs have already been cut by $2 billion and with the state facing another $2 billion shortfall next year,” the report concludes.

Proponents of the question, which is polling favorably, say the tax cut will boost commerce and enable residents to keep more of their income. Lead organizer, libertarian activist Carla Howell, rejected the report's findings.

“This business lobby group, which represents some of the state’s biggest tax consumers, has issued their latest comedy illustrating why they share the legislature’s utter incompetence – if not outright betrayal of taxpayers – when it comes to identifying and eliminating government waste,” she said in an email. “Their latest screed pleads ignorance of the tens of billions of dollars in government waste, pork, patronage, overspending and sweetheart deals in the state’s $52 billion in yearly spending.”

The foundation notes that the cut would come after “the most severe two-year decline in tax collections in the state’s history” – a $3.24 billion drop to $17.6 billion from $20.9 billion between 2008 and 2010.

The report also noted that “since the beginning of the fiscal crisis, the state has depended on one-time funds to fill large budget gaps – $3.1 billion in 2009, $2.5 billion in 2010, and $1.6 billion in 2011,” according to the report. “Most of the one-time money is from two sources – approximately $4.1 billion in federal stimulus dollars and $1.7 billion from the state’s stabilization or ‘rainy day’ fund.”

In the last two years, the state has cut $700 million in support for cities and towns – including $500 million in unrestricted aid and $190 million in Chapter 70 education aid – $225 million in education programs, $400 million in human services program, $42 million in tourism promotion programs and $22 million for state parks and beaches, according to the analysis.

In addition, the report concludes, the likelihood that the state will spend recently received federal Medicaid and education funds this year means next year’s projected deficit may increase by another half-billion dollars.

Labor unions, led by teachers’ groups, have amassed a huge war chest to oppose the question. In August, the Massachusetts Teachers Association, the National Education Association and the American Federation of Teachers and the national branch of Service Employees International Union combined to provide $1.2 million to fight the proposal. The Massachusetts Nurses Association and the Massachusetts SEIU added $10,000 to the effort in March. The group has about $867,000 in cash on hand, having spent more than $400,000 this year on consulting fees.

By contrast, Howell’s group amassed about $159,000 in 2009, spending the bulk on signature-gathering efforts to place the question on the ballot. This year, the group raised about $72,000 and has about $17,400 remaining.

The Taxpayers Foundation warned that even if the question fails, state officials face continuing budget problems.

“There is a larger fiscal reality that state leaders have only begun to understand and address,” the report says. “Massachusetts is entering a permanent new period, even when the fiscal crisis abates, in which state revenues will not be sufficient to support all the programs, and employee benefits, that have been the hallmark of state and municipal governments in Massachusetts for decades.”

The report highlights constitutionally and legally obligated state spending on the Medicaid program, debt service, local education aid, the MBTA, the Massachusetts School Building Authority and pension costs, which together eat up about half of the state's $27.6 billion budget. Setting those accounts aside, the state would be forced to axe as much as $4.5 billion from the remaining half of the budget considered “discretionary.”

“It is not an exaggeration to say that the resulting massive spending cuts would eliminate or erode a wide range of services – from education and public safety to health care and human services – that for decades the citizens of Massachusetts have counted on the government to provide,” according to the report.

The sales tax rate is 6.25 percent after the Legislature and Gov. Deval Patrick raised it from 5 percent last year. State tax collections, working off a deflated fiscal 2010 base, are up 9.5 percent over the first two and a half months of fiscal 2010.

In a second email, Howell added, “This lobby group's sole concern for the tax consumers which it represents shows its contempt for the everyday taxpayers who have had to cut family budgets by 20% and more during the latest recession - while politicians increased total state spending.”

The issue has become campaign trail fodder, although all four gubernatorial candidates have come out against the ballot question. During a Suffolk University debate between the candidates for lieutenant governor, Republican Richard Tisei noted that it took Gov. Deval Patrick, a Democrat, nearly two weeks to say definitively that he’d “respect the will of the voters” if Question 3 passes.

Lt. Gov. Tim Murray said that if voters support Question 3, “we will do that,” but he warned of consequences if it passes.

“The revenue we receive pays for local aid. It pays for Chapter 70 that keeps teachers in the classroom,” Murray said, adding, “If you cut that much, you’re talking about a whole host of programs being completely wiped out.”

Paul Loscocco, running on the ticket with Independent Tim Cahill, said polls showing voters support Question 3 is “a sad commentary” on their view of government.

“Part of it is a response to the fact that Beacon Hill … raised the sales tax in the middle of a recession,” he said. “It’s like jumping into a swimming pool without knowing whether water is in the pool or not.”

Loscocco added that if the voters pass Question 3, “we will honor that,” but he warned, “It will change the government-as-usual in Massachusetts in a fundamental way.”

Green Rainbow lieutenant governor candidate Rick Purcell said passing Question 3 would “hurt the poor communities in the state of Massachusetts” and put police officers and firefighters’ jobs in jeopardy.


The Boston Globe
Thursday, September 23, 2010

Watchdog group warns against cutting state sales tax
By Martin Finucane


Thousands of Massachusetts teachers, police officers, firefighters, and other municipal employees would be laid off, property taxes would rise, and students at the University of Massachusetts, state colleges, and community colleges would pay more if a proposal to cut the state’s sales tax passes, according to a new analysis by a respected budget watchdog group.

“It is not an exaggeration to say that the resulting massive spending cuts would eliminate or erode a wide range of services — from education and public safety to health care and human services — that for decades the citizens of Massachusetts have counted on the government to provide,’’ said the report, released yesterday by the business-backed Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation.

Question 3, which will go before voters on the Nov. 2 ballot, would reduce the state sales tax rate, which stands at 6.25 percent, to 3 percent on Jan. 1.

Proponents say it would curb overspending by the state, create jobs, and give each taxpayer nearly $700 annually.

The MTF, in its report, “Question 3: Heading Over the Cliff,’’ said that cutting the tax would create a $2.5 billion deficit in the state budget, on top of a $2 billion deficit that is already projected for next year.

With half of the state’s $32 billion budget legally committed, the $4.5 billion in reductions would have to come from $16.9 billion in discretionary spending. That would mean across-the-board cuts of 28.4 percent, the foundation said.

The report said the cuts would “seriously compromise the core services provided by local government — education and public safety’’ and would fall most severely on cities and poorer communities.

Carla Howell, of the Alliance to Roll Back Taxes, which is advocating for the cut, said in an e-mailed statement that the report was a “comedy’’ that ignored “tens of billions of dollars in government waste, pork, patronage, overspending, and sweetheart deals’’ in the state budget.

She said the foundation, which she described as a “business lobby group,’’ had shown its “contempt for the everyday taxpayers who have had to cut family budgets by 20 percent and more while politicians lavishly grew state spending.’’


State House News Service
Thursday, September 23, 2010

Polito pitches plans for sales tax, threatens to block borrowing
By Kyle Cheney and Michael Norton


Rep. Karyn Polito, Republican nominee for state treasurer, would nix any government borrowing deal she deems unaffordable, even if such a plan has the backing of the Legislature and the governor, she said Thursday.

“The treasurer is the chief borrowing officer. My signature is required on any official statement for more borrowing in the commonwealth,” Polito said during an interview on former House Speaker Tom Finneran’s WRKO radio show. “I’m not going to lay down my signature, Tom, if I don’t think we can afford it … The Legislature passes the bond bills as the authorization. But you need the check. The executive and the treasurer can check the Legislature.”

Polito slammed the Patrick administration for raising the state’s yearly borrowing cap from $1.2 billion and extending debt repayment terms. Patrick and his aides have described their borrowing as responsible and based on an analysis aimed at keeping state debt and borrowing at affordable levels.

State debt in Massachusetts ranks second in the nation, she said, and if elected Polito said she’d quickly call for a moratorium on new capital projects except in emergencies. She also called for passive pension fund investment management, a move she said would reduce fees paid to scores of active fund managers.

Polito also said she would work to raise the sales tax to 5 percent if voters approve a ballot question that would slash it to 3 percent. Polito opposed a move supported by Gov. Deval Patrick and Democrats in the Legislature to raise the sales tax to 6.25 percent last year, but she said cutting it to 3 percent would be “too low.” Polito supports the ballot question, calling it the only way to lower the sales tax rate.

“The only way we can get it back to 5 percent is for the people to vote yes on Question 3, which is to roll it back to 3 percent, so that we can put pressure on Beacon Hill to get the sales tax back to 5 percent. That’s my position,” Polito said, adding that the income tax would not have been cut to its current rate, 5.3 percent, had voters in 2000 not approved a ballot question calling for it to be cut to 5 percent. If voters reject Question 3, she said, state leaders will interpret that as “the people think raising taxes is okay.”

While state treasurers have historically stayed out of the tax debates between members of the legislative and executive branches, Polito said she would “work hard” as treasurer for a 5 percent sales tax rate.

Her Democratic opponent, Steve Grossman, told the News Service Thursday morning that Polito’s position amounts to “Beacon Hill doublespeak,” urging voters to vote for Question 3 but saying she’ll urge lawmakers to overturn it if it passes.

“As painful as it would be to implement Question 3, if it passes, I think those of us who serve in leadership positions have to do the very best we can to implement the will of the people,” Grossman said, adding that he hopes the question fails because of its potential impact on the quality of life for Bay State residents. Polito, he said, “turned herself into a rhetorical pretzel” on the issue.

Grossman said Polito’s warning that she’d reject borrowing she disapproves of represents “gamesmanship.” He said he would “be at the table speaking up, speaking up for living within our means at all times” during borrowing decisions. “Never, ever, ever am I going to commit to borrow money we can’t afford,” he said.

Grossman said Wednesday he would work to cut taxes "when the economy recovers."

Asked by Finneran to name $1 billion in budget cuts, Polito said a 3.5 percent cut across the state budget -- with the exception of state aid to cities and towns -- would save $800 million. She said permitting city and town administrators to unilaterally design health plans for their workers would save between $100 million and $200 million, and she said putting Medicaid enrollees into managed care plans would save another $100 million to $200 million.


State House News Service
Thursday, September 23, 2010

Baker not on board with Polito tax cut strategy
By Kyle Cheney and Michael Norton


Republican Charles Baker said Thursday that the “best way” to repeal last summer’s sales tax hike is to elect him governor, dismissing an alternative approach offered by Republican Rep. Karyn Polito, the party’s nominee for state treasurer, who believes voters should back a ballot question slashing the sales tax to 3 percent.

Polito and Baker both want to see the state’s sales tax rate returned to 5 percent after lawmakers hiked it to 6.25 percent in the summer of 2009 to balance the state budget. But Polito said the Democrat-controlled Legislature on Beacon Hill would never move to reverse the increase and would only be spurred to action if voters forced the issue by passing the steeper sales tax cut, known as Question 3.

Gov. Deval Patrick, whose position was backed in a new report from the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation, has warned of a fiscal “calamity” if Question 3 passes, describing devastating cuts in human services, public safety and education that could be necessary. But he, Baker and Independent Tim Cahill have pledged to support the will of the voters should they adopt the big tax cut.

Polito argues that she’s speaking to political reality: Democrats control the Legislature on Beacon Hill by a wide margin, House and Senate leaders have shown no interest in a broad-based tax cut in decades, and in recent years they’ve repeatedly used procedural maneuvers to block votes on such proposals.

Without sending a message in the form of passing the ballot question, she argues, there’s no hope of a sales tax cut of any size.

“The only way we can get it back to 5 percent is for the people to vote yes on Question 3, which is to roll it back to 3 percent, so that we can put pressure on Beacon Hill to get the sales tax back to 5 percent. That's my position,” Polito said during a radio appearance on WRKO Thursday morning. She argued that the state income tax would not have been cut to its current rate, 5.3 percent, if voters had not approved a 2000 ballot question that called for an even deeper cut to 5 percent.

If voters reject Question 3, she said, state leaders will infer that “the people think raising taxes is okay.”

Question 3 has polled favorably. A Suffolk University-WHDH poll of 500 registered voters, taken last weekend, showed 51 percent in favor and 42 percent opposed. A State House News Service poll of 400 Massachusetts adults, taken Aug. 29-31, found 54 percent in favor of the tax cut and 44 percent opposed.

Baker, like all of his gubernatorial rivals, has opposed Question 3, saying it would be too deep a cut amid a weak economy. He and Independent Cahill have made reducing the sales tax to 5 percent a major part of their pitch to voters. It’s a move Baker said would take pressure off consumers and businesses.

Asked about Polito’s strategy, Baker, a veteran of Beacon Hill tax battles dating to his tenure in Republican administrations, said during a press conference Thursday: “The best way people can send a message on reducing the sales tax back to 5 percent is by electing [running mate] Richard Tisei and me.”

Cahill, the Independent candidate, said the existence of debate about whether to implement the voters’ decision is “everything that is wrong with the two party system.”

“They are already discussing ways to manipulate and ignore the vote before people head to the polls in November,” he said in a statement to the News Service. “As Governor I will work hard to roll back the state sales and income tax to 5%. In the interim we should not be negotiating the will of the voters.”

Asked about Polito’s strategy, Baker chuckled.

“I think voters who want to get the sales tax to 5 percent should vote to elect me and Richard Tisei as governor and to elect a whole bunch of new faces to serve on Beacon Hill come January,” he said.

But Baker’s former boss, Republican Gov. Paul Cellucci, believes Polito has a point.

“Her strategy is the quickest way to get it back to 5 percent,” he said in a phone interview. “If it’s cut back to 3, I’m sure [the Legislature] can vote to put it back to 5.”

Cellucci knows firsthand the power of the ballot initiative. He led the successful drive in 2000 to cut the income tax from 5.85 percent down to 5 percent, but watched from afar as lawmakers froze the rate at 5.3 percent in 2002 without ever fully implementing the cut.

Cellucci said he had been pushing lawmakers to roll back an income tax increase passed during the Dukakis administration.

“When they would not do that was when I decided to take the ballot route,” he said.

Cellucci agreed that Baker would have a shot, if elected, to push through sales-tax-cutting legislation, but said it would take more time than forcing the issue through the ballot.

“He’ll prepare a budget that allows it to get it back to 5 percent,” he said. “That one will take a little longer.”

Barbara Anderson, president of Citizens for Limited Taxation, said Polito’s path is the only way to achieve a tax cut in the short-term.

“You could change the entire legislature and also elect Charlie and Karyn. That’s another alternate route, which isn’t going to happen this year,” she said. “We’re trying to move in that direction.”

Anderson lamented that backers of the sales tax cut hadn’t opted to simply push for a rollback to 5 percent, which she said would pass easily. Libertarian activist Carla Howell, leading the ballot drive, last year proposed cuts to 5 percent, 4 percent, 3 percent and 2.5 percent as ballot questions before opting for the 3 percent option. Anderson said she worried that if voters reject the question, Beacon Hill leaders will view it as a prelude to additional taxes, although no legislative leaders have discussed such a move.

“The only choice, as Karyn said, is to vote for what’s there or we’ll get nothing,” Anderson said. “CLT’s position is the same as Karyn Polito’s. It’s the fastest way to do something that should have never passed in the first place that’s really hurting the border communities. We don’t know for sure that Charlie’s going to win … You have to vote yes.”

Anderson added, however, that she had “no doubt” Baker could get his agenda passed if he wins, especially “if enough challengers win to scare the rest of the incumbents.”

Asked whether she envisions lawmakers cutting the sales tax, Rep. Ruth Balser (D-Newton) said tax cuts are possible “if the economy gets better and revenues increase.” She pointed to a slew of tax credits, exemptions and deductions that passed in the 1990s – Cellucci described that period as the largest collection of tax cuts ever endorsed by the Legislature – but said she doesn’t envision a similar scenario “in the very near future.”

Balser added, “I think it’s irresponsible for public leaders to call for a cut to 3 percent. To support that as a manipulation to work a deal, to work a compromise in the middle, that’s irresponsible. It’s my hope that the voters will weigh in and reject it and say we need essential government services. Hold taxes where they are until such a time as we can afford to cut them.”

If Question 3 passes, the sales tax would be lowered Jan. 1, 2011.

 

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Citizens for Limited Taxation    PO Box 1147    Marblehead, MA 01945    508-915-3665