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CLT UPDATE
Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Senator Brown, vote NO!


President Obama hailed the financial bill that House-Senate negotiators finally vouchsafed at 5:40 a.m. Friday, and no wonder. The bill represents the triumph of the very regulators and Congressmen who did so much to foment the financial panic, giving them vast new discretion over every corner of American financial markets.

Chris Dodd and Barney Frank, those Fannie Mae cheerleaders, played the largest role in writing the bill. Congressman Paul Kanjorski even offered a motion to memorialize it as the Dodd-Frank Act. It's as if Tony Hayward of BP were allowed to write new rules on deep water drilling....

Oh, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? They aren't touched at all, even as they continue to lose billions of taxpayer dollars each quarter.

In other words, our Washington rulers have taken 2,000 or so pages to double and triple down on the old system that failed....

The only certain result is that when the next mania and panic arrive, and they will, Congress and the regulators will claim they were all someone else's fault.

The Wall Street Journal
Review & Outlook
Monday, June 28, 2010
Triumph of the Regulators
The Dodd-Frank financial reform bill doubles down
on the same system that failed


A new tax on financial companies seemed like a good idea to Chris Dodd and Barney Frank at 3 a.m. last Friday, but now their $19 billion levy is threatening to blow up their 2,319-page financial bill. So they're scrambling to replace that cash, but the bigger news here is that Barney and Chris need to impose a bailout tax for what they claim is a bill that will end bailouts....

All of this caused a revolt in the Senate, where Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown was the first to declare his opposition because of the tax. This is far from a full apology for his earlier support for Dodd-Frank, but we assume he has learned something from the way he's been taken for a ride by the professionals. The other GOP supporters of Dodd-Frank—Maine's Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins, and Iowa's Chuck Grassley—should also be wary of standing with Senate liberals on tax hikes....

Most absurd is the claim that any of this money, however it is raised, will somehow be reserved for bank failures. Congress will spend it immediately. Taxpayers will pay for bailouts like they always do, when they happen, and this bill makes them more likely.

The Wall Street Journal
Review & Outlook
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
The Bailout Tax
The latest reason to oppose Dodd-Frank


The U.S. Senate won't vote until mid-July on a sweeping overhaul of U.S. financial regulations, a delay that gives critics and lobbyists more time to disrupt the measure.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.) said Wednesday that senators wouldn't vote on the 2,300-plus page bill until after lawmakers' week-long July 4 recess. Democrats had hoped to push the legislation through the House and Senate this week, but the death of Sen. Robert Byrd (D., W.Va.) and the wavering of some moderate Republican senators upset those plans....

Opposition from Sen. Scott Brown (R., Mass.), among others, forced their hand, resulting in a proposal to use the $700 billion and Troubled Asset Relief Program and deposit insurance fees to make up the cost....

Democratic leaders earlier this year experienced the pitfalls of putting off a vote on highly politicized legislation when the health-care bill was delayed by the passing of Sen. Edward Kennedy (D., Mass.). Lawmakers eventually had to resort to a number of procedural maneuvers to push the health-care deal across the finish line, including the passage of a "reconciliation" package to make changes to the legislation.

The Wall Street Journal
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Senate Delay on Financial Bill Gives Critics an Opening


Barbara Anderson's Membership Message

Dear Citizen for Limited Taxation;

When it comes to federal issues, CLT is closely aligned to Grover Norquist's Americans for Tax Reform based in Washington DC. Today, ATR's Center for Fiscal Responsibility (CFA) sent a vote alert to the House of Representatives urging members to vote against the Financial Regulatory Reform Package, H.R. 4173. CFA wrote:

"The bill fails to protect taxpayers from the possibility of future bailouts. As we explained in our alert, the bill does not hold Fannie and Freddie accountable and it is likely to increase government intervention in the financial industry. From our alert:

"The bill was recently amended to end the Troubled Asset Relief Program, better known as TARP, to make this government takeover of the financial market more politically palatable. While we have been consistent advocates for eliminating the revolving government slush fund known as TARP, this bill does nothing to address the underlying problems with the government’s propensity for bailing out private industry – the bill may end TARP early, but the legislation is silent on the possibility of future bank bailouts."

CLT generally figures that if Barney Frank drafted this bill, after almost destroying the entire world economy with his support for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, it can't be a good thing.  According to The Wall Street Journal, the failure of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has "already cost taxpayers $145 billion and counting" -- but Fannie and Freddie "aren't touched at all" by this Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act -- "even as they continue to lose billions of taxpayer dollars each quarter."

Sen. Scott Brown has been working with Frank to protect Massachusetts from some of the worse aspects of the bill, and to remove recently added tax increases; having been successful at this, it is unclear if he will support the final version. CLT suspects that any concessions made by the Democrats will last only long enough to get his vote, so we are asking that he vote 'No.'

CLT members who want to reach Senator Brown can call his office at  617-565-3170  or  202-224-4543.

Barbara Anderson


The Wall Street Journal
Monday, June 28, 2010

Review & Outlook

Triumph of the Regulators
The Dodd-Frank financial reform bill doubles down on the same system that failed

President Obama hailed the financial bill that House-Senate negotiators finally vouchsafed at 5:40 a.m. Friday, and no wonder. The bill represents the triumph of the very regulators and Congressmen who did so much to foment the financial panic, giving them vast new discretion over every corner of American financial markets.

Chris Dodd and Barney Frank, those Fannie Mae cheerleaders, played the largest role in writing the bill. Congressman Paul Kanjorski even offered a motion to memorialize it as the Dodd-Frank Act. It's as if Tony Hayward of BP were allowed to write new rules on deep water drilling.

The Federal Reserve, which promoted the housing mania and failed utterly in its core mission of monitoring Citigroup, will now have more power to regulate more financial institutions and more ability to dictate the allocation of credit.

The Treasury, which bailed out institutions willy-nilly without consistent rules, will now lead the Financial Stability Oversight Council that will have the arbitrary power to define which financial companies pose a "systemic risk" and which can be shut down without recourse to bankruptcy. Willy-nilly will now be the law.

And the SEC, which created the credit-ratings oligopoly and missed Bernie Madoff, will get new powers to decide how easy it should be for union pension funds to get their candidates on corporate proxy ballots.

Oh, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? They aren't touched at all, even as they continue to lose billions of taxpayer dollars each quarter.

In other words, our Washington rulers have taken 2,000 or so pages to double and triple down on the old system that failed.

Perhaps the most striking irony is that even in 2,000 pages Congress isn't precisely defining new bank powers. That task will be left to the regulators in the coming weeks and months, a reality that some in the media are finally figuring out. They are now reporting, with notable alarm, that this means bank lobbyists will be able to influence those rules behind the scenes. What did reporters think would happen in a system built not around clear parameters of what institutions can and cannot do, but instead entirely on regulator discretion?

Take the Volcker Rule, which proscribes banks that accept insured deposits from engaging in the riskiest kinds of trading. This makes sense in theory but the rule's execution will depend on how regulators define and enforce it. It's hardly reassuring when the Davis Polk & Wardwell law firm has to write a seven-page memo, as it did on Friday, explaining how this rule-making will proceed. The Volcker Rule may work in restraining excessive risk-taking. Or it may merely drive that risk-taking into other institutions that will attract the best and brightest drawn to the higher profits such trading can gain.

Consider as well the doctrine of "too big to fail," which FDIC Chair Sheila Bair says this bill will end. It is true that, thanks mainly to Ms. Bair and Alabama Republican Richard Shelby, Dodd-Frank puts more constraints on bailouts than Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner or Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke wanted.

But the Fed (with the consent of the Treasury Secretary) can still use its emergency lending authority to rescue a firm as long as it also provides loans to similar institutions at the same time. The bill also gives access to the Fed discount window to the new clearinghouses that are supposed to handle most derivatives trades. So the same exchanges that are supposed to reduce the riskiness of derivatives trades will know the feds will bail them out if they get into trouble.

Meanwhile, the FDIC Chairman will be free to choose which creditors to rescue and which to punish when a company goes into "resolution," even discriminating among creditors who bought the same bond issue. Expect union pension funds to fare better than other creditors when the feds roll up a bank in the future.

In the same way, Congress also added a last-minute, dead-of-night $19 billion tax on some financial institutions to pay for the implementation of these vast new regulatory powers. Who will pay this tax? Whoever the council of regulators decides should pay. The tax can hit any financial firm with more than $50 billion in assets (excluding banks that have deposit insurance, and Fannie and Freddie or any government-sponsored enterprise) and hedge funds that manage more than $10 billion.

This will take $19 billion out of financial firms that supply capital to growing companies, and it will punish precisely the firms that have attracted the most capital because of their better-than-average performance. This is only one of many new ways that Dodd-Frank will reduce the supply and raise the cost of credit across the economy. Think of how last year's limits on credit card fees have already reduced the supply of consumer credit and are leading to the end of free checking for all but wealthy bank customers.

We could go on, but perhaps the best summary is to hail Dodd-Frank as the crowning achievement of the Obama "reform" method. In the name of responding to a crisis, the bill greatly increases the power of politicians and regulators without addressing the real causes of that crisis. It makes credit more expensive and punishes business without reducing the chances of a future panic or bailouts.

The only certain result is that when the next mania and panic arrive, and they will, Congress and the regulators will claim they were all someone else's fault.


The Wall Street Journal
Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Review & Outlook

The Bailout Tax
The latest reason to oppose Dodd-Frank


A new tax on financial companies seemed like a good idea to Chris Dodd and Barney Frank at 3 a.m. last Friday, but now their $19 billion levy is threatening to blow up their 2,319-page financial bill. So they're scrambling to replace that cash, but the bigger news here is that Barney and Chris need to impose a bailout tax for what they claim is a bill that will end bailouts.

This is the real reason that the tax came out of nowhere in the middle of the night after having been rejected earlier by the Senate. And on Monday the Congressional Budget Office made it official when it released its cost estimate for the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act.

CBO estimates that the bill's vaunted "Orderly Liquidation Authority," which is being sold as tough medicine for failing banks and their creditors, will cost taxpayers $20.3 billion between now and 2020. CBO estimated how likely it is that one or more big financial firms will fail, how many tax dollars the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation would likely pour into these losers to assist creditors, and how much taxpayers might recover as this "resolution process" proceeds.

Why $20.3 billion? CBO isn't releasing its assumptions, but it hardly matters because the number can't possibly be more than a guess. The failure of Citigroup alone could cost many times that, much as the failure of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has already cost taxpayers $145 billion and counting. That $20.3 billion is best understood to be the potential cost discounted to what you might call the net present political value.

The $19 billion Dodd-Frank bailout tax was especially pernicious because it essentially left it to regulators to decide who would pay. The sages at the new Financial Stability Council would make the call, guided by, among other factors, a particular company's "importance as a source of credit for households, businesses, and State and local governments" and "the company's importance as a source of credit for low-income, minority, or underserved communities and the impact the failure of such company would have on the availability of credit in such communities." Imagine the corruption and favoritism possibilities.

All of this caused a revolt in the Senate, where Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown was the first to declare his opposition because of the tax. This is far from a full apology for his earlier support for Dodd-Frank, but we assume he has learned something from the way he's been taken for a ride by the professionals. The other GOP supporters of Dodd-Frank—Maine's Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins, and Iowa's Chuck Grassley—should also be wary of standing with Senate liberals on tax hikes.

Last night, House and Senate negotiators rewrote Dodd-Frank into something they hope can earn 60 Senate votes. One Democratic proposal is to save money by limiting the Administration's ability to make new commitments under the Troubled Asset Relief Program. As New Hampshire Senator Judd Gregg pointed out, this is an excellent idea on its own, and should not be paired with a plan to spend the same dollars on a separate bailout program.

Democrats also voted to raise the fees banks pay for federal deposit insurance, which would be one more in a series of fee increases on banks struggling to rebuild capital and maintain lending. A $5.6 billion special levy early in the financial panic was followed by a December 2009 requirement that banks prepay $46 billion in assessments for future years. The fees will rise again in January under current rules, and a separate part of Dodd-Frank encourages future increases by permanently raising to $250,000 the insurance coverage for individual accounts.

This would also mean that commercial banks could essentially end up paying to bail out large hedge funds. The new Orderly Liquidation Authority was explicitly created for nonbanks, since the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation already has a resolution process for commercial banks. Dodd-Frank would thus codify the mistakes of 2008, with bank deposit insurance supporting the rescue of all manner of uninsured adventures in the capital markets.

Most absurd is the claim that any of this money, however it is raised, will somehow be reserved for bank failures. Congress will spend it immediately. Taxpayers will pay for bailouts like they always do, when they happen, and this bill makes them more likely.


The Wall Street Journal
Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Senate Delay on Financial Bill Gives Critics an Opening
By Michael R. Crittenden and Corey Boles


WASHINGTON—The U.S. Senate won't vote until mid-July on a sweeping overhaul of U.S. financial regulations, a delay that gives critics and lobbyists more time to disrupt the measure.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.) said Wednesday that senators wouldn't vote on the 2,300-plus page bill until after lawmakers' week-long July 4 recess. Democrats had hoped to push the legislation through the House and Senate this week, but the death of Sen. Robert Byrd (D., W.Va.) and the wavering of some moderate Republican senators upset those plans.

Rep. Barney Frank (D., Mass.) said the House would likely vote on the legislation later Wednesday.

Key architects insisted the delay wouldn't affect the legislation, the product of months-long negotiations between Congress, the Obama administration, and top regulators. Sen. Christopher Dodd (D., Conn.) told reporters he believed Democrats had enough support to pass the measure, while Mr. Frank said further changes to the bill wouldn't be made.

"No, it's not amendable," Mr. Frank said shortly before Mr. Reid's announcement. "We don't plan on reopening the bill."

Rank-and-file lawmakers and lobbyists both suggested that a failure by the Senate to vote this week provides an opportunity to upset the delicate balance struck by House and Senate negotiators following a marathon 20-hour session last week.

Rep. Brad Miller (D., N.C.) said every interest group will have the opportunity to try and persuade just one senator who supports the bill to withhold their vote until further changes are made. "We don't want that to go on," Mr. Miller said.

Rep. Luis Gutierrez (D., Ill.) said he was concerned that the need to secure 60 votes of support to clear Senate procedural hurdles could lead to future problems.

"We have this eternal, revolving 60-vote standard we have to reach. Every prima donna gets to say 'I want to change this,' " Mr. Gutierrez said.

Messrs. Dodd and Frank already had to make a significant change to the bill in recent days after some moderate Senate Republicans balked at the inclusion of an $18 billion assessment on large banks and hedge funds to pay for the wholesale changes to U.S. financial market.

Opposition from Sen. Scott Brown (R., Mass.), among others, forced their hand, resulting in a proposal to use the $700 billion and Troubled Asset Relief Program and deposit insurance fees to make up the cost.

Lobbyists hoping to scale back particular provisions of the legislation said they would use the delay to continue to pressure lawmakers.

"Even though it's an uphill battle, we continue to work to attempt to make changes to the bill that lessens the impact on credit unions," said Dan Berger, chief lobbyist for the National Association of Federal Credit Unions.

Democratic leaders earlier this year experienced the pitfalls of putting off a vote on highly politicized legislation when the health-care bill was delayed by the passing of Sen. Edward Kennedy (D., Mass.). Lawmakers eventually had to resort to a number of procedural maneuvers to push the health-care deal across the finish line, including the passage of a "reconciliation" package to make changes to the legislation.

—Victoria McGrane and Damian Paletta contributed to this report.


Citizens for Limited Taxation    PO Box 1147    Marblehead, MA 01945    508-915-3665